{"id":119778,"date":"2026-10-30T04:28:47","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T03:28:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=119778"},"modified":"2026-10-30T04:28:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T03:28:47","slug":"alastair-crooke-trumpovy-valky-mohou-byt-posledni-kapkou-pro-financializovanou-zapadni-architekturu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/30\/alastair-crooke-trumpovy-valky-mohou-byt-posledni-kapkou-pro-financializovanou-zapadni-architekturu\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: Trumpovy v\u00e1lky mohou b\u00fdt posledn\u00ed kapkou pro financializovanou z\u00e1padn\u00ed architekturu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ude s\u00edl\u00ed pocit, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed liber\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd projekt je na pokraji kolapsu. To je patrn\u00e9 v ulic\u00edch Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee. Je to ale patrn\u00e9 i ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, kde prezident Trump sv\u00fdm z\u00e1vazkem k v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu zjevn\u011b po\u0161kozuje \u0161ance republik\u00e1n\u016f v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nikdo nedok\u00e1\u017ee odhadnout, jak se Trump rozhodne vl\u00e1dnout, pokud se voli\u010di obr\u00e1t\u00ed proti n\u011bmu; nicm\u00e9n\u011b v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dvou letech je velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee ho \u010dek\u00e1 rozzloben\u00e9, frustrovan\u00e9 a nevyzpytateln\u00e9 prezidentstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010d k pochopen\u00ed dne\u0161n\u00edch francouzsk\u00fdch nepokoj\u016f le\u017e\u00ed v roce 2024: francouzsk\u00fd volebn\u00ed cyklus za\u010dal hlasov\u00e1n\u00edm v Evropsk\u00e9m parlamentu, kde pravicov\u00e1 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed (RN) veden\u00e1 Le Penovou z\u00edskala p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. RN z\u00edskala 30 k\u0159esel (31,37 % hlas\u016f), zat\u00edmco Ensemble (koalice prezidenta Macrona) z\u00edskala pouze 13 k\u0159esel (14,6 % hlas\u016f).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Po drtiv\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece sv\u00e9 centristick\u00e9 koalice Macron okam\u017eit\u011b rozpustil francouzsk\u00e9 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed a vyhl\u00e1sil p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 volby do z\u00e1konod\u00e1rn\u00e9ho sboru. Tyto volby vedly k bezprecedentn\u00edmu, suspendovan\u00e9mu parlamentu, rozd\u011blen\u00e9mu do t\u0159\u00ed hlavn\u00edch politick\u00fdch blok\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 skupina nez\u00edskala 289 k\u0159esel pot\u0159ebn\u00fdch k absolutn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b. Byla to a st\u00e1le je to patov\u00e1 situace.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco N\u00e1rodn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed Le Penov\u00e9 vedlo v prvn\u00edm kole t\u011bchto legislativn\u00edch voleb, taktick\u00e9 odstoupen\u00ed kandid\u00e1t\u016f st\u0159edov\u00e9ho a levicov\u00e9ho k\u0159\u00eddla ve druh\u00e9m kole zm\u011bnilo kone\u010dnou situaci d\u00edky (legitimn\u00edmu) \u201ehackov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c taktick\u00e9ho hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed o k\u0159eslech, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem bylo zajistit, aby Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana nevyhr\u00e1la posledn\u00ed kolo, p\u0159esto\u017ee v prvn\u00edm kole hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed vedla.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 n\u00e1siln\u00e9 nepokoje v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei souvisej\u00ed s v\u00fdsledky francouzsk\u00fdch voleb v roce 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Volby vytvo\u0159ily rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00fd a zablokovan\u00fd parlament, kter\u00fdm se Macron sna\u017eil manipulovat. To podn\u00edtilo rostouc\u00ed hn\u011bv ve\u0159ejnosti nad odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00edm evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed elity p\u0159ijmout odpov\u011bdnost za sv\u00e9 chyby \u2013 chyby, kter\u00e9 spustily evropskou hospod\u00e1\u0159skou krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed aspekty francouzsk\u00e9 krize \u2013 nekontrolovan\u00e1 imigrace, selh\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 slu\u017eby a rostouc\u00ed tlak na \u017eivotn\u00ed n\u00e1klady \u2013 jsou spole\u010dn\u00e9 prakticky v\u0161em hlavn\u00edm liber\u00e1ln\u00edm ekonomik\u00e1m. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, a\u010dkoli se ekonomick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my spojen\u00e9 se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi st\u00e1ty mohou zd\u00e1t b\u00fdt sv\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed jedine\u010dn\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed rysy, v\u0161echny maj\u00ed hlub\u0161\u00ed ko\u0159eny v z\u00e1padn\u00ed reakci na velkou finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi v roce 2008.