{"id":116978,"date":"2026-09-29T00:21:37","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T22:21:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=116978"},"modified":"2026-09-28T12:32:57","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T10:32:57","slug":"andrew-korybko-ukrajina-mozna-planuje-utok-dronem-pod-falesnou-vlajkou-na-jizni-evropu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/09\/29\/andrew-korybko-ukrajina-mozna-planuje-utok-dronem-pod-falesnou-vlajkou-na-jizni-evropu\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Ukrajina mo\u017en\u00e1 pl\u00e1nuje \u00fatok dronem pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou na ji\u017en\u00ed Evropu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zelenskyj m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem zapl\u00e9st Rusko do \u00fatoku na NATO, aby mohl vyu\u017e\u00edt nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hysterie.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron a italsk\u00fd ministr obrany Guido Crosetto <\/span>vyvr\u00e1tili <\/span><\/a>ned\u00e1vnou zpr\u00e1vu \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed, kter\u00e1 citovala anonymn\u00ed zdroj bl\u00edzk\u00fd litevsk\u00e9mu ministerstvu obrany a tvrdila, \u017ee CIA se \u00fadajn\u011b domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko pl\u00e1nuje \u00fatoky dron\u016f na ji\u017en\u00ed Evropu. Kontext se t\u00fdk\u00e1 hysterie <\/span>mezi n\u011bkter\u00fdmi evropsk\u00fdmi v\u016fdci <\/span><\/a>, \u017ee Rusko by brzy mohlo <\/span>otestovat odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed NATO <\/span><\/a>. Finsk\u00fd prezident Alexander Stubb <\/span>d\u0159\u00edve prohl\u00e1sil <\/span><\/a>, \u017ee takov\u00e9 rozhovory jsou kontraproduktivn\u00ed pro z\u00e1jmy EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bylo proto osv\u011b\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci se \u0159\u00eddili jeho p\u0159\u00edkladem, m\u00edsto aby se \u0159\u00eddili proudem narativu, a\u0165 u\u017e byly jejich postrann\u00ed motivy jak\u00e9koli. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b skute\u010dnost, \u017ee tento p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh byl v\u016fbec vsazen do m\u00e9di\u00ed, a to anonymn\u00edm zdrojem bl\u00edzk\u00fdm litevsk\u00e9mu ministerstvu obrany, je znepokojiv\u00e1, zejm\u00e9na uprost\u0159ed <\/span>spekulac\u00ed o hroz\u00edc\u00edm \u00fatoku Ukrajiny pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou, <\/span><\/a>vzhledem k tomu, jak m\u00e1 Kyjev z\u00e1jem zapl\u00e9st Rusko do \u00fatoku na NATO, aby zneu\u017eil nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hysterii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto roku <\/span>Ukrajina <\/span><\/a>z libyjsk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny dron\u016f <\/a><\/span>za\u00fato\u010dila na jedno z rusk\u00fdch plavidel \u201est\u00ednov\u00e9 flotily\u201c ve St\u0159edozemn\u00edm mo\u0159i, <\/span>zat\u00edmco jeden z jej\u00edch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch dron\u016f dopadl <\/a>na b\u0159eh \u0159eck\u00e9ho ostrova v J\u00f3nsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Oba tyto ud\u00e1losti potvrdily, \u017ee Kyjev m\u00e1 v oblasti jak leteck\u00e9, tak i n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed drony. Mohl by je proto vyu\u017e\u00edt k \u00fatok\u016fm pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou v ji\u017en\u00ed Evrop\u011b ve snaze manipulovat s evropsk\u00fdm NATO (E-NATO) k alespo\u0148 agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu z\u00e1sahu proti rusk\u00e9 \u201est\u00ednov\u00e9 flotile\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

