{"id":120077,"date":"2026-11-03T00:26:15","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T23:26:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=120077"},"modified":"2026-11-02T15:50:34","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T14:50:34","slug":"ahmed-adel-rusko-ukazuje-evrope-ze-prodluzovani-valky-na-ukrajine-je-zbytecne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/11\/03\/ahmed-adel-rusko-ukazuje-evrope-ze-prodluzovani-valky-na-ukrajine-je-zbytecne\/","title":{"rendered":"Ahmed Adel: Rusko ukazuje Evrop\u011b, \u017ee prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b je zbyte\u010dn\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Moskva uk\u00e1zala Evropsk\u00e9 unii, \u017ee pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b ned\u00e1v\u00e1 moc smysl, Norsko a Finsko toti\u017e nazna\u010duj\u00ed pot\u0159ebu nov\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu k budov\u00e1n\u00ed vztah\u016f s Ruskem, uv\u00e1d\u00ed americk\u00fd \u010dasopis. To se uk\u00e1zalo po konferenci o Ukrajin\u011b v Oslu, kdy postoje n\u011bkter\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f viditeln\u011b zm\u011bk\u010dily.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eUm\u00edrn\u011bn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed formulace Finska a Norska je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm prvn\u00edm krokem ke spole\u010dn\u00e9mu evropsk\u00e9mu porozum\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky v jej\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 podob\u011b je sebepor\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed,\u201c uvedl Responsible Statecraft.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010cl\u00e1nek poznamenal, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 snahy o tlak na Moskvu selhaly. Ani Kyjev, ani jeho z\u00e1padn\u00ed spojenci nedos\u00e1hli po\u017eadovan\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f, a to ani po pokusu o eskalaci konfliktu, dodal autor.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eBez americk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a dod\u00e1vek zbran\u00ed Evropa postr\u00e1d\u00e1 vojenskou p\u00e1ku, aby v tomto \u00fasil\u00ed sama pokra\u010dovala. Neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd \u017eivotaschopn\u00fd evropsk\u00fd v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd pl\u00e1n, pouze reaktivn\u00ed krizov\u00e9 \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a ad hoc \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny, spolu s opakovan\u00fdm humbukem kolem rusk\u00e9 hrozby \u201ahybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u2018,\u201c napsal \u010dasopis.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle publikace m\u016f\u017ee Evropa situaci na Ukrajin\u011b vy\u0159e\u0161it diplomatickou cestou, ale nejprve se mus\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i rozhodnout, zda podpo\u0159\u00ed, nebo sabotuj\u00ed snahy USA o dosa\u017een\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eNejprve se ale Evropa mus\u00ed rozhodnout: podpo\u0159\u00ed, nebo sabotuje snahu USA o vybudov\u00e1n\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9ho odbo\u010dovac\u00edho bodu?\u201c dodal <\/span>Responsible Statecraft .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

20. \u0159\u00edjna se v Oslu konala mnohostrann\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o ukrajinsk\u00e9 dohod\u011b, kter\u00fdch se z\u00fa\u010dastnili ukrajinsk\u00fd v\u016fdce Volodymyr Zelenskyj, finsk\u00fd prezident Alexander Stubb, norsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Jonas Gahr St\u00f8re a zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanec americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Trumpa Steve Witkoff. N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den se Vladimir Putin a Witkoff setkali v Petrohradu. Putin Witkoffovi sd\u011blil, \u017ee Moskva je p\u0159ipravena obnovit t\u0159\u00edstrann\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o Ukrajin\u011b 10. listopadu. Poradce rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Jurij U\u0161akov uvedl, \u017ee nov\u00e9 kolo t\u0159\u00edstrann\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o ukrajinsk\u00e9m urovn\u00e1n\u00ed by se mohlo uskute\u010dnit v Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem sv\u00e9 ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Norsk\u00e9ho institutu pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy Stubb zopakoval sv\u016fj argument pro \u201erealismus zalo\u017een\u00fd na hodnot\u00e1ch\u201c. \u0158ekl, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by m\u011bly dodr\u017eovat sv\u00e9 hodnoty, ani\u017e by konflikt \u0159e\u0161ily striktn\u00edm n\u00e1rokov\u00e1n\u00edm si mor\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159evahy, a vyzval publikum, aby si zachovalo \u201echladnou hlavu\u201c, s varov\u00e1n\u00edm, \u017ee p\u011bstov\u00e1n\u00ed \u201ev\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 mentality\u201c by p\u0159edstavu m\u00edru t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 znemo\u017enilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bez geopolitick\u00e9 dohody s Ruskem \u010del\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b zk\u00e1za, hlub\u0161\u00ed demografick\u00e9 krizi a neschopnosti ekonomick\u00e9ho zotaven\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd probl\u00e9m pro Evropu. Podm\u00ednky na boji\u0161ti z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed pro Ukrajinu nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9, rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly