{"id":120015,"date":"2026-11-02T05:11:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T04:11:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=120015"},"modified":"2026-11-02T05:11:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T04:11:11","slug":"michael-svatos-mesicni-ztraty-ruske-armady-na-ukrajine-zelenskeho-pohadky-versus-kruta-realita-shoot-the-archer-2-cast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/11\/02\/michael-svatos-mesicni-ztraty-ruske-armady-na-ukrajine-zelenskeho-pohadky-versus-kruta-realita-shoot-the-archer-2-cast\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: M\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na Ukrajin\u011b. Zelensk\u00e9ho poh\u00e1dky versus krut\u00e1 realita. \u201cShoot-the-Archer\u201d (2. \u010d\u00e1st)"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

V\u010dera Volodymyr Zelenskyj vypustil ze sv\u00fdch \u00fast dal\u0161\u00ed \u201chausnumero<\/a>\u201d maj\u00edc\u00ed dokazovat, jak se jeho brann\u00e9 moci da\u0159\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eet Rusko. A vyk\u0159ikoval do ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00e9teru, \u017ee v m\u011bs\u00edci \u0159\u00edjnu 2026 jeho Soldateska zlikvidovala 54 400<\/a> rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, a p\u0159ekonala tak sv\u016fj p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fd rekord ze z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2026 = 46 230<\/a>.<\/p>\n

(1)<\/strong><\/span> Pro\u010d po\u010dty \u00fadajn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t podle Zelensk\u00e9ho takto dramaticky rostou?<\/p>\n

Zelenskyj vydal po\u010d\u00e1tkem leto\u0161n\u00edho roku nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm gener\u00e1l\u016fm sv\u00e9 Soldatesky rozkaz, aby bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b likvidovali 30 000 rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. D\u016fvod jeho rozkazu byl prost\u00fd. Tou dobou za\u010dali n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytici poukazovat na fakt, \u017ee lidsk\u00e9 zdroje Ukrajiny za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed b\u00fdt ztr\u00e1tami vy\u010derpan\u00e9, kde\u017eto rusk\u00e9 zdroje (6kr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed) nikoli, a v\u00e1lku tak brzy rozhodne zna\u010dn\u00e1 p\u0159evaha rusk\u00e9 \u201cnevy\u010derpateln\u00e9\u201d populace nad \u201cvy\u010derpanou\u201d ukrajinskou.<\/p>\n

A jak v\u016fdce na\u0159\u00eddil, za\u010dali ihned v\u0161ichni jeho gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 hl\u00e1sit, \u017ee pln\u00ed. A od ledna 2026 se ust\u00e1lil medi\u00e1ln\u00ed narativ, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da likviduje 6kr\u00e1t v\u00edce rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, ne\u017e rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da likviduje voj\u00e1k\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch. A u\u017e se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee tato propagandistick\u00e1 v\u00e1lka bude vyhran\u00e1<\/a>, a Ukrajinci budou je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjak\u00fd ten rok nav\u00edc ochotn\u00ed proti Rus\u016fm bojovat.<\/p>\n

Le\u010d 19. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed vlet\u011bly do t\u00e9to Zelensk\u00e9ho propagandy hr\u00e1b\u011b z ne\u010dekan\u00e9 strany<\/a>. Polsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Donald Tusk, zavil\u00fd nep\u0159\u00edtel Ruska a stoupenec Bruselsk\u00e9ho Komisari\u00e1tu, najednou v polsk\u00e9m Sejmu prozradil, \u017ee podle informac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 obdr\u017eel od sv\u00fdch vlivn\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00e1tel, Ukrajina u\u017e na boji\u0161ti aktu\u00e1ln\u011b ztr\u00e1c\u00ed 27 700 voj\u00e1k\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b<\/a>. Tusk je nep\u0159\u00edtel Ruska, ale k tomuto vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed m\u011bl dva p\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fvody. 23. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed se toti\u017e chystal do Pentagonu na osobn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu jeho ministr obrany Kosiniak-Kamysz<\/a>, a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 ho odm\u00edtali p\u0159ijmout. A podpo\u0159it tak Trumpa prozrazen\u00edm skute\u010dn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t Ukrajiny, tak nebylo od v\u011bci, aby se n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b pomohlo. Nav\u00edc v Polsku budou v roce 2027 parlamentn\u00ed volby. A b\u00fdt tou dobou za \u00fapln\u00e9ho idiota, neb a\u017e po uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b kone\u010dn\u011b prasknou skute\u010dn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, bude v Evrop\u011b mezi politiky idiot\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed o nich lhali, dost, a to by rozhodn\u011b nebylo pro Donalda Tuska dobr\u00e9, proto\u017ee v\u00fdsledek t\u011bchto polsk\u00fdch voleb bude podle v\u0161eho velmi t\u011bsn\u00fd. A rozhodovat bude ka\u017ed\u00e1 mali\u010dkost.<\/p>\n

