{"id":11787,"date":"2022-06-23T03:49:43","date_gmt":"2022-06-23T01:49:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=11787"},"modified":"2022-06-23T03:49:43","modified_gmt":"2022-06-23T01:49:43","slug":"valku-o-ukrajinu-planuje-putin-vyhrat-v-zime-i-opakovani-leningradske-zimy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/06\/23\/valku-o-ukrajinu-planuje-putin-vyhrat-v-zime-i-opakovani-leningradske-zimy\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lku o Ukrajinu pl\u00e1nuje Putin vyhr\u00e1t v zim\u011b! (I. \u2013 Opakov\u00e1n\u00ed leningradsk\u00e9 zimy!)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Jak hodl\u00e1 Putin rozhodnout Ukrajinskou v\u00e1lku? Velk\u00e1 anal\u00fdza nov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 strategie!<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>D\u00edl prvn\u00ed<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Rusko se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b chyst\u00e1 rozhodnou v\u00e1lku o Ukrajinu a\u017e p\u0159es leto\u0161n\u00ed zimu. Rusko pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nejpozd\u011bji v \u0159\u00edjnu 2022 zastav\u00ed dod\u00e1vky plynu do EU, a od\u0159\u00edzne Ukrajinu od dod\u00e1vek elekt\u0159iny z elektr\u00e1ren na obsazen\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. Evropan\u016fm a Ukrajinc\u016fm tak Rusko uchyst\u00e1 varovn\u00fd z\u00e1\u017eitek opakov\u00e1n\u00ed leningradsk\u00e9 zimy 1941\/42,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/russia-declares-gas-war-on-eu\/\">a bude se je sna\u017eit p\u0159im\u011bt ke kapitulaci<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/zpravy.aktualne.cz\/zahranici\/malo-znamy-pribeh-putina-bratr-zemrel-pri-blokade-leningradu\/r~d12929460fc511ecb91a0cc47ab5f122\/\">P\u0159i blok\u00e1d\u011b Leningradu zem\u0159el ve v\u011bku 10 let star\u0161\u00ed Putin\u016fv bratr, a m\u00e1lem i jeho rodi\u010de<\/a>. Putin se tak vlastn\u011b po v\u00e1lce narodil n\u011bjak\u00fdm z\u00e1zrakem a leningradsk\u00e1 historie jeho rodiny do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry zformovala jeho osobnost.<\/p>\n<p>Rusk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 strategie se tak z\u0159ejm\u011b vrac\u00ed k mistrovstv\u00ed mar\u0161\u00e1la Kutuzova \u2013 kter\u00e9 formuloval slovy \u2013 \u201cA donut\u00edm je \u017er\u00e1t kon\u011b!\u201d. Kutuzov se v\u017edy mistrn\u011b vyh\u00fdbal velk\u00fdm bitv\u00e1m, vedl malou opot\u0159ebov\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lku, a v n\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele vyhladov\u011bl a nechal umrznout. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b je malou pozi\u010dn\u00ed opot\u0159ebov\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lkou, ve kter\u00e9 Rusko ni\u010d\u00ed Ukrajinskou arm\u00e1du palebnou p\u0159evahou, ve kter\u00e9 ni\u010d\u00ed raketami kritickou ukrajinskou infrastrukturu, a ve kter\u00e9 z\u0159ejm\u011b \u010dek\u00e1, a\u017e nastanou p\u0159\u00edhodn\u00e9 zimn\u00ed podm\u00ednky, aby donutilo Evropany, aby donutili Ukrajince je kapitulaci, a nebo, aby je p\u0159estali podporovat, jinak za\u017eij\u00ed Leningrad 1941.<\/p>\n<p>Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm prvkem rusk\u00e9 strategie bude plyn!<\/p>\n<p>EU spot\u0159ebuje ro\u010dn\u011b celkem 375 miliard bcm plynu. V topn\u00e9 sez\u00f3n\u011b (\u0159\u00edjen-b\u0159ezen) se v EU spot\u0159ebuje o 110 miliard bcm plynu v\u00edce ne\u017e v letn\u00ed sez\u00f3n\u011b. Letn\u00ed spot\u0159eba EU je 133 miliard bcm plynu a zimn\u00ed spot\u0159eba EU je 242 bcm. Aby se rozd\u00edl mezi zimn\u00ed a letn\u00ed spot\u0159ebou vykompenzoval, mus\u00ed se v l\u00e9t\u011b ulo\u017eit 55 miliard bcm plynu do z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f, a v zim\u011b se mus\u00ed 55 miliard zase ze z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f vy\u010derpat! Cel\u00e1 p\u0159e\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed operace je z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na pravideln\u00fdch dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch rusk\u00e9ho plynu do EU. Rusko dod\u00e1v\u00e1 do EU ro\u010dn\u011b 150 miliard bcm plynu! (40% v\u0161\u00ed spot\u0159eby) D\u00edky mechanismu p\u0159e\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se 40 miliard rusk\u00e9ho plynu spot\u0159ebuje v l\u00e9t\u011b a 110 miliard v zim\u011b. Pokud Rusko nejpozd\u011bji 1. \u0159\u00edjna 2022 zastav\u00ed dod\u00e1vky plynu do Evropy, bude v Evrop\u011b chyb\u011bt skoro 25% zimn\u00ed spot\u0159eby plynu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bruegel.org\/publications\/datasets\/european-natural-gas-imports\/\">K 19. \u010dervnu 2022 m\u011bla EU naskladn\u011bno jen celkem 57,2 miliard bcm plynu<\/a>. Toto mno\u017estv\u00ed p\u0159edstavuje pouze zv\u00fd\u0161enou zimn\u00ed spot\u0159ebu plynu v EU, a nem\u016f\u017ee v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m nahradit mo\u017en\u00fd v\u00fdpadek pravideln\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek 62 miliard bcm rusk\u00e9ho plynu v dob\u011b od \u0159\u00edjna do b\u0159ezna.