{"id":12393,"date":"2022-07-14T01:12:06","date_gmt":"2022-07-13T23:12:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=12393"},"modified":"2022-07-13T19:07:49","modified_gmt":"2022-07-13T17:07:49","slug":"p-c-roberts-o-ukrajine-znovu-a-aktualne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/07\/14\/p-c-roberts-o-ukrajine-znovu-a-aktualne\/","title":{"rendered":"P.C.Roberts: O Ukrajin\u011b znovu a aktu\u00e1ln\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>P\u016fvodn\u00edm \u00famyslem Kremlu bylo intervenovat jen v Donbasu. C\u00edlem bylo vyhnat ukrajinsk\u00e9 a neonacistick\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly z t\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti \u00fazem\u00ed dvou nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch republik, kter\u00e9 tyto nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 s\u00edly bu\u010f u\u017e okupovaly, nebo si je na okupaci p\u0159ipravovaly nemilosrdnou d\u011blost\u0159eleckou palbou. Kdyby Rusko intervenovalo o osm let d\u0159\u00edve, mohla b\u00fdt intervence omezen\u00e1 a rychle p\u0159ivedena ke sv\u00e9mu konci. Av\u0161ak Kreml, ovl\u00e1d\u00e1n v\u00e1havost\u00ed a fale\u0161n\u00fdmi nad\u011bjemi v Minsk\u00e9 dohody, \u010dekal a\u017e Washington z ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u010dernozem\u011b vydupe, vyzbroj\u00ed a vycvi\u010d\u00ed ukrajinskou arm\u00e1du.<\/p>\n<p>To, co Kreml tehdy pot\u0159eboval, byla rychle proveden\u00e1 operace, kter\u00e1 by Z\u00e1padu neposkytla \u010das vstoupit do konfliktu, tento konflikt roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it a sou\u010dasn\u011b s n\u00edm v\u00e9st proti Rusku masivn\u00ed propaga\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku, jak se dnes d\u011bje. A hlavn\u011b: Z\u00e1pad by byl ochuzen o nad\u011bji, \u017ee del\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lkou vy\u010derp\u00e1 lidsk\u00e9 i materi\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edly Ruska.<\/p>\n<p>Roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed v\u00e1lky poskytlo Ukrajin\u011b\u00a0 zbran\u011b, vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdcvik a pl\u00e1ny na novou milionovou arm\u00e1du, vybavenou nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi z\u00e1padn\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 k Ukrajin\u011b znovu p\u0159ipojit jak Donbas, tak Krym.<\/p>\n<p>Nab\u00edz\u00ed se ot\u00e1zka, zda Kreml, up\u00ednaje se na sv\u00e9 fale\u0161n\u00e9 nad\u011bje v jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, d\u00e1 znovu pr\u016fchod sv\u00e9 v\u00e1havosti, \u010d\u00edm\u017e si vytvo\u0159\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed a je\u0161t\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fakoly do budoucna, nebo se kone\u010dn\u011b pou\u010d\u00ed o tom, \u017ee v\u00e1havost se nevypl\u00e1c\u00ed?<\/p>\n<p>Z\u0159ejm\u011b se to dov\u00edme v n\u011bkolika p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dnech, kdy se sejde Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed Rusk\u00e9 federace. Jestli\u017ee zde realizmus z\u00edsk\u00e1 vrch nad rusk\u00fdmi fale\u0161n\u00fdmi nad\u011bjemi na m\u00edr a vz\u00e1jemnou bezpe\u010dnost, m\u00e1 vyhl\u00eddka na por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e p\u0159ed Ruskem vyvstane raketami vyzbrojen\u00e1 milionov\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, dobrou nad\u011bji.<\/p>\n<p>Jestli\u017ee se Rusko rozhodne, \u017ee mu Z\u00e1pad nedal \u017e\u00e1dnou jinou alternativu ne\u017e je z\u00e1bor Ukrajiny, pak a\u017e dosud \u0161et\u0159en\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 infrastruktura, komunika\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9my a vl\u00e1dn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159ady budou zni\u010deny, Stejn\u011b tak, jako jak\u00e9koli s\u00edly NATO, vyslan\u00e9 do oblasti, aby intervenovaly. A je docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee toto se bude t\u00fdkat t\u00e9\u017e infrastruktury a vl\u00e1dn\u00edch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f zem\u00ed intervenuj\u00edc\u00edch.<\/p>\n<p>Jak u\u017e zd\u016fraz\u0148uji roky, je to v\u00e1havost Ruska tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 provokac\u00edm, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1s dovedly k t\u00e9to nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 situaci. Washington myln\u011b interpretuje toleranci Kremlu na ur\u00e1\u017eky a provokace jako strach z konfliktu, a \u010derven\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1ry Ruska pova\u017euje za plan\u00fd humbuk. Vlekl\u00fd konflikt na Donbase zp\u016fsobil, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se v sou\u010dasnosti jev\u00ed Z\u00e1padu jako m\u00e9n\u011b efektivn\u00ed, ne\u017e ve skute\u010dnosti je, kter\u00fd\u017eto sentiment pr\u00e1v\u011b podn\u00edtil ony provoka\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny na raketami vyzbrojenou milionovou ukrajinskou arm\u00e1du, schopnou za\u00fato\u010dit i na rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Nech\u00e1pu, jak Kreml m\u016f\u017ee \u010dekat na podobn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, ani\u017e by do akce zas\u00e1hl, ale n\u00e1kladn\u00e1 v\u00e1havost u\u017e jaksi k praxi Kremlu za\u010dala pat\u0159it.<\/p>\n<p>Jeliko\u017e Kreml vyzn\u00e1v\u00e1 legalizmus, \u010dili p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e9 ddodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u00e1vn\u00edch norem, na Z\u00e1pad\u011b u\u017e d\u00e1vno opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch, je nepochybn\u00e9, \u017ee Rusko by v\u00e1lku je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed jej\u00edm zah\u00e1jen\u00edm vyhl\u00e1silo, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se zbavilo velev\u00fdhodn\u00e9ho momentu p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Putin prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm d\u00e9le bude konflikt p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat, ne\u017e bude dle rusk\u00fdch po\u017eadavk\u016f vy\u0159e\u0161en, t\u00edm striktn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tyto po\u017eadavky budou. K \u010demu\u017e j\u00e1 dod\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm d\u00e9le bude konflikt p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat, ne\u017e Rusko pou\u017eije pot\u0159ebnou s\u00edlu k jeho ukon\u010den\u00ed, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed tato pot\u0159ebn\u00e1 s\u00edla bude muset b\u00fdt. A jestli\u017ee Rusko o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 milionovou ukrajinskou arm\u00e1du raketami dlouh\u00e9ho doletu vybavenou, t\u00edm pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee ty rakety ponesou nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed n\u00e1pl\u0148.<\/p>\n<p><em>P\u0159eklad: Lubom\u00edr Man<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u016fvodn\u00edm \u00famyslem Kremlu bylo intervenovat jen v Donbasu. C\u00edlem bylo vyhnat ukrajinsk\u00e9 a neonacistick\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":810,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[29,39,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12393"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12393"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12393\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/810"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}