{"id":118518,"date":"2026-10-16T00:12:48","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T22:12:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=118518"},"modified":"2026-10-15T07:52:28","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T05:52:28","slug":"andrew-korybko-de-facto-rozsireni-nato-do-kaspickeho-more-je-nevyhnutelne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/16\/andrew-korybko-de-facto-rozsireni-nato-do-kaspickeho-more-je-nevyhnutelne\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: De facto roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed NATO do Kaspick\u00e9ho mo\u0159e je nevyhnuteln\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Rusko m\u00e1 st\u00e1le \u010das navrhnout bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky podobn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00fdm, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo dal\u0161\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Politico ned\u00e1vno publikovalo \u010dl\u00e1nek o tom, jak \u201e <\/span>Francie a Turecko blokuj\u00ed snahu NATO o prohlouben\u00ed vazeb s kavkazsk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi <\/span><\/a>\u201c, ne proto, \u017ee by s t\u00edm principi\u00e1ln\u011b nesouhlasily, ale proto, \u017ee Turecko blokuje obnoven\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9ho partnersk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu pot\u00e9, co Francie odm\u00edtla schv\u00e1lit pl\u00e1n \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu. Francie a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n se dlouhodob\u011b neshoduj\u00ed ohledn\u011b podpory Arm\u00e9nie ze strany Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee, zejm\u00e9na v kontextu <\/span>konfliktu v Karabachu <\/span><\/a>, a ned\u00e1vno i kv\u016fli zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed francouzsk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem (kte\u0159\u00ed byli pozd\u011bji propu\u0161t\u011bni).<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle serveru Politico \u201ezpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed donutilo NATO do\u010dasn\u011b prodlou\u017eit zastaral\u00e1 partnerstv\u00ed Arm\u00e9nie a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu, a to i p\u0159es t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dokon\u010den\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o nov\u00fdch pl\u00e1nech,\u201c uvedli t\u0159i z diplomat\u016f. Nov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny by umo\u017enily jejich \u00fa\u010dast na spole\u010dn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00edch, pos\u00edlily by vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdcvik a zintenzivnily kulturn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci a\u017e po zaveden\u00ed m\u00edstn\u00edch kurz\u016f angli\u010dtiny, dodali. Spole\u010dn\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO s \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem by se mohla po schv\u00e1len\u00ed pl\u00e1nu konat na pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Kaspick\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nic z toho nep\u0159ekvapuje bystr\u00e9 pozorovatele. \u201eTrumpova cesta k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu m\u00edru a prosperit\u011b\u201c ( <\/span>TRIPP <\/span><\/a>) ze srpna 2025 m\u00e1 nevysloven\u00fd dvoj\u00ed \u00fa\u010del \u2013 vojensk\u00fd logistick\u00fd koridor NATO ke Kaspick\u00e9mu mo\u0159i a odtud d\u00e1le do St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie. TRIPP je tedy prost\u0159edkem, kter\u00fdm se NATO sna\u017e\u00ed omezit Rusko <\/span>na ji\u017en\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle <\/span><\/a>nov\u00e9ho \u201e <\/span>sanit\u00e1rn\u00edho kordonu <\/span><\/a>\u201c, kter\u00fd kolem n\u011bj sestavil Trump 2.0. \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n <\/span>p\u0159edstavuje pro Rusko v\u00fdzvu podobnou Ukrajin\u011b <\/span><\/a>t\u00edm, \u017ee funguje jako nenahraditeln\u00fd tranzitn\u00ed st\u00e1t TRIPP.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud by \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n <\/span>spolupracoval s Ruskem <\/span><\/a>, aby zajistil, \u017ee TRIPP nebude zneu\u017eit k vojensk\u00fdm \u00fa\u010del\u016fm, pak by \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m nebyl, ale Baku takov\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy nem\u00e1 a m\u00edsto toho se postavilo za Z\u00e1pad. Prezident Ilham Alijev dokonce loni v listopadu <\/span>ozn\u00e1mil <\/span><\/a>, \u017ee ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly jeho zem\u011b dokon\u010dily p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed se standard\u016fm NATO a <\/span>jejich n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed drony <\/span><\/a>by mohly v krizov\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch ohrozit ruskou Kaspickou flotilu, <\/span>stejn\u011b jako <\/span><\/a>v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b Ukrajina ohro\u017euje jej\u00ed \u010dernomo\u0159skou flotilu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n je tak\u00e9 na cest\u011b k dal\u0161\u00ed integraci sv\u00e9 ekonomiky s ekonomikou EU. Nejen\u017ee pom\u00e1h\u00e1 bloku nahradit ruskou energii, ale tak\u00e9 usnadn\u00ed jejich obchod se St\u0159edn\u00ed Asi\u00ed. Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 komise Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1 minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc <\/span>ozn\u00e1mila <\/span><\/a>, \u017ee \u201ese budeme sna\u017eit z\u00edskat a\u017e 12 miliard eur ve ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch a soukrom\u00fdch investic\u00edch\u201c do region\u00e1ln\u00ed logistiky pod\u00e9l tzv. \u201e <\/span>st\u0159edn\u00edho koridoru <\/span><\/a>\u201c. To v\u0161e utahuje smy\u010dku kolem ji\u017en\u00edho k\u0159\u00eddla Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc <\/span>nazna\u010dil <\/span><\/a>, \u017ee jeho lid\u00e9 jsou n\u011bkdy optimisti\u010dt\u00ed a\u017e do bodu implicitn\u00ed naivity a tak\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed tendenci proaktivn\u011b \u0159e\u0161it latentn\u00ed krize. S hlubokou \u00factou k t\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou zodpov\u011bdn\u00ed za formulov\u00e1n\u00ed jeho politiky, se d\u00e1 tvrdit, \u017ee to tak je i v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b hrozby, kterou pro Rusko p\u0159edstavuje dohoda TRIPP. To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee by Rusko m\u011blo v\u00e9st preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu, jen \u017ee by si m\u011blo urychlen\u011b uv\u011bdomit hrozby, kter\u00e9 z n\u011bj plynou.<\/span><\/p>\n

S v\u00fdhledem do budoucna je stejn\u011b jako nevyhnuteln\u00e9 faktick\u00e9 roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed NATO do Kaspick\u00e9ho mo\u0159e nevyhnuteln\u00e9 i to, \u017ee se zes\u00edl\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed hrozby Ruskem v\u016f\u010di \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu. \u010c\u00edm d\u0159\u00edve, t\u00edm l\u00e9pe, proto\u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 st\u00e1le \u010das navrhnout <\/span>bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky podobn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00fdm, <\/span><\/a>aby se zabr\u00e1nilo dal\u0161\u00ed <\/span>speci\u00e1ln\u00ed <\/span><\/a>operaci <\/a>. V t\u00e9to souvislosti by se mohly t\u00fdkat souhlasu \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu s rusk\u00fdmi inspekcemi n\u00e1kladu TRIPP a nepovolen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch spole\u010dn\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO na sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, ale Alijev by s t\u00edm nemusel souhlasit, pokud na n\u011bj Putin trochu nezatla\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusko m\u00e1 st\u00e1le \u010das navrhnout bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky podobn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00fdm, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo dal\u0161\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":118519,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,819,39,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118518"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=118518"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118518\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/118519"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=118518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=118518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=118518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}