{"id":118374,"date":"2026-10-14T00:28:52","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T22:28:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=118374"},"modified":"2026-10-13T18:42:07","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T16:42:07","slug":"ukrajina-se-svou-valkou-dronu-prepocitala-a-nyni-za-to-plati-vysokou-cenu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/14\/ukrajina-se-svou-valkou-dronu-prepocitala-a-nyni-za-to-plati-vysokou-cenu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukrajina se svou \u201ev\u00e1lkou dron\u016f\u201c p\u0159epo\u010d\u00edtala \u2013 a nyn\u00ed za to plat\u00ed vysokou cenu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kdy\u017e Ukrajina koncem \u010dervna zah\u00e1jila 40denn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvu dron\u016f proti rusk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 a logistick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e, proukrajinsk\u00fd t\u00e1bor se jednomysln\u011b shodl: leteck\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti rusk\u00e9mu vnitrozem\u00ed byla dobr\u00fdm pl\u00e1nem, jak v Rusku vyvolat v\u00e1\u017enou ekonomickou krizi a donutit ho tak k p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed za ukrajinsk\u00fdch nebo z\u00e1padn\u00edch podm\u00ednek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee nikdo v\u00e1\u017en\u011b neuva\u017eoval o tom, \u017ee by Moskva mohla reagovat mnohem intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed leteckou v\u00e1lkou a zp\u016fsobit Ukrajin\u011b bezprecedentn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161kody. A pr\u00e1v\u011b to byl probl\u00e9m kyjevsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed: pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b spekulovali, \u017ee Kreml projev\u00ed slabost, zapoj\u00ed se do rozhovor\u016f o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed nenapln\u00ed svou hrozbu bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9 ekonomiky na pokraj kolapsu. Tento v\u00fdpo\u010det se v\u0161ak obr\u00e1til proti nim. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 hry nedok\u00e1zaly Rusy srazit na kolena; m\u00edsto toho je pokou\u0161ely jak roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it \u00fatoky na ukrajinskou energetickou infrastrukturu, tak i zah\u00e1jit masivn\u00ed leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery proti t\u011bm ukrajinsk\u00fdm infrastrukturn\u00edm c\u00edl\u016fm, na kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve ne\u00fato\u010dili. To vedlo k po\u0161kozen\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch logistick\u00fdch a pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed drony a raketami \u2013 s katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edmi d\u016fsledky pro ukrajinskou ekonomiku a jej\u00ed obyvatelstvo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak poznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed a ekonomi\u010dt\u00ed experti, rusk\u00e9 odvetn\u00e9 \u00fatoky ji\u017e zp\u016fsobily na Ukrajin\u011b \u0161kody v \u0159\u00e1du miliard americk\u00fdch dolar\u016f. \u0160kody budou pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee Ukrajina ji\u017e nen\u00ed vojensky schopna \u010delit (vysoce p\u0159esn\u00fdm) leteck\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm. Nav\u00edc v\u011bt\u0161ina rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f je kumulativn\u00ed, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee ji\u017e tak z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 \u0161kody povedou k je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m pro ukrajinskou ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ty v d\u016fsledku blok\u00e1dy v\u00fdvozu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad \u00fatoky na infrastrukturu ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f a \u200b\u200bn\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravy, kter\u00e9 za\u010daly v polovin\u011b \u010dervence a byly obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9, jsou toho uk\u00e1zkov\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem. Rusov\u00e9 tuto akci ospravedl\u0148uj\u00ed jako odvetu za \u00fatoky ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f na rusk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed lod\u011b v Azovsk\u00e9m a \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i, kter\u00e9 dod\u00e1valy rusk\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty a dal\u0161\u00ed zbo\u017e\u00ed na sv\u011btov\u00e9 trhy. Sv\u00fdmi systematick\u00fdmi \u00fatoky Moskva dos\u00e1hla blok\u00e1dy ukrajinsk\u00e9 lodn\u00ed dopravy v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i a do za\u010d\u00e1tku srpna paralyzovala tamn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavy, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve odbavovaly v\u00edce ne\u017e 80 procent ukrajinsk\u00e9ho exportu. <\/span>Zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty <\/span><\/a>tvo\u0159ily