{"id":116594,"date":"2026-09-23T07:03:09","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T05:03:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=116594"},"modified":"2026-09-23T07:03:09","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T05:03:09","slug":"andrew-korybko-zapad-by-mohl-brzy-zesilit-tlak-na-indii-aby-se-distancovala-od-ruska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/09\/23\/andrew-korybko-zapad-by-mohl-brzy-zesilit-tlak-na-indii-aby-se-distancovala-od-ruska\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Z\u00e1pad by mohl brzy zes\u00edlit tlak na Indii, aby se distancovala od Ruska"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee USA a Francie koordinuj\u00ed spole\u010dnou n\u00e1tlakovou akci proti Indii<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Popul\u00e1rn\u00ed rusk\u00fd den\u00edk Izvestia<\/a> upozornil na \u010dl\u00e1nek<\/a> agentury Bloomberg za paywallem, v n\u011bm\u017e se uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee Indie by mohla omezit dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy, kter\u00fd minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc p\u0159edstavoval 45 % jej\u00edho celkov\u00e9ho dovozu<\/a>, aby se vyhnula americk\u00fdm cl\u016fm ve v\u00fd\u0161i a\u017e 100 % pot\u00e9, co Trump ned\u00e1vno podepsal z\u00e1kon<\/a>, kter\u00fd mu d\u00e1v\u00e1 pravomoc postihovat nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00e9 partnery Ruska. Ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u201enejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed indick\u00fd diplomat nazna\u010dil<\/a>, \u017ee se Indie vzep\u0159e jak\u00e9mukoli nov\u00e9mu tlaku USA ohledn\u011b sv\u00fdch n\u00e1kup\u016f rusk\u00e9 ropy\u201c, kter\u00e9 jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za nep\u0159\u00edmo z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro jej\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd tlak by se v\u0161ak brzy mohl je\u0161t\u011b zn\u00e1sobit, jak nazna\u010duje nejen schv\u00e1len\u00ed zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho z\u00e1kona o sank\u010dn\u00edch clech. USA a \u010c\u00edna vyjedn\u00e1vaj\u00ed o prodlou\u017een\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lce p\u0159ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvou Si \u0164in-pchinga, kter\u00e1 se uskute\u010dn\u00ed koncem tohoto t\u00fddne. Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 neshody se podle Financial Times<\/a> t\u00fdkaj\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm d\u00e9lky trv\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by k takov\u00e9mu prodlou\u017een\u00ed nakonec do\u0161lo, USA pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b neulo\u017e\u00ed \u010c\u00edn\u011b sank\u010dn\u00ed cla za n\u00e1kupy rusk\u00e9 ropy, co\u017e by upoutalo pozornost na n\u00e1kupy Indie.<\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli USA t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z indick\u00e9ho balancov\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Ruskem a USA, proto\u017ee strategick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody, kter\u00e9 Indie z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1, j\u00ed nej\u00fa\u010dinn\u011bji umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed fungovat jako jak\u00e1si protiv\u00e1ha \u010c\u00edny, \u201eTrump 2.0\u201c by se p\u0159esto mohl st\u00e1t \u201egeopoliticky chamtiv\u00fdm\u201c a cht\u00edt, aby se USA staly hlavn\u00edm partnerem Indie. V takov\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i by hrozba sank\u010dn\u00edch cel za dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy mohla b\u00fdt vyu\u017eita jako Damokl\u016fv me\u010d k vyv\u00edjen\u00ed tlaku na Indii, aby tento dovoz postupn\u011b omezovala a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se p\u0159ipojila k z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalici v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu.<\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to souvislosti francouzsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed navrhl<\/a> b\u011bhem rozhovor\u016f se sv\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem v r\u00e1mci zased\u00e1n\u00ed Valn\u00e9ho shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed OSN spole\u010dnou spolupr\u00e1ci s Indi\u00ed na zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed \u201esvobody plavby v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu a Bab el-Mandebsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu<\/a>\u201c. To se \u010dasov\u011b shodovalo s dohodou francouzsk\u00e9ho a americk\u00e9ho prezidenta o spolupr\u00e1ci v ot\u00e1zce Hormuzu, jak vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 z tweetu Emmanuela Macrona<\/a> po jeho rozhovorech s Trumpem. P\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dast Indie v z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalici v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, by\u0165 by k n\u00ed do\u0161lo pod tlakem cel, by m\u011bla v\u00fdznamn\u00fd dopad.<\/p>\n

