{"id":13756,"date":"2022-08-18T02:17:04","date_gmt":"2022-08-18T00:17:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=13756"},"modified":"2022-08-18T02:17:04","modified_gmt":"2022-08-18T00:17:04","slug":"jiri-paroubek-jak-dopadnou-volby-na-magistrat-v-praze","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/08\/18\/jiri-paroubek-jak-dopadnou-volby-na-magistrat-v-praze\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Jak dopadnou volby na magistr\u00e1t v Praze?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Agentura Phoenix research zpracovala pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch \u010desk\u00fdch m\u011bstech, aby zjistila, jak\u00e9 je n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f p\u0159ed volbami do zastupitelstev obc\u00ed rozlo\u017een\u00ed sil v nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch \u010desk\u00fdch m\u011bstech. Zam\u011b\u0159\u00edme se dnes na Prahu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tento pr\u016fzkum byl zve\u0159ejn\u011bn p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny na TN.CZ:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

D\u011blat volebn\u00ed odhady preferenc\u00ed politick\u00fdch stran v pr\u00e1zdninov\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch, je pon\u011bkud o\u0161idn\u00e9. Krom\u011b toho, situace, kterou za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me v zemi a vlastn\u011b v cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b, je zna\u010dn\u011b turbulentn\u00ed. Vysok\u00e1 inflace, v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b, vysok\u00fd r\u016fst cen komodit na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch, ale i ur\u010dit\u00e1 bezradnost vl\u00e1dy p\u0159i \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch i mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f zem\u011b.<\/p>\n

Zejm\u00e9na ve velk\u00fdch m\u011bstech m\u00e1 ale v m\u011b\u0161\u0165ansk\u00fdch st\u0159edn\u00edch vrstv\u00e1ch tradi\u010dn\u011b velkou podporu ODS a TOP 09. Projekt SPOLU pro volby do sn\u011bmovny v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce se pravost\u0159edov\u00fdm stran\u00e1m osv\u011bd\u010dil, proto\u017ee pokud by kandidovaly jednotliv\u011b, n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nich by se do sn\u011bmovny ani nemusely dostat. Naopak hnut\u00ed ANO ztratilo politick\u00e9 spojence v podob\u011b soci\u00e1ln\u00edch demokrat\u016f a komunist\u016f, tak\u017ee i kdy\u017e dne\u0161n\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany ve volb\u00e1ch nez\u00edskaly absolutn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu hlas\u016f voli\u010d\u016f, nebo\u0165 zhruba 1 milion hlas\u016f voli\u010d\u016f propadl u uskupen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 nez\u00edskala alespo\u0148 5% volebn\u00ed podpory, z\u00edskala nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1da na \u010desk\u00e9 pom\u011bry velkou parlamentn\u00ed podporu. Celkem 108 mand\u00e1t\u016f proti 92 mand\u00e1t\u016fm opozice. Ze sn\u011bmovny poprv\u00e9 vypadla politick\u00e1 levice. Tedy jak KS\u010cM, tak soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokrat\u00e9. Pozice vl\u00e1dy je tedy od sam\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00e1tku politicky velice sensitivn\u00ed, nebo\u0165 od \u010das\u016f prvn\u00ed republiky poprv\u00e9 je ve vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalici v\u00edce politick\u00fdch stran ne\u017eli t\u0159i. A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee v takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b je dohadov\u00e1n\u00ed v r\u00e1mci koali\u010dn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy pon\u011bkud probl\u00e9mov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da v z\u00e1sad\u011b nezvl\u00e1d\u00e1 probl\u00e9my spojen\u00e9 s vysokou inflac\u00ed a s jej\u00edmi dopady na \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 \u0161irok\u00fdch vrstev \u010desk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00e9 volby do zastupitelstev obc\u00ed a dopl\u0148ovac\u00ed volby do Sen\u00e1tu budou lakmusov\u00fdm pap\u00edrkem, kter\u00fd uk\u00e1\u017ee, jak\u00e1 je vlastn\u011b sou\u010dasn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 pozice vl\u00e1dy a jej\u00ed s\u00edla k prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed zm\u011bn, kter\u00e9 si p\u0159edsevzala.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm d\u00e1v\u00e1 nepokryt\u011b najevo, \u017ee jej\u00edm z\u00e1jmem je navy\u0161ovat dramatick\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem zbrojn\u00ed v\u00fddaje, co\u017e nutn\u011b povede k potla\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed jin\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f v oblasti soci\u00e1ln\u00ed, \u0161kolsk\u00e9, zdravotnick\u00e9, ale tak\u00e9 v oblasti rozvoje dopravn\u00ed infrastruktury, rozvoje v\u011bdy a v\u00fdzkumu atd..
\nZ\u00e1m\u011bry vl\u00e1dy nakupovat za des\u00edtky miliard vojenskou techniku v neb\u00fdval\u00fdch mno\u017estv\u00edch (24 letoun\u016f F-35, 200 obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel a dv\u011b des\u00edtky tank\u016f Leopard) sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed o jist\u00e9 ztr\u00e1t\u011b soudnosti.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da zat\u00edm neud\u011blala nic pro sra\u017een\u00ed inflace na rozumn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla. Nechce uplat\u0148ovat nic z opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jsou b\u011b\u017en\u011b p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1na ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b zem\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 unie. A\u0165 u\u017e jde o zastropov\u00e1n\u00ed cen anebo sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010di eliminaci DPH \u010di spot\u0159ebn\u00edch dan\u00ed u vybran\u00fdch polo\u017eek pohonn\u00fdch hmot, energi\u00ed a potravin.<\/p>\n

