{"id":120858,"date":"2026-11-11T00:17:19","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T23:17:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=120858"},"modified":"2026-11-10T12:21:03","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T11:21:03","slug":"larry-c-johnson-tri-hodiny-v-kremlu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/11\/11\/larry-c-johnson-tri-hodiny-v-kremlu\/","title":{"rendered":"Larry C. Johnson: T\u0159i hodiny v Kremlu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vladimir Putin nev\u011bnuje t\u0159i hodiny sv\u00e9ho \u010dasu lidem, kte\u0159\u00ed nemaj\u00ed co \u0159\u00edct. Ve \u010dtvrtek str\u00e1vil t\u0159i hodiny s Mohsenem Rez\u00e1\u00edm, tajemn\u00edkem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti. O dva dny pozd\u011bji byl izraelsk\u00fd prezident G\u00e1d\u00ed Ajzenkot, nikoli Benjamin Netanjahu, pov\u011b\u0159en sestaven\u00edm nov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Washington str\u00e1vil t\u00fdden debatou o volb\u00e1ch v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed. Moskva, Teher\u00e1n a Jeruzal\u00e9m toho vyu\u017eily k p\u0159eskupen\u00ed figurek na hrac\u00ed desce.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Co Kreml \u0159ekl \u2013 a co ne<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kremelsk\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va o sch\u016fzce byla mistrovsk\u00fdm d\u00edlem ml\u010den\u00ed. Putin p\u0159ijal Rez\u00e1\u00edho 5. listopadu. Oba diskutovali o \u201esou\u010dasn\u00e9m stavu bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch vztah\u016f\u201c v r\u00e1mci Komplexn\u00ed dohody o strategick\u00e9m partnerstv\u00ed a tak\u00e9 o \u201esituaci v oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b jako celku\u201c. Bylo doru\u010deno poselstv\u00ed od nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy. Jeho obsah nebyl zve\u0159ejn\u011bn. To bylo v\u0161e.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kreml nikdy nen\u00ed nijak zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 upov\u00eddan\u00fd, ale stru\u010dnost sama o sob\u011b je sd\u011blen\u00edm. Pokud chce Moskva, aby sv\u011bt v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee n\u011bco sl\u00edbila, \u0159ekne to. Pokud si chce udr\u017eet otev\u0159enou vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed pozici s Washingtonem, pronese t\u0159i v\u011bty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Fotografie mluvila hlasit\u011bji ne\u017e slova. Na rusk\u00e9 stran\u011b stolu sed\u011bl Jurij U\u0161akov, Putin\u016fv nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed poradce pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, a Igor Kos\u0165ukov, \u0161\u00e9f GRU, rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby. Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho diplomata a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho d\u016fstojn\u00edka vojensk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby si neberete na zdvo\u0159ilostn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu. Toto je pracovn\u00ed skupina pro v\u00e1lku a m\u00edr.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana byla podstatn\u011b shov\u00edvav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Podle Kazema D\u017eal\u00e1l\u00edho, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho velvyslance v Moskv\u011b, trvala sch\u016fzka asi t\u0159i hodiny. Rez\u00e1\u00edho zpr\u00e1va od Mojt\u00e1by Chamene\u00edho se t\u00fdkala americk\u00fdch a izraelsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n, sedmi podm\u00ednek Teher\u00e1nu pro znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a jadern\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce. D\u017eal\u00e1l\u00ed se tak\u00e9 zm\u00ednil o dohod\u011b o plynu. V kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu by se rusk\u00fd plyn m\u011bl vym\u011b\u0148ovat p\u0159es \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n. Do dvou a\u017e t\u0159\u00ed let m\u011bl b\u00fdt postaven plynovod s kapacitou 110 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch ro\u010dn\u011b, zpo\u010d\u00e1tku 55 miliard.