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktem je, \u017ee tyto rozpory a nap\u011bt\u00ed nyn\u00ed dosahuj\u00ed sv\u00e9ho vrcholu ve vz\u00e1jemn\u011b propojen\u00fdch konfliktech na Ukrajin\u011b, v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a mezi Jemenem a Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed riskuj\u00ed, \u017ee hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize p\u0159eroste na zcela novou \u00farove\u0148, finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi, kter\u00e1 by mohla v\u00e9st k syst\u00e9mov\u00e9mu kolapsu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee krize nyn\u00ed dos\u00e1hla sv\u00e9ho vrcholu, pramen\u00ed ze sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho sledov\u00e1n\u00ed dvou protich\u016fdn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f: na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1kladn\u00e9ho soci\u00e1ln\u00edho st\u00e1tu a na stran\u011b druh\u00e9 veden\u00ed v\u00e1lek, jejich\u017e c\u00edlem je <\/span>udr\u017eet si podle Marca Rubia postaven\u00ed Z\u00e1padu<\/span><\/a> v \u201ehlav\u011b sv\u011bta\u201c. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto v\u00e1lky, jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, zp\u016fsobily prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst \u017eivotn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f a vy\u010derpaly rozpo\u010dty v\u011bt\u0161iny liber\u00e1ln\u00edch ekonomik.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump\u016fv chybn\u00fd odhad p\u0159i zah\u00e1jen\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161il tlak na \u017eivotn\u00ed n\u00e1klady v d\u016fsledku prudce rostouc\u00edch cen paliv a energi\u00ed, co\u017e n\u00e1sledn\u011b vyv\u00edjelo trval\u00fd tlak na r\u016fst \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb a trhu s dluhopisy. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Trump (by\u0165 nekonzistentn\u011b) st\u00e1le podporuje v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b \u2013 navzdory finan\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ei, kter\u00e1 se p\u0159esouv\u00e1 na Evropu \u2013 jednodu\u0161e p\u0159ekro\u010dila evropsk\u00e9 rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 limity.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 tlaky jsou patrn\u00e9 v\u0161ude, v Evrop\u011b i mimo ni, a siln\u011b zat\u011b\u017euj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed formy ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f, jako je vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a zdravotnictv\u00ed. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 byly zdevastov\u00e1ny velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho srdce Evropy. Nezam\u011bstnanost, zejm\u00e9na mezi mlad\u00fdmi lidmi, prudce vzrostla. Jen v N\u011bmecku za posledn\u00edch \u0161est let ztratili t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u016fl milionu pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst v pr\u016fmyslu. Ani Evropa, ani Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dnes obecn\u011b nejsou cenov\u011b konkurenceschopn\u00e9. Inflace cen energi\u00ed znemo\u017enila p\u0159\u00edstup k mnoha glob\u00e1ln\u00edm exportn\u00edm trh\u016fm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Politick\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edda v z\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b dos\u00e1hla nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b popularity. Zoufalstv\u00ed a hn\u011bv lidu rostou. Z\u00e1\u0161\u0165 doutnaje. Nejprve propukla ve Francii, ale tot\u00e9\u017e brzy za\u017eij\u00ed i dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Krize se pozd\u011bji vyhrot\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n a Ansar Allah zav\u0159ely svou energetickou past na Trumpa. Neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 snadn\u00e1 ani z\u0159ejm\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Ve skute\u010dnosti, pokud bude \u0161patn\u011b \u0159\u00edzena a prodlou\u017eena vojenskou eskalac\u00ed USA nebo Izraele, v\u00fdrazn\u011b to zhor\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomickou krizi, proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n se odvet\u00ed proti energetick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. A vzhledem k dlouh\u00fdm zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm spojen\u00fdm s obnovou vysoce slo\u017eit\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 infrastruktury povede struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatek paliva nepochybn\u011b k eskalaci \u0161kod na glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch potrub\u00edch. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro <\/span>\u00fatoky<\/span><\/a> Ansar Allah na sa\u00fadskoarabskou energetickou infrastrukturu.