{"id":117800,"date":"2026-10-08T00:26:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T22:26:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=117800"},"modified":"2026-10-07T17:24:05","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T15:24:05","slug":"uriel-araujo-pokracujici-rozsirovani-eu-vetsi-hrozba-pro-rusko","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/08\/uriel-araujo-pokracujici-rozsirovani-eu-vetsi-hrozba-pro-rusko\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed EU \u2013 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozba pro Rusko"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Brusel nyn\u00ed ozna\u010duje roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed EU za \u201egeopolitick\u00fd imperativ\u201c. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Ukrajina a Moldavsko se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed k \u010dlenstv\u00ed, je st\u00e1le t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed ignorovat strategick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro Rusko.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e1 komise nyn\u00ed <\/span>prohl\u00e1sila<\/span><\/a> roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed za \u201egeopolitick\u00fd imperativ\u201c \u2013 s d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Blok pr\u00e1v\u011b p\u0159edstavil bal\u00ed\u010dek reforem, <\/span>jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je<\/span><\/a> p\u0159ipravit Unii na nov\u00e9 \u010dleny \u2013 v centru \u00fasil\u00ed stoj\u00ed Ukrajina a Moldavsko, spolu s Alb\u00e1ni\u00ed a \u010cernou Horou.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Komise Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1 <\/span>prohl\u00e1sila<\/span><\/a> , \u017ee \u201ebudoucnost Evropy z\u00e1vis\u00ed na rozhodnut\u00edch, kter\u00e1 dnes u\u010din\u00edme\u201c, a ozna\u010dila roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed za nezbytn\u00e9 pro to, aby se blok stal \u201eodoln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm\u201c a l\u00e9pe schopen utv\u00e1\u0159et sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed osud.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kandid\u00e1tsk\u00e9 zem\u011b ji\u017e dosahuj\u00ed pokroku: <\/span>Ukrajina<\/span><\/a> a <\/span>Moldavsko<\/span><\/a> otev\u0159ely sv\u016fj prvn\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed klastr v \u010dervnu 2026 a v \u010dervenci otev\u0159ely klastr 6 pro vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vztahy, zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, bezpe\u010dnost a, co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, <\/span>obranu<\/span><\/a> . Slovy Vesely \u010cernevy: \u201e\u010clenstv\u00ed v EU je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b jedin\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, jak integrovat bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed syst\u00e9my Ukrajiny a Evropy.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Komise pl\u00e1nuje ve sv\u00e9m bal\u00ed\u010dku pro roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed z roku 2026 \u201e <\/span>orienta\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny<\/span><\/a> \u201c pro tyto \u010dty\u0159i p\u0159edn\u00ed zem\u011b (Ukrajinu, Moldavsko, \u010cernou Horu a Alb\u00e1nii), za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee reformn\u00ed dynamika <\/span>bude pokra\u010dovat<\/span><\/a> . <\/span>Postupn\u00e1 integrace<\/span><\/a> do strategick\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed, jako je energetika, doprava, digit\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b a obrana, je v\u00fdslovn\u011b na stole.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto ji\u017e nen\u00ed prezentov\u00e1no jako \u010dist\u011b technick\u00fd nebo ekonomick\u00fd proces. Op\u011bt plat\u00ed, \u017ee samotn\u00fd Brusel nyn\u00ed popisuje roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jako \u201egeopolitick\u00fd\u201c n\u00e1stroj spojen\u00fd s evropskou bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed, prosperitou a zabezpe\u010den\u00edm. Lze si vzpomenout, \u017ee d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kola roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed byla \u010dasto koncipov\u00e1na z hlediska sd\u00edlen\u00fdch hodnot a p\u0159\u00edstupu na trh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Politolog John Mearsheimer dlouhodob\u011b <\/span>tvrd\u00ed , \u017ee \u201e <\/span><\/a>trojbal\u00ed\u010dek<\/span><\/a> \u201c z\u00e1padn\u00edch politik \u2013 <\/span>roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed NATO<\/span><\/a> , roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed EU a podpora demokracie z\u00e1padn\u00edho stylu \u2013 p\u0159ilil olej do ohn\u011b, kter\u00fd \u010dekal, a\u017e se rozho\u0159\u00ed \u2013 tedy do ukrajinsk\u00e9 krize od roku 2014.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru probl\u00e9my ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny za\u010daly naplno na summitu NATO v Bukure\u0161ti v roce 2008, kdy aliance ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee Ukrajina a Gruzie \u201ese stanou \u010dleny\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ru\u0161t\u00ed v\u016fdci to vn\u00edmali jako existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu. Washington ignoroval \u010dervenou linii a nad\u00e1le tla\u010dil Ukrajinu sm\u011brem k z\u00e1padn\u00edm instituc\u00edm, v\u010detn\u011b u\u017e\u0161\u00edch vazeb s EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mearsheimer ve sv\u00e9 <\/span>anal\u00fdze z roku 2014<\/span><\/a> poznamenal, \u017ee postup Unie na v\u00fdchod a iniciativa V\u00fdchodn\u00ed partnerstv\u00ed byly v Moskv\u011b vn\u00edm\u00e1ny jako dostate\u010dn\u011b nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9. \u201eV o\u010d\u00edch rusk\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f je roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed EU pron\u00e1sledovatelem roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO,\u201c napsal.