{"id":11628,"date":"2022-06-17T08:56:53","date_gmt":"2022-06-17T06:56:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=11628"},"modified":"2022-06-17T08:56:53","modified_gmt":"2022-06-17T06:56:53","slug":"seznamte-se-s-novym-sefem-putin-presmeroval-energie-na-vychod-a-evropu-nechal-na-suchu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/06\/17\/seznamte-se-s-novym-sefem-putin-presmeroval-energie-na-vychod-a-evropu-nechal-na-suchu\/","title":{"rendered":"Seznamte se s nov\u00fdm \u0161\u00e9fem: Putin p\u0159esm\u011broval energie na v\u00fdchod a Evropu nechal na suchu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><em><span>\u201eOdm\u00edtnut\u00ed rusk\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Evropa se stane regionem s nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi n\u00e1klady na energie na sv\u011bt\u011b.\u00a0To v\u00e1\u017en\u011b naru\u0161\u00ed konkurenceschopnost evropsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00fd ji ji\u017e nyn\u00ed ztr\u00e1c\u00ed v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s jin\u00fdmi \u010d\u00e1stmi sv\u011bta\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee na\u0161i z\u00e1padn\u00ed kolegov\u00e9 zapomn\u011bli na z\u00e1kladn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 z\u00e1kony, nebo je prost\u011b rad\u011bji ignoruj\u00ed.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u2013 Vladimir Putin, prezident Rusk\u00e9 federace<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Rusko v \u00fater\u00fd (15.6.2022) ozn\u00e1milo sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed toku zemn\u00edho plynu do N\u011bmecka p\u0159es plynovod Nord Stream 1 o 40% (pozn\u00e1mka: n\u00e1sledn\u011b ve st\u0159edu i pro Slovensko o 30%).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ozn\u00e1men\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vydali p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Gazpromu, vyvolalo ot\u0159esy na evropsk\u00e9m trhu s plynem, kde ceny rychle vyl\u00e9tly na nov\u00e1 maxima.\u00a0V N\u011bmecku \u2013 kde se ceny za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce ztrojn\u00e1sobily \u2013 se tato zpr\u00e1va setkala s hr\u016fzou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jeliko\u017e inflace je ji\u017e na 40let\u00e9m maximu, toto posledn\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed nab\u00eddky plynu ur\u010dit\u011b p\u0159ivede n\u011bmeckou ekonomiku do recese nebo je\u0161t\u011b h\u016f\u0159e.\u00a0Cel\u00e1 Evropa nyn\u00ed poci\u0165uje vliv pom\u00fdlen\u00fdch sankc\u00ed Washingtonu na Rusko.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zde je v\u00edce z webov\u00e9 str\u00e1nky OilPrice.com (ceny ropy):<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eRusk\u00fd Gazprom v \u00fater\u00fd uvedl, \u017ee omez\u00ed dod\u00e1vky zemn\u00edho plynu p\u0159es plynovod Nord Stream 1 do N\u011bmecka o 40 procent ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s pl\u00e1novan\u00fdmi toky z d\u016fvodu zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed oprav za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vky plynu p\u0159es Nord Stream 1 do nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, N\u011bmecka, zp\u016fsobily dvoucifern\u00fd r\u016fst cen plynu v Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9ho plynu do Evropy ji\u017e klesly pot\u00e9, co Ukrajina minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc zastavila toky z Ruska do Evropy na jednom ze dvou tranzitn\u00edch bod\u016f\u2026 tak\u017ee dod\u00e1vky byly sn\u00ed\u017eeny o t\u0159etinu objemu plynu, kter\u00fd p\u0159es Ukrajinu p\u0159ech\u00e1z\u00ed do Evropy.\u00a0(Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Natural-Gas\/Europes-Gas-Prices-Surge-13-As-Russia-Reduces-Nord-Stream-Flow.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Ceny plynu v Evrop\u011b vzrostly o 13 %, proto\u017ee Rusko sni\u017euje tok p\u0159es Nord Stream<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0)\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a jejich evrop\u0161t\u00ed spojenci uvalili na Rusko v\u00edce sankc\u00ed ne\u017e kter\u00e1koli zem\u011b v historii.\u00a0\u00datern\u00ed ozn\u00e1men\u00ed v\u0161ak pom\u00e1h\u00e1 ilustrovat, kdo sankcemi ve skute\u010dnosti trp\u00ed a kdo ne.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Rusko netrp\u00ed, ve skute\u010dnosti se nezd\u00e1 b\u00fdt nijak zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 rozru\u0161eno.