{"id":119711,"date":"2026-10-30T00:11:48","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T23:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=119711"},"modified":"2026-10-29T11:40:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T10:40:20","slug":"thomas-roper-zacala-dalsi-vlna-uteku-ukrajincu-na-zapad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/30\/thomas-roper-zacala-dalsi-vlna-uteku-ukrajincu-na-zapad\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Za\u010dala dal\u0161\u00ed vlna \u00fat\u011bku Ukrajinc\u016f na z\u00e1pad"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se na Ukrajin\u011b vyost\u0159uj\u00ed probl\u00e9my s dod\u00e1vkami elekt\u0159iny, vody a topen\u00ed, za\u010dala p\u0159ed zimou nov\u00e1 vlna uprchl\u00edk\u016f na Z\u00e1pad.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fdm m\u011bst\u016fm hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se v zim\u011b stanou neobyvateln\u00fdmi kv\u016fli nedostatku elekt\u0159iny, vody a topen\u00ed, co\u017e vyvolalo vlnu uprchl\u00edk\u016f prchaj\u00edc\u00edch na z\u00e1pad, co\u017e je situace, o kter\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia dosud neinformovala. Zde p\u0159ekl\u00e1d\u00e1m \u010dl\u00e1nek <\/span>agentury<\/span><\/a> TASS, kter\u00e1 sestavila svou zpr\u00e1vu o situaci na Ukrajin\u011b na z\u00e1klad\u011b informac\u00ed a statistik z vlastn\u00ed zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tek p\u0159ekladu:<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Zima se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed: Ukrajinci se st\u011bhuj\u00ed na z\u00e1pad<\/span><\/h2>\n

Vladimir Kostyrev o sign\u00e1lech, kter\u00e9 vys\u00edl\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00fd trh s pou\u017eit\u00fdmi nemovitostmi.<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

S bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edm se chladn\u00fdm po\u010das\u00edm se na Ukrajin\u011b za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 n\u011bco m\u011bnit: Lid\u00e9 hledaj\u00ed m\u00edsto, kde by str\u00e1vili zimu \u2013 zimu, kter\u00e1 vzhledem k masivn\u00edm probl\u00e9m\u016fm s energetickou infrastrukturou hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se stane nejt\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00edm obdob\u00edm v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 historii zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Preferovanou destinac\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 zahrani\u010d\u00ed. \u201eKde je teplo, tam je domov,\u201c jak prav\u00ed klasick\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edslov\u00ed. Podle Ukrajinsk\u00e9ho institutu pro demografii a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdzkum opustilo zemi v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 500 000 lid\u00ed. Ukrajinci se st\u011bhuj\u00ed na z\u00e1pad \u2013 v\u011bt\u0161inou do Polska a v men\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e do Ma\u010farska nebo Moldavska \u2013 odkud d\u00e1le cestuj\u00ed do dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed EU. Mezi nejvyhled\u00e1van\u011bj\u0161\u00ed destinace pat\u0159\u00ed N\u011bmecko a Rakousko, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed dob\u0159e rozvinut\u00e9 syst\u00e9my soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ne ka\u017ed\u00fd se v\u0161ak dok\u00e1\u017ee usadit na nov\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b \u2013 nebo tam dokonce v\u016fbec vydat na cestu. Zaprv\u00e9, mu\u017ei ve v\u011bku 25 a\u017e 60 let podl\u00e9haj\u00ed mobilizaci a nesm\u00ed opustit zemi. Zadruh\u00e9, jsou zapot\u0159eb\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky \u2013 jak na cestu, tak na po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed v nov\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b. Nav\u00edc pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed kritika evropsk\u00fdch vl\u00e1d ze strany pravicov\u00fdch kruh\u016f omezuje mo\u017enosti \u017e\u00edt ze soci\u00e1ln\u00edch d\u00e1vek; a ne ka\u017ed\u00fd si m\u016f\u017ee nebo chce hledat pr\u00e1ci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kolik lid\u00ed se to celkem dotkne, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1hadou. \u010c\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b je to zp\u016fsobeno t\u00edm, \u017ee demografick\u00e9 statistiky na Ukrajin\u011b \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b \u00fadaj\u016f o pohybu obyvatelstva \u2013 jsou stejn\u011b nespolehliv\u00e9 jako v mnoha jin\u00fdch oblastech. Posledn\u00ed s\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed lidu se uskute\u010dnilo p\u0159ed \u010dtvrt stolet\u00edm, v roce 2001. P\u0159\u00edsn\u011b vzato, sotva kdo v\u00ed, kolik lid\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 na \u00fazem\u00ed ovl\u00e1dan\u00e9m Kyjevem. Odhady se zna\u010dn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed \u2013 pohybuj\u00ed se od p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 milion\u016f do zhruba 30 milion\u016f lid\u00ed. \u010c\u00edsla t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed ode\u0161li od roku 2022, se pohybuj\u00ed v podobn\u00e9m rozmez\u00ed \u2013 mezi 6 miliony a p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 9,5 miliony lid\u00ed. Ur\u010dit\u00fd vhled do migra\u010dn\u00edch vzorc\u016f ukrajinsk\u00e9 populace lze z\u00edskat z cenov\u00fdch trend\u016f na trhu s n\u00e1jmy ve velk\u00fdch m\u011bstech zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka bydlen\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

