{"id":119165,"date":"2026-10-23T04:57:28","date_gmt":"2026-10-23T02:57:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=119165"},"modified":"2026-10-23T04:57:28","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T02:57:28","slug":"uriel-araujo-nato-3-0-konec-atlanticke-aliance-jak-ji-zname","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/23\/uriel-araujo-nato-3-0-konec-atlanticke-aliance-jak-ji-zname\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: NATO 3.0 – konec atlantick\u00e9 aliance, jak ji zn\u00e1me?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Washington chce, aby Evropa nesla v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee NATO a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si zachovala strategickou kontrolu. Vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed model NATO 3.0 by mohl z\u00e1sadn\u011b transformovat transatlantickou alianci.<\/strong><\/p>\n

S t\u00edm, jak se tento m\u011bs\u00edc (13.\u201323. \u0159\u00edjna) odv\u00edj\u00ed<\/span><\/a> ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO , se r\u00fdsuje vnit\u0159n\u00ed zm\u011bna, kter\u00e1 by mohla znamenat konec aliance, jak jsme ji znali: <\/span>NATO 3.0<\/span><\/a> .<\/span><\/p>\n

NATO 3.0 je o obnoven\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hy, nikoli o nov\u00e9 smlouv\u011b: od Evropy se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee p\u0159evezme prim\u00e1rn\u00ed odpov\u011bdnost za svou konven\u010dn\u00ed obranu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato koncepce, kter\u00e1 byla letos p\u0159edstavena<\/span><\/a> jako vize <\/span>Elbridge Colbyho<\/span><\/a> , n\u00e1m\u011bstka ministra obrany pro politickou politiku v Trumpov\u011b administrativ\u011b, si klade za c\u00edl umo\u017enit Washingtonu omezit velkou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9 konven\u010dn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v Evrop\u011b \u2013 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zachovat americk\u00fd jadern\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk a zachovat strategick\u00e9 veden\u00ed USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak poznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed<\/span><\/a> experti Rebecca Lissner a Turner Ruggi , posun je ji\u017e viditeln\u00fd. Z N\u011bmecka se stahuje zhruba <\/span>5 000<\/span><\/a> voj\u00e1k\u016f, Rumunsko opustila rota\u010dn\u00ed brig\u00e1da bez n\u00e1hrady a diskutuje se o dal\u0161\u00edm sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed po\u010dtu <\/span>voj\u00e1k\u016f o 25 000 a\u017e 40 000. P\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky v r\u00e1mci modelu sil NATO by mohly b\u00fdt sn\u00ed\u017eeny o <\/span><\/a>t\u0159etinu a\u017e polovinu<\/span><\/a> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Jadern\u00e9 s\u00edly by naopak m\u011bly z\u016fstat americk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvkem, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b s roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fdm z\u00e1kladem letadel s <\/span>dvojitou kapacitou<\/span><\/a> . Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Mark Rutte <\/span>popsal<\/span><\/a> tento proces jako proces, kter\u00fd Alianci \u010din\u00ed \u201eevrop\u0161t\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c, aby z\u016fstala \u201etransatlantick\u00e1\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto se t\u00fdk\u00e1 doby p\u0159ed Trumpem: za Bidena se Washington ji\u017e sna\u017eil <\/span>p\u0159esunout<\/span><\/a> ukrajinskou <\/span>z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e<\/span><\/a> na Evropu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si udr\u017eet vliv a prodej zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tvrdil<\/span><\/a> jsem, \u017ee Trump pouze zp\u0159\u00edsnil po\u017eadavek a urychlil \u010dasov\u00fd harmonogram. Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed logika je p\u0159\u00edmo\u010dar\u00e1: americk\u00e9 zdroje jsou <\/span>p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9<\/span><\/a> v Evrop\u011b, indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle<\/span><\/a> expert\u016f z Hudsonova institutu Petera Rougha a Ulricha Specka douf\u00e1 Washington, \u017ee p\u0159eveden\u00edm konven\u010dn\u00edch obrann\u00fdch povinnost\u00ed na Evropany uvoln\u00ed kapacity pro konkurenci jinde \u2013 ani\u017e by se vzdal sv\u00e9 pozice na vrcholu aliance.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak tvrd\u00ed<\/span><\/a> Robbin Laird , sd\u00edlen\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee nen\u00ed sd\u00edlen\u00ed moci: Evropa m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159isp\u011bt v\u00edce voj\u00e1ky a pen\u011bzi, zat\u00edmco Washington st\u00e1le utv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti, pokud se evropsk\u00e9 zbrojen\u00ed bude i nad\u00e1le siln\u011b <\/span>spol\u00e9hat<\/span><\/a> na americk\u00e1 letadla, rakety, software a zpravodajsk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, ekonomick\u00e9 zisky se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b vr\u00e1t\u00ed americk\u00e9mu pr\u016fmyslu a <\/span>z\u00e1vislost<\/span><\/a> bude p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat. Jadernou z\u00e1ruku je nejt\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed nahradit: navzdory sv\u00fdm arzen\u00e1l\u016fm a rostouc\u00ed jadern\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci se Francie a Brit\u00e1nie nemohou rychle vyrovnat americk\u00e9mu de\u0161tn\u00edku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kritici jako Laird proto varuj\u00ed, \u017ee ze z\u00e1padn\u00edho pohledu odd\u011blen\u00ed odpov\u011bdnosti za konven\u010dn\u00ed a jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b riskuje podkop\u00e1n\u00ed obou pil\u00ed\u0159\u016f odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed najednou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili<\/span><\/a> Lissner a Ruggi , konven\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly funguj\u00ed jako \u201ez\u00e1brana\u201c, kter\u00e1 zvy\u0161uje d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost jadern\u00e9 eskalace; pokud bude odstran\u011bna p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 rychle, samotn\u00e1 z\u00e1ruka se m\u016f\u017ee jevit m\u00e9n\u011b spolehliv\u00e1. Evropa st\u00e1le nem\u00e1 dostate\u010dn\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed schopnosti pro \u00fatoky na dlouh\u00e9 vzd\u00e1lenosti a bude pot\u0159ebovat roky, aby tuto mezeru p\u0159eklenula.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm n\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 mocnosti, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad <\/span>Polsko<\/span><\/a> , nad\u00e1le usiluj\u00ed o trval\u00e9 americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, p\u0159esto\u017ee Washington signalizuje opa\u010dn\u00fd sm\u011br. V\u011bt\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e1 odpov\u011bdnost (podle Lairda) by nav\u00edc <\/span>mohla<\/span><\/a> p\u0159esunout rizika konfrontace s Ruskem na Polsko, Pobalt\u00ed, Seversk\u00e9 zem\u011b a N\u011bmecko jako logistick\u00e9 centrum.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m je v tom, \u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed <\/span>antagonizace Moskvy<\/span><\/a> prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm navy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly riskuje eskalaci. Zach\u00e1zet s Ruskem pouze jako s hrozbou, kterou je t\u0159eba omezit, a ne jako se sousedem, s n\u00edm\u017e mus\u00ed Evropa jednat, je chybn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento posun by mohl tak\u00e9 prohloubit rozd\u00edly mezi v\u00fdchodn\u00edmi \u010dleny usiluj\u00edc\u00edmi o americk\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky a francouzsk\u00fdm \u00fasil\u00edm o \u201estrategickou autonomii\u201c. V\u00fdsledkem by se mohly uk\u00e1zat sp\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159ekr\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed se koalice ne\u017e jednotn\u00fd evropsk\u00fd hlas.<\/span><\/p>\n