Jakmile prasklo, kolik voj\u00e1k\u016f Ukrajina m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b ztr\u00e1c\u00ed, bylo tak\u00a0 jasn\u00e9, a\u010dkoli se Zelenskyj chv\u00e1st\u00e1, \u017ee jeho Soldateska likviduje 30 000 Rus\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, kdy\u017e Tusk kontruje, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 likviduj\u00ed 27 000 Ukrajinc\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, aritmetika ukrajinsk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed 6 zlikvidovan\u00fdch Rus\u016f na 1 padl\u00e9ho Ukrajince fungovat nikdy nebude. A Zelenskyj za\u010dal vytrubovat nov\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla \u2013 v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 46 230 zlikvidovan\u00fdch Rus\u016f, a v \u0159\u00edjnu u\u017e 54 400. Kde se jeho \u201chausnumera\u201d zastav\u00ed, uvid\u00edme. Aritmetika \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee by pot\u0159eboval likvidovat 162 000 Rus\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, aby sm\u011b\u0159oval k rem\u00edze. Ale k vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed tohohle \u201chausnumera\u201d z \u00fast, u\u017e nebude k dispozici tolik kokainu nejsp\u00ed\u0161 ani v Kolumbii, \u017ee?<\/p>\n

(2)<\/strong><\/span> Zelensk\u00e9ho \u201chausnumera\u201d a krut\u00e1 realita v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Clement Molin si pov\u0161iml<\/a> d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zm\u011bny ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b. Jakmile byl Ukrajin\u011b v \u0159\u00edjnu omezen Starlink, po\u010dty ukrajinsk\u00fdmi drony zni\u010den\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch n\u00e1kladn\u00edch automobil\u016f ve frontov\u00e9m p\u00e1smu poklesly o 30% oproti z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Drony p\u0159itom likviduj\u00ed 90% voj\u00e1k\u016f. Jak tedy mohlo doj\u00edt sou\u010dasn\u011b k anom\u00e1lii, \u017ee po\u010det \u201c\u00fadajn\u011b\u201d zlikvidovan\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f v \u0159\u00edjnu vzrostl oproti z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed o 18%!?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Zelenskyj je notorick\u00fd v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd lh\u00e1\u0159. Zde vid\u00edte mapu v\u010derej\u0161\u00edch rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f proti Ukrajin\u011b. Volyn\u0161t\u00ed Banderovci v\u010dera hl\u00e1sili, \u017ee proti Ukrajin\u011b \u00fato\u010d\u00ed 600 dron\u016f<\/a>. Rusov\u00e9 se holedbali, \u017ee v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed \u00fatok byl masivn\u00ed, a \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd<\/a>, a za takov\u00fd se pova\u017euje z\u00e1sadn\u011b \u00fatok +500 dron\u016f. Zelenskyj p\u0159itom v\u010dera ve\u010der tvrdil<\/a>, \u017ee za\u00fato\u010dilo jen 326 dron\u016f, a Ukrajina jich 274 sest\u0159elila. Nav\u00edc na Ukrajin\u011b byla v\u010dera zna\u010dn\u00e1 obla\u010dnost, a je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 hloubkov\u00e9 drony maj\u00ed proti Ukrajin\u011b t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch, \u010d\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed obla\u010dnost panuje<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(3)<\/strong> <\/span>M\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed nevratn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy \u010din\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b za celou SVO 17 321 voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n

V rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b slou\u017eilo p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm SVO v roce 2022 podle dostupn\u00fdch odhad\u016f celkem 950 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f, a celkov\u00fd po\u010det v\u0161ech zam\u011bstnanc\u016f arm\u00e1dy \u010dinil 1.5 milionu. Letos podepsal Putin na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, a podle n\u011bj se po\u010det voj\u00e1k\u016f rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy zvy\u0161uje na 1 550 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f, a v\u0161ech zam\u011bstnanc\u016f arm\u00e1dy, tedy i s voj\u00e1ky, na 2 441 000. Celkov\u00fd po\u010det p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f rusk\u00fdch pozemn\u00edch vojsk se podle kvalifikovan\u00fdch odhad\u016f za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed 2022 a\u017e 2026 zv\u00fd\u0161il ze 700 000 na 1 400 000. Rozd\u00edl + 100 000 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f pozemn\u00edch sil nav\u00edc oproti r\u016fstu po\u010dt\u016f voj\u00e1k\u016f cel\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy za stejn\u00e1 obdob\u00ed je d\u00e1n zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00edm n\u011bkter\u00fdch kategori\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ed leto\u0161n\u00edm podzimem nebyly p\u0159\u00edmou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed rusk\u00fdch pozemn\u00edch sil.<\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b tedy Rusko od za\u010d\u00e1tku SVO zv\u00fd\u0161ilo po\u010det sv\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f o 600 000.<\/p>\n

Rusko od l\u00e9ta 2022 p\u0159ij\u00edmalo do arm\u00e1dy m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b cca 35 000 dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f, a tento po\u010det z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le konstantn\u00ed i letos na podzim. Celkem tedy Rusko do p\u0159ijalo od konce pr\u00e1zdnin roku 2022 do sv\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy 50 x 35 000 dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f = 1 750 000 dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f a mobilizovalo 300 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f = celkem 2 050 000 osob.<\/p>\n

Po\u010detn\u00ed stavy Rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy se od roku 2022 do leto\u0161n\u00edho podzimu zv\u00fd\u0161ily o 600 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f. Z rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy je m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b propou\u0161t\u011bno pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b 5000 voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/a>, kte\u0159\u00ed bojovali v SVO, ale arm\u00e1du opou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed po spln\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9ho z\u00e1vazku, proto\u017ee ho u\u017e nehodlaj\u00ed prodlu\u017eovat. Celkem takto bylo ke dne\u0161n\u00edmu dni propu\u0161t\u011bno cca 210 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n

V rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b by podle t\u011bchto \u010d\u00edsel m\u011blo letos na podzim slou\u017eit o 1 240 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f v\u00edc, ne\u017e slou\u017e\u00ed. A rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da by tak m\u011bla ztr\u00e1cet 1 240 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f d\u011bleno 56 m\u011bs\u00edci boj\u016f = 22 143 voj\u00e1ka m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. (Nevratn\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta, u\u017e se nevr\u00e1t\u00ed do slu\u017eby po zran\u011bn\u00ed, nemoci, atd.)<\/p>\n

