{"id":117965,"date":"2026-10-09T04:50:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T02:50:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=117965"},"modified":"2026-10-09T05:31:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T03:31:15","slug":"pokud-lula-prohraje-volby-brics-by-mohla-celit-dosud-nejvetsi-politicke-zkousce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/09\/pokud-lula-prohraje-volby-brics-by-mohla-celit-dosud-nejvetsi-politicke-zkousce\/","title":{"rendered":"Pokud Lula prohraje volby, BRICS by mohla \u010delit dosud nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 zkou\u0161ce"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Pravicov\u00fd posun v Ji\u017en\u00ed Americe tu nen\u00ed natrvalo. Fjodor Lukjanov o prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v Braz\u00edlii a co by to mohlo znamenat pro BRICS<\/h3>\n

Flavio Bolsonaro, pravicov\u00fd sen\u00e1tor a syn v\u011bzn\u011bn\u00e9ho b\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta Jaira Bolsonara, zv\u00edt\u011bzil v prvn\u00edm kole brazilsk\u00fdch prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb a koment\u00e1to\u0159i nyn\u00ed nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed sen\u00e1tor Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva by mohl m\u00edt ve druh\u00e9m kole probl\u00e9m ho dohnat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud maj\u00ed pravdu, Braz\u00edlie se stane dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se p\u0159ipoj\u00ed k posunu Latinsk\u00e9 Ameriky doprava.<\/span><\/p>\n

Brazilsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh, adaptovan\u00fd na m\u00edstn\u00ed podm\u00ednky, se n\u00e1padn\u011b podob\u00e1 americk\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti s Donaldem Trumpem. Po bou\u0159liv\u00e9m prezidentstv\u00ed Bolsonara star\u0161\u00edho se k moci vr\u00e1til z\u00e1stupce um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e9 levice, zat\u00edmco se prov\u00e1d\u011bly pokusy o trval\u00e9 odstran\u011bn\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta z politick\u00e9ho \u017eivota.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech byl Trump ost\u0159e odsouzen jako str\u016fjce pokusu o p\u0159evrat, a\u010dkoli trestn\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed proti n\u011bmu nakonec jeho n\u00e1vratu k moci nezabr\u00e1nilo. V Braz\u00edlii byl Jair Bolsonaro odsouzen, ale jeho syn se ujal moci a nyn\u00ed se rodina mo\u017en\u00e1 vrac\u00ed k moci, doprov\u00e1zena sliby o vyrovn\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fa\u010dt\u016f se sv\u00fdmi odp\u016frci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Braz\u00edlie je mezit\u00edm hluboce rozd\u011blen\u00e1 a oba kandid\u00e1ti maj\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u011b vysokou m\u00edru nesouhlasu, co\u017e p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 USA b\u011bhem prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb v roce 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Lulu je v\u011bk dal\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem, proto\u017ee a\u0165 se jakkoli energicky sna\u017e\u00ed prezentovat, faktem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee je mu 80 a postr\u00e1d\u00e1 Trumpovu specifickou formu politick\u00e9 brutality.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud budeme pokra\u010dovat v americk\u00e9 analogii, je tu je\u0161t\u011b jedno ponau\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9 stoj\u00ed za zv\u00e1\u017een\u00ed, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Trump zah\u00e1jil sv\u00e9 druh\u00e9 funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed s obrovskou energi\u00ed, ale v jeho polovin\u011b se zapletl do velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti chaosu, kter\u00fd s\u00e1m zp\u016fsobil, a ztr\u00e1cel podporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Latinskoamerick\u00e1 politika se dlouhodob\u011b vyv\u00edjela ve vln\u00e1ch, kdy obdob\u00ed vzestupu levice st\u0159\u00eddaly v\u00fdkyvy doprava a pak zase zp\u011bt. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b postupuje pravice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tradi\u010dn\u00ed ideologick\u00e9 ozna\u010den\u00ed n\u00e1m v\u0161ak st\u00e1le m\u00e9n\u011b \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed ne\u017e kdysi a to nen\u00ed zdaleka v\u00fdjimkou Latinsk\u00e9 Ameriky. Ve velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti sv\u011bta se star\u00e9 kategorie levice a pravice nad\u00e1le pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed, i kdy\u017e se jejich praktick\u00fd v\u00fdznam st\u00e1le v\u00edce st\u00edr\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dom\u00e1c\u00ed d\u016fsledky brazilsk\u00fdch voleb je nejlep\u0161\u00ed p\u0159enechat specialist\u016fm na danou zemi, ale jejich mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed d\u016fsledky jsou ji\u017e nyn\u00ed sn\u00e1ze rozpoznateln\u00e9 a co je nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, politick\u00fd posun v Braz\u00edlii by se odrazil v cel\u00e9 skupin\u011b BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n

