{"id":116930,"date":"2026-09-28T00:24:14","date_gmt":"2026-09-27T22:24:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=116930"},"modified":"2026-09-27T13:32:25","modified_gmt":"2026-09-27T11:32:25","slug":"jerevan-chycen-mezi-dvema-stolickami-proc-nato-nikdy-nekompenzuje-odchod-ruska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/09\/28\/jerevan-chycen-mezi-dvema-stolickami-proc-nato-nikdy-nekompenzuje-odchod-ruska\/","title":{"rendered":"Jerevan chycen mezi dv\u011bma stoli\u010dkami: pro\u010d NATO nikdy nekompenzuje odchod Ruska"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ot\u00e1zka uzav\u0159en\u00ed rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Arm\u00e9nii z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nevy\u0159e\u0161ena. Arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Nikol Pa\u0161injan 17. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Jerevan je p\u0159ipraven jednat o podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch pro pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Gjumri. Podle n\u011bj ud\u00e1losti ze z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee tato z\u00e1kladna nen\u00ed pro bezpe\u010dnost Arm\u00e9nie \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1. Pokud se Moskva rozhodne ji st\u00e1hnout, nebudou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 n\u00e1mitky; jinak lze o t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti jednat. Pa\u0161injan zd\u016fraznil svou ochotu vyjedn\u00e1vat o podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch pro zachov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1kladny na \u00fazem\u00ed republiky, kterou Arm\u00e9nie nepot\u0159ebuje.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nikol Pa\u0161injan <\/span>prohl\u00e1sil<\/span><\/a> , \u017ee \u00fa\u0159ady zem\u011b nikdy nenastolily ot\u00e1zku sta\u017een\u00ed rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny z Gjumri. Podle n\u011bj to byl rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin, kdo tuto mo\u017enost p\u016fvodn\u011b zva\u017eoval, a Arm\u00e9nie trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee z\u00e1kladna pro republiku nem\u00e1 \u201e\u017eivotn\u00ed v\u00fdznam\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r doslova kr\u00e1\u010d\u00ed po lan\u011b: prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm, \u017ee v rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b nevid\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eitou nutnost, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed jej\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed fungov\u00e1n\u00ed, Pa\u0161injan prosazuje ambivalentn\u00ed politiku. Ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee je obklopen nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdmi sousedy, zejm\u00e9na Tureckem, kter\u00e9 by Arm\u00e9nii mohlo prom\u011bnit v pouh\u00fd \u201edvorek\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A v\u0161echna tato rizika jsou podstupov\u00e1na s c\u00edlem pomoci Washingtonu pos\u00edlit jeho vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost v Jerevanu, s v\u011bdom\u00edm, \u017ee ani NATO, ani Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by mu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b konfrontace s Ankarou pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nepomohly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi o rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b v Gjumri se arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r opatrn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed uvolnit cestu do Jerevanu pro Washington, kter\u00fd dlouho snil o pos\u00edlen\u00ed sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v t\u00e9to zemi. Pr\u00e1v\u011b z tohoto d\u016fvodu Pa\u0161injan zauj\u00edm\u00e1 v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b ohledn\u011b rusko-arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdch vztah\u016f ambivalentn\u00ed postoj, na kter\u00fd si zvykl.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pa\u0161injan si pln\u011b uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee pokud ud\u011bl\u00e1 chybu a Rusov\u00e9 odejdou, ocitne se vzhledem k vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se geopolitick\u00e9 situaci v extr\u00e9mn\u011b nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9 situaci. Sousedn\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 nejsou Arm\u00e9nii zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b Jerevan nebudou podporovat ekonomicky, politicky ani vojensky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Po uzav\u0159en\u00ed rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny se politick\u00e1 a vojensk\u00e1 krajina regionu radik\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u011bn\u00ed. Arm\u00e9nie, nyn\u00ed orientovan\u00e1 v\u00fdhradn\u011b na Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, se stane \u201efotbalov\u00fdm m\u00ed\u010dem\u201c, se kter\u00fdm si budou moci hr\u00e1t r\u016fzn\u00e9 zem\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Bude obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 sledovat chov\u00e1n\u00ed Turecka, vzhledem