{"id":13106,"date":"2022-08-04T01:02:21","date_gmt":"2022-08-03T23:02:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=13106"},"modified":"2022-08-03T12:03:33","modified_gmt":"2022-08-03T10:03:33","slug":"rusko-a-ukrajina-tri-nejdesivejsi-prohlaseni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/08\/04\/rusko-a-ukrajina-tri-nejdesivejsi-prohlaseni\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusko a Ukrajina: T\u0159i nejd\u011bsiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rusko pokra\u010duje ve v\u00e1lce proti Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0USA a jejich spojenci pokra\u010duj\u00ed v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch zbran\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0V\u00e1lka pokra\u010duje a Ukrajinci nad\u00e1le trp\u00ed a um\u00edraj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Posledn\u00edch p\u00e1r dn\u00ed p\u0159ineslo m\u00e1lo nad\u011bje, ale hodn\u011b strachu.\u00a0P\u0159inesli tak\u00e9 t\u0159i dosud nejd\u011bsiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Jsou d\u011bsiv\u00ed, proto\u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd z nich hroz\u00ed eskalac\u00ed nebo prodlou\u017een\u00edm v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj v rozhovoru z 22. \u010dervence odm\u00edtl jak\u00e9koli p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by Rusku umo\u017enilo ponechat si Krym a \u00fazem\u00ed z\u00edskan\u00e1 od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky. Proto\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd rusk\u00fd v\u016fdce Krym nevr\u00e1t\u00ed, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tato formulace ukon\u010d\u00ed jakoukoli nad\u011bji na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v t\u00e9to v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Zmrazen\u00ed konfliktu s Ruskou federac\u00ed znamen\u00e1 pauzu, kter\u00e1 d\u00e1 Rusk\u00e9 federaci oddech,“ \u0159ekl Zelenskyj.\u00a0“ Nevyu\u017eij\u00ed tuto pauzu ke zm\u011bn\u011b sv\u00e9 geopolitiky nebo ke z\u0159eknut\u00ed se sv\u00fdch n\u00e1rok\u016f na b\u00fdval\u00e9 sov\u011btsk\u00e9 republiky.“ Zelenskyj \u0159ekl, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed umo\u017en\u00ed Rusku spolknout Krym a Donbas a „pak si odpo\u010dine a zabere dal\u0161\u00ed dva regiony za dva nebo t\u0159i roky.“ Tedy znovu \u0159ekn\u011bte: zastavte konflikt, ale p\u016fjde to d\u00e1l a d\u00e1l na 100 procent.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ta nad\u011bje na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed riskuje prodlou\u017een\u00ed v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Mohlo by to tak\u00e9 v\u00e9st k eskalaci.\u00a0V Covert Regime Change: America’s Secret Cold War Lindsey O’Rourke tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u201echronick\u00e1 divergence politick\u00fdch preferenc\u00ed\u201c nut\u00ed zem\u011b k p\u0159evrat\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e se zem\u011b pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s \u0159e\u0161iteln\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my, \u010dasto se uchyluj\u00ed k diplomacii nebo n\u00e1tlaku.\u00a0Jednor\u00e1zov\u00e9 probl\u00e9my mohou dokonce v\u00e9st k v\u00e1lce.\u00a0Pokud je v\u0161ak probl\u00e9m chronick\u00fd a p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt odstran\u011bna z\u00e1kladn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dina probl\u00e9mu, proto\u017ee se probl\u00e9m jev\u00ed jako ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00fd.\u00a0To m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159im\u011bt zem\u011b, aby uva\u017eovaly o p\u0159evratech.\u00a0Mohlo by to tak\u00e9 v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee zem\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed sv\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 c\u00edle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, je d\u011bsiv\u00e9, proto\u017ee pokud v\u00e1lku nelze ukon\u010dit p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm nebo pokud nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, ani\u017e by se Rusko vzdalo p\u016fdy, se kterou nem\u016f\u017ee souhlasit, pak se zvy\u0161uje riziko, \u017ee se Rusko pokus\u00ed ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm jeho c\u00edle \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm st\u00e1tn\u00edho p\u0159evratu nebo \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho dobyt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V \u010dervnu USA ozn\u00e1mily dod\u00e1vku raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f HIMARS (High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems) na Ukrajinu.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed z\u00e1rove\u0148 ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee dod\u00e1 Ukrajin\u011b odpalovac\u00ed syst\u00e9my v\u00edcen\u00e1sobn\u00fdch raket M270.\u00a0Tyto raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my mohou odpalovat rakety na vzd\u00e1lenost 50 mil, d\u00edky \u010demu\u017e jsou schopny zas\u00e1hnout uvnit\u0159 Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee mezi c\u00edle Ruska pat\u0159\u00ed udr\u017eet Ukrajinu mimo NATO a zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby se Ukrajina stala z\u00e1kladnou pro zbran\u011b NATO v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti rusk\u00fdch hranic, Rusko varovalo, \u017ee zbran\u011b, kter\u00e9 se mohou dostat k Rusku na v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vzd\u00e1lenost, by znamenalo, \u017ee Rusko bude muset posouvat hranici d\u00e1le do oblasti, ve kter\u00e9 by mohly b\u00fdt um\u00edst\u011bny. „\u010c\u00edm del\u0161\u00ed bude dost\u0159el zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 dod\u00e1v\u00e1te,“ \u0159ekl rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov, „t\u00edm d\u00e1le se posune hranice, odkud by [Ukrajina] mohla ohrozit Ruskou federaci.