NATO 3.0 tak\u00e9 odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed americk\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o reorganizaci spojenectv\u00ed v nov\u011b vznikaj\u00edc\u00edm multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b. V\u011bt\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e1 konven\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edla m\u00e1 v tomto kontextu za c\u00edl \u201euvolnit\u201c americk\u00e1 \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e1 aktiva, jeliko\u017e se Washington sv\u00fdm <\/span>osciluj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem<\/span><\/a> obrac\u00ed k indicko-pacifick\u00e9mu regionu a <\/span>Americe<\/span><\/a> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed Evropa by v\u0161ak nakonec mohla po\u017eadovat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv nap\u0159\u00edklad na politiku a diplomacii v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b s Moskvou. Toto nap\u011bt\u00ed je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ji\u017e patrn\u00e9 v prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed se <\/span>francouzsko-britsk\u00e9<\/span><\/a> jadern\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci a v roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed se s\u00edti pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00fdch dvoustrann\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch konzultac\u00ed. Nejm\u00e9n\u011b <\/span>dev\u011bt evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed<\/span><\/a> letos zah\u00e1jilo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Franci\u00ed o jej\u00ed navrhovan\u00e9 iniciativ\u011b odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vp\u0159ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed aliance se jen tak nerozpadne. NATO 3.0 je sp\u00ed\u0161e l\u00e9pe ch\u00e1p\u00e1no jako adaptace jak\u00e9si americk\u00e9 hegemonie za omezen\u00fdch zdroj\u016f \u2013 p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed star\u0161\u00ed snahy, jako je Nixonova doktr\u00edna, nebo <\/span>dokonce<\/span><\/a> tehdej\u0161\u00ed pozn\u00e1mky sen\u00e1tora Joea Bidena z <\/span>roku 1997<\/span><\/a> o \u201erovnom\u011brn\u00e9m sd\u00edlen\u00ed n\u00e1klad\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jde o to, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se sna\u017e\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit n\u00e1klady na udr\u017een\u00ed sv\u00e9ho prim\u00e1tu, ani\u017e by se ho vzdaly \u2013 op\u011bt si cht\u011bj\u00ed nechat uj\u00edt i dort. Zda v\u00fdsledkem bude v\u00edce evropsk\u00e1, ale st\u00e1le veden\u00e1 USA aliance, skute\u010dn\u00e1 \u201estrategick\u00e1 autonomie\u201c pro Evropu, nebo fragmentovan\u00e1 a m\u00e9n\u011b soudr\u017en\u00e1 struktura, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou koneckonc\u016f nen\u00ed jen to, kdo plat\u00ed a kdo bojuje konven\u010dn\u00ed bitvy, ale kdo nakonec rozhoduje o strategick\u00fdch priorit\u00e1ch aliance. Evropa je po\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1na, aby nesla v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed b\u0159emeno. Skute\u010dnou zkou\u0161kou je, zda toto b\u0159emeno nakonec p\u0159inese odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed autoritu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Washington chce, aby Evropa nesla v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee NATO a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si zachovala strategickou…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119166,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,45,39],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119165"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119165"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119165\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119165"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119165"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119165"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}