Le\u010d skute\u010dnost bude lep\u0161\u00ed. Nebo\u0165 5 let v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b znamen\u00e1, \u017ee 1\/6 p\u016fvodn\u00edho po\u010detn\u00edho stavu rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy z roku 2022 u\u017e zest\u00e1rla natolik, \u017ee u\u017e musela b\u00fdt, bu\u010f z d\u016fvod\u016f v\u011bku, nebo zhor\u0161en\u00e9ho zdravotn\u00edho stavu, propu\u0161t\u011bna do civilu. 900 000 d\u011bleno 6 = 150 000.<\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc z\u00e1vazky ke slu\u017eb\u011b v z\u00f3n\u011b SVO se p\u016fvodn\u011b v rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b podepisovaly na 6 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f a\u017e 3 roky<\/a>, a teprve v roce 2024, a hlavn\u011b 2025 za\u010dal b\u00fdt ruskou arm\u00e1dn\u00ed byrokraci\u00ed kladen zna\u010dn\u00fd d\u016fraz na uzav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed mnohem del\u0161\u00edch smluv \u2013 5 a v\u00edce let. \u017de uplynut\u00ed t\u011bchto z\u00e1vazk\u016f z let 2022 a 2023 pro ruskou arm\u00e1du za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 p\u0159edstavovat probl\u00e9m, je z\u0159ejm\u00e9 z toho, \u017ee Kreml p\u0159estal loni v prosinci zve\u0159ej\u0148ovat, kolik voj\u00e1k\u016f se z\u00f3ny SVO vr\u00e1tilo po sv\u00e9 spln\u011bn\u00ed smlouvy do civilu a z\u00edskalo statut veter\u00e1na. A ze skute\u010dnosti, \u017ee po\u010detn\u00ed stavy rusk\u00e9 profesion\u00e1ln\u00ed arm\u00e1dy bojuj\u00edc\u00ed proti Ukrajin\u011b, se od leto\u0161n\u00edho jara sou\u010dasn\u011b p\u0159estaly zvy\u0161ovat. Minim\u00e1ln\u00ed odhad takto letos nav\u00edc ode\u0161l\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f do civilu bude 80 000, maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed 160 000. Budeme tedy po\u010d\u00edtat = 120 000.<\/p>\n

Celkem se tedy po\u010det rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed z rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy n\u011bkam v letech 2022 a\u017e 2026 zmizeli, zmen\u0161il na 970 000. A to p\u0159edstavuje pr\u016fm\u011brnou m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu = 970 000 d\u011bleno 56 m\u011bs\u00edci boj\u016f = 17 321!<\/p>\n

(4)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

V\u010dera ve\u010der za\u010dala ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 aplikace rozes\u00edlat varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed \u201cjadern\u00fdm zamo\u0159en\u00edm\u201d, chemick\u00fdm nebezpe\u010d\u00edm, a hrozbou pouli\u010dn\u00edch boj\u016f. Za p\u00e1r minut bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fd vl\u00e1dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m ovl\u00e1dli<\/a>, n\u011bjac\u00ed hacke\u0159i. A teprve v 02.35 za\u010dal ukrajinsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m varov\u00e1n\u00ed op\u011bt \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b fungovat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Podle Ukrajinsk\u00fdch ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00edst za t\u00edmto \u201cjadern\u00fdm\u201d hackersk\u00fdm \u00fatokem st\u00e1li Rusov\u00e9. V\u010dera jsem citoval, jak p\u0159edev\u010d\u00edrem americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Marco Rubio p\u0159ipomn\u011bl na setk\u00e1n\u00ed zem\u00ed G-20 v USA, kter\u00e9ho se \u00fa\u010dastnil i jeho rusk\u00fd prot\u011bj\u0161ek Sergej Lavrov, \u017ee Rusko je jadern\u00e1 supervelmoc, a \u017ee na tuto skute\u010dnost u\u017e n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed (evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici?) zapomn\u011bli, a m\u011bli by si ji proto p\u0159ipomenout, proto\u017ee USA \u017e\u00e1dnou jadernou eskalaci s Ruskem necht\u011bj\u00ed a nepot\u0159ebuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V\u010dera n\u011bkdo d\u011bsil Ukrajince prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm jadern\u00fdm \u00fatokem? N\u00e1hoda? Nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nikoli, Zelenskyj prohr\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1lku na cel\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1\u0159e, a krom vyk\u0159ikov\u00e1n\u00ed nesmysln\u00fdch propagandistick\u00fdch \u201chausnumer\u201d se zat\u00edm letos zmohl pouze na p\u0159\u00edpravu k proveden\u00ed pl\u00e1nu \u201cShoot-the-Archer\u201d, a ten by podle analytik\u016f nejsp\u00ed\u0161 vyvolal v Evrop\u011b jadernou v\u00e1lku.<\/p>\n

(Dokon\u010den\u00ed z\u00edtra)<\/em><\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u010dera Volodymyr Zelenskyj vypustil ze sv\u00fdch \u00fast dal\u0161\u00ed \u201chausnumero\u201d maj\u00edc\u00ed dokazovat, jak se jeho brann\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":120016,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,26,2369],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120015"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120015"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120015\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120016"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}