{"id":13530,"date":"2022-08-13T05:35:43","date_gmt":"2022-08-13T03:35:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=13530"},"modified":"2022-08-13T05:35:43","modified_gmt":"2022-08-13T03:35:43","slug":"amerika-bude-celit-katastrofalnim-ztratam-v-pripade-valky-s-cinou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/08\/13\/amerika-bude-celit-katastrofalnim-ztratam-v-pripade-valky-s-cinou\/","title":{"rendered":"Amerika bude \u010delit katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky s \u010c\u00ednou"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty podle sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e otev\u0159en\u00e9ho konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou utrp\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty a bude trvat roky, ne\u017e se vzpamatuj\u00ed, varuje expert v rozhovoru pro Times.\u00a0Podle analytik\u016f Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ijdou o v\u00fdznamnou \u010d\u00e1st flotily a asi 900 bojov\u00fdch letoun\u016f, kter\u00e9 budou Tchaj-wan chr\u00e1nit p\u0159ed \u010c\u00ednou.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Washingtonsk\u00fd think tank pro strategick\u00e1 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed studia doch\u00e1z\u00ed k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd konflikt mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty kv\u016fli \u201ep\u0159\u00edpadu Tchaj-wanu\u201c povede ke katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva a letectva, p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed Times.<\/p>\n<p>\u010cl\u00e1nek poskytuje \u00fadaje, podle kter\u00fdch budou spojenci spole\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fasil\u00edm schopni ochr\u00e1nit ostrov, ale za to budou muset zaplatit \u201eextr\u00e9mn\u011b vysokou cenu\u201c.\u00a0Up\u0159es\u0148uje se, \u017ee anal\u00fdza byla zve\u0159ejn\u011bna po dokon\u010den\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho cvi\u010den\u00ed \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 osvobozeneck\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy (PLA), kter\u00e9 se stalo reakc\u00ed na n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu vysok\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho \u010dinitele N. Pelosiho v Taipei.\u00a0Publikace uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee podle \u201esc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e\u201c v\u00e1lky, vytvo\u0159en\u00e9ho b\u00fdval\u00fdmi p\u0159edstaviteli Pentagonu, americk\u00fdm n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvem a dal\u0161\u00edmi odborn\u00edky, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 st\u0159ely zas\u00e1hnou v\u00fdznamnou \u010d\u00e1st americk\u00e9 a japonsk\u00e9 flotily;\u00a0pokud jde o letectv\u00ed, podle p\u0159edpov\u011bdi p\u0159ijdou st\u00e1ty za m\u011bs\u00edc nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed a\u017e o 900 bojov\u00fdch vozidel &#8211; tedy polovinu v\u0161ech sv\u00fdch letadel, i kdy\u017e spojenci budou moci b\u011bhem proti\u00fatok\u016f potopit asi 150 lod\u00ed PLA .<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8222;D\u016fvod vysok\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti, \u017ee st\u00e1ty nebudou schopny zah\u00e1jit masivn\u00ed \u00fader na s\u00edly \u010cLR, dokud se nep\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed k nep\u0159\u00edteli<\/em>\u00a0,&#8220; \u0159ekl Mark Kanchian, hlavn\u00ed poradce Centra. pro strategick\u00e1 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed studia, v rozhovoru pro Times.\u00a0\u010cl\u00e1nek zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed analytici nebrali v \u00favahu pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v potenci\u00e1ln\u00edm konfliktu, na rozd\u00edl od n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch expert\u016f: nap\u0159\u00edklad plukovn\u00edk PLA ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b Yue Gang \u0159ekl South China Morning Post, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna jako odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edek pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Japonsko, mohou pou\u017e\u00edvat jadern\u00e9 bomby.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0159ekl, \u017ee \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 velen\u00ed by v prvn\u00ed f\u00e1zi rad\u011bji preferovalo n\u00e1hl\u00fd a rychl\u00fd \u00fatok, vyu\u017eilo efektu p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed a ne strategii blok\u00e1dy ostrova, jak se nacvi\u010dovalo p\u0159i ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00edch.