{"id":119371,"date":"2026-10-26T00:19:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-25T23:19:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=119371"},"modified":"2026-10-25T13:58:01","modified_gmt":"2026-10-25T12:58:01","slug":"nejdrive-strach-pak-namerena-data-golfsky-proud-zesilil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/26\/nejdrive-strach-pak-namerena-data-golfsky-proud-zesilil\/","title":{"rendered":"Nejd\u0159\u00edve strach, pak nam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 data: Golfsk\u00fd proud zes\u00edlil"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Klimati\u010dt\u00ed alarmist\u00e9 se n\u00e1m u\u017e l\u00e9ta sna\u017e\u00ed prodat d\u011bsiv\u00e9 historky o hroz\u00edc\u00edm kolapsu Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu \u2013 a dob\u011b ledov\u00e9 v Evrop\u011b. Jedin\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed v\u011bdci s vyu\u017eit\u00edm satelitn\u00edch dat zaznamenali mezi lety 2014 a 2023 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 zrychlen\u00ed oce\u00e1nsk\u00fdch proud\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0161ance na pom\u011brn\u011b m\u00edrnou zimu v Evrop\u011b nejsou v\u016fbec \u0161patn\u00e9. Pro n\u011bmeckou vl\u00e1du by to bylo \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed, proto\u017ee po v\u0161ech t\u011bch miliard\u00e1ch investovan\u00fdch do energetick\u00e9 transformace se Berl\u00edn, vzhledem ke sv\u00fdm skromn\u00fdm z\u00e1sob\u00e1m plynu, mus\u00ed op\u011bt spol\u00e9hat na po\u010das\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/energy\/el-nino-warmth-crushes-us-natgas-futs-15-weekly-rout\"><span dir=\"auto\">V USA<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> sta\u010d\u00ed v sou\u010dasnosti jen n\u011bkolik p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed po\u010das\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edch tepl\u00e9 podzimn\u00ed po\u010das\u00ed k prudk\u00e9mu poklesu cen plynu. Americk\u00e9 futures kontrakty na zemn\u00ed plyn ztratily b\u011bhem t\u00fddne ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch 15 procent. V Evrop\u011b je situace p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00e1. Zde se ceny vy\u0161plhaly na zhruba 93 eur za megawatthodinu \u2013 nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 od roku 2022. Zat\u00edmco Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 si vzhledem k m\u00edrn\u00e9mu v\u00fdhledu mohou vydechnout, Evropan\u00e9 si mus\u00ed kv\u016fli probl\u00e9m\u016fm s dod\u00e1vkami z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu v d\u016fsledku konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem hluboko s\u00e1hnout do kapsy.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X P\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=true&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=2113986365759361493&amp;lang=cs&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Freport24.news%2F%3Fp%3D182561&amp;sessionId=960beeb86032b5f132612962df14a32460da7941&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=6a3ad42b224df%3A1778106238597&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"2113986365759361493\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3 id=\"h-rettet-uns-ein-milder-winter\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zachr\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1s m\u00edrn\u00e1 zima?<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">N\u011bmecko je zasa\u017eeno obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b t\u011b\u017ece. Z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu byly <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/germany-secures-extra-winter-gas-supplies-storage-levels-lag-2026-10-23\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">k<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> 21. \u0159\u00edjnu napln\u011bny pouze z 61,1 procenta, oproti 75,4 procenta v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce. N\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da si proto zaji\u0161\u0165uje rezervy plynu ve v\u00fd\u0161i t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 245 milion\u016f eur. Jen 107 milion\u016f eur je vy\u010dlen\u011bno na dodate\u010dn\u00e1 preventivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed na \u00fanor a b\u0159ezen. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee zima se ji\u017e nyn\u00ed r\u00fdsuje jako drah\u00e1, a to je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edchodem prvn\u00edch del\u0161\u00edch mraz\u016f, proto\u017ee vysok\u00e9 ceny plynu se p\u0159enesou na spot\u0159ebitele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ale tentokr\u00e1t by n\u011bmeck\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b mohla zachr\u00e1nit k\u016f\u017ei samotn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edroda. V Tichomo\u0159\u00ed se rozvinul mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b siln\u00fd El Ni\u00f1o, kter\u00fd naru\u0161il pov\u011btrnostn\u00ed vzorce na severn\u00ed polokouli. Americk\u00e1 meteorologick\u00e1 slu\u017eba NOAA <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/climate.copernicus.eu\/seasonal-forecasts\"><span dir=\"auto\">o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> siln\u00fd a\u017e velmi siln\u00fd jev. Slibn\u00e9 jsou i evropsk\u00e9 sez\u00f3nn\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bdi: Copernicus p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 zimn\u00ed teploty pro velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Evropy. Ka\u017ed\u00fd m\u00edrn\u00fd den \u0161et\u0159\u00ed plyn. Ka\u017ed\u00e9 zme\u0161kan\u00e9 chladn\u00e9 n\u00e1valy ulevuj\u00ed od tlaku na skladovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-gute-nachrichten-in-sachen-golfstrom\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Dobr\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy ohledn\u011b Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Do tohoto obrazu dokonale zapad\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1va z klimatologick\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumu. Pamatujete si neust\u00e1l\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed \u00fadajn\u011b bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm kolapsem Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu? Nov\u00e1 doba ledov\u00e1 pro Evropu, ni\u010div\u00e9 ne\u00farody, chaos po\u010das\u00ed a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed velk\u00e1 klimatick\u00e1 katastrofa. Report24 se opakovan\u011b zab\u00fdval t\u00edmto stra\u0161en\u00edm