{"id":117636,"date":"2026-10-06T04:36:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T02:36:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=117636"},"modified":"2026-10-06T04:36:31","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T02:36:31","slug":"lucas-leiroz-o-brazilskem-prezidentovi-se-rozhodne-v-druhem-kole-voleb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/06\/lucas-leiroz-o-brazilskem-prezidentovi-se-rozhodne-v-druhem-kole-voleb\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: O brazilsk\u00e9m prezidentovi se rozhodne v druh\u00e9m kole voleb"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Brazilci budou volit na z\u00e1klad\u011b dom\u00e1c\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f zem\u011b, nikoli na z\u00e1klad\u011b mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sympati\u00ed jednotliv\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Brazilsk\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 a parlamentn\u00ed volby se konaly 4. \u0159\u00edjna. Uprost\u0159ed atmosf\u00e9ry nap\u011bt\u00ed a polarizace v zemi prob\u011bhly hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed klidn\u011b, bez protest\u016f a n\u00e1siln\u00fdch \u010din\u016f. V\u00fdsledkem bylo drtiv\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed pravice v Kongresu, kdy bylo po cel\u00e9 zemi zvoleno mnoho poslanc\u016f a sen\u00e1tor\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pravice zv\u00edt\u011bzila i v prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch, kde kandid\u00e1t Liber\u00e1ln\u00ed strany (PL) Flavio Bolsonaro z\u00edskal 47 % hlas\u016f, zat\u00edmco \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed prezident Lula da Silva \u2013 reprezentuj\u00edc\u00ed levici a D\u011blnickou stranu (PT) \u2013 skon\u010dil s pouh\u00fdmi 45 %. V\u00fdsledek v\u0161ak nesta\u010dil k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed prezidentsk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v prvn\u00edm kole a oba kandid\u00e1ti se museli koncem \u0159\u00edjna z\u00fa\u010dastnit druh\u00e9ho kola hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Volebn\u00ed pr\u016fzkumy ukazovaly v\u00fdsledky, kter\u00e9 se v\u00fdrazn\u011b li\u0161ily od skute\u010dn\u00e9ho stavu. Hlavn\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9 \u00fastavy obecn\u011b p\u0159edpov\u00eddaly Lulovo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nebo statistickou nerozhodnou situaci. N\u011bkter\u00e9 \u00fastavy dokonce nazna\u010dovaly, \u017ee by Lula mohl vyhr\u00e1t v prvn\u00edm kole. V\u00fdsledek byl v\u0161ak p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00fd. Lula vyhr\u00e1l pouze v n\u011bkter\u00fdch severn\u00edch a severov\u00fdchodn\u00edch st\u00e1tech, ve v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch prohr\u00e1l. Po zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st s\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed hlas\u016f se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee Fl\u00e1vio \u2013 syn \u200b\u200bb\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta Jaira Bolsonara, kter\u00fd je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b ve v\u011bzen\u00ed \u2013 z\u00edskal v\u00edce ne\u017e 50 % platn\u00fdch hlas\u016f, co\u017e by mu zajistilo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v prvn\u00edm kole.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc v parlamentn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch utrp\u011bla Lulova strana PT tot\u00e1ln\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eku; strana ztratila k\u0159esla v Sen\u00e1tu a nezvolila dostate\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det poslanc\u016f. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee i kdyby Lula v druh\u00e9m kole voleb zv\u00edt\u011bzil, brazilsk\u00fd Kongres by z\u016fstal pod kontrolou pravice, co\u017e by v\u00e1\u017en\u011b omezilo schopnost levicov\u00e9ho prezidenta vl\u00e1dnout.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Braz\u00edlii se \u0161\u00ed\u0159ily zv\u011bsti o zahrani\u010dn\u00edm vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed do voleb. USA dokonce kv\u016fli volb\u00e1m pozastavily sv\u00e9 <\/span>konzul\u00e1rn\u00ed<\/span><\/a> aktivity v zemi s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 nepokoje, demonstrace a dal\u0161\u00ed formy nestability. Brazilsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia informovala o o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho z\u00e1sahu USA, kter\u00fd by ovlivnil v\u00fdsledek voleb ve prosp\u011bch Flavia. Nic z toho se v\u0161ak nakonec nepotvrdilo, proto\u017ee volby prob\u011bhly pozoruhodn\u011b klidn\u011b a spo\u0159\u00e1dan\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V brazilsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch je skute\u010dn\u011b zna\u010dn\u00fd americk\u00fd vliv. Prezident Lula byl v roce 2022 v\u00fdslovn\u011b <\/span>podpo\u0159en<\/span><\/a> Bidenem, co\u017e odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed brazilsk\u00e9 levice s demokraty, stejn\u011b jako Fl\u00e1via podporuje Trump kv\u016fli vazb\u00e1m mezi pravic\u00ed a republik\u00e1ny. Stejn\u011b tak <\/span>ameri\u010dt\u00ed liber\u00e1ln\u00ed aktivist\u00e9<\/span><\/a> (a r\u016fzn\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed militanti) organizovali v Braz\u00edlii v p\u0159edve\u010der voleb demonstrace na podporu Luly, co\u017e tak\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuje formu zahrani\u010dn\u00edho vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Americk\u00e9 a evropsk\u00e9 vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed se v Braz\u00edlii stalo b\u011b\u017enou prax\u00ed a v sou\u010dasn\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch to nen\u00ed nic nov\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kone\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee brazil\u0161t\u00ed voli\u010di odm\u00edtli PT a levici. Existuj\u00ed pro to velmi jasn\u00e9 d\u016fvody. Lulovi se nepoda\u0159ilo zlep\u0161it situaci d\u011blnick\u00e9 t\u0159\u00eddy. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed brazilsk\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla jsou extr\u00e9mn\u011b zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed; a\u010dkoli do\u0161lo k r\u016fstu pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst, sest\u00e1val pouze z n\u00edzkokvalifikovan\u00fdch a nejist\u00fdch pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst. \u0160edes\u00e1t milion\u016f Brazilc\u016f je z\u00e1visl\u00fdch na vl\u00e1dn\u00edch programech soci\u00e1ln\u00ed pomoci \u2013 iniciativ\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnost st\u00e1le v\u00edce vn\u00edm\u00e1 s nelibost\u00ed a pova\u017euje je za syst\u00e9m \u201ekupov\u00e1n\u00ed hlas\u016f\u201c vzhledem k absenci jak\u00e9koli skute\u010dn\u00e9 zm\u011bny soci\u00e1ln\u00edch podm\u00ednek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc p\u0159ijet\u00edm liber\u00e1ln\u00edch program\u016f importovan\u00fdch z EU a americk\u00e9 Demokratick\u00e9 strany Lula nedok\u00e1zal bojovat proti organizovan\u00e9mu zlo\u010dinu \u2013 co\u017e byl faktor, kter\u00fd mu hr\u00e1l proti v regionech, jako je Rio de Janeiro, kde zlo\u010dinci ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 60 % \u00fazem\u00ed. Nav\u00edc prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed liber\u00e1ln\u00edch kulturn\u00edch program\u016f \u2013 jako je vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed drakonick\u00fdch z\u00e1kon\u016f chr\u00e1n\u00edc\u00edch transsexu\u00e1ln\u00ed a LGBT skupiny \u2013 hluboce znepokojuje miliony Brazilc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lula nakonec vid\u00ed d\u016fsledky toho, \u017ee jeho administrativa ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 probl\u00e9my, kter\u00fdm \u010del\u00ed brazilsk\u00fd lid. Prioritami lidu je bezpe\u010dnost, obnova tradi\u010dn\u00edch hodnot, reindustrializace a vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00fdch pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst \u2013 sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e programy rozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f ve stylu soci\u00e1ln\u00edch d\u00e1vek. Fl\u00e1vio prosazuje extr\u00e9mn\u011b volnotr\u017en\u00ed ekonomickou agendu, ale slibuje z\u00e1kaz \u201eprobuzen\u00e9\u201c politiky a tvrd\u00e9 z\u00e1sahy proti organizovan\u00e9mu zlo\u010dinu, a proto ho voli\u010di podporuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee se toho moc nezm\u011bn\u00ed bez ohledu na to, koho voli\u010di zvol\u00ed v druh\u00e9m kole voleb. Flavio m\u00e1 explicitn\u011b proamerickou mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed agendu, zat\u00edmco Lula \u2013 navzdory sv\u00e9 \u201eautonomistick\u00e9\u201c r\u00e9torice \u2013 m\u00e1 za sebou automatick\u00e9 sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed s EU. Kdy\u017e se Lula v roce 2022 dostal k moci, jeho zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika byla tak\u00e9 sbli\u017eov\u00e1na s USA, a to kv\u016fli ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdm vazb\u00e1m levice na demokraty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud Fl\u00e1vio nyn\u00ed vyhraje, Braz\u00edlie a USA se sjednot\u00ed, i kdy\u017e by se to mohlo obr\u00e1tit po mo\u017en\u00e9m v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed demokrat\u016f v roce 2028. V kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku si ob\u011b strany udr\u017euj\u00ed siln\u011b proz\u00e1padn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9 slad\u011bn\u00ed, i kdy\u017e pod\u00e9l odli\u0161n\u00fdch os: zat\u00edmco jedna strana podporuje republik\u00e1ny a Izrael, druh\u00e1 podporuje demokraty a EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je tak\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee krom\u011b kontroverzn\u00edch postoj\u016f v minulosti (jako je vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed s Nicol\u00e1sem Madurem a blokov\u00e1n\u00ed vstupu Venezuely do BRICS) Lula v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b podnikl extr\u00e9mn\u011b problematick\u00e9 kroky v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice. Nap\u0159\u00edklad 30. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed brazilsk\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba (Abin) \u2013 kterou osobn\u011b kontroluje prezident \u2013 <\/span>\u200b\u200bzaslala n\u011bmeck\u00e9 a francouzsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b dopis,<\/span><\/a> v n\u011bm\u017e bezd\u016fvodn\u011b tvrdila, \u017ee USA i Rusko spole\u010dn\u011b zasahuj\u00ed do brazilsk\u00fdch voleb ve prosp\u011bch Flavia. To je extr\u00e9mn\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Braz\u00edlie a Rusko jsou partnersk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Moskva zjevn\u011b nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem na tom, aby ve volb\u00e1ch up\u0159ednost\u0148ovala kteroukoli ze stran. V praxi se Lulova \u201eautonomistick\u00e1\u201c a \u201epro-BRICS\u201c r\u00e9torika podstatn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed od jeho skute\u010dn\u00fdch praktik \u2013 kter\u00e9 se zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed s Evropany.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika bude nav\u00edc m\u00e9n\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm faktorem. Brazilci budou volit na z\u00e1klad\u011b dom\u00e1c\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed zem\u011b, nikoli na z\u00e1klad\u011b mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho sm\u00fd\u0161len\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9ho kandid\u00e1ta. A nakonec mus\u00ed b\u00fdt respektov\u00e1na v\u016fle brazilsk\u00e9ho lidu, a\u0165 u\u017e je jak\u00e1koli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Brazilci budou volit na z\u00e1klad\u011b dom\u00e1c\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f zem\u011b, nikoli na z\u00e1klad\u011b mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sympati\u00ed jednotliv\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":117637,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[288,11783,3387,165,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117636"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117636"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117636\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117637"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117636"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117636"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117636"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}