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Putin ve\u0159ejn\u011b nesl\u00edbil poskytnut\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 pomoci a smlouva z roku 2025 neobsahuje \u017e\u00e1dnou klauzuli o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 obran\u011b. Ale nemusel nic \u0159\u00edkat. \u00cdr\u00e1n vyslal sv\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho p\u0159edstavitele, aby se s Putinem osobn\u011b setkal a nast\u00ednil podm\u00ednky pro ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Moskva si k tomu p\u0159ivedla sv\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e9fa tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. Takhle se p\u0159ipravujete na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, ne na focen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Bibi dostane n\u011bco jako modr\u00fd dopis<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V sobotu prezident Isaac Herzog po\u017e\u00e1dal Gadiho Eisenkota, aby sestavil dal\u0161\u00ed izraelskou vl\u00e1du. V\u00fdsledek byl jasn\u00fd. Eisenkota doporu\u010dilo 67 \u010dlen\u016f Knessetu, v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch z arabsk\u00fdch stran. Netanjahua doporu\u010dilo pouze 46 \u010dlen\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nyn\u00ed p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed ta obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st. Eisenkotova aliance z\u00edskala 27. \u0159\u00edjna 48 k\u0159esel a on s\u00e1m vylou\u010dil koali\u010dn\u00ed vl\u00e1du s arabsk\u00fdmi stranami, kter\u00e9 mu pr\u00e1v\u011b pom\u00e1haly. Zb\u00fdvaj\u00ed mu tedy dv\u011b mo\u017enosti. M\u016f\u017ee k vl\u00e1d\u011b p\u0159iv\u00e9st ultraortodoxn\u00ed strany \u0160as a Sjednocen\u00fd judaismus T\u00f3ry, \u010d\u00edm\u017e dos\u00e1hne p\u0159esn\u011b 61 k\u0159esel. Nebo m\u016f\u017ee vytvo\u0159it men\u0161inovou vl\u00e1du podporovanou arabsk\u00fdmi stranami mimo koalici. M\u00e1 28 dn\u00ed s mo\u017en\u00fdm 14denn\u00edm prodlou\u017een\u00edm. Pokud neusp\u011bje, Izrael sm\u011b\u0159uje k dal\u0161\u00edm volb\u00e1m a Netanjahu z\u016fstane ve funkci v prozat\u00edmn\u00ed funkci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Netanjahu, jak se slu\u0161\u00ed, neode\u0161el potichu. Varoval, \u017ee vl\u00e1da \u201ez\u00e1visl\u00e1 na islamistech\u201c by \u201epodkopala st\u00e1t Izrael zevnit\u0159\u201c. Vyzval tak\u00e9 k vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fadajn\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed do voleb. To je politick\u00fd ekvivalent prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed rozhod\u010d\u00edho za zaujat\u00e9ho po por\u00e1\u017ece 67:46.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Co se zm\u011bn\u00ed, a\u017e Bibi odejde?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Eisenkot nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd holub. Byl n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edkem \u0161t\u00e1bu izraelsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil a ve v\u00e1lce v Gaze ztratil syna a synovce. Nad\u00e1le podporuje ekonomick\u00fd tlak na \u00cdr\u00e1n a omezen\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 akce. Jeho p\u0159\u00edstup se v\u0161ak od Netanjahuova li\u0161\u00ed ve t\u0159ech kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch ohledech.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\"> Netanjahu letos vedl kampa\u0148 za zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v Teher\u00e1nu a tla\u010dil na Washington, aby provedl dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky. Eisenkot kandidoval se slibem, \u017ee bude usilovat o \u201ev\u00edce diplomacie vedle v\u0161ech vojensk\u00fdch krok\u016f\u201c a den\u00edku Wall Street Journal \u0159ekl, \u017ee podpo\u0159\u00ed vojenskou akci pouze proti \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm a bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm hrozb\u00e1m pro Izrael\u201c. P\u0159ed lety ozna\u010dil odstoupen\u00ed USA od jadern\u00e9 dohody z roku 2015 za \u201estrategickou chybu\u201c.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Washington.<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\"> Netanjahu spojil osud Izraele s Republik\u00e1nskou stranou a osobn\u011b s Trumpem. Eisenkot naz\u00fdv\u00e1 tento vztah \u201epartnerstv\u00edm mezi n\u00e1rody budovan\u00fdm po generace\u201c a slibuje obnoven\u00ed jeho dvoustranick\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny. Tak\u00e9 \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee chce \u201e\u00fazce a konstruktivn\u011b\u201c spolupracovat s Trumpovou administrativou. Je to mu\u017e, kter\u00fd chce Izraeli vr\u00e1tit dobr\u00e9 vztahy s ob\u011bma stranami, ne mu\u017e, kter\u00fd chce zat\u00e1hnout odch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed Kongres do dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">P\u00e1ka.