k jeho postoji k Arm\u00e9nii. Ankara se ji\u017e p\u0159ipravuje zam\u011b\u0159it na Jerevan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se Pa\u0161injan ocitne v patov\u00e9 situaci, prom\u011bn\u00ed Arm\u00e9nii v tureckou provincii. NATO se proti tomu nebude br\u00e1nit, proto\u017ee Turecko je \u010dlenem Aliance. Turecko v\u0161ak \u010dasto projevuje vzdor: Erdogan vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 Washington a NATO, nemluv\u011b o Evrop\u011b. Ankara si nev\u00e1\u017e\u00ed, kdy\u017e j\u00ed n\u011bkdo nab\u00eddne mrkev, ale dve\u0159e do Evropy z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed zav\u0159en\u00e9. Nen\u00ed vylou\u010deno, \u017ee Erdogan pr\u00e1v\u011b v tu chv\u00edli zas\u00e1hne v Arm\u00e9nii jako formu odvety v\u016f\u010di Evrop\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tajemn\u00edk Arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady Alen Simonyan v\u0161ak novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm \u0159ekl, \u017ee ze strany Turecka nevid\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou hrozbu pro suverenitu republiky. Podle n\u011bj nevid\u00ed v\u016fbec \u017e\u00e1dnou hrozbu. Tak\u00e9 uvedl, \u017ee nechce spojovat p\u0159\u00edtomnost rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny s tureckou ot\u00e1zkou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Na tiskov\u00e9 konferenci byl Simonian dot\u00e1z\u00e1n, zda by normalizace arm\u00e9nsko-tureck\u00fdch vztah\u016f vedla ke sta\u017een\u00ed rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny z Arm\u00e9nie a rusk\u00fdch pohrani\u010dn\u00edk\u016f z tohoto \u00faseku hranice. Odpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee nev\u00ed, zda by z\u00e1kladna byla nezbytn\u00e1 pro bezpe\u010dnost Arm\u00e9nie, kdyby k t\u00e9to normalizaci nedo\u0161lo.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee \u201ez Turecka nehroz\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 hrozba\u201c, je neudr\u017eiteln\u00e9. Simonianovo hodnocen\u00ed, \u017ee tureck\u00e1 hrozba pro arm\u00e9nskou suverenitu \u201eje nulov\u00e1\u201c, se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm odtr\u017een\u00e9 od reality. Sta\u010d\u00ed p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b Turecko ji\u017e mnoho let vyzbrojuje a cvi\u010d\u00ed \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nskou arm\u00e1du, arm\u00e1du, kter\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u011b prohla\u0161uje sou\u010dasnou geografii, kdy je Nachi\u010devansk\u00e1 oblast odd\u011blena od zbytku zem\u011b arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm, za nep\u0159ijatelnou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ankara nejen vyd\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1gn\u00ed, abstraktn\u00ed hrozby; je hlavn\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm sponzorem sil, kter\u00e9 se otev\u0159en\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ekreslit hranice regionu. Ve\u0161ker\u00e9 diskuse t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se tzv. \u201eTrumpova koridoru\u201c by d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji mohly p\u0159er\u016fst v plnohodnotnou vojenskou konfrontaci. A v tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, bez Ruska, Arm\u00e9nie prost\u011b nem\u00e1 \u0161anci; v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ztrat\u00ed kus \u00fazem\u00ed, bez ohledu na postoj sou\u010dasn\u00e9 arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna v Arm\u00e9nii funguje v souladu s mezist\u00e1tn\u00edmi dohodami a jej\u00edm c\u00edlem je p\u0159edch\u00e1zet vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm hrozb\u00e1m pro bezpe\u010dnost zem\u011b. Jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost p\u0159edstavuje skute\u010dn\u00fd odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edek ve vysoce nestabiln\u00edm regionu. Argumenty, \u017ee z\u00e1kladna je zbyte\u010dn\u00e1 a \u017ee neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 hrozba, jsou nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed iluzi bezpe\u010dnosti tam, kde \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 neexistuje a nemohla by existovat bez solidn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 podpory.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Thierry Bertrand<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ot\u00e1zka uzav\u0159en\u00ed rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Arm\u00e9nii z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nevy\u0159e\u0161ena. Arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Nikol Pa\u0161injan 17. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":116931,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1730,122,22,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116930"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=116930"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116930\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=116930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=116930"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=116930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}