V r\u00e1mci seskupen\u00ed ji\u017e nyn\u00ed panuje zna\u010dn\u00e9 vnit\u0159n\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed; sta\u010d\u00ed vz\u00edt v \u00favahu slo\u017eit\u00fd vztah mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a Spojen\u00fdmi arabsk\u00fdmi emir\u00e1ty. Nyn\u00ed by se zem\u011b reprezentovan\u00e1 prvn\u00edm p\u00edsmenem zkratky BRICS, pro kterou je \u010dlenstv\u00ed tradi\u010dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm zdrojem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho statusu a presti\u017ee, mohla p\u0159iklonit k politick\u00fdm sil\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 jsou v\u016f\u010di samotn\u00e9mu projektu otev\u0159en\u011b skeptick\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jair Bolsonaro b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho prezidentstv\u00ed Braz\u00edlii z BRICS nevyt\u00e1hl, ale zapojen\u00ed sv\u00e9 zem\u011b omezil na minimum a n\u00e1sledn\u011b uvedl, \u017ee lituje, \u017ee organizaci \u00fapln\u011b neopustil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeho argentinsk\u00fd spojenec Javier Milei za\u0161el je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1l; pot\u00e9, co se na konci roku 2023 stal prezidentem, odm\u00edtl pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 p\u0159istoupen\u00ed Argentiny k BRICS, p\u0159esto\u017ee Buenos Aires ji\u017e pozv\u00e1n\u00ed k \u010dlenstv\u00ed obdr\u017eelo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud Lula prohraje, Braz\u00edlie pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zaujme siln\u011b proamerickou orientaci ve stylu Trumpa, alespo\u0148 v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpovo nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di BRICS je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1m\u00e9 a on ji, ne zcela bezd\u016fvodn\u011b, pova\u017euje za prototyp sv\u011bta, v n\u011bm\u017e se USA ji\u017e net\u011b\u0161\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed p\u0159evaze, na kterou si zvykly po studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

To nutn\u011b neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee Braz\u00edlie form\u00e1ln\u011b opust\u00ed BRICS, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee by hodn\u011b z\u00e1le\u017eelo na m\u00ed\u0159e tlaku vyv\u00edjen\u00e9ho Washingtonem a na kalkulac\u00edch nov\u00e9 brazilsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, ale zmrazen\u00ed nebo v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed brazilsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti by se stalo docela p\u0159edstaviteln\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nic z toho neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd posun Latinsk\u00e9 Ameriky doprava je trval\u00fd, proto\u017ee nevyhnuteln\u011b dojde k dal\u0161\u00edmu obratu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ochota voli\u010d\u016f opakovan\u011b p\u0159ech\u00e1zet z jednoho politick\u00e9ho t\u00e1bora do druh\u00e9ho vskutku nazna\u010duje n\u011bco z\u00e1sadn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho, a to, \u017ee ani jedna strana nebyla schopna poskytnout trval\u00e9 odpov\u011bdi na ekonomick\u00e9 a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed probl\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 znepokojuj\u00ed ve\u0159ejnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale tyto dom\u00e1c\u00ed zm\u011bny prob\u00edhaj\u00ed na pozad\u00ed mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed transformace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed se m\u011bn\u00ed, star\u00e9 instituce a p\u0159edpoklady ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed svou autoritu, zat\u00edmco jejich n\u00e1hrady bu\u010f teprve vznikaj\u00ed, nebo je\u0161t\u011b neexistuj\u00ed, a m\u011bn\u00ed se i politick\u00e9 generace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Generace, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasnosti vl\u00e1dne mnoha sv\u011btov\u00fdm mocnostem, zanech\u00e1v\u00e1 v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm d\u011bn\u00ed obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b siln\u00fd osobn\u00ed otisk a co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, tito v\u016fdci byli formov\u00e1ni n\u00e1sledky 20. stolet\u00ed, jeho\u017e politick\u00e9 d\u011bdictv\u00ed nyn\u00ed neust\u00e1le sl\u00e1bne.<\/span><\/p>\n