<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\"> Osm m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f nejhlasit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hlas nal\u00e9haj\u00edc\u00ed na Trumpa, aby \u201esrazil\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1n, vych\u00e1zel z kancel\u00e1\u0159e izraelsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra. Pokud tento hlas zmiz\u00ed, strana v\u00e1lky ve Washingtonu ztrat\u00ed sv\u00e9ho nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho spojence \u2013 zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee republik\u00e1ni poci\u0165uj\u00ed odsouzen\u00ed voli\u010d\u016f k v\u00e1lce v pololetn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159edstavte si Moskvu a Jeruzal\u00e9m bok po boku. \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1 Putinovi sv\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v m\u00edstnosti je \u0161\u00e9f rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky. Katar a P\u00e1kist\u00e1n zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1vaj\u00ed kroky, aby zabr\u00e1nily Washingtonu a Teher\u00e1nu v op\u011btovn\u00e9m upadnut\u00ed do otev\u0159en\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. A Izrael je na pokraji nahrazen\u00ed premi\u00e9ra, kter\u00fd cht\u011bl v\u00e1lku eskalovat, premi\u00e9rem, kter\u00fd hovo\u0159\u00ed o diplomacii a obnoven\u00ed spojenectv\u00ed. Poprv\u00e9 od \u00fanora maj\u00ed ti, kte\u0159\u00ed prosazuj\u00ed dohodu, v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dynamiku ne\u017e ti, kte\u0159\u00ed volaj\u00ed po dal\u0161\u00edch bomb\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Naskytuje se nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost. Dokud Eisenkot nesestav\u00ed vl\u00e1du, Netanjahu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 premi\u00e9rem a m\u00e1 v\u0161echny d\u016fvody k tomu, aby si p\u0159ed odchodem z funkce vytvo\u0159il fait accompli. P\u0159echodn\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 nem\u00e1 co ztratit, veden\u00e1 mu\u017eem se sklonem k p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm \u2013 to nen\u00ed uklid\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed kombinace. Pokud v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch \u0161esti t\u00fddnech nastane moment nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho rizika, je to pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Outsider<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Tak\u017ee shrnut\u00ed t\u00fddne. \u00cdr\u00e1n pos\u00edl\u00e1 sv\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e9fa bezpe\u010dnosti na t\u0159i hodiny do Moskvy. Putin si bere sv\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e9fa zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a na ve\u0159ejnosti t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nic ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u2013 nech\u00e1v\u00e1 si tak otev\u0159en\u00e9 mo\u017enosti. Izraelsk\u00fd prezident jmenuje gener\u00e1la, kter\u00fd up\u0159ednost\u0148uje diplomacii p\u0159ed vojenskou silou p\u0159ed Netanjahuov\u00fdm postem. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed voli\u010di kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce odvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed republik\u00e1nsk\u00fd Kongres.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee v\u0161ichni situaci spr\u00e1vn\u011b vyhodnotili, krom\u011b mu\u017ee v Ov\u00e1ln\u00e9 pracovn\u011b. Donald Trump m\u016f\u017ee tyto ud\u00e1losti br\u00e1t jako samostatn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy, nebo m\u016f\u017ee rozpoznat to, co zbytek sv\u011bta u\u017e vid\u00ed. Koalice pro v\u00e1lku se zmen\u0161uje, koalice pro dohodu roste a okno pro odchod, kter\u00fd by zachr\u00e1nil tv\u00e1\u0159, nez\u016fstane otev\u0159en\u00e9 nav\u017edy. T\u0159i hodiny v Kremlu a hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed 67:46 v Jeruzal\u00e9m\u011b neznamenaj\u00ed konec v\u00e1lky. Mohly by v\u0161ak znamenat za\u010d\u00e1tek konce d\u016fvod\u016f k jej\u00edmu pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sonar21.com\/three-hours-in-the-kremlin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vladimir Putin nev\u011bnuje t\u0159i hodiny sv\u00e9ho \u010dasu lidem, kte\u0159\u00ed nemaj\u00ed co \u0159\u00edct. Ve \u010dtvrtek str\u00e1vil&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":120859,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1060,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120858"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120858"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120858\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120859"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120858"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120858"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120858"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}