{"id":119584,"date":"2026-10-28T00:30:37","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T23:30:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=119584"},"modified":"2026-10-27T18:04:29","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T17:04:29","slug":"andrew-korybko-pet-duvodu-proc-trump-bere-dohody-s-putinem-vazneji-nez-kdy-jindy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/28\/andrew-korybko-pet-duvodu-proc-trump-bere-dohody-s-putinem-vazneji-nez-kdy-jindy\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: P\u011bt d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d Trump bere dohody s Putinem v\u00e1\u017en\u011bji ne\u017e kdy jindy"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Putin to bere v\u00e1\u017en\u011bji ne\u017e kdy jindy, a to i z naprosto jin\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159ekvapiv\u00e1 dohoda mezi Ruskem a USA o naft\u011b z po\u010d\u00e1tku \u0159\u00edjna p\u0159edstavovala prvn\u00ed bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed dohodu mezi nimi od roku 2022 a co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, neobsahovala ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se Ukrajiny. To zase p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dilo pozorovatele, a\u0165 u\u017e nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 nebo sp\u0159\u00e1telen\u00e9, \u017ee Trump to s uzav\u0159en\u00edm dohod s Putinem mysl\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011bji ne\u017e kdy jindy, a to rok pot\u00e9, co jejich <\/span>summit v Anchorage <\/span><\/a>vyvolal velk\u00e9 nad\u011bje, kter\u00e9 pozd\u011bji vedly k hlubok\u00e9mu zklam\u00e1n\u00ed. Jeho zm\u011bnu n\u00e1zoru lze pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159ipsat n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm p\u011bti d\u016fvod\u016fm:<\/span><\/p>\n

———-<\/span><\/p>\n

1. Duchovn\u00ed n\u00e1stupce protiofenz\u00edvy z roku 2023 selhal<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zelensk\u00e9ho <\/span>40denn\u00ed kampa\u0148 na z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed vlivu <\/span><\/a>, v n\u00ed\u017e se sna\u017eil Putina donutit k p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed bez p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00fdch podm\u00ednek prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm <\/span>systematick\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f proti rusk\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e <\/span><\/a>, p\u0159edstavovala duchovn\u00edho n\u00e1stupce protiofenz\u00edvy z roku 2023. <\/span>Podobn\u011b selhala <\/span><\/a>. Je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee vyprovokovala Putina k \u201e <\/span>eskalaci a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 deeskalaci <\/span><\/a>\u201c, co\u017e by mohlo <\/span>Ukrajinu do zimy srazit na kolena <\/span><\/a>. Zelenskyj sl\u00edbil, \u017ee <\/span>m\u00edsto <\/a><\/span>toho sraz\u00ed na kolena Putina <\/span><\/a>, a proto\u017ee to nesplnil, Trump ho <\/span>op\u011bt <\/span><\/a>pova\u017euje za podvodn\u00edka.<\/span><\/p>\n

2. Trump se c\u00edt\u00ed b\u00fdt vyzv\u00e1n k prosazen\u00ed se jako Alfa<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zelensk\u00e9ho v\u00fdslovn\u00fd odpor v\u016f\u010di Trumpov\u00fdm po\u017eadavk\u016fm ne\u00fato\u010dit na rusk\u00e9 rafinerie, kter\u00fd u\u010dinil s \u00famyslem stabilizovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00fd trh pot\u00e9, co ho naru\u0161ila t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, je bezprecedentn\u00ed v\u00fdzvou pro jeho autoritu. Trump to <\/span>\u00fadajn\u011b tak\u00e9 p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 <\/span><\/a>k vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed se do voleb v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed. Pokud by to Trump ignoroval, nejen\u017ee by se osobn\u011b pon\u00ed\u017eil, ale tak\u00e9 by podkopal glob\u00e1ln\u00ed postaven\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu. Mus\u00ed mu proto d\u00e1t nezapomenutelnou lekci, aby si \u201ezachoval tv\u00e1\u0159\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e1 krize \u010din\u00ed v\u0161e o to nal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00edm<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Prudce rostouc\u00ed \u017eivotn\u00ed n\u00e1klady vyvolan\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou kriz\u00ed p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozbu pro republik\u00e1nskou kontrolu nad B\u00edl\u00fdm domem v roce 2028. Aby si Trump zachoval sv\u016fj dom\u00e1c\u00ed odkaz, mus\u00ed do t\u00e9 doby sn\u00ed\u017eit ceny pro spot\u0159ebitele, co\u017e vy\u017eaduje sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed ceny pohonn\u00fdch hmot. Nejspolehliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm zp\u016fsobem, jak odradit pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na rusk\u00e9 rafinerie, kter\u00e9 jsou zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 za prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen, je uzav\u0159\u00edt s Putinem dohodu, kter\u00e1 zahrnuje americk\u00e9 pod\u00edly v nich jako bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruku pro Rusko.<\/span><\/p>\n