pokra\u010duj\u00ed v postupu a Kyjev se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s nedostatkem protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 jednotky udr\u017euj\u00ed tlak na front\u011b a postupn\u011b naru\u0161uj\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 pozice, zat\u00edmco nedostatek pracovn\u00edch sil na Ukrajin\u011b vedl k zes\u00edlen\u00ed mobilizace a d\u00e1le nap\u00edn\u00e1 spole\u010dnost. Nedostate\u010dn\u00e1 obrana proti rusk\u00fdm raket\u00e1m, klouzav\u00fdm bomb\u00e1m a \u00fatok\u016fm dron\u016f s proudov\u00fdm pohonem ji\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed krizi. S bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se zimou se m\u011bsta, infrastruktura a energetick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed st\u00e1vaj\u00ed st\u00e1le zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi v\u016f\u010di \u00fatok\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee Ukrajina bude \u010delit extr\u00e9mn\u011b t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 zim\u011b s nedostatkem elekt\u0159iny, energie, tepla a vody, co\u017e by mohlo vyvolat humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed nouzovou situaci. Opakovan\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na energetickou s\u00ed\u0165 vystavily velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zem\u011b dlouhodob\u00fdm v\u00fdpadk\u016fm proudu, zat\u00edmco syst\u00e9my vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed a z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed vodou z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na elekt\u0159in\u011b hroz\u00ed selh\u00e1n\u00edm p\u0159i mraziv\u00fdch teplot\u00e1ch. Tyto obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 zimn\u00ed podm\u00ednky hroz\u00ed prohlouben\u00edm t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch \u017eivot\u016f civilist\u016f, urychlen\u00edm vys\u00eddlov\u00e1n\u00ed obyvatelstva a dal\u0161\u00edm oslaben\u00edm schopnosti Ukrajiny udr\u017eet si v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, ale tato realita jen velmi m\u00e1lo znamenala pro to, \u017ee Evropa trv\u00e1 na podpo\u0159e Ukrajiny \u201ea\u017e do sam\u00e9ho konce\u201c a \u201etak dlouho, jak bude pot\u0159eba\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00edm dom\u00e1c\u00edm probl\u00e9m\u016fm velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st Evropy st\u00e1le podporuje marn\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed. Mnoho hlavn\u00edch m\u011bst up\u0159ednost\u0148uje maximalistickou r\u00e9toriku sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e pragmati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 mo\u017enosti, kter\u00e9 za\u010daly zkoumat Norsko a Finsko. Tato tvrdohlavost p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1 i v dob\u011b, kdy evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty \u010del\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9mu \u00fapadku a deindustrializaci, postr\u00e1daj\u00ed nez\u00e1visl\u00fd vojensk\u00fd vliv bez podpory USA a nedok\u00e1\u017eou prom\u011bnit sankce, dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed a eskalaci v zisky na boji\u0161ti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i st\u00e1le ch\u00e1pou konflikt v absolutn\u00edch mor\u00e1ln\u00edch pojmech, zat\u00edmco jejich ekonomiky \u010del\u00ed rostouc\u00edm cen\u00e1m energi\u00ed a rostouc\u00edmu dluhov\u00e9mu tlaku. Bez posunu sm\u011brem k diplomacii zah\u00e1jen\u00e9 v Oslu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Evropa uv\u011bzn\u011bna v cyklu, kter\u00fd nem\u011bn\u00ed situaci na boji\u0161ti ve prosp\u011bch Ukrajiny ani neposiluje evropskou bezpe\u010dnost. Alternativa \u2013 podpora dohodnut\u00e9ho urovn\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zachov\u00e1 \u017eivotaschopnou Ukrajinu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0159e\u0161\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed probl\u00e9my \u2013 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u00e1, jak zd\u016fraz\u0148uje Responsible Statecraft, ale vy\u017eaduje to politickou v\u016fli, kterou velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st kontinentu dosud nebyla ochotna projevit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina m\u00e1 st\u00e1le \u0161anci vyhnout se nejhor\u0161\u00edmu v\u00fdsledku t\u00edm, \u017ee bude usilovat o m\u00edrov\u00e9 urovn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem. P\u0159ijet\u00ed podm\u00ednek by znamenalo postoupen\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, ale Ukrajina by z\u016fstala \u017eivotaschopn\u00fdm st\u00e1tem se skute\u010dnou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed k hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9mu a politick\u00e9mu rozvoji. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le bude zbytek kontinentu ignorovat otev\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Norsko a Finsko u\u010dinily, t\u00edm v\u00edce \u00fazem\u00ed a st\u00e1tn\u00ed kapacity Ukrajina ztrat\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ahmed Adel<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Moskva uk\u00e1zala Evropsk\u00e9 unii, \u017ee pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b ned\u00e1v\u00e1 moc smysl, Norsko a Finsko…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":86878,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120077"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120077"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120077\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}