Vyk\u00e1zan\u00e1 inflace v \u010dervenci dosahuje v \u010cesku 17,5% z cel\u00e9ho \u0161irok\u00e9ho spot\u0159ebn\u00edho ko\u0161e. Ale pokud bychom vzali 30 \u2013 40 skute\u010dn\u011b nezbytn\u00fdch polo\u017eek z\u00e1kladn\u00edch potravin a pot\u0159eb pro obyvatelstvo, nemohla by p\u0159ekvapit \u010d\u00edsla inflace mezi 20 \u2013 25%.<\/p>\n

Mimochodem, meziro\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst cen pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch v\u00fdrobc\u016f v \u010dervenci dosahuje 27,8% a r\u016fst cen zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch v\u00fdrobc\u016f 39,8%. Tato vysok\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla nasv\u011bd\u010duj\u00ed tomu, \u017ee se sv\u00fdm odhadem sou\u010dasn\u00e9 re\u00e1ln\u00e9 inflace \u2013 tedy r\u016fstu spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen \u2013 mezi 20 \u2013 25%, m\u00e1m nejsp\u00ed\u0161 pravdu.<\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed stran v Praze<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Podle \u010dervencov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu agentury Phoenix research by nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed stranou v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm pra\u017esk\u00e9m zastupitelstvu bylo uskupen\u00ed SPOLU pro Prahu (ODS, KDU-\u010cSL, TOP 09), tedy uskupen\u00ed konzervativn\u00edho charakteru. V pr\u016fzkumu z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u011bco v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dtvrtinu voli\u010d\u016f (26,5%). Ale ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u010dervencov\u00fdm pr\u016fzkumem \u0161lo s podporou o 7% dol\u016f (m\u011blo 33,7%).<\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b se umis\u0165uje hnut\u00ed ANO se 17,1%. Tak\u00e9 hnut\u00ed ANO ztratilo oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edmu m\u011bs\u00edci n\u011bco p\u0159es 2% voli\u010d\u016f.<\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00edm nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm uskupen\u00edm v pra\u017esk\u00e9m zastupitelstvu by se v srpnu, pokud by byly volby, stala Praha sob\u011b s 15,6% hlas\u016f. Praha sob\u011b zaznamenala mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst podpory o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 3%.<\/p>\n

Pir\u00e1ti podle pr\u016fzkumu agentury by z\u00edskali necelou desetinu voli\u010d\u016f a zaznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed oproti \u010dervenci ur\u010dit\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst podpory.<\/p>\n

Hnut\u00ed STAN \u2013 podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 seri\u00e1l af\u00e9r, kter\u00e9 druhou nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed stranu prov\u00e1zej\u00ed od po\u010d\u00e1tku existence pravost\u0159edov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy. V pr\u016fzkumech v srpnu tak z\u00edskal STAN v Praze 3,7% a jeho podpora m\u00e1 klesaj\u00edc\u00ed tendenci.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edmi stranami, kter\u00e9 z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159ed branami zastupitelstva, by bylo uskupen\u00ed Solidarita, zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm \u010cSSD a Zelen\u00e9. Celkem nep\u0159ekvapiv\u011b tato aliance v pr\u016fzkumu z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 jen 3,1%.<\/p>\n