\u00a0Rusko klidn\u011b zm\u00edt\u00e1 \u00fatoky Washingtonu tak, jak by na rodinn\u00e9m pikniku odh\u00e1n\u011blo mouchy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ekvapiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je fakt, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.badatel.net\/sankcie-eu-v-ruinach-vacsina-importerov-plynu-uz-ma-rublove-ucty-tvrdi-taliansky-premier\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>sankce<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0pos\u00edlily rubl, zv\u00fd\u0161ily p\u0159\u00edjmy ze surovin, rekordn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily p\u0159ebytky rusk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed bilance a vytla\u010dily zisky z plynu a ropy do stratosf\u00e9ry.\u00a0Podle ka\u017ed\u00e9ho objektivn\u00edho parametru se zd\u00e1, \u017ee ze sankc\u00ed Rusko profituje, co\u017e je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b opa\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1valo.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span>Ekonomick\u00e9 sankce Washingtonu v\u016f\u010di Rusku: \u00fasp\u011bch nebo ne\u00fasp\u011bch?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>Pod\u00edvejme se na p\u00e1r fakt\u016f:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span>Rusk\u00e1 m\u011bna (rubl) vzrostla na p\u011btilet\u00e9 maximum.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Rusk\u00e9 komodity p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 zisky.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee rusk\u00fd obchodn\u00ed p\u0159ebytek dos\u00e1hne letos rekordn\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161e.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Prodej ropy a plynu v Rusku prudce vzrostl.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span>Neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd d\u016fkaz, \u017ee sankce Washingtonu dos\u00e1hly c\u00edle \u201eoslabit\u201c Rusko nebo po\u0161kodit jeho ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Existuje v\u0161ak v\u00fdznamn\u00fd d\u016fkaz, \u017ee sankce selhaly a zp\u016fsobily v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 \u0161kody t\u00edm, co je zavedly a jejich obyvatel\u016fm.\u00a0A p\u0159esto\u017ee je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 vy\u010d\u00edslit, kolik \u0161kod bylo skute\u010dn\u011b nap\u00e1ch\u00e1no, pokusili jsme se identifikovat konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed kategorie, kde byl dopad nejdramati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Sankce konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span>Vyvolaly prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen potravin a energi\u00ed.\u00a0(rostouc\u00ed inflace).<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Zp\u016fsobily velk\u00e1 naru\u0161en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f (deglobalizace).<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>V\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily nedostatek potravin a pravd\u011bpodobnost vzniku hladomoru.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Zp\u016fsobily prudk\u00e9 zpomalen\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span>Rusko dosud t\u011bmto \u00fatok\u016fm trp\u011bliv\u011b a bez jak\u00e9koli odvetn\u00e9 reakce odol\u00e1valo.\u00a0Mus\u00edme v\u0161ak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee n\u00e1hl\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed tok\u016f plynu do energeticky z\u00e1visl\u00e9ho N\u011bmecka o 40% m\u00e1 za c\u00edl vyslat zpr\u00e1vu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nezapom\u00ednejte, \u017ee Nord Stream 2 byl obrovsk\u00fdm v\u00edcelet\u00fdm projektem v hodnot\u011b 10 miliard dolar\u016f, ve kter\u00e9m bylo Rusko pln\u011b z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bno, dokud N\u011bmecko v posledn\u00ed chv\u00edli p\u0159ed jeho spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm \u201evyt\u00e1hlo koberec zpod Putina\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmecko dok\u00e1zalo, \u017ee \u2013 kdy\u017e p\u0159ijde tlak na zradu \u2013 Berl\u00edn bude v\u017edy kr\u00e1\u010det v souladu s Washingtonem, a ne plnit sv\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohody nebo jednat v z\u00e1jmu sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch lid\u00ed.