{"id":117911,"date":"2026-10-09T00:32:23","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T22:32:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=117911"},"modified":"2026-10-08T17:08:14","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T15:08:14","slug":"v-predvecer-zkazy-ano-ale-ci-zkaza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/09\/v-predvecer-zkazy-ano-ale-ci-zkaza\/","title":{"rendered":"V p\u0159edve\u010der zk\u00e1zy? Ano \u2013 ale \u010d\u00ed zk\u00e1za?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00e1lka je vysoce pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1, ale ne nevyhnuteln\u00e1.<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u017dijeme v mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9m okam\u017eiku historie. \u017dijeme tak\u00e9 v mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed dob\u011b \u2013 alespo\u0148 co se t\u00fd\u010de hodnocen\u00ed mentality, chov\u00e1n\u00ed a slov z\u00e1padn\u00edch politik\u016f a m\u00e9di\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 hroz\u00edc\u00ed katastrof\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b se z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdci, koment\u00e1to\u0159i a vojen\u0161t\u00ed velitel\u00e9 navz\u00e1jem p\u0159edb\u00edhaj\u00ed v p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00edch bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed v\u00e1lky s Ruskem. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b je patrn\u00e1 pozoruhodn\u00e1 ne\u010dinnost v jej\u00edm odvracen\u00ed. Diplomacie a ochota k dialogu jsou bez obalu odm\u00edt\u00e1ny. Ve skute\u010dnosti je \u2013 zejm\u00e9na mezi evropsk\u00fdmi politiky \u2013 prosazov\u00e1na zcela iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed politika eskalace sm\u011brem k v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zalo\u017eeno na ideologicky podlo\u017een\u00e9 p\u0159edstav\u011b nad\u0159azenosti, opovr\u017een\u00ed Ruskem a dal\u0161\u00edmi ofici\u00e1ln\u011b ozna\u010den\u00fdmi nep\u0159\u00e1teli \u2013 \u010c\u00ednou, \u00cdr\u00e1nem atd. \u2013 skrze kter\u00e9 se z\u00e1padn\u00ed politick\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edda nepova\u017euje za rovnocennou, ale za nad\u0159azenou. Tato mentalita dl\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed cestu k v\u00e1lce a vylu\u010duje diplomatickou anga\u017eovanost a dialog.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak\u00e9koli objektivn\u00ed zhodnocen\u00ed situace nenech\u00e1v\u00e1 nikoho na pochyb\u00e1ch, \u017ee nebezpe\u010d\u00ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky je re\u00e1ln\u00e9. Neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9, ale pravdiv\u00e9: ji\u017e pot\u0159et\u00ed za n\u011bco m\u00e1lo p\u0159es stolet\u00ed \u010del\u00ed planeta p\u0159\u00edzraku masivn\u00edho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho konfliktu. Tentokr\u00e1t by v\u0161ak v\u00fdsledkem bylo jadern\u00e9 peklo s vyhlazen\u00edm \u017eivota, jak ho zn\u00e1me. Tato opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se logika ni\u010den\u00ed je usv\u011bd\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed ob\u017ealobou z\u00e1padn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu, jeho kapitalistick\u00fdch a imperialistick\u00fdch hnac\u00edch sil n\u00e1sil\u00ed, nadvl\u00e1dy a nevyhnuteln\u00e9ho konfliktu. Takov\u00fd syst\u00e9m by m\u011bl b\u00fdt nepochybn\u011b zru\u0161en.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hodiny soudn\u00e9ho dne, kter\u00e9 spravuje nez\u00e1visl\u00fd Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, jsou bl\u00ed\u017ee p\u016flnoci ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm za svou 80letou historii. Hodiny byly z\u0159\u00edzeny po americk\u00e9m atomov\u00e9m bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed Japonska v roce 1945, aby slou\u017eily jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed rostouc\u00edm rizikem jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Je to skute\u010dn\u011b mraziv\u00e9 znamen\u00ed, \u017ee dne\u0161n\u00ed hrozba glob\u00e1ln\u00ed katastrofy p\u0159evy\u0161uje mnoh\u00e1 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed desetilet\u00ed studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Dne\u0161n\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed dokonce p\u0159evy\u0161uje nap\u011bt\u00ed kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krize z roku 1962, kdy Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz balancovaly na pokraji jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch akademik\u016f, pr\u00e1vn\u00edch expert\u016f, analytik\u016f a zku\u0161en\u00fdch diplomat\u016f st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji varuje p\u0159ed hroz\u00edc\u00ed katastrofou. Vzd\u00e1v\u00e1me hold um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00fdm hlas\u016fm osobnost\u00ed, jako jsou Alfred de Zayas, Jeffrey Sachs, Larry Johnson a Scott Ritter \u2013 hlas\u016fm na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, kter\u00e9 na rozd\u00edl od sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 t\u0159\u00eddy v\u00e1\u0161niv\u011b varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed cestou ke zk\u00e1ze, na kterou se sv\u011bt vydal a od kter\u00e9 se mus\u00ed nal\u00e9hav\u011b odvr\u00e1tit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Varovn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly blikaj\u00ed jako \u010derven\u00e1 sv\u011btla, p\u0159esto z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdci nad\u00e1le \u010din\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed a vyd\u00e1vaj\u00ed agresivn\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 sv\u011bt \u017eenou na pokraj