{"id":12410,"date":"2022-07-15T01:01:05","date_gmt":"2022-07-14T23:01:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=12410"},"modified":"2022-07-14T16:09:28","modified_gmt":"2022-07-14T14:09:28","slug":"rusko-formuluje-budoucnost-globalniho-financniho-systemu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/07\/15\/rusko-formuluje-budoucnost-globalniho-financniho-systemu\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusko formuluje budoucnost glob\u00e1ln\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed si je v\u011bdomo tektonick\u00fdch zm\u011bn ve sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u0159\u00e1du a ji\u017e definuje jeho nov\u00e9 obrysy<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Zm\u011bna sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du se neobejde bez zm\u011bny finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu a pro Rusko nastal \u010das formulovat jeho nov\u00e9 obrysy. P\u0159edseda p\u0159edstavenstva Gazpromu Alexej Miller pronesl 16. \u010dervna b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho vystoupen\u00ed na Petrohradsk\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru \u0159adu p\u0159elomov\u00fdch v\u00fdrok\u016f, kter\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia nikoli n\u00e1hodou ignorovala.<\/p>\n

\u201eJsme sv\u011bdky rozpadu dvou syst\u00e9m\u016f, na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b syst\u00e9mu komoditn\u00edch trh\u016f, syst\u00e9mu zdroj\u016f, a na stran\u011b druh\u00e9 \u2013 nazv\u011bme to z\u00e1kladem, b\u00e1z\u00ed \u2013 syst\u00e9mu centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank, syst\u00e9mu rezerv,<\/em>\u201c uvedl Miller.<\/p>\n

Miller p\u0159ipomn\u011bl, \u017ee centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky reguluj\u00ed nomin\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnotu pen\u011bz prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb a sm\u011bnn\u00fdch kurz\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e \u0159\u00edd\u00ed a kontroluj\u00ed popt\u00e1vku. Nemaj\u00ed v\u0161ak kontrolu nad dod\u00e1vkami surovin a nad objemem t\u011bchto dod\u00e1vek.<\/p>\n

\u201eJsme sv\u011bdky toho, \u017ee dominance dolaru miz\u00ed, objevuje se vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed v n\u00e1rodn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch, a tak doch\u00e1z\u00ed ke zm\u011bn\u011b paradigmatu. Klasick\u00e9 sch\u00e9ma pen\u00edze \u2013 zbo\u017e\u00ed \u2013 pen\u00edze, co\u017e je brettonwoodsk\u00e9 paradigma, nyn\u00ed p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed na opa\u010dn\u00fd vzorec: zbo\u017e\u00ed \u2013 pen\u00edze \u2013 zbo\u017e\u00ed: nejprve prod\u00e1me plyn, a pak ho vyt\u011b\u017e\u00edme. Na\u0161e zbo\u017e\u00ed \u2013 na\u0161e pravidla. Nehrajeme tedy ji\u017e hry, jejich\u017e pravidla vymyslel n\u011bkdo jin\u00fd. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed lid\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed: \u201eZ\u00e1kon, to je Atlanta,\u201c a jin\u00ed zase: \u201eZ\u00e1kon, to je Tajga,\u201c<\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekl Miller.<\/p>\n

Konec dominance dolaru<\/h2>\n

Sv\u011bt se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch \u201edokonal\u00e9 bou\u0159e\u201c. Krize existuje nejen ve finan\u010dn\u00ed sf\u00e9\u0159e, v d\u016fsledku nekontrolovateln\u00e9 inflace dolaru, ale existuje tak\u00e9 energetick\u00e1 krize, potravinov\u00e1 krize a krize veden\u00ed ve sv\u011bt\u011b. Za t\u011bchto podm\u00ednek ztr\u00e1c\u00ed\u00a0ve\u0161kerou adekv\u00e1tnost\u00a0brettonwoodsk\u00fd m\u011bnov\u00fd syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd zajistil dolaru roli sv\u011btov\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny, stejn\u011b jako n\u00e1sledn\u00e1 jamajsk\u00e1 konference, kter\u00e1 zajistila odd\u011blen\u00ed dolaru od zlata.<\/p>\n

Re\u00e1ln\u00e1 hodnota pen\u011bz a zejm\u00e9na dolaru, kter\u00fd nen\u00ed kryt\u00fd fyzick\u00fdmi aktivy, se rozmaz\u00e1v\u00e1 a rovn\u011b\u017e obecn\u011b uzn\u00e1van\u00e9 ocen\u011bn\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edch m\u011bnov\u00fdch rezerv ve zlat\u011b m\u00e1 velmi podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd v\u00fdznam. Kolik zlata se skute\u010dn\u011b nach\u00e1z\u00ed v americk\u00e9m Fort-Knoxu, to nen\u00ed v\u016fbec jist\u00e9. Hodnota dolaru se od roku 1971 dr\u017e\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b v\u0161eobecn\u00e9 konvence podporovan\u00e9 silou \u00fadern\u00fdch sil americk\u00fdch letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Miller uvedl dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad: \u201eNelze popsat stav energetick\u00e9ho nebo ekonomick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu bez znalosti pravidel konkr\u00e9tn\u00edho komoditn\u00edho trhu nebo bez znalosti objemu nab\u00eddky na tomto trhu. A v t\u00e9to situaci se ukazuje, \u017ee institut brettonwoodsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed instituce nefunguj\u00ed a ti\u0161e odum\u00edraj\u00ed.<\/em>\u201c<\/p>\n