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed zbran\u011b jen tak neposlaly, co\u017e vedlo Lavrova k prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee \u201egeografick\u00e9 \u00fakoly speci\u00e1ln\u00edch operac\u00ed rusk\u00fdch jednotek se zm\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0.\u00a0.\u00a0.\u00a0U\u017e to nen\u00ed jen o DLR a LPR [Don\u011bck\u00e9 a Luhansk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky], ale tak\u00e9 o Chersonsk\u00e9 a Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 oblasti a \u0159ad\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch oblast\u00ed,\u201c a sl\u00edbili, \u017ee po\u0161lou dal\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0The New York Times informovaly 20. \u010dervence: \u201eAmeri\u010dt\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ve st\u0159edu uvedli, \u017ee pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed poslat dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i v\u00edcen\u00e1sobn\u00e9 raketomety M142 HIMARS, stejn\u011b jako v\u00edce \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el, kter\u00e9 vyst\u0159el\u00ed, a v\u00edce \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice.\u201c Spolu s \u0161estn\u00e1cti HIMARS, kter\u00e9 USA ji\u017e dodal, celkov\u00e1 dod\u00e1vka na Ukrajinu by tak \u010dinila dvacet raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

27. \u010dervence ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 uvedli, \u017ee kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd most, kter\u00fd musel b\u00fdt uzav\u0159en pot\u00e9, co byl po\u0161kozen ukrajinskou palbou, byl c\u00edlem \u201epalby z vysoce mobiln\u00edch raketov\u00fdch d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f (HIMARS) dodan\u00fdch USA\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Slib vysl\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f dlouh\u00e9ho doletu na Ukrajinu je d\u011bsiv\u00fd, proto\u017ee riskuje eskalaci v\u00e1lky zatla\u010den\u00edm rusk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f d\u00e1le na z\u00e1pad Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krym je legitimn\u00ed c\u00edl<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e Ukrajina zjevn\u011b ujistila USA, \u017ee nepou\u017eije rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu k \u00fatoku na rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, tak\u00e9 z\u0159ejm\u011b \u0159ekly, \u017ee by mohly b\u00fdt pou\u017eity k \u00fatoku na Krym.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m je, \u017ee pro drtivou v\u011bt\u0161inu Krym\u010dan\u016f a Rus\u016f je Krym rusk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm.\u00a0Pro Putina \u2013 nebo kter\u00e9hokoli jin\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce \u2013 se rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00fdch raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu na Krymu rovn\u00e1 rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00fdch raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu na rusk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed.\u00a0Podle b\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta a sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho m\u00edstop\u0159edsedy rusk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady Dmitrije Medved\u011bva by to znamenalo, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed „bude velmi rychle a tvrd\u011b konfrontov\u00e1no s Posledn\u00edm soudem“.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee Krym je legitimn\u00edm c\u00edlem pro zbran\u011b dodan\u00e9 USA, je d\u011bsiv\u00e9, proto\u017ee by mohlo p\u0159ekro\u010dit ruskou \u010dervenou \u010d\u00e1ru pro zapojen\u00ed USA do v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Rusko by mohlo roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 a v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 c\u00edle, pokud bude m\u00edt pocit, \u017ee zapojen\u00ed USA je tak intenzivn\u00ed, \u017ee hroz\u00ed zni\u010den\u00edm Ruska nebo ztr\u00e1tou z\u00edskan\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na \u00fatoky na Krym pomoc\u00ed raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu dodan\u00fdch USA by se Rusko mohlo d\u00edvat tak\u00e9.\u00a0Dalo by se to vn\u00edmat jako ztr\u00e1tu \u00fazem\u00ed, o kter\u00e9 nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd rusk\u00fd v\u016fdce.\u00a0A proto\u017ee Rusko vid\u00ed Krym jako Rusko, ztr\u00e1ta Krymu by mohla b\u00fdt pova\u017eov\u00e1na za zni\u010den\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu.\u00a0Tak\u017ee prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee Krym je legitimn\u00ed c\u00edl, riskuje, \u017ee Rusko eskaluje v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato t\u0159i ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u2013 odm\u00edtnut\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed v\u00edce raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f dlouh\u00e9ho doletu a prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee Krym je legitimn\u00edm c\u00edlem \u2013 jsou zat\u00edm t\u0159i z nejd\u011bsiv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, proto\u017ee v\u0161echna riskuj\u00ed prodlou\u017een\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 mus\u00ed skon\u010dit nebo se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusko pokra\u010duje ve v\u00e1lce proti Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0USA a jejich spojenci pokra\u010duj\u00ed v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch zbran\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0V\u00e1lka pokra\u010duje…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11752,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[22,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13106"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13106"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13106\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11752"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}