Podobn\u011b je na tom volebn\u00ed aliance, tvo\u0159en\u00e1 kolem SPD, je\u017e z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 3,1% preferenc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Komunist\u00e9 by v Praze z\u00edskali pouhopouh\u00e9 1,5% hlas\u016f.<\/p>\n

Volebn\u00ed v\u00fdsledky, pokud by byly toto\u017en\u00e9 s v\u00fdsledky srpnov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu Phoenix research by d\u00e1valy velkou \u0161anci na obnoven\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed koalice na pra\u017esk\u00e9m magistr\u00e1tu, kde by pouze ODS v rad\u011b m\u011bsta nahradila hnut\u00ed STAN.<\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee voli\u010di v Praze v\u016fbec nereflektuj\u00ed \u2013 krom\u011b pochopiteln\u00e9 decimace hnut\u00ed STAN \u2013 chab\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed koalice na pra\u017esk\u00e9 radnici. P\u0159ipome\u0148me, \u017ee z hlavn\u00edch volebn\u00edch slib\u016f kampan\u011b p\u0159ed \u010dty\u0159mi lety se toho mnoho radnici nepovedlo. V\u00fdstavba nov\u00e9 trasy metra se st\u00e1le oddaluje, nov\u00e9 mosty nestoj\u00ed, star\u00e9 mosty se rekonstruuj\u00ed hlem\u00fd\u017ed\u00edm tempem. O v\u00fdstavb\u011b komun\u00e1ln\u00edch byt\u016f se jen mluv\u00ed. Vnit\u0159n\u00ed m\u011bstsk\u00fd okruh je p\u0159ipravov\u00e1n p\u0159\u00edmo \u0161ne\u010d\u00edm tempem, tak\u017ee nejdiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed term\u00edn zah\u00e1jen\u00ed jeho dostavby je tak za deset let.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 veden\u00ed radnice je neakceschopn\u00e9, nekoncep\u010dn\u00ed, neschopn\u00e9. Tedy porovn\u00e1v\u00e1m-li jeho aktivity s aktivitami vedouc\u00edch garnitur v metropolitn\u00edch m\u011bstech v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edm okol\u00ed, a\u0165 u\u017e se jedn\u00e1 o V\u00edde\u0148, Mnichov, Dr\u00e1\u017e\u010fany anebo Berl\u00edn. Tato m\u011bsta se dynamicky rozv\u00edjej\u00ed. Praha, pokud jde o velk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 investice, sp\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Trapn\u00e1 role soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokracie<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Podle m\u00fdch odhad\u016f p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed koncept Pet\u0159\u00ed\u010dka a \u0160merdy (resp. Pokorn\u00e9ho a Pocheho) na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed aliance se Zelen\u00fdmi, v n\u00ed\u017e se l\u00eddrem stala b\u00fdval\u00e1 ombudsmanka, kter\u00e1 nikdy v komun\u00e1ln\u00ed politice nep\u016fsobila, skon\u010d\u00ed volebn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek \u010cSSD, resp. uskupen\u00ed Solidarita, debaklem.<\/p>\n

Strana v Praze ned\u011bl\u00e1 nic (ostatn\u011b na centr\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni, tedy nic, co by p\u0159itahovalo z\u00e1jem ve\u0159ejnosti. Nedok\u00e1\u017ee kvalifikovan\u011b kritizovat ne\u010dinnost sou\u010dasn\u00e9 pra\u017esk\u00e9 radnice a nedok\u00e1\u017ee ani kvalifikovan\u011b uk\u00e1zat vlastn\u00ed programov\u00e9 z\u00e1m\u011bry. Nedaly se \u010dekat z\u00e1zraky, ale z tohoto hlediska 3% volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed pro \u010cSSD a Zelen\u00e9 v Praze, jsou vlastn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b z\u00e1zrakem.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Agentura Phoenix research zpracovala pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch \u010desk\u00fdch m\u011bstech, aby zjistila, jak\u00e9 je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3032,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[234,96,27,1820],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13756"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13756\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3032"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}