katastrofy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento t\u00fdden se evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici op\u011bt otev\u0159en\u011b zasazovali o \u00fatok na Ruskou federaci \u2013 blok\u00e1dou Kaliningradu, rusk\u00e9 exkl\u00e1vy mezi Polskem a Litvou. Polsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Rados\u0142aw Sikorski a gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Mark Rutte zopakovali v\u00fdzvy dal\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch politik\u016f k faktick\u00e9mu \u00fatoku na Kaliningrad, tedy na Ruskou federaci. Rusk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 doktr\u00edna v\u00fdslovn\u011b uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee takov\u00fd \u00fatok by Rusko donutil k pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d tedy vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 NATO pokra\u010duj\u00ed v t\u011bchto provokac\u00edch? Tyto akce jsou pouze prodlou\u017een\u00edm z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky NATO na Ukrajin\u011b. Jejich v\u00e1lka selhala. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u00e1lku podporuj\u00ed, v\u0161ak nemohou sv\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159iznat. Jsou p\u0159ipraveni rozpoutat eskaluj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lku, m\u00edsto aby uznali por\u00e1\u017eku a \u010delili politick\u00fdm d\u016fsledk\u016fm pro sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed obyvatelstvo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko tento t\u00fdden vydalo v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli \u00fatok na Kaliningrad by vy\u00fastil v ruskou odvetu jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edsto toho, aby se evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici vzpamatovali a um\u00edrnili se, arogantn\u011b odm\u00edtaj\u00ed rusk\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed jako \u201eblaf\u201c nebo Moskvu obvi\u0148uj\u00ed z ch\u0159est\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin ve \u010dtvrte\u010dn\u00edm projevu na Valdajsk\u00e9m f\u00f3ru v Moskv\u011b zd\u016fraznil pekelnou nestabilitu situace.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePokud dojde k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu \u00fatoku na Ruskou federaci \u2013 v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b na Kaliningrad, i kdy\u017e by potenci\u00e1ln\u011b mohl postihnout i jin\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed \u2013 nevyhnuteln\u011b a okam\u017eit\u011b vyvstane ot\u00e1zka pou\u017eit\u00ed v\u0161ech zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1me k dispozici. Tomu se nelze vyhnout,\u201c \u0159ekl Putin.<\/span><\/p>\n

V hroziv\u00e9m hodnocen\u00ed bezohledn\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje poznamenal:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMus\u00edme si b\u00fdt v\u011bdomi toho, \u017ee okam\u017eik, kdy u\u017e nic nelze zm\u011bnit, m\u016f\u017ee pro v\u0161echny nastat velmi rychle a ne\u010dekan\u011b. Logika stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edch se, st\u00e1le tvrd\u0161\u00edch odvetn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed vede k nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9mu bodu, ze kter\u00e9ho nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd prezident \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee ne\u00fanavn\u00e1 eskalace Z\u00e1padu, a\u0165 u\u017e slovy nebo \u010diny, vede ke katastrof\u011b. Je neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici odm\u00edtaj\u00ed projevit jakoukoli sebekontrolu. \u201eV j\u00e1dru t\u00e9to eskalace le\u017e\u00ed arogance a p\u00fdcha… Spir\u00e1la se utahuje a ni\u010div\u00e9 d\u016fsledky nar\u016fstaj\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato znepokojiv\u00e1 dynamika p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 p\u0159edehru k prvn\u00ed a druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, kdy z\u00e1padn\u00ed politick\u00e9 establishmenty z\u016fst\u00e1valy lhostejn\u00e9 k bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se katastrof\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by skute\u010dn\u011b byla bodem, odkud nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eO to v\u00edce dnes, kdy arzen\u00e1ly p\u0159edn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed obsahuj\u00ed zbran\u011b, kter\u00e9 by mohly zni\u010dit ve\u0161ker\u00fd \u017eivot nebo p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm uv\u00e9st Zemi do katastrofick\u00e9ho stavu,\u201c \u0159ekl Putin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hluboce politov\u00e1n\u00edhodn\u00e9 je naprost\u00e9 propagandistick\u00e9 manipulace ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 debaty na Z\u00e1pad\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo se odv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed hovo\u0159it o objektivn\u00edch historick\u00fdch p\u0159\u00ed\u010din\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 vedly k sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu nap\u011bt\u00ed, je cenzurov\u00e1n nebo pran\u00fd\u0159ov\u00e1n jako rusk\u00fd kolaborant.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak ji\u017e bylo zm\u00edn\u011bno v\u00fd\u0161e, na Z\u00e1pad\u011b existuj\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 hlasy rozumu. Ty jsou v\u0161ak systematicky vylu\u010dov\u00e1ny z ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 diskuse mainstreamov\u00fdmi m\u00e9dii a akademick\u00fdmi institucemi. Ve\u0159ejnost je tak z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na alternativn\u00edch medi\u00e1ln\u00edch zdroj\u00edch. To povzbudiv\u011b pos\u00edlilo kritick\u00e9 my\u0161len\u00ed u rostouc\u00edho po\u010dtu ob\u010dan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed celou v\u00e1lku \u0161tvavou politiku nadm\u011brn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f a dod\u00e1vek zbran\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b pro beznad\u011bjnou v\u00e1lku proti Rusku. Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee tento t\u00fdden byli kancl\u00e9\u0159 Friedrich Merz a gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Mark Rutte b\u011bhem ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch vystoupen\u00ed v M\u00fcnsteru vyp\u00edsk\u00e1ni a nad\u00e1ni.<\/span><\/p>\n