Podle v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f agentury TASS v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b prudce vzrostly ceny bydlen\u00ed v z\u00e1padn\u00edch regionech zem\u011b. N\u00e1jemn\u00e9 v z\u00e1padoukrajinsk\u00fdch m\u011bstech \u2013 Lvov\u011b, Ivano-Frankivsku, Chmelnicku, Lucku a Ternopilu \u2013 se loni zv\u00fd\u0161ilo o 25 a\u017e 60 procent, co\u017e bylo zp\u016fsobeno probl\u00e9my s dod\u00e1vkami elekt\u0159iny, topen\u00ed a vody ve st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti zem\u011b. V n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech se n\u00e1klady dokonce zdvojn\u00e1sobily, co\u017e se dotklo zejm\u00e9na byt\u016f nach\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch se daleko od za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by mohla b\u00fdt vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na k podpo\u0159e ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 za jednopokojov\u00fd byt ve Lvov\u011b se v \u0159\u00edjnu 2025 pohybovalo kolem 18 000 h\u0159iven (400 USD), od t\u00e9 doby se cena zv\u00fd\u0161ila na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 22 500 h\u0159iven (500 USD, +25 %). N\u00e1r\u016fst je je\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed u dvoupokojov\u00fdch a t\u0159\u00edpokojov\u00fdch byt\u016f: ceny dvoupokojov\u00fdch byt\u016f vzrostly z 22 000\u201323 000 na 30 000 h\u0159iven (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 660 USD, +30 %) a u t\u0159\u00edpokojov\u00fdch byt\u016f z 27 500 h\u0159iven (600 USD) na 38 500 h\u0159iven (850 USD, +40 %).<\/span><\/p>\n

V Ivano-Frankivsku \u010dinil pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd ro\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst 44 % a u jednopokojov\u00fdch byt\u016f 28 %. V Lucku se n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 za jednopokojov\u00fd byt zv\u00fd\u0161ilo z 11 500 h\u0159iven (250 USD) p\u0159ed rokem na 18 000 h\u0159iven (400 USD, +56 %) v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed\/\u0159\u00edjnu 2026. V Chmelnycku se n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161ilo o 25 % (u jednopokojov\u00fdch byt\u016f) na 50 % (u t\u0159\u00edpokojov\u00fdch byt\u016f), zat\u00edmco v Ternopilu \u010dinil n\u00e1r\u016fst p\u0159es 50\u201360 % a v n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech regionu byl je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samostatnou ot\u00e1zkou je pron\u00e1jem soukrom\u00fdch dom\u016f, proto\u017ee ty nab\u00edzej\u00ed vysok\u00fd stupe\u0148 autonomie a pokud se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed ve venkovsk\u00fdch oblastech, potenci\u00e1ln\u011b i v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost. Ve Lvovsk\u00e9 oblasti se n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 za takov\u00e9 domy zv\u00fd\u0161ilo o 40\u201350 % a za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 na zhruba 45 000 h\u0159iven\u00e1ch (1 000 USD). Podle realitn\u00edch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ipad\u00e1 na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b na ka\u017ed\u00fd jednotliv\u00fd pron\u00e1jem p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 50 a\u017e 60 potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch n\u00e1jemn\u00edk\u016f. Kone\u010dn\u00e9 dohodnut\u00e9 n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e inzerovan\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1stka.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Kyjev\u011b v\u0161ak pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 za byt s jednou lo\u017enic\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u011b kleslo p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 10 %, ze 17 500 h\u0159iven (375 USD) na 16 000 h\u0159iven m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Podle realitn\u00edch makl\u00e9\u0159\u016f nav\u00edc mus\u00ed pronaj\u00edmatel\u00e9 \u010dasto nab\u00edzet slevy a\u017e 20 % z p\u016fvodn\u00ed po\u017eadovan\u00e9 ceny, aby skute\u010dn\u011b podepsali n\u00e1jemn\u00ed smlouvu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaplatit nebo zmrazit<\/span><\/h3>\n