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Ukrajiny uvrhlo obvykl\u00e9 myln\u00e9 ch\u00e1p\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska Evropany Evropu do pasti, do kter\u00e9 dobrovoln\u011b padla. V roce 2022 evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i p\u0159iv\u00edtali Ukrajinu a Zelensk\u00e9ho s otev\u0159enou n\u00e1ru\u010d\u00ed a pova\u017eovali ji za zaj\u00edmav\u00fd, na standardech zalo\u017een\u00fd, liber\u00e1ln\u00ed projekt, kter\u00fd by Evrop\u011b mohl potenci\u00e1ln\u011b d\u00e1t smysl a sm\u011br, kter\u00fd NATO i EU postr\u00e1daly. Vyhl\u00eddka, \u017ee by evropsk\u00e9 sankce mohly nakonec prezidenta Putina sesadit z moci \u2013 jakkoli myln\u011b odhadnut\u00e1 \u2013 samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nab\u00edzela t\u0159pytivou vyhl\u00eddku na zp\u0159\u00edstupn\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ropy a vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch surovin pro evropsk\u00e9 vyu\u017eit\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eHmotn\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem toho v\u0161eho,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161e Aur\u00e9lien, \u201ebylo, \u017ee Evropa se stala st\u00e1le dychtiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kolonizovat politick\u00fd prostor, kter\u00fd byl historicky ovl\u00e1dan\u00fd Ruskem,\u201c kter\u00fd by byl integrov\u00e1n do roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edho se liber\u00e1ln\u00edho \u201eprostoru\u201c na z\u00e1pad\u011b Ruska. Rusk\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di t\u011bmto explicitn\u00edm evropsk\u00fdm ambic\u00edm bylo tenden\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ipisov\u00e1no rusk\u00e9 nostalgii po jeho imp\u00e9riu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak v\u0161ak <\/span>poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/a> Aur\u00e9lien , \u201eRusov\u00e9 obdob\u00ed po polovin\u011b roku 1990 takto v\u016fbec nevn\u00edmali. Vid\u011bli ztr\u00e1tu kontroly nad t\u00edm, co d\u0159\u00edve bylo cenn\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm prostorem, bez zjevn\u00e9ho zp\u016fsobu, jak jej znovu z\u00edskat. Proto my\u0161lenky na \u201ap\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u2018 a jak\u00e9si geografick\u00e9 rozd\u011blen\u00ed Ukrajiny nefungovaly a nikde fungovat nebudou. Hra se zm\u011bnila a v s\u00e1zce je mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve. V roce 2022 by Rusov\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b akceptovali skute\u010dn\u011b neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed Ukrajinu bez rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch sil a s nacionalistick\u00fdmi extremisty vylou\u010den\u00fdmi z vl\u00e1dy.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed nen\u00ed \u0161ance, \u017ee by se to stalo, a sou\u010dasn\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed Kyjeva interpretuji jako sou\u010d\u00e1st opera\u010dn\u00ed strategie zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na zni\u010den\u00ed zem\u011b jako \u017eivotaschopn\u00e9ho celku \u2013 aby v budoucnu nemohla b\u00fdt vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na jako z\u00e1kladna pro vojensk\u00e9 operace. Budou zni\u010deny mimo jin\u00e9 mosty, komunika\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9my, p\u0159\u00edstavy, v\u00fdroba a distribuce elekt\u0159iny, dopravn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b, pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a leti\u0161t\u011b\u2026 Neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd n\u00e1znak toho, \u017ee by to Z\u00e1pad ch\u00e1pal. Nech\u00e1pe to, proto\u017ee si neuv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 strategie nyn\u00ed \u0161la daleko za hranice Ukrajiny a jde o to, aby se na alespo\u0148 jednu generaci, mo\u017en\u00e1 i d\u00e9le, vyhnala hrozba potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho \u00fatoku z rusk\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edho \u201eprostoru\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je past, kter\u00e1 spojuje v\u0161echny tyto zd\u00e1nliv\u011b odd\u011blen\u00e9 konflikty \u2013 ambice Z\u00e1padu \u201eudr\u017eet si sv\u00e9 m\u00edsto v \u010dele sv\u011bta\u201c, zat\u00edmco ve skute\u010dnosti se nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve f\u00e1zi \u00fapadku a \u201eimploze\u201c fisk\u00e1ln\u00edch rozpo\u010dt\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fd projekt narazil na zd\u00ed, a to nejen na boji\u0161ti, ale tak\u00e9 proto, \u017ee Evropa je ve finan\u010dn\u00edch pot\u00ed\u017e\u00edch. Je nemo\u017en\u00e9, aby Evropa vyka\u0161lala dal\u0161\u00edch 155 miliard dolar\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b tak je nemo\u017en\u00e9, aby z\u00e1padn\u00ed liber\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky p\u0159e\u017eily dlouhodobou v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a H\u00fat\u00ed\u016fm. Evropan\u00e9 s pr\u00e1zdn\u00fdm pohledem hled\u00ed do ekonomick\u00e9 propasti. Je Z\u00e1pad p\u0159ipraven zv\u00fd\u0161it riziko n\u00e1siln\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed revoluce jen proto, aby se vyhnul kapitulaci p\u0159ed \u00cdr\u00e1nem nebo Ruskem?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Alastair Crooke<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ude s\u00edl\u00ed pocit, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed liber\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd projekt je na pokraji kolapsu. To je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119779,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1324,45,371,452,2024],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119778"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119778"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119778\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119779"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119778"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119778"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119778"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}