{"id":120997,"date":"2026-11-12T05:03:39","date_gmt":"2026-11-12T04:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=120997"},"modified":"2026-11-12T05:03:39","modified_gmt":"2026-11-12T04:03:39","slug":"trumpovo-modre-tsunami-izraelska-aliance-v-krizi-po-volbach-v-polovine-volebniho-obdobi-ale-latinska-amerika-je-stale-tercem-kritiky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/11\/12\/trumpovo-modre-tsunami-izraelska-aliance-v-krizi-po-volbach-v-polovine-volebniho-obdobi-ale-latinska-amerika-je-stale-tercem-kritiky\/","title":{"rendered":"Trumpovo \u201emodr\u00e9 tsunami\u201c: Izraelsk\u00e1 aliance v krizi po volb\u00e1ch v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed, ale Latinsk\u00e1 Amerika je st\u00e1le ter\u010dem kritiky"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Trump \u010del\u00ed po volb\u00e1ch v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed rostouc\u00edmu dom\u00e1c\u00edmu odporu kv\u016fli Izraeli a v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Navzdory tlaku Kongresu by v\u0161ak sankce, cla a strategick\u00e1 rivalita jeho administrativy s BRICS mohly udr\u017eet Latinskou Ameriku pod tlakem USA.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 volby zasadily t\u011b\u017ekou r\u00e1nu americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi Donaldu Trumpovi a jeho hnut\u00ed MAGA (\u201eMake America Great Again\u201c).<\/span><\/p>\n

Demokrat\u00e9 v Kongresu z\u00edskali na s\u00edle a odborn\u00edci nyn\u00ed spekuluj\u00ed o tom, zda se zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika Washingtonu po zbytek Trumpova funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b zm\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed pozorovatel\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed omezen\u00ed pro Latinskou Ameriku. Anal\u00fdzy <\/span>AS\/COA<\/span><\/a> a <\/span>Americas Quarterly<\/span><\/a> nap\u0159\u00edklad tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tento ne\u00fasp\u011bch komplikuje agendu ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Marca Rubia v regionu \u2013 a mohl by v\u00e9st k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu dohledu Kongresu.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto Rubio s\u00e1m <\/span>v rozhovorech<\/span><\/a> se spojenci G7 ve Francii <\/span>jasn\u011b uvedl<\/span><\/a> , \u017ee Trumpova zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika se po prohr\u00e1ch republik\u00e1n\u016f nezm\u011bn\u00ed. Lee Schlenker z Quincyho institutu k tomu <\/span>poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/a> , \u017ee prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bji zabr\u00e1n\u00ed jak\u00fdmkoli dramatick\u00fdm krok\u016fm proti Kub\u011b ne\u017e pokusy demokrat\u016f o zru\u0161en\u00ed stavu nouze, kter\u00fd nyn\u00ed ospravedl\u0148uje ropnou blok\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