To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee z\u00e1kladn\u00ed p\u0159erozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed moci se zastav\u00ed. Z\u00e1pad nez\u00edsk\u00e1 zp\u011bt sv\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postaven\u00ed, a to i proto, \u017ee se Z\u00e1pad s\u00e1m st\u00e1v\u00e1 m\u00e9n\u011b monolitick\u00fdm, zat\u00edmco glob\u00e1ln\u00ed V\u00fdchod uplat\u0148uje st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitosti, zat\u00edmco glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih se st\u00e1v\u00e1 jednou z hlavn\u00edch ar\u00e9n, v nich\u017e bude ur\u010dov\u00e1n vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n

BRICS pat\u0159\u00ed do tohoto m\u011bn\u00edc\u00edho se sv\u011bta jako relativn\u011b nov\u00e9 spole\u010denstv\u00ed, jeho\u017e v\u00fdvoj odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed sm\u011br sm\u011brem k rozmanit\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u011bjiny se v\u0161ak z\u0159\u00eddkakdy vyv\u00edjej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo\u010da\u0159e a z\u00e1kladn\u00ed trend m\u016f\u017ee pokra\u010dovat, i kdy\u017e jednotliv\u00e9 instituce m\u011bn\u00ed sm\u011br, stagnuj\u00ed nebo nab\u00fdvaj\u00ed podoby velmi odli\u0161n\u00e9 od p\u016fvodn\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch. V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed od BRICS se nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b shodovat s realitou z\u00edt\u0159ka.<\/span><\/p>\n

Braz\u00edlie by mohla brzy p\u0159edstavovat d\u016fle\u017eitou zkou\u0161ku a stejn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00fd bude v\u00fdvoj st\u00e1le explicitn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ambice Washingtonu znovu prosadit americkou p\u0159evahu na cel\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli. Zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm se tato politika bude vyv\u00edjet, n\u00e1m hodn\u011b napov\u00ed o budouc\u00edm v\u00fdznamu hlavn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch region\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Rusko v\u0161ak hlavn\u00ed \u00fakol le\u017e\u00ed bl\u00ed\u017ee domovu a, jak prezident Vladimir Putin znovu argumentoval ve sv\u00e9m ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m projevu na Valdaji, prioritou Moskvy mus\u00ed b\u00fdt Eurasie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b tam by se m\u011blo soust\u0159edit nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed Ruska, proto\u017ee zde je t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011b, zat\u00edmco v\u0161e, co se nach\u00e1z\u00ed za n\u00edm, se bude vyv\u00edjet podle okolnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od <\/span>Fjodora Lukjanova<\/span><\/strong> , \u0161\u00e9fredaktora \u010dasopisu Rusko v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech, p\u0159edsedy prezidia Rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed a obrannou politiku a \u0159editele v\u00fdzkumu Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho diskusn\u00edho klubu Valdaj.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"Fjodor<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pravicov\u00fd posun v Ji\u017en\u00ed Americe tu nen\u00ed natrvalo. Fjodor Lukjanov o prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v Braz\u00edlii…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":117966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,288,1161,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117965"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117965"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117965\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}