{"id":117629,"date":"2026-10-06T00:32:34","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T22:32:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=117629"},"modified":"2026-10-05T18:08:49","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T16:08:49","slug":"iran-izrael-a-hrozici-globalni-sok-valka-jejimz-cilem-je-znicit-svet-aby-se-uskutecnily-ambice-jedineho-statu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/10\/06\/iran-izrael-a-hrozici-globalni-sok-valka-jejimz-cilem-je-znicit-svet-aby-se-uskutecnily-ambice-jedineho-statu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n, Izrael a hroz\u00edc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161ok: V\u00e1lka, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je zni\u010dit sv\u011bt, aby se uskute\u010dnily ambice jedin\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Konfrontace mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem ji\u017e nen\u00ed konfliktem omezen\u00fdm na region mezi dv\u011bma region\u00e1ln\u00edmi mocnostmi. Stala se \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho konfliktu, do kter\u00e9ho jsou zapojeny Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a Evropa. Sb\u00edhaj\u00ed se zde energetick\u00e9 trasy, vojensk\u00e9 aliance, finan\u010dn\u00ed tlak a politick\u00fd vliv. Co se na prvn\u00ed pohled jev\u00ed jako dal\u0161\u00ed krize na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, je ve skute\u010dnosti mechanismem, kter\u00fd by mohl zm\u011bnit sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d. N\u00e1klady by neslo mnoho zem\u00ed. Strategick\u00e9 zisky by se soust\u0159edily na jednom m\u00edst\u011b. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161ok tohoto rozsahu by slou\u017eil p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm izraelsk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krize, kter\u00e1 sah\u00e1 daleko za hranice Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tento vzorec nen\u00ed nov\u00fd. Americk\u00e1 politika se ji\u017e l\u00e9ta sna\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eet Rusko na uzd\u011b v Evrop\u011b a \u010c\u00ednu v Asii sou\u010dasn\u011b. V\u00e1lka zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 na \u00cdr\u00e1n by Washingtonu umo\u017enila zas\u00e1hnout v\u00edce c\u00edl\u016f v r\u00e1mci jedin\u00e9 krize. \u00cdr\u00e1n je region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost s raketami, z\u00e1stupci a vlivem sahaj\u00edc\u00edm od Levanty a\u017e po Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv. Je tak\u00e9 spojencem Moskvy a partnerem Pekingu. Pokud bude \u00cdr\u00e1n oslaben, Rusko ztrat\u00ed u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e9ho partnera na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. \u010c\u00edna ztrat\u00ed spolehliv\u00fd zdroj energie a uzel v obchodn\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch, kter\u00e9 proch\u00e1zej\u00ed Persk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv jako glob\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u00e1ka<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd. Touto \u00fazkou vodn\u00ed cestou st\u00e1le prot\u00e9k\u00e1 velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st sv\u011btov\u00e9 ropy. Jak\u00e9koli v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed by v t\u00e9to oblasti vyvolalo n\u00e1r\u016fst cen, ot\u0159\u00e1slo finan\u010dn\u00edmi trhy a donutilo vl\u00e1dy sh\u00e1n\u011bt palivo. Evropa a Francie, ji\u017e tak zat\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 v\u00e1lkou na Ukrajin\u011b a roky n\u00e1kladn\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 politiky, by okam\u017eit\u011b poc\u00edtily dopad. Lok\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt by se b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed rozrostl v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomickou ud\u00e1lost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d m\u00e1 Izrael co z\u00edskat nejv\u00edce<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Izrael je st\u0159edem t\u011bchto \u00favah. \u00cdr\u00e1n je posledn\u00edm v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm st\u00e1tem v regionu, kter\u00fd st\u00e1le odol\u00e1v\u00e1 vojensk\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 dominanci Izraele. Odstran\u011bn\u00ed nebo oslaben\u00ed t\u00e9to p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky by posunulo rovnov\u00e1hu sil na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Sn\u00ed\u017eilo by hrozbu raket, milic\u00ed a diplomatick\u00e9 izolace. Nav\u00edc by to vytvo\u0159ilo prostor pro \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed a politick\u00fd projekt. Proto tlak na Washington nikdy skute\u010dn\u011b nepolevuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 politika a sd\u00edlen\u00e1 elita<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Spole\u010dn\u00fd narativ prezentuje Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Izrael jako dva samostatn\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 spolu vyjedn\u00e1vaj\u00ed. Tento obraz je ne\u00fapln\u00fd. Na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u00farovn\u00edch se mezi Washingtonem a Tel Avivem pohybuj\u00ed stejn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed, politick\u00e9 a medi\u00e1ln\u00ed elity. Zasedaj\u00ed ve stejn\u00fdch spr\u00e1vn\u00edch rad\u00e1ch, financuj\u00ed stejn\u00e9 