\u00a0Ale v budoucnu mus\u00ed b\u00fdt ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly \u010cLR p\u0159ipraveny zablokovat Tchaj-wan, aby zabr\u00e1nily spojenc\u016fm p\u0159ij\u00edt na pomoc. Tchaj-wan v reakci na akce \u010cLR provedl dal\u0161\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed ostr\u00e9 palby, zat\u00edmco Peking mezit\u00edm varoval jin\u00e9 zem\u011b proti napodobov\u00e1n\u00ed Pelosiov\u00e9, proto\u017ee \u201e\u00a0<em>to je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed, podkope to politick\u00fd z\u00e1klad pro anga\u017em\u00e1 s \u010c\u00ednou<\/em>\u00a0,\u201c \u0159ekl \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Wang Yi, citovan\u00fd Times.<\/p>\n<p>Anal\u00fdza krizov\u00e9 situace byla podle publikace provedena i v Pentagonu, ale zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed nebyla zve\u0159ejn\u011bna;\u00a0nav\u00edc v roce 2016 Rand Corporation p\u0159edpov\u00eddala\u00a0<em>\u201eextr\u00e9mn\u011b hmatateln\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty\u201c<\/em>\u00a0stran potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu , ale hodnocen\u00ed schopnost\u00ed PLA se za \u0161est let zm\u011bnilo: \u010c\u00edna dos\u00e1hla v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho technick\u00e9ho pokroku a vytvo\u0159ila arzen\u00e1l balistick\u00fdch raket &#8211; je to sou\u010d\u00e1st taktiky odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fadern\u00fdch skupin americk\u00fdch letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed a zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed jejich vstupu do oblasti Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky.\u00a0B\u011bhem posledn\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00ed PLA se americk\u00e1 7. flotila k Tchajwansk\u00e9mu pr\u016flivu nep\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eila, nicm\u00e9n\u011b podle \u201esc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e\u201c think tanku st\u00e1ty zas\u00e1hnou v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b\u00a0<em>\u201e\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 agrese\u201c<\/em>\u00a0.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eV t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ka\u017ed\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i v\u00e1lky mohou USA, Japonsko a Tchaj-wan zabr\u00e1nit obsazen\u00ed ostrova \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi jednotkami.\u00a0Zaplat\u00ed za to v\u0161ak velmi vysokou cenu&#8230; Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm bude kv\u016fli n\u00edzk\u00e9 produk\u010dn\u00ed rychlosti trvat roky, ne\u017e se vzpamatuj\u00ed.\u00a0Ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b, jako Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n, mohou vyu\u017e\u00edt slabosti Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f<\/em>\u00a0,\u201c citoval Times Marka Kanchiana.<\/p>\n<p>\u010cl\u00e1nek uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee anal\u00fdza neposkytuje odhad po\u010dtu ob\u011bt\u00ed ani ekonomick\u00fdch \u0161kod na Tchaj-wanu a \u010c\u00edn\u011b, nicm\u00e9n\u011b v z\u00e1v\u011bru auto\u0159i zva\u017euj\u00ed mo\u017enosti v\u00fdvoje ud\u00e1lost\u00ed bez \u00fa\u010dasti Japonska a zohledn\u011bn\u00ed zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed na \u010d\u00e1st Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f: v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b nesouc\u00ed slu\u017ebu v regionu, jako\u017e i na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladny na Guamu a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b na Okinaw\u011b a Kadenu.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u00a0<em>Velen\u00ed bude pozorn\u011b sledovat m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed se situaci v pr\u016flivu, pokra\u010dovat ve cvi\u010den\u00edch a p\u0159\u00edprav\u00e1ch na bojov\u00e9 operace, pravideln\u011b hl\u00eddkovat v Tchajwansk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu a rozhodn\u011b br\u00e1nit<\/em> n\u00e1rodn\u00ed suverenitu a \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvost [\u010c\u00edny],&#8220; \u0159ekl Shi Yi, mluv\u010d\u00ed V\u00fdchodn\u00edho divadla CHKO. Velen\u00ed, \u0159ekl Times.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"span-copy\"><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span id=\"span-copy\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty podle sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e otev\u0159en\u00e9ho konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou utrp\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty a bude trvat roky,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,220,333,37,2369],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13530"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13530\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}