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nyheder.tv2.dk\/samfund\/2022-05-31-gaslukning-kan-udvikle-sig-til-en-katastrofe-siger-professor\">Rusko od minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne omezilo dod\u00e1vky plynu do EU<\/a>, tak\u017ee nyn\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Energy-General\/Europe-Faces-Red-Alert-For-Gas-Supply-As-Russia-Reduces-Flows.html\">nen\u00ed tak\u0159ka mo\u017en\u00e9 u\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd dal\u0161\u00ed plyn v EU na zimu usklad\u0148ovat<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-925 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021-300x250.png 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021-1030x858.png 1030w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021-768x640.png 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021-705x588.png 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021-450x375.png 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"722\" height=\"602\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Graf spot\u0159eby plynu v EU od roku 2014 do roku 2021. Zelenomodr\u00e9 ostr\u00e9 hroty p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed plynu ze z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f. Sv\u011btle zelen\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st grafu p\u0159edstavuje plyn dod\u00e1van\u00fd v\u0161emi plynovody ze zem\u00ed mimo EU.\u00a0 Tmav\u011b modr\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st jsou dod\u00e1vky LPG. A sv\u011btle modr\u00e1 je klesaj\u00edc\u00ed Evropsk\u00e1 t\u011b\u017eba plynu!\u00a0 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/data-and-statistics\/charts\/monthly-gas-supply-balance-in-the-european-union-2014-2021\">Zdroj: IEA\u00a0<\/a>\u2013 Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed agentura pro energie.)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Na grafu si pov\u0161imn\u011bte, \u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky plynu LNG (zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd) vlastn\u011b jen nahrazuj\u00ed klesaj\u00edc\u00ed t\u011b\u017ebu evropsk\u00e9ho plynu!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.parlamentnilisty.cz\/arena\/monitor\/Energetik-v-CT-Evropa-bez-ruskeho-plynu-Za-tri-mesice-by-se-musela-snizit-spotreba-Prumysl-pak-domacnosti-694134\">Jak vid\u00edte p\u0159es leto\u0161n\u00ed zimu objektivn\u011b existuje rusk\u00e1 mo\u017enost zni\u010dit Evropu mrazem<\/a>!\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kp.ru\/online\/news\/4798802\/\">V\u010dera u\u017e vyhl\u00e1sily ve \u0160v\u00e9dsku prvn\u00ed stupe\u0148 regulace spot\u0159eby plynu<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>Pokud dojde k napln\u011bn\u00ed tohoto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, p\u0159ipravte se, \u017ee p\u0159es zimu 2022\/23 bude m\u00edt Evropa k dispozici pouze tolik plynu, jako jindy spot\u0159ebov\u00e1vala p\u0159es letn\u00ed obdob\u00ed. Celou situaci si tak m\u016f\u017eete p\u0159edstavit, jako:<\/p>\n<p>Bu\u010f teplo v dom\u00e1cnostech a chleba v obchodech. Nebo v\u00fdroba v tov\u00e1rn\u00e1ch a zam\u011bstnanost!<\/p>\n<p>Pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/mip-68-valku-o-ukrajinu-planuje-putin-vyhrat-v-zime-i-opakovani-leningradske-zimy\/\">ZDROJ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jak hodl\u00e1 Putin rozhodnout Ukrajinskou v\u00e1lku? Velk\u00e1 anal\u00fdza nov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 strategie! D\u00edl prvn\u00ed Rusko&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9034,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1008,102,1667],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11787"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11787\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9034"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}