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto r\u00e1mci \u00fasil\u00ed Z\u00e1padu o prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed \u201edemokracie\u201c a \u201eodloupnut\u00ed Ukrajiny\u201c od Ruska doplnilo cel\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek. Kdy\u017e Janukovy\u010d v roce 2013 odm\u00edtl dohodu s EU, \u201ejiskra\u201c, jak to vyj\u00e1d\u0159il Mearsheimer, p\u0159i\u0161la. V\u00fdsledkem byla krize a pot\u00e9 v\u00e1lka. Pokud tento r\u00e1mec dnes d\u016fsledn\u011b aplikujeme, v\u00fdsledn\u00fd obraz je pom\u011brn\u011b p\u0159\u00edmo\u010dar\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby bylo jasno, \u010dlenstv\u00ed v EU nen\u00ed toto\u017en\u00e9 s \u010dlenstv\u00edm v NATO. Z pohledu rusk\u00e9 velmoci v\u0161ak tento rozd\u00edl ztr\u00e1c\u00ed na v\u00fdznamu, kdy\u017e se ob\u011b instituce pohybuj\u00ed stejn\u00fdm geografick\u00fdm sm\u011brem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vstup do EU koneckonc\u016f s sebou nese postupn\u00e9 sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v oblasti pr\u00e1va, zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fdch postoj\u016f, sankc\u00ed, energetiky, hranic a st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji i prvk\u016f bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed a obrann\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce. Jde o to, \u017ee Ukrajina jako \u010dlen EU by byla ekonomicky, pr\u00e1vn\u011b, institucion\u00e1ln\u011b a politicky zakotvena v z\u00e1padn\u00edm bloku \u2013 a tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro ostatn\u00ed v\u00fdchodoevropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. To je v \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm smyslu p\u0159esn\u011b ten proces struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed transformace, kter\u00fd podle Mearsheimera pomohl p\u0159i\u017eivit krizi v roce 2014 a pot\u00e9 v roce 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejjasn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem: p\u0159ed rokem 2014 fungovala jako sporn\u00fd n\u00e1razn\u00edk. Mearsheimer (stejn\u011b jako odborn\u00edci kalibru <\/span>Henryho Kissingera<\/span><\/a> a <\/span>Stephena Walta<\/span><\/a> ) tvrdil, \u017ee neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed Ukrajina by byla z pohledu Z\u00e1padu vhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u2013 podobn\u011b jako Rakousko b\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b trajektorie nyn\u00ed sm\u011b\u0159uje k pln\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed integraci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moldavsko je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b stejn\u011b citliv\u00e9: m\u00e1 ruskou vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost v Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed, zauj\u00edm\u00e1 strategickou polohu mezi Ukrajinou a Rumunskem \u2013 a urychluje cestu k \u010dlenstv\u00ed v EU, zat\u00edmco prohlubuje praktickou spolupr\u00e1ci se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi arm\u00e1dami.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd pr\u016fvod ke Dni nez\u00e1vislosti v Ki\u0161in\u011bv\u011b to ilustroval ( poprv\u00e9 <\/span>bez sov\u011btsk\u00e9 symboliky ), jak jsem ji\u017e <\/span><\/a>poznamenal<\/span><\/a> : moldavsk\u00e9 jednotky pochodovaly se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi a vozidly; z\u00fa\u010dastnily se ho kontingenty z Ukrajiny a osmi \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f NATO, v\u010detn\u011b USA. Politick\u00fd v\u00fdbor NATO nav\u0161t\u00edvil <\/span>zemi<\/span><\/a> jen n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed p\u0159edt\u00edm a popsal intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moldavsko sice z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 form\u00e1ln\u011b neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 jedn\u00e1 o vstupu do EU \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b oblast\u00ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch vztah\u016f a obrann\u00e9 politiky \u2013 a ve\u0159ejn\u011b prezentuje euroatlantick\u00e1 partnerstv\u00ed. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011b (po USAID) v Moldavsku se p\u0159esouv\u00e1 sm\u011brem k Bruselu, kter\u00fd zas\u00e1hl rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm fondem pro reformy a r\u016fst.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z pohledu Moskvy se kumulativn\u00ed proces jev\u00ed jako postupn\u00e9 za\u010dle\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed jej\u00edho z\u00e1padn\u00edho strategick\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed do z\u00e1padn\u00edho politicko-bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Historicky se velmoci intenzivn\u011b staraj\u00ed o sm\u011br strategick\u00fdch zm\u011bn ve sv\u00e9m bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm sousedstv\u00ed. Obvykle ne\u010dekaj\u00ed, a\u017e je proces dokon\u010den, ne\u017e zareaguj\u00ed \u2013 jak bylo vid\u011bt v roce 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b EU nyn\u00ed ch\u00e1pe roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jako geopolitick\u00fd a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed n\u00e1stroj. Tato formulace posiluje pr\u00e1v\u011b to bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dilema, kter\u00e9 Mearsheimer identifikoval p\u0159ed v\u00edce ne\u017e deseti lety. N\u00e1razn\u00edkov\u00e1 z\u00f3na mezi Ruskem a z\u00e1padn\u00edm institucion\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0159\u00e1dem se nad\u00e1le zmen\u0161uje. Rizika dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace sm\u011brem na v\u00fdchod rostou \u2013 co\u017e zvy\u0161uje nap\u011bt\u00ed d\u00e1le na severu, <\/span>v Pobalt\u00ed.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Brusel nyn\u00ed ozna\u010duje roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed EU za \u201egeopolitick\u00fd imperativ\u201c. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Ukrajina a Moldavsko…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":117801,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1647,41,2973,5754,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117800"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117800\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}