\u201eBrettonwoodsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m regulace nomin\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnoty, bez mo\u017enosti kontroly nad nab\u00eddkou surovinov\u00fdch komodit, d\u00e1v\u00e1 obrovsk\u00fd infla\u010dn\u00ed impuls.\u201c<\/em>\u00a0\u2013 to se nyn\u00ed dokonale odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v prudce rostouc\u00edch cen\u00e1ch ropy a plynu.<\/p>\n

Podle \u0161\u00e9fa Gazpromu za t\u011bchto podm\u00ednek popt\u00e1vka po surovin\u00e1ch nahrad\u00ed popt\u00e1vku po devizov\u00fdch rezerv\u00e1ch, co\u017e je velmi z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fd tektonick\u00fd posun. \u201eObrysy nov\u00e9ho typu socioekonomick\u00e9 struktury budou tud\u00ed\u017e do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry ur\u010deny Ruskou federac\u00ed, o tom nen\u00ed pochyb,\u201c<\/em>\u00a0shrnul Miller.<\/p>\n

P\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 zm\u011bny<\/h2>\n

V\u0161echna tato prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u0161\u00e9fa Gazpromu by mohla b\u00fdt odm\u00edtnuta a ignorov\u00e1na, jako se to stalo na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, kdyby Miller\u016fv z\u00e1v\u011br n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den ve sv\u00e9m projevu v podstat\u011b nezopakoval Vladim\u00edr Putin. Ten zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b doch\u00e1z\u00ed ke skute\u010dn\u011b revolu\u010dn\u00edm, tektonick\u00fdm zm\u011bn\u00e1m v geopolitice, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomice, technologick\u00e9 sf\u00e9\u0159e a cel\u00e9m syst\u00e9mu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f.<\/p>\n

\u201eZd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed elity n\u011bkter\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed d\u00e1l \u017eij\u00ed v iluz\u00edch. Necht\u011bj\u00ed vid\u011bt zjevn\u00e9 v\u011bci a tvrdo\u0161\u00edjn\u011b lp\u00ed na st\u00ednech minulosti. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee dominance Z\u00e1padu v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politice a ekonomice je st\u00e1lou a v\u011b\u010dnou hodnotou. Jen\u017ee nic netrv\u00e1 v\u011b\u010dn\u011b,<\/em>\u201c \u0159ekl Putin.<\/p>\n

S odkazem na obrovsk\u00e9 tempo \u201eti\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pen\u011bz\u201c z\u00e1padn\u00edmi st\u00e1ty a zes\u00edlenou inflaci, kter\u00e1 po\u017e\u00edr\u00e1 m\u011bnov\u00e9 a zlat\u00e9 rezervy, Putin \u0159ekl:<\/p>\n

\u201ePodle odborn\u00edk\u016f ji\u017e v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch letech za\u010dne proces p\u0159em\u011bny sv\u011btov\u00fdch rezerv \u2013 p\u0159i takov\u00fdch deficitech prost\u011b nen\u00ed kam ustoupit \u2013 z m\u011bn, kter\u00e9 ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed hodnotu, na re\u00e1ln\u00e9 zdroje, co\u017e samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ud\u011blaj\u00ed jin\u00e9 ne\u017e z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad na potraviny, energie, nebo jin\u00e9 suroviny. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee tento proces bude d\u00e1le akcelerovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dolarovou inflaci.<\/em>\u201c<\/p>\n

Tuto logiku tedy zjevn\u011b sd\u00edl\u00ed i politick\u00e9 veden\u00ed Ruska. Leckdo by mohli \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee slova jsou jedna v\u011bc a re\u00e1ln\u00e9 d\u011bn\u00ed druh\u00e1. To v\u0161ak znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nevid\u00ed, co se ji\u017e ve skute\u010dnosti d\u011bje.<\/p>\n