St\u00e1le v\u00edce lid\u00ed si uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee n\u00e1s do existen\u010dn\u00ed krize dohnaly z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy \u2013 re\u017eimy, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ed lety u\u010dinily nedemokratick\u00e1, tajn\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed v\u00e9st v\u00e1lku proti Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak tento t\u00fdden vysv\u011btlil b\u00fdval\u00fd britsk\u00fd diplomat Ian Proud ve vynikaj\u00edc\u00edm podcastu na So\u010di F\u00f3ru, vl\u00e1dci v Lond\u00fdn\u011b se v\u011bdom\u011b rozhodli v\u00e9st v\u00e1lku proti Rusku ji\u017e v roce 2014 \u2013 kdy\u017e Z\u00e1pad sponzoroval fa\u0161istick\u00fd pu\u010d v Kyjev\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed osobnosti, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad b\u00fdval\u00e1 americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed pl\u00e1nova\u010dka Victoria Nuland a b\u00fdval\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Jens Stoltenberg, vlastn\u00edmi slovy p\u0159iznali, \u017ee NATO po roce 2014 \u00famysln\u011b vyzbrojilo Ukrajinu, aby vyprovokovalo konfrontaci s Ruskem. K tomu do\u0161lo p\u0159ed vypuknut\u00edm nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b v \u00fanoru 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sv\u011bt se tak ocitl na pokraji jadern\u00e9ho \u201ezni\u010den\u00ed\u201c kv\u016fli z\u00e1padn\u00ed politice konfrontace s Ruskem \u2013 s vyu\u017eit\u00edm Ukrajiny jako z\u00e1stupce.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka je vysoce pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1, ale ne nevyhnuteln\u00e1. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici a m\u00e9dia se svou aroganc\u00ed a rusofobi\u00ed nepochybn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed ze v\u0161ech sil, aby byla nevyhnuteln\u00e1. Tyto zlo\u010dineck\u00e9 \u017eivly v\u0161ak nemus\u00ed p\u0159evl\u00e1dat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Existuj\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed struktury a pr\u00e1vn\u00ed normy; st\u00e1le existuje diplomacie, i kdy\u017e zneu\u017e\u00edvan\u00e1 a vl\u00e1\u010den\u00e1 do bahna; a mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee existuje masivn\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed proti t\u011bmto opovr\u017een\u00edhodn\u00fdm v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm \u0161tv\u00e1\u010d\u016fm, stejn\u011b jako rostouc\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a politick\u00e9 povst\u00e1n\u00ed proti zjevn\u011b zkrachoval\u00e9mu z\u00e1padn\u00edmu politick\u00e9mu syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Politick\u00e1 elita na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, kter\u00e1 se zasazuje o v\u00e1lku, se m\u016f\u017ee jevit v\u0161emocn\u00e1 kv\u016fli zd\u00e1nliv\u011b dominantn\u00edm medi\u00e1ln\u00edm narativ\u016fm. Jejich moc je v\u0161ak zna\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ece\u0148ov\u00e1na ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s obrovsk\u00fdm odporem ve\u0159ejnosti v\u016f\u010di jejich zlo\u010dinn\u00e9 agend\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh se m\u016f\u017ee r\u00fdmovat, stejn\u011b jako p\u0159edehra k d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fdm v\u00e1lk\u00e1m. Tentokr\u00e1t je tu v\u0161ak z\u00e1sadn\u00ed rozd\u00edl: ve\u0159ejnost m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt dostate\u010dn\u011b informovan\u00e1, aby se vyhnula v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu triku a pokusu o z\u00e1chranu prohnil\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jsme na prahu zk\u00e1zy \u2013 ale m\u00e1me v\u0161echny d\u016fvody doufat, \u017ee z\u00edt\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed zk\u00e1za nebude v\u00e1lkou, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e zni\u010den\u00edm z\u00e1padn\u00edho imperialistick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu, a t\u00edm se p\u0159iprav\u00ed cesta pro skute\u010dn\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed, spravedliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a m\u00edrov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sv\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00e1lka je vysoce pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1, ale ne nevyhnuteln\u00e1. \u017dijeme v mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9m okam\u017eiku historie. \u017dijeme tak\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":117912,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,22,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117911"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117911"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117911\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117912"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117911"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117911"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117911"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}