a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/panikmache-vor-golfstrom-kollaps-wissenschaft-oder-scharlatanerie\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">odkazoval se<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> na studie , kter\u00e9 vykresluj\u00ed zcela odli\u0161n\u00fd obraz atlantsk\u00fdch proud\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdzkumn\u00edci NOAA pod veden\u00edm Shenfu Donga nyn\u00ed prozkoumali satelitn\u00ed m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed z let 1993 a\u017e 2023. Jejich studie \u201e <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2026GL122338\"><span dir=\"auto\">Rychl\u00e1 povrchov\u00e1 intenzifikace Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu od roku 2014<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> \u201c, publikovan\u00e1 v srpnu 2026, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nepot\u011b\u0161\u00ed zast\u00e1nce sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edho kolapsu Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu. Po obdob\u00ed slabosti v letech 2005 a\u017e 2014 voln\u011b tekouc\u00ed Golfsk\u00fd proud v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161il svou rychlost. Sou\u010dasn\u011b se posunul d\u00e1le na sever a tvo\u0159il m\u00e9n\u011b velk\u00fdch meandr\u016f. To bylo zp\u016fsobeno p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm zm\u011bn\u011bn\u00fdmi v\u011btrn\u00fdmi vzorci nad severn\u00edm Atlantikem.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-ein-komplexes-bild\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Slo\u017eit\u00fd obraz<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Golfsk\u00fd <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aoml.noaa.gov\/satellite-data-reveals-gulf-stream-intensification\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">proud<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> p\u0159en\u00e1\u0161\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed tepl\u00e9 vody na sever, \u010d\u00edm\u017e ovliv\u0148uje evropsk\u00e9 klima. Nov\u00e1 studie ukazuje, jak drasticky se proud m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika let. Zachycuje v\u0161ak pouze \u010d\u00e1st syst\u00e9mu Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu. Nelze jej pou\u017e\u00edt k posouzen\u00ed cel\u00e9 atlantick\u00e9 meridion\u00e1ln\u00ed cirkulace (AMOC), ani s n\u00edm nelze p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt po\u010das\u00ed pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zimu. P\u0159esto jsou tyto rozd\u00edly v obvykl\u00fdch titulc\u00edch o \u00fadajn\u011b bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm kolapsu Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu \u010dasto p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017eeny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ot\u00e1zkou z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1: pro\u010d ty nejhor\u0161\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 modely soustavn\u011b z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pozornost m\u00e9di\u00ed? P\u0159edpov\u011bdi na konec stolet\u00ed jsou ne\u00fam\u011brn\u011b zveli\u010dov\u00e1ny do hororov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh\u016f, zat\u00edmco m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje \u010dasto generuj\u00ed mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b titulk\u016f. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm hor\u0161\u00ed je p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed je jej\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e1 hodnota. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/neue-studie-mit-realen-daten-der-golfstrom-bleibt-stabil\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">Studie z posledn\u00edch let<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> v\u0161ak ukazuj\u00ed , \u017ee je st\u00e1le velk\u00e1 pot\u0159eba dal\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdzkumu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-berlin-setzt-auf-das-prinzip-hoffnung\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Berl\u00edn s\u00e1z\u00ed na princip nad\u011bje<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Berl\u00edn se mezit\u00edm pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s \u00fapln\u011b jinou ot\u00e1zkou: Jak\u00e1 bude zima? Po postupn\u00e9m odstaven\u00ed jadern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren, opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho plynovodu a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed v\u00fdroby elekt\u0159iny z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na po\u010das\u00ed o n\u011bkolik miliard eur z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 dod\u00e1vka energie siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9m zemn\u00edm plynu. V obdob\u00edch n\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdkonu v\u011btrn\u00e9 a sol\u00e1rn\u00ed energie mus\u00ed zas\u00e1hnout dispe\u010dersky ovl\u00e1dan\u00e9 plynov\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny, zat\u00edmco ceny plynu ji\u017e nyn\u00ed prudce rostou. Dlouhodob\u00e9 obdob\u00ed mraz\u016f by mohlo je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce zat\u00ed\u017eit ji\u017e tak pot\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se n\u011bmeck\u00fd pr\u016fmysl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">M\u00edrn\u00e1 zima by proto feder\u00e1ln\u00ed vl\u00e1d\u011b u\u0161et\u0159ila spoustu probl\u00e9m\u016f. Ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed popt\u00e1vka po vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed, ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed spot\u0159eba plynu a doufejme i ur\u010dit\u00e1 \u00faleva od rostouc\u00edch cen. Politika, kter\u00e1 se m\u00edsto zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed stabiln\u00edch a spolehliv\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek energie spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na zbo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed, v\u0161ak nem\u00e1 jinou mo\u017enost. Proto\u017ee jedin\u00e9, co mohou d\u011blat, je doufat, \u017ee v\u011bci nebudou tak \u0161patn\u00e9, jak se ob\u00e1valo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Klimati\u010dt\u00ed alarmist\u00e9 se n\u00e1m u\u017e l\u00e9ta sna\u017e\u00ed prodat d\u011bsiv\u00e9 historky o hroz\u00edc\u00edm kolapsu Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[8110,873,2648],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119371"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119371"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119371\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}