\u00a0N\u011bmecko v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed zji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee chov\u00e1n\u00ed jako washingtonsk\u00fd pudl\u00edk m\u00e1 opravdu velmi vysokou cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zde je v\u00edce od agentury Reuters:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eGazprom v \u00fater\u00fd uvedl, \u017ee omezil dod\u00e1vky p\u0159es podmo\u0159sk\u00fd plynovod Nord Stream 1 do N\u011bmecka a\u017e na 100 milion\u016f kubick\u00fdch metr\u016f denn\u011b, co\u017e je pokles ze 167 milion\u016f m3.\u00a0Zd\u016fvodnilo to pozdn\u00edm n\u00e1vratem za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 byla odesl\u00e1na k oprav\u011b\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Gazprom ji\u017e nevyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed plyn na z\u00e1pad p\u0159es Polsko prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm plynovodu Jamal-Evropa po rusk\u00fdch sankc\u00edch v\u016f\u010di spole\u010dnosti EuRoPolGaz, kter\u00fd vlastn\u00ed polskou \u010d\u00e1st plynovodu.\u00a0Toky p\u0159es Yamal-Europe pokra\u010duj\u00ed na v\u00fdchod z N\u011bmecka do Polska.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Vzhledem ke zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9mu n\u00e1vratu komponent plynov\u00e9ho kompresoru po oprav\u011b spole\u010dnost\u00ed Siemens\u2026 a technick\u00fdch poruch motor\u016f lze v sou\u010dasnosti na kompresorov\u00e9 stanici pou\u017e\u00edt pouze t\u0159i jednotky plynov\u00e9ho kompresoru, uvedl Gazprom.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Vzhledem k sankc\u00edm uvalen\u00fdm Kanadou je v sou\u010dasnosti pro Siemens Energy nemo\u017en\u00e9 dodat z\u00e1kazn\u00edkovi zrekonstruovan\u00e9 plynov\u00e9 turb\u00edny.\u00a0V t\u00e9to souvislosti jsme informovali kanadskou a n\u011bmeckou vl\u00e1du a pracujeme na realizovateln\u00e9m \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, uvedla spole\u010dnost.\u00a0(Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/nord-stream-gas-capacity-restrained-by-repair-delays-gazprom-says-2022-06-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Kapacita plynu Nord Stream 1 je omezen\u00e1, proto\u017ee sankce zp\u016fsobily zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed opravy za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0)\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span>Rusk\u00fd odkaz N\u011bmecku<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>P\u0159irozen\u011b, m\u00e9dia poukazuj\u00ed na \u00fadr\u017ebu jako omluvu.\u00a0D\u00e1 se tomu ale v\u011b\u0159it?\u00a0Jak \u010dasto se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed dod\u00e1vky \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho zdroje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o polovinu v d\u016fsledku poruchy kompresoru?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ne \u010dasto.\u00a0Rusko pos\u00edl\u00e1 do N\u011bmecka jednoduch\u00fd, ale pal\u010div\u00fd odkaz: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>Jak si ustelete, tak budete sp\u00e1t<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0Reakce Ruska je naprosto norm\u00e1ln\u00ed pot\u00e9, co ho \u201ebodli no\u017eem do zad\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A tr\u00e1pen\u00ed N\u011bmecka teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1, proto\u017ee nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak nahradit energetick\u00fd nedostatek, kter\u00e9mu bude \u010delit v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti \u2013 nedostatek, kter\u00fd p\u0159edch\u00e1z\u00ed postupn\u00fdm v\u00fdpadk\u016fm proudu, mrazu v dom\u00e1cnostech a udu\u0161en\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00edho pr\u016fmyslu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jak n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da zji\u0161\u0165uje, neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 \u017eivotaschopn\u00e1 n\u00e1hrada za rusk\u00e9 uhlovod\u00edky, kter\u00e1 je snadno dostupn\u00e1 a kvalitou odpov\u00edd\u00e1 specifick\u00fdm po\u017eadavk\u016fm N\u011bmecka.\u00a0Jin\u00fdmi slovy, USA zavedly N\u011bmecko na cestu do pekla, kdy\u017e v\u011b\u0159ilo, \u017ee by mohlo jednodu\u0161e p\u0159ej\u00edt k jin\u00fdm dodavatel\u016fm energie a v\u0161echno bude v pohod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>To ur\u010dit\u011b nen\u00ed tento p\u0159\u00edpad.