4. Realita po st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch je dal\u0161\u00edm motivuj\u00edc\u00edm faktorem<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta alespo\u0148 jedn\u00e9 komory Kongresu ve prosp\u011bch demokrat\u016f p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b motivuje Trumpa k urychlen\u00ed jeho \u00fasil\u00ed o p\u0159etvo\u0159en\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du tak, aby vytvo\u0159il fait accompli, kter\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eije jeho administrativu jako jeho glob\u00e1ln\u00ed odkaz, i kdyby demokrat\u00e9 v roce 2028 znovu z\u00edskali B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm. P\u0159edstavuje si <\/span>strategick\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed <\/a>s Ruskem <\/span>zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na zdroje , kter\u00e9 <\/span><\/a>nevratn\u011b posune rovnov\u00e1hu <\/a>\u010d\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9 syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 rivality ve prosp\u011bch USA. Zb\u00fdvaj\u00ed mu u\u017e jen dva roky na to, aby to zajistil, a v\u00ed, \u017ee je to te\u010f, nebo nikdy.<\/span><\/p>\n

5. Trajektorie \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 supervelmoci se brzy stane nezvratnou<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b tak je pro USA nyn\u00ed, nebo nikdy, aby zhatily trajektorii \u010c\u00edny jako supervelmoci vyu\u017eit\u00edm v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed s Ruskem k tomuto \u00fa\u010delu, jinak se to brzy stane nevratn\u00fdm, a proto je nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 uzav\u0159\u00edt s Ruskem dohody, kter\u00e9 ipso facto \u010c\u00edn\u011b odep\u00edraj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k lo\u017eisk\u016fm surovin investovan\u00fdm USA. \u201e <\/span>\u010c\u00edna nechce, aby na Ukrajin\u011b kdokoli vyhr\u00e1l <\/span><\/a>\u201c, proto\u017ee pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu, zejm\u00e9na prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm <\/span>prodeje dron\u016f Ukrajin\u011b <\/span><\/a>, d\u00e1le oddaluje americk\u00fd \u201e <\/span>obrat k Asii <\/span><\/a>\u201c. To je o to v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod, aby Trump tento konflikt co nejd\u0159\u00edve ukon\u010dil.<\/span><\/p>\n

———-<\/span><\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed <\/span>ekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady <\/span><\/a>rusk\u00fdch z\u00e1vod\u016f ve zbrojen\u00ed s Evropou, pravd\u011bpodobnost <\/span>zahrani\u010dn\u011b zorganizovan\u00fdch <\/span><\/a>dom\u00e1c\u00edch nepokoj\u016f, <\/a>kter\u00e9 jsou jimi fale\u0161n\u011b ospravedl\u0148ov\u00e1ny, a celkov\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta dal\u0161\u00edch strategick\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed <\/a>p\u0159edur\u010duj\u00ed Putina k uzav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed dohod s Trumpem, m\u00edsto aby pokra\u010doval v uskute\u010d\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch maxim\u00e1ln\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f <\/a>na Ukrajin\u011b. V\u00fdm\u011bnou za energetickou dohodu mezi Ruskem, Ukrajinou a EU zprost\u0159edkovanou USA <\/a>, rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed americk\u00fdch sil z Evropy a nov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o kontrole zbrojen\u00ed by Putin mohl souhlasit s velk\u00fdmi kompromisy <\/a>ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Putin to bere v\u00e1\u017en\u011bji ne\u017e kdy jindy, a to i z naprosto jin\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f. P\u0159ekvapiv\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119585,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,924,11924,102],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119584"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119584"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119584\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119585"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}