kampan\u011b, vlastn\u00ed stejn\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b a k ob\u011bma zem\u00edm p\u0159istupuj\u00ed jako k sou\u010d\u00e1stem jedin\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu. N\u011bkter\u00e9 z t\u011bchto elit up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed americkou moc. Jin\u00e9 up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed Izrael. Rozd\u00edl spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 ve v\u00e1ze, nikoli v t\u0159\u00eddn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nosti. Politiku netvo\u0159\u00ed ani tak dva soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1rody, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e sd\u00edlen\u00fd kruh schopn\u00fd p\u0159esouvat zdroje, v\u00e1lky a ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 narativy z jednoho hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta do druh\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Proizraelsk\u00e1 lobby ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech je nejviditeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed t\u00e9to konstelace. Financuje volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b, formuje medi\u00e1ln\u00ed pokryt\u00ed a dr\u017e\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00e9 mo\u017enosti mimo hru. Donald Trump je \u010dasto vykreslov\u00e1n jako mu\u017e, kter\u00fd jedn\u00e1 v\u00fdhradn\u011b v americk\u00fdch z\u00e1jmech. V praxi je v\u0161ak chycen mezi dv\u011bma silami v r\u00e1mci stejn\u00e9ho elitn\u00edho sv\u011bta. Jednou jsou voli\u010di \u201eAmerika na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed si p\u0159ej\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b v\u00e1lek v zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Druhou jsou pen\u00edze, s\u00edt\u011b a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed otev\u0159en\u011bji podporuj\u00ed Izrael. Politika v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu se utv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed uprost\u0159ed tohoto nap\u011bt\u00ed. V\u00fdsledkem jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 mohou hovo\u0159it o zdr\u017eenlivosti, a p\u0159esto sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed ke konfrontaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se stal pevnost\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se ji\u017e nechov\u00e1 jako zem\u011b \u010dekaj\u00edc\u00ed na izolaci a podman\u011bn\u00ed sankcemi. Prom\u011bnil se v pevnost. Jeho geografick\u00e1 poloha, raketov\u00fd program, spojenectv\u00ed a vnit\u0159n\u00ed soudr\u017enost spolupracuj\u00ed. Rusko a \u010c\u00edna mu poskytuj\u00ed diplomatickou podporu a materi\u00e1ln\u00ed podporu. \u010clenstv\u00ed ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm nez\u00e1padn\u00edm bloku, v\u010detn\u011b zem\u00ed BRICS, mu nab\u00edz\u00ed alternativy k z\u00e1padn\u00edmu finan\u010dn\u00edmu a obchodn\u00edmu sv\u011btu.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed, mu\u010dednictv\u00ed a n\u00e1rodn\u00ed vytrvalost<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Uvnit\u0159 zem\u011b jsou n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed a politika neodd\u011bliteln\u011b propleteny. \u0160\u00edismus a kultura mu\u010dednictv\u00ed nejsou pouh\u00fdmi ozdobami. Jsou zdrojem vytrvalosti. U\u010d\u00ed lidi, \u017ee ob\u011b\u0165 m\u00e1 smysl a \u017ee \u00fastup je ostuda. To \u010din\u00ed politickou kapitulaci mnohem obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e si cizinci \u010dasto mysl\u00ed. Teher\u00e1n dok\u00e1\u017ee sn\u00e1\u0161et bolest. M\u016f\u017ee \u010dekat. M\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010dit zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd by uzav\u0159el Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv nebo zap\u00e1lil energetick\u00e9 trhy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropa nen\u00ed na \u0161ok p\u0159ipravena<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Evropa je na takov\u00fd \u0161ok \u0161patn\u011b p\u0159ipraven\u00e1. NATO sice m\u016f\u017ee hovo\u0159it o jednot\u011b, ale jednota neprodukuje ropu ani plyn. Dlouhodob\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 krize by vyhnala ceny nahoru, podn\u00edtila inflaci a oslabila u\u017e tak k\u0159ehk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 finance. Role dolaru jako sv\u011btov\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny by se dostala pod dal\u0161\u00ed tlak, proto\u017ee zem\u011b hledaj\u00ed alternativn\u00ed obchodn\u00ed cesty. Ji\u017e se formuje multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed syst\u00e9m. \u010c\u00edna, Rusko a jejich partne\u0159i buduj\u00ed platebn\u00ed syst\u00e9my, energetick\u00e9 dohody a politick\u00e9 aliance, kter\u00e9 funguj\u00ed mimo Washington.<\/span><\/p>\n

Multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt urychlen\u00fd v\u00e1lkou<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc vysok\u00fdch cen energi\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed tento proces urychluje. Evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 se rozhodly pro n\u00e1kladnou energetickou transformaci a neomezenou podporu Ukrajiny, by \u010delily je\u0161t\u011b t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00edm rozhodnut\u00edm. Dom\u00e1cnosti by musely platit v\u00edce. Pr\u016fmysl by ztratil p\u016fdu pod nohama. Politick\u00e1 nespokojenost by se zv\u00fd\u0161ila. V\u00e1lka by nez\u016fstala na map\u011b Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Prostupovala by ka\u017edodenn\u00edm \u017eivotem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vize Velk\u00e9ho Izraele<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Za mapami a raketami se skr\u00fdv\u00e1 hlub\u0161\u00ed my\u0161lenka. N\u011bkter\u00e9 proudy v izraelsk\u00e9 politice nepova\u017euj\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt za omezen\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed probl\u00e9m. Vid\u00ed ho jako sou\u010d\u00e1st \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho historick\u00e9ho posl\u00e1n\u00ed. Koncept Velk\u00e9ho Izraele nen\u00ed jen o hranic\u00edch na map\u011b. Je propojen s n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdmi a mesi\u00e1\u0161sk\u00fdmi o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edmi. V t\u00e9to vizi nejsou velk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a katastrofy pouh\u00fdm nebezpe\u010d\u00edm. Mohou b\u00fdt etapami na cest\u011b ke sl\u00edben\u00e9 transformaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Katastrofa jako politick\u00fd horizont<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Starov\u011bk\u00e9 texty hovo\u0159\u00ed o kolos\u00e1ln\u00edch bitv\u00e1ch a sv\u011bt\u011b prom\u011bn\u011bn\u00e9m katastrofou. Kdy\u017e se tyto my\u0161lenky dostanou do prostor, kde se rozhoduje o strategi\u00edch, v\u00fdznam rizika se m\u011bn\u00ed. V\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem u\u017e nen\u00ed jen s\u00e1zkou o rakety a ropu; st\u00e1v\u00e1 se potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed branou do jin\u00e9 \u00e9ry. Konflikt proto nelze ch\u00e1pat pouze na z\u00e1klad\u011b vojensk\u00fdch statistik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lka a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed rozd\u011blen\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lka prob\u00edh\u00e1 soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s vojenskou kampan\u00ed. Vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed se narativy, kter\u00e9 ospravedl\u0148uj\u00ed eskalaci, zast\u00edraj\u00ed n\u00e1klady a ozna\u010duj\u00ed opozici za mor\u00e1ln\u00ed selh\u00e1n\u00ed. Tyto narativy se snadno \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed, proto\u017ee tyt\u00e9\u017e elitn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed velkou \u010d\u00e1st m\u00e9di\u00ed na obou stran\u00e1ch Atlantiku. Ve Francii a v cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b by spole\u010densk\u00e9 d\u016fsledky nez\u016fstaly abstraktn\u00ed. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny pohonn\u00fdch hmot, inflace a pocit, \u017ee za vzd\u00e1len\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se plat\u00ed doma, by prohloubily st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed politick\u00e9 rozpory. D\u016fv\u011bra v instituce by d\u00e1le klesala. Strany slibuj\u00edc\u00ed ochranu a rozchod se statutem quo by z\u00edskaly na s\u00edle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdo plat\u00ed a kdo z toho m\u00e1 prosp\u011bch?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Hroz\u00edc\u00ed ot\u0159es je proto m\u00e9n\u011b ot\u00e1zkou n\u00e1hody ne\u017e shodou r\u016fzn\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f. Americk\u00e1 mocensk\u00e1 politika se sna\u017e\u00ed omezit Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu. Izraelsk\u00e1 strategie si klade za c\u00edl zlomit \u00cdr\u00e1n. Tyt\u00e9\u017e elity ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed ob\u011b priority, i kdy\u017e se p\u0159ou o to, kter\u00e1 by m\u011bla m\u00edt p\u0159ednost. N\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 vize dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed konfrontaci v\u00fdznam, kter\u00fd p\u0159esahuje b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed um\u011bn\u00ed. Energetick\u00e9 trhy, dolar, NATO a evropsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti jsou ar\u00e9nou, kde by se n\u00e1klady nesly. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed katastrofa tohoto druhu by se nedotkla v\u0161ech stejn\u011b. Prosp\u011bla by zemi, kter\u00e1 by ze zni\u010den\u00ed sv\u00e9ho posledn\u00edho v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho region\u00e1ln\u00edho rivala z\u00edskala nejv\u00edce, a prosp\u011bla by sd\u00edlen\u00e9 elit\u011b, kter\u00e1 vn\u00edm\u00e1 izraelskou a americkou moc jako dva n\u00e1stroje t\u00e9ho\u017e projektu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Angelo Giuliano\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Konfrontace mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem ji\u017e nen\u00ed konfliktem omezen\u00fdm na region mezi dv\u011bma region\u00e1ln\u00edmi mocnostmi….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":117630,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,276,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117629"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117629"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117629\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117629"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117629"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117629"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}