K tomuto t\u00e9matu \u201e <\/span>Putin v srpnu b\u011bhem sv\u00e9 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy velitelstv\u00ed Tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily ve Vladivostoku pohrozil odvetou a eskalac\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00edch plavidel <\/span><\/a>\u201c, jej\u00ed\u017e recipro\u010dn\u00ed eskalaci by mohlo E-NATO vyu\u017e\u00edt k dal\u0161\u00edmu eskala\u010dn\u00edmu postupu s rizikem, \u017ee by n\u00e1hodou zv\u00fd\u0161ilo pravd\u011bpodobnost vypuknut\u00ed hork\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd pr\u016flom v polsko-b\u011blorusk\u00fdch vztaz\u00edch po prvn\u00edm setk\u00e1n\u00ed ministr\u016f zahrani\u010d\u00ed po deseti letech by v\u0161ak mohl v\u00e9st k oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed v nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, jak je <\/span>zde <\/span><\/a>podrobn\u011b vysv\u011btleno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zelenskyj si to z mnoha d\u016fvod\u016f mo\u017en\u00e1 nep\u0159eje, v neposledn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b proto, \u017ee by ho Z\u00e1pad pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b donutil k n\u011bjak\u00fdm bolestiv\u00fdm kompromis\u016fm s Putinem p\u0159ed kon\u00e1n\u00edm dlouho odkl\u00e1dan\u00fdch voleb, kter\u00e9 by <\/span>vzhledem k jeho neobl\u00edbenosti <\/span><\/a>, a tedy i k jeho fale\u0161n\u00e9 vlajk\u011b, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vedly ke ztr\u00e1t\u011b moci. Ve spojen\u00ed s ukrajinsk\u00fdmi schopnostmi, jak bylo zm\u00edn\u011bno d\u0159\u00edve v t\u00e9to anal\u00fdze, je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, v n\u011bm\u017e se pokus\u00ed o \u00fatoky dron\u016f pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou proti ji\u017en\u00ed Evrop\u011b, nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b v\u011brohodn\u00fd, ale hrozba je st\u00e1le zvl\u00e1dnuteln\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e se tomu nelze vyhnout, vytvo\u0159en\u00ed krizov\u00e9ho kan\u00e1lu mezi USA, v\u00fdchodn\u00edm NATO a Ruskem, jak je navr\u017eeno v tomto \u010dl\u00e1nku, na <\/span>kter\u00fd <\/span><\/a>se odkazuje v d\u0159\u00edve citovan\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku o t\u00e1n\u00ed v nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, by mohlo zabr\u00e1nit vzniku hork\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, na kterou bylo d\u0159\u00edve varov\u00e1no. Zpr\u00e1va o jeho vytvo\u0159en\u00ed by mohla tak\u00e9 odradit Zelensk\u00e9ho, pokud by uv\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee jeho potenci\u00e1ln\u011b hroz\u00edc\u00ed pl\u00e1ny by selhaly a nedok\u00e1zaly by zma\u0159it \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9 t\u00e1n\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed, a mohly by se dokonce obr\u00e1tit proti nim, pokud by se objevily d\u016fkazy, kter\u00e9 by pak usv\u011bd\u010dily Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 je to jakkoli, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd takov\u00fd krizov\u00fd kan\u00e1l v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b neexistuje, tak\u017ee Zelensky m\u00e1 st\u00e1le otev\u0159enou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost schv\u00e1lit \u00fatok ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou na ji\u017en\u00ed Evropu za \u00fa\u010delem zapleten\u00ed Ruska. Je proto nal\u00e9hav\u00e9, aby byl takov\u00fd kan\u00e1l vytvo\u0159en, jinak by v nejhor\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mohl t\u011bmito prost\u0159edky rozpoutat t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Finsko, Francie a It\u00e1lie se br\u00e1n\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hysterii uprost\u0159ed polsko-b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho pr\u016flomu, maj\u00ed nyn\u00ed USA v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161anci zprost\u0159edkovat tuto situaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zelenskyj m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem zapl\u00e9st Rusko do \u00fatoku na NATO, aby mohl vyu\u017e\u00edt nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hysterie. Francouzsk\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":116979,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2856,2263,5838,26,723],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116978"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=116978"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116978\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116979"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=116978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=116978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=116978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}