Za prv\u00e9 by to znamenalo, \u017ee se USA rozhodly vyv\u00edjet tlak na Indii kv\u016fli jej\u00edm dovoz\u016fm rusk\u00e9 ropy, zat\u00edmco nad dovozem \u010c\u00edny p\u0159iv\u00edraj\u00ed o\u010di po dobu pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b prodlou\u017een\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lce, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee USA se v t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce c\u00edt\u00ed pohodln\u011bji p\u0159i \u0161ikanov\u00e1n\u00ed Indie ne\u017e \u010c\u00edny. Zadruh\u00e9 by \u00fa\u010dast Indie potvrdila, \u017ee USA \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b vyu\u017eily tento tlak souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s cly jako zbra\u0148, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e t\u0159et\u00edm v\u00fdznamem by bylo, \u017ee se Indie p\u0159ipojila ke koalici s c\u00edlem z\u00edskat alternativn\u00ed zdroje ropy k t\u011bm rusk\u00fdm.<\/p>\n

Za \u010dtvrt\u00e9 by si ru\u0161t\u00ed politici v\u0161imli \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 politiky USA, kter\u00e1 spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v donucov\u00e1n\u00ed Indie prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm tlaku souvisej\u00edc\u00edho s cly k tomu, aby se distancovala od jejich zem\u011b, co\u017e by je mohlo v\u00e9st k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee Indie nen\u00ed schopna fungovat jako spolehliv\u00e1 protiv\u00e1ha \u010c\u00edny. Z toho vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko by mohlo je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce utu\u017eit sv\u00e9 vztahy s \u010c\u00ednou, se v\u0161emi d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 by to mohlo m\u00edt pro vztahy s Indi\u00ed. A kone\u010dn\u011b, zapojen\u00ed Indie do z\u00e1padn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed koalice by mohlo po\u0161kodit jej\u00ed t\u011b\u017ece vydobytou reputaci neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed zem\u011b v o\u010d\u00edch zem\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu.<\/p>\n

Zapojen\u00ed Francie do koordinace toho, co se jev\u00ed jako koordinovan\u00e1 n\u00e1tlakov\u00e1 kampa\u0148 USA proti Indii, je pozoruhodn\u00e9, proto\u017ee je nyn\u00ed druh\u00fdm nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm dodavatelem zbran\u00ed pro Indii<\/a> a v uplynul\u00e9m desetilet\u00ed postupn\u011b ukrajovala z rusk\u00e9ho tr\u017en\u00edho pod\u00edlu. Nelze proto vylou\u010dit, \u017ee by USA mohly Indii pohrozit dal\u0161\u00edmi sankcemi podle z\u00e1kona CAATSA, pokud by jejich hrozba zaveden\u00ed cel byla \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1, a t\u00edm urychlit v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd trend. \u00da\u010dast Indie v z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalici v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu by tak mohla b\u00fdt \u0161patn\u00fdm znamen\u00edm pro jej\u00ed budouc\u00ed vztahy s Ruskem.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n
\n\"\"<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee USA a Francie koordinuj\u00ed spole\u010dnou n\u00e1tlakovou akci proti Indii Popul\u00e1rn\u00ed rusk\u00fd den\u00edk…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":116595,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,79,22,3431,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116594"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=116594"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116594\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116595"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=116594"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=116594"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=116594"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}