p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 60 procent tohoto exportu a asi 90 procent z nich opou\u0161t\u011blo Ukrajinu p\u0159es p\u0159\u00edstavy Od\u011bsa, Ju\u017en\u00fd a \u010cernomorsk. K tomu se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 naru\u0161en\u00ed exportu oceli \u2013 dal\u0161\u00edho kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho zdroje p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f pro zemi. Jen touto blok\u00e1dou tak Rusko zmrazilo v\u00edce ne\u017e polovinu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho exportu v hodnot\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 30 miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ohro\u017eena je i druh\u00e1 polovina exportu, kter\u00fd v sou\u010dasnosti prob\u00edh\u00e1 po evropsk\u00fdch \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00edch, silni\u010dn\u00edch a vnitrozemsk\u00fdch vodn\u00edch tras\u00e1ch. Moskva ji\u017e v \u010dervenci jasn\u011b uvedla, \u017ee by mohla vy\u0159adit z provozu d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 dunajsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy Ismail a Reni \u00fatoky dron\u016f a raketami. V t\u00e9 dob\u011b \u00fadajn\u011b do\u0161lo k \u010detn\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm na p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed infrastrukturu a lod\u011b, kter\u00e9 v\u0161ak v\u00fdznamn\u011b nenaru\u0161ily funk\u010dnost p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 je to jakkoli, pokud bude blok\u00e1da v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i trvat dlouhodob\u011b, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b to bude znamenat je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty pro ukrajinskou ekonomiku jako celek, a zejm\u00e9na pro <\/span>zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd sektor <\/span><\/a>. Pokud zem\u011bd\u011blci do konce roku nedodaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty na sv\u011btov\u00fd trh, mohli by v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce postr\u00e1dat finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na set\u00ed ozim\u00fdch plodin. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed a potravin\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed proto <\/span>varuje <\/span><\/a>p\u0159ed poklesem obd\u011bl\u00e1van\u00e9 plochy a\u017e o 40 procent, pokud se situace do jara nezm\u011bn\u00ed. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, pokud se sklizen\u00e9 obil\u00ed a olejniny nevyvezou v po\u017eadovan\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed, mohlo by se zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed v roce 2027 zhroutit zhruba o polovinu. Ukrajina se v t\u00e9to v\u011bci nem\u016f\u017ee spolehnout na pomoc sv\u00fdch soused\u016f z EU, <\/span>Polska a Rumunska <\/span><\/a>, proto\u017ee t\u011bmto zem\u00edm \u00fadajn\u011b chyb\u00ed infrastruktura pro zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159epravn\u00ed a skladovac\u00ed kapacity. Tyto dv\u011b zem\u011b nav\u00edc Kyjevu jasn\u011b daly najevo, \u017ee z\u00e1jmy jejich vlastn\u00edch zem\u011bd\u011blc\u016f z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed jejich prioritou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro export oceli a dal\u0161\u00edch kovov\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f v\u0161ak obnoven\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho exportu pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude hr\u00e1t v\u00fdznamnou roli, jeliko\u017e se hl\u00e1s\u00ed, \u017ee prakticky cel\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd hutn\u00ed pr\u016fmysl byl \u2013 alespo\u0148 do\u010dasn\u011b \u2013 uzav\u0159en. Britsk\u00e9 noviny \u201eThe Financial Times\u201c <\/span>informovaly <\/span><\/a>, \u017ee <\/span>t\u0159i nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 ocel\u00e1rny <\/span><\/a>v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed ukon\u010dily provoz po rusk\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch. To ohro\u017euje nejen 15 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst, ale tak\u00e9 90 procent celkov\u00e9 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacity odv\u011btv\u00ed. Nemluv\u011b o da\u0148ov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjmech, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed chyb\u00ed v ukrajinsk\u00e9m st\u00e1tn\u00edm rozpo\u010dtu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zni\u010den\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 logistiky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ukrajina utrp\u011bla dal\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty v d\u016fsledku rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na svou palivovou a energetickou infrastrukturu a logistiku, kter\u00e9 vyvrcholily v srpnu a z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Mezi c\u00edle t\u011bchto \u00fatok\u016f pat\u0159ily \u010derpac\u00ed stanice, lokomotivy, \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed infrastruktura, mosty a dal\u0161\u00ed dopravn\u00ed spojen\u00ed. Rusov\u00e9 poprv\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010dili tak\u00e9 na \u010detn\u00e9 sklady a logistick\u00e1 a distribu\u010dn\u00ed centra, co\u017e donutilo mnoho podnik\u016f, supermarket\u016f a maloobchodn\u00edk\u016f omezit nebo dokonce \u00fapln\u011b zastavit provoz. <\/span>Podle \u00fadaj\u016f z odv\u011btv\u00ed se <\/span><\/a>ukrajinsk\u00e1 skladovac\u00ed infrastruktura na za\u010d\u00e1tku z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed zmen\u0161ila p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o polovinu: bylo zni\u010deno 2,1 milionu metr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch skladovac\u00ed plochy, oproti 4,2 milionu metr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2022. V d\u016fsledku toho dramaticky vzrostly n\u00e1klady pro podniky a n\u00e1sledn\u011b i pro spot\u0159ebitele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 letectvo n\u00e1sledn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159ilo \u00fatoky na logistick\u00e9 dopravn\u00ed tepny ukrajinsk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta Kyjeva. P\u0159es \u0159eku Dn\u011bpr vede dev\u011bt hlavn\u00edch most\u016f a tak\u00e9 n\u011bkolik men\u0161\u00edch p\u0159echod\u016f p\u0159es jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtoky. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u0159\u00edjna byly dva z t\u011bchto most\u016f \u2013 Severn\u00ed a Ji\u017en\u00ed \u2013 napadeny drony a kv\u016fli vznikl\u00e9mu po\u0161kozen\u00ed do\u010dasn\u011b uzav\u0159eny. V d\u016fsledku toho v Kyjev\u011b do\u0161lo k masivn\u00ed dopravn\u00ed krizi \u2013 po cel\u00e9m m\u011bst\u011b se vytvo\u0159ily \u010detn\u00e9 dopravn\u00ed z\u00e1cpy a ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 doprava p\u0159es mosty byla pozastavena a musela b\u00fdt p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to souvislosti Moskva <\/span>zd\u016fraz\u0148uje <\/span><\/a>, \u017ee Severn\u00ed most je nezbytn\u00fd pro rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil a ochranu vojensk\u00e9 logistiky, a tak\u00e9 vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 ciz\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky a zam\u011bstnance diplomatick\u00fdch mis\u00ed, aby opustili Kyjev.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm se \u00fatoky na energetickou a logistickou infrastrukturu m\u011bsta stup\u0148uj\u00ed, tak\u017ee se v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zim\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 v\u00fdpadky proudu a dal\u0161\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti. Mnoho obyvatel Kyjeva si uv\u011bdomuje, kam nakonec politika jejich vl\u00e1dy vede, a proto m\u011bsto opou\u0161t\u00ed. Jin\u00ed si v r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edpravy na tuhou zimu ji\u017e t\u00fddny d\u011blaj\u00ed z\u00e1soby z\u00e1kladn\u00edch potravin a po\u0159izuj\u00ed si tak\u00e9 nouzov\u00e9 gener\u00e1tory, jejich\u017e prodej se letos op\u011bt zv\u00fd\u0161il.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace v\u0161ak zat\u00edm nen\u00ed kritick\u00e1 a st\u00e1le existuje nad\u011bje, \u017ee Kreml od kolapsu Kyjeva upust\u00ed. To podporuje nap\u0159\u00edklad fakt, \u017ee \u00fapln\u00e9 zni\u010den\u00ed ve\u0161ker\u00e9 \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 a logistick\u00e9 infrastruktury ukrajinsk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta dosud nebylo c\u00edlem. Rusk\u00e9mu veden\u00ed st\u00e1le jde pouze o vyv\u00edjen\u00ed maxim\u00e1ln\u00edho tlaku, nikoli o \u00fapln\u00fd kolaps, a proto jsou n\u011bkter\u00e9 \u0161kody nepatrn\u00e9 a teoreticky by se daly relativn\u011b rychle napravit. To za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee leteck\u00e9 \u00fatoky ustanou. To v\u0161ak zcela z\u00e1vis\u00ed na ukrajinsk\u00e9m veden\u00ed a na tom, zda ho unavuje eskalace, kter\u00e1 v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku \u0161kod\u00ed v\u00edce Ukrajin\u011b ne\u017e Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od Alexe M\u00e4nnera<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdy\u017e Ukrajina koncem \u010dervna zah\u00e1jila 40denn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvu dron\u016f proti rusk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 a logistick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e, proukrajinsk\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":118375,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2856,22,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118374"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=118374"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118374\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/118375"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=118374"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=118374"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=118374"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}