Samotn\u00e9 ceny n\u00e1jm\u016f v\u0161ak dostate\u010dn\u011b nevystihuj\u00ed povahu krut\u00e9ho a pokryteck\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd dnes na Ukrajin\u011b panuje. Je ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee zna\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed uprchli nebo ut\u00edkaj\u00ed do Evropy, jsou pr\u00e1v\u011b tito z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajinci, kte\u0159\u00ed pronaj\u00edmaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 bydlen\u00ed. Pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed od sv\u00fdch krajan\u016f, nap\u0159\u00edklad z pobytu v N\u011bmecku, pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed k dopln\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00fdch soci\u00e1ln\u00edch d\u00e1vek. Do jejich dom\u016f se zase st\u011bhuj\u00ed lid\u00e9 z Kyjeva nebo centr\u00e1ln\u00edch region\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed sami pronajali sv\u00e9 byty lidem z oblast\u00ed bl\u00ed\u017ee k frontov\u00e9 linii. To je syst\u00e9m vyko\u0159is\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajinc\u016f Ukrajinci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lid\u00e9 z jihov\u00fdchodu jsou nav\u00edc v jin\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech zem\u011b \u010dasto pova\u017eov\u00e1ni za ob\u010dany druh\u00e9 kategorie, proto\u017ee mluv\u00ed rusky, jazykem, kter\u00fd pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed cel\u00fd \u017eivot. Pen\u011bz je pro n\u011b, stejn\u011b jako pro obyvatele Kyjeva \u2013 a pro v\u011bt\u0161inu z\u00e1padn\u00edch Ukrajinc\u016f \u2013 m\u00e1lo. Medi\u00e1n mzdy se ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b odv\u011btv\u00ed pohybuje mezi 20 000 a 25 000 h\u0159ivnami (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 437 a\u017e 550 USD). Rodina se dv\u011bma pracuj\u00edc\u00edmi dosp\u011bl\u00fdmi ve Lvov\u011b mus\u00ed utratit zhruba polovinu sv\u00e9ho celkov\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edjmu za jednopokojov\u00fd byt a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 cel\u00fd za t\u0159\u00edpokojov\u00fd byt. A to ani nezahrnuje n\u00e1klady na energie, kter\u00e9 se obvykle p\u0159ipo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1vaj\u00ed k n\u00e1jemn\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b cynick\u00e1 v nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch m\u011bstech st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Ukrajiny \u2013 Charkov\u011b, Dn\u011bpru a Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. Pronaj\u00edmatel\u00e9 tam, z nich\u017e mnoz\u00ed sami uprchli p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou, zvy\u0161uj\u00ed n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 t\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed se st\u011bhuj\u00ed z vesnic a mal\u00fdch m\u011bst d\u00e1le na v\u00fdchod. V Charkov\u011b se n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 za jednopokojov\u00fd byt pohybuje kolem 8 000 a\u017e 9 000 h\u0159iven m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b (175\u2013200 USD) a za dvoupokojov\u00fd byt je to 14 000 h\u0159iven (306 USD). I kdy\u017e je to v\u00fdrazn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e ve Lvov\u011b nebo dokonce Kyjev\u011b, p\u0159edstavuje to n\u00e1r\u016fst o 90 a\u017e 100 procent b\u011bhem jedin\u00e9ho roku. V Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed se n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 za jednopokojov\u00fd byt v pr\u016fb\u011bhu roku zv\u00fd\u0161ilo na 7 000 h\u0159iven (155 USD, +40 %) a v Dn\u011bpropetrovsku na 20 000 h\u0159iven (437 USD, +36 %).<\/span><\/p>\n

R\u016fst cen bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pokra\u010dovat. Pokud se situace v energetick\u00e9m sektoru d\u00e1le zhor\u0161\u00ed, emigrace z v\u00fdchodn\u00edch a centr\u00e1ln\u00edch oblast\u00ed zem\u011b se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na a\u017e nastane skute\u010dn\u00e1 zima. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je nab\u00eddka omezen\u00e1: v U\u017ehorodu u\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nezb\u00fdvaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 voln\u00e9 byty a v\u011bt\u0161ina m\u011bst na z\u00e1pad\u011b Ukrajiny je pom\u011brn\u011b mal\u00e1. Jejich bytov\u00fd fond zdaleka nesta\u010d\u00ed k uspokojen\u00ed popt\u00e1vky lid\u00ed v Kyjev\u011b, Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed, Dn\u011bpru nebo Charkov\u011b, kte\u0159\u00ed cht\u011bj\u00ed str\u00e1vit zimu na tepl\u00e9m a relativn\u011b klidn\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b. Po\u010det obyvatel Ivano-Frankivska se k 1. lednu 2022 odhadoval na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 237 000. Dokonce i Lvov m\u011bl pouze kolem 717 000 obyvatel, zat\u00edmco Kyjev m\u00e1 p\u011btkr\u00e1t v\u00edce a Charkiv dvaap\u016flkr\u00e1t v\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kam p\u016fjdou ti, pro kter\u00e9 u\u017e nen\u00ed m\u00edsto? Co se stane s ekonomikami m\u011bst, jejich\u017e obyvatelstvo migruje na z\u00e1pad? A kolik stovek tis\u00edc Ukrajinc\u016f rad\u011bji vyhled\u00e1 \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed v zahrani\u010d\u00ed, ne\u017e aby doma zmrzlo? Vl\u00e1da v Kyjev\u011b na tyto ot\u00e1zky nenab\u00edz\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 odpov\u011bdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Konec p\u0159ekladu<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se na Ukrajin\u011b vyost\u0159uj\u00ed probl\u00e9my s dod\u00e1vkami elekt\u0159iny, vody a topen\u00ed,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119712,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1635,2778,1101],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119711"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119711"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119711\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}