Rubl kryt\u00fd zemn\u00edm plynem<\/h2>\n

Rusk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da p\u0159ijala rozhodnut\u00ed a Gazprom nyn\u00ed prod\u00e1v\u00e1 plyn za rubly. Ano, je to do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry d\u016fsledek chybn\u00e9 \u201ezelen\u00e9 agendy\u201c Z\u00e1padu a jeho nepromy\u0161len\u00e9 sank\u010dn\u00ed politiky. V\u0161echny transakce prob\u00edhaj\u00ed v rusk\u00e9 jurisdikci, ale samotn\u00fd fakt, \u017ee rubl je ji\u017e form\u00e1ln\u011b kryt rusk\u00fdm plynem, jej vylu\u010duje z brettonwoodsk\u00e9ho paradigmatu.<\/p>\n

V situaci prudk\u00e9 dolarov\u00e9 inflace se bude mnoho zem\u00ed zaj\u00edmat o to, \u010d\u00edm je jejich m\u011bna kryta a jak m\u016f\u017ee odolat hrozb\u011b hyperinflace.<\/p>\n

Rusko tak ji\u017e zpochybnilo cel\u00fd brettonwoodsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m a sch\u00e9ma \u201eplyn za ruble\u201c umo\u017enilo udr\u017eet hodnotu dom\u00e1c\u00ed m\u011bny, a dokonce ji v\u016f\u010di dolaru upevnit, by\u0165 v\u00fdznamnou roli v t\u00e9to v\u011bci sehr\u00e1l klesaj\u00edc\u00ed dovoz.<\/p>\n

Pokud v\u0161ak ustoup\u00edme a vr\u00e1t\u00edme se ke star\u00e9mu paradigmatu, rusk\u00e1 ekonomika bude podlomena. Mo\u017en\u00e1 ne hned, ale \u201ed\u017eentlmeni, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed pravidla\u201c, d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji ur\u010dit\u011b provedou zm\u011bny ve sv\u016fj prosp\u011bch a 200 rubl\u016f za dolar, kter\u00e9 vyhl\u00e1sil pon\u011bkud dementn\u011b Joe Biden, by se mohlo st\u00e1t skute\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Doufejme tedy, \u017ee ti, kdo by se cht\u011bli vr\u00e1tit do star\u00fdch \u010das\u016f, sly\u0161eli prezidentova slova: \u201eJe omyl myslet si, \u017ee dobu bou\u0159liv\u00fdch zm\u011bn lze tak\u0159\u00edkaj\u00edc \u201evysed\u011bt\u201c, \u017ee se v\u0161e \u010dasem vr\u00e1t\u00ed do norm\u00e1lu a v\u0161e bude jako d\u0159\u00edv. Nebude.<\/em>\u201c<\/p>\n

Kurz pro zdrav\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bny<\/h2>\n

V\u00fdznam t\u011bchto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed lze jen t\u011b\u017eko docenit. V\u017edy\u0165 Rusko jako prvn\u00ed formuluje koncepci budouc\u00edho glob\u00e1ln\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu, v n\u011bm\u017e bude role obvykl\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch instituc\u00ed omezena na \u00farove\u0148 pouh\u00fdch zprost\u0159edkovatel\u016f.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm nev\u00edme, jak bude nov\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m vypadat ve skute\u010dnosti, jak\u00e9 m\u00edsto v n\u011bm zaujmou swapy, barter a region\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bny. Rusk\u00fd prezident ji\u017e ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee se uva\u017euje o zaveden\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny zalo\u017een\u00e9 na m\u011bnov\u00e9m ko\u0161i zem\u00ed BRICS (Braz\u00edlie, Rusko, Indie, \u010c\u00edna a Jihoafrick\u00e1 republika), a vyzval ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b BRICS, aby se p\u0159ipojily k\u00a0Syst\u00e9mu vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edch pohled\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky jako alternativ\u011b k syst\u00e9mu SWIFT.<\/p>\n

Rusko tedy neusiluje o zm\u011bnu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu samo; k tomuto procesu mohou p\u0159isp\u011bt i zainteresovan\u00e9 strany v podob\u011b st\u00e1t\u016f BRICS a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nejsou zat\u00ed\u017eeny obrovsk\u00fdm dluhov\u00fdm b\u0159emenem.<\/p>\n

Ke zhroucen\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nedojde ze dne na den; p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho aktiv je denominov\u00e1no v dolarech a nikdo nebude cht\u00edt ztratit jejich hodnotu. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b s vyhl\u00eddkou na zhroucen\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu v d\u016fsledku sankc\u00ed a protekcionismu bude ot\u00e1zka region\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u011bn st\u00e1le nal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Rusko nyn\u00ed nastoluje v\u0161echny tyto ot\u00e1zky, d\u00e1v\u00e1 jistotu, \u017ee se tato zem\u011b bude pod\u00edlet na obrysech vyno\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edho se sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du.<\/p>\n

OLEG LADOGIN<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed si je v\u011bdomo tektonick\u00fdch zm\u011bn ve sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u0159\u00e1du a ji\u017e definuje jeho nov\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11353,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1324,22,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12410"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12410"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12410\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11353"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12410"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12410"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12410"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}