I s mo\u017en\u00fdmi omezen\u00edmi pro Kubu bude nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd \u201eneomonroismus\u201c, jak ho <\/span>popisuji<\/span><\/a> , i nad\u00e1le postupovat po cel\u00e9 Latinsk\u00e9 Americe. N\u00e1tlakov\u00e9 kampan\u011b proti <\/span>Braz\u00edlii<\/span><\/a> a dal\u0161\u00edm st\u00e1t\u016fm maj\u00ed z\u016fstat \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem p\u0159\u00edstupu administrativy. Jeho zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd vzestup ji\u017e vyvolal ostr\u00e9 reakce, v\u010detn\u011b cel, kter\u00e9 ohro\u017euj\u00ed jeho roli potravinov\u00e9 <\/span>velmoci<\/span><\/a> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington nyn\u00ed <\/span>zach\u00e1z\u00ed<\/span><\/a> s touto polokoul\u00ed (v\u010detn\u011b <\/span>Kanady<\/span><\/a> ) jako se strategick\u00fdm \u201ezadn\u00edm dvorkem\u201c a pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 n\u00e1lepky terorist\u016f, sankce, vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed do soudn\u00edch proces\u016f a hrozby cel, aby se postavil pragmatick\u00fdm nebo \u201enez\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdm\u201c vl\u00e1d\u00e1m. Sout\u011b\u017e velmoc\u00ed, rostouc\u00ed vliv BRICS a energetick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy by m\u011bly tuto politiku i nad\u00e1le podporovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc, pokud se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty maj\u00ed \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b st\u00e1hnout ze vzd\u00e1len\u00fdch oblast\u00ed, m\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli strategick\u00fd smysl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samotn\u00fd Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod zase p\u0159edstavuje zcela jin\u00fd obraz. Americk\u00e1 politika v tomto regionu dlouhodob\u011b siln\u011b podporuje Izrael, m\u00edrn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, p\u0159esto nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00ed bezprecedentn\u00ed kontrole v kontextu roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edch se konflikt\u016f a prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed kampan\u011b v Gaze, kterou Rada OSN pro lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va klasifikovala jako <\/span>genocidu .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Vnitrost\u00e1tn\u00ed negativn\u00ed reakce po volb\u00e1ch v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed jsou intenzivn\u00ed a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed izolace Izraele se prohloubila. B\u00fdval\u00fd izraelsk\u00fd vyslanec Michael Oren dokonce prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee takzvan\u00fd \u201ezvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vztah\u201c \u201eskon\u010dil\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00e1m americk\u00fd prezident p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee k prohr\u00e1m jeho Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strany p\u0159isp\u011bla \u201e <\/span>velk\u00e1 nechu\u0165<\/span><\/a> \u201c k \u017eidovsk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu, kter\u00e1 byla <\/span>pops\u00e1na<\/span><\/a> jako \u201emodr\u00e1 tsunami\u201c \u2013 odkaz na charakteristickou modrou barvu Demokratick\u00e9 strany a rozsah jej\u00edch volebn\u00edch zisk\u016f. Dokonce i viceprezident J. D. Vance toto hodnocen\u00ed <\/span>zopakoval<\/span><\/a> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia a analytici v tomto duchu <\/span>hovo\u0159\u00ed<\/span><\/a> o skute\u010dn\u00fdch <\/span>obav\u00e1ch<\/span><\/a> o budoucnost aliance. Jean-Marie Gu\u00e9henno popisuje volby v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed jako historick\u00fd <\/span>zlom<\/span><\/a> pro Izrael. Toto zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm. V \u010dervnu 2025 jsem <\/span>tvrdil<\/span><\/a> , \u017ee intervence v \u00edr\u00e1nsko-izraelsk\u00e9m konfliktu by mohla podkopat Trumpovu koalici MAGA t\u00edm, \u017ee by zv\u00fd\u0161ila ceny plynu, inflaci a ot\u0159esy na trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V b\u0159eznu 2026 se rozhodnut\u00ed o eskalaci ji\u017e roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ilo za hranice Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, s glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi ekonomick\u00fdmi n\u00e1klady a eurasijsk\u00fdmi <\/span>d\u016fsledky<\/span><\/a> , kter\u00e9 jasn\u011b podkop\u00e1valy slib \u201ekonec v\u011b\u010dn\u00fdm v\u00e1lk\u00e1m\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, jak <\/span>ji naz\u00fdv\u00e1m<\/span><\/a> , nav\u00edc zvy\u0161uje tlak. Izraelsk\u00e9 akce ovliv\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed k\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00e9 komunity v regionu naru\u0161uj\u00ed m\u011bkkou s\u00edlu mezi katol\u00edky, pravoslavn\u00fdmi a dokonce i n\u011bkter\u00fdmi protestanty, a t\u00edm prohlubuj\u00ed trhliny uvnit\u0159 samotn\u00e9 konzervativn\u00ed n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny MAGA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abychom byli p\u0159esn\u00ed, tento zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vztah pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nezmiz\u00ed p\u0159es noc. St\u00e1le existuje siln\u00e1 <\/span>lobby<\/span><\/a> a hlubok\u00e9 struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed vazby.<\/span><\/p>\n

V <\/span>kontextu<\/span><\/a> ( <\/span>znovu se vyno\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edho<\/span><\/a> ) <\/span>Epsteinova skand\u00e1lu<\/span><\/a> by se nem\u011bla zavrhovat mo\u017enost, \u017ee americk\u00e1 kampa\u0148 v \u00cdr\u00e1nu byla motivov\u00e1na izraelsk\u00fdm tajn\u00fdm tlakem, v\u010detn\u011b vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 jak p\u0159ipustil i politolog John <\/span>Mearsheimer<\/span><\/a> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud bychom tuto hypot\u00e9zu brali v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, p\u0159idalo by to celou vrstvu nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnosti, pokud bychom m\u011bli aplikovat teorii her na osoby s rozhodovac\u00ed pravomoc\u00ed \u2013 ale zat\u00edm se d\u00e1 jen spekulovat. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se politick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na bezpodm\u00edne\u010dnou podporu staly natolik viditeln\u00fdmi, \u017ee kontinuita m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pova\u017eov\u00e1na za samoz\u0159ejmost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump dokonce n\u00e1padn\u011b <\/span>ozn\u00e1mil<\/span><\/a> , \u017ee \u201eomezuje pomoc\u201c Izraeli. Zda tomu tak skute\u010dn\u011b bude a do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry, se teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Neomonroeismus naopak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 siln\u00fd. Kongresov\u00ed demokrat\u00e9 sice mohou po\u017eadovat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dohled, ale strategick\u00e1 logika hemisf\u00e9rick\u00e9ho prim\u00e1tu, energetick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy a konkurence s partnery BRICS budou i nad\u00e1le ovliv\u0148ovat politiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd neomonroeismus v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe z\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159etrv\u00e1 po zbytek Trumpova funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed, skute\u010dn\u00fd potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed posun spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, kde dom\u00e1c\u00ed negativn\u00ed reakce a izolace Izraele zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed star\u00fd konsenzus.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump \u010del\u00ed po volb\u00e1ch v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed rostouc\u00edmu dom\u00e1c\u00edmu odporu kv\u016fli Izraeli a v\u00e1lce…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":120998,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,107,2417,452,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120997"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120997"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120997\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120998"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}