\u00a0A tak se stalo, \u017ee N\u011bmecko a cel\u00e1 Evropa budou platit za energie v\u00edce ne\u017e kter\u00fdkoli region na sv\u011bt\u011b, co\u017e v\u00e1\u017en\u011b naru\u0161\u00ed konkurenceschopnost EU.\u00a0To n\u00e1sledn\u011b povede k prudk\u00e9mu poklesu \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b, jako\u017e ik rostouc\u00edm soci\u00e1ln\u00edmu nepokoj\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zde je v\u00edc z Wall Street Journal:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eEvropsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl se cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed spol\u00e9hal na to, \u017ee mu Rusko bude dod\u00e1vat levnou ropu a zemn\u00ed plyn, d\u00edky \u010demu\u017e budou tov\u00e1rny na kontinentu bzu\u010det jako v\u010deli\u010dky.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Nyn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na energie prudce stoupaj\u00ed v d\u016fsledku rusk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Ukrajin\u011b, co\u017e omezuje schopnost v\u00fdrobc\u016f konkurovat na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm trhu.\u00a0Tov\u00e1rny maj\u00ed pot\u00ed\u017ee naj\u00edt alternativy k rusk\u00fdm energi\u00edm a sou\u010dasn\u011b \u017eij\u00ed pod hrozbou, \u017ee Moskva by mohla n\u00e1hle kompletn\u011b ukon\u010dit p\u0159\u00edvod plynu, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se zastavila v\u00fdroba.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Evrop\u0161t\u00ed v\u00fdrobci chemik\u00e1li\u00ed, hnojiv, oceli a jin\u00e9ho energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed se za posledn\u00edch osm m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f dostali pod tlak, proto\u017ee nap\u011bt\u00ed s Ruskem stoupalo ji\u017e p\u0159ed \u00fanorovou invaz\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed v\u00fdrobci ukon\u010duj\u00ed produkci tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 konkurenci tov\u00e1ren v USA, na St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b a jin\u00fdch regionech, kde jsou n\u00e1klady na energie mnohem ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v Evrop\u011b.\u00a0Ceny zemn\u00edho plynu jsou nyn\u00ed v Evrop\u011b t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159ikr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v USA.\u00a0(Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/some-european-factories-long-dependent-on-cheap-russian-energy-are-shutting-down-11655112927\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>N\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 tov\u00e1rny, kter\u00e9 jsou dlouhodob\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na levn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 energii, se vyp\u00ednaj\u00ed\u2026<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0)\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span>Evropa si za str\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee sama<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>Wall Street Journal chce, abyste v\u011b\u0159ili, \u017ee Rusko je zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 za \u0161patn\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed Evropy, ale nen\u00ed to pravda.\u00a0Putin nezv\u00fd\u0161il ceny.\u00a0Ceny vzrostly v reakci na zv\u00fd\u0161enou popt\u00e1vku v d\u016fsledku nedostatk\u016f zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch sankcemi.\u00a0Jak za to m\u016f\u017ee Putin?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ne, on za to nem\u016f\u017ee.\u00a0To plat\u00ed pro p\u0159edstavitele EU, kte\u0159\u00ed obvinili Putina z \u201evyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c \u2013 tvrzen\u00ed, pro kter\u00e1 neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 opodstatn\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Kdy\u017e bylo vysloveno toto obvin\u011bn\u00ed, cena plynu v EU byla t\u0159etinov\u00e1 oproti dne\u0161n\u00ed cen\u011b.\u00a0Funguje vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed tak, \u017ee \u00fa\u010dtujete m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e je tr\u017en\u00ed cena?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee ne.\u00a0Je to sm\u011b\u0161n\u00e9.\u00a0Evropa platila v\u00fdhodnou cenu za vz\u00e1cn\u00fd zdroj, dokud se nerozhodla \u0159\u00eddit \u0161patnou radou str\u00fdce Sama a zruinovala se.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed plat\u00ed n\u011bkolikan\u00e1sobn\u00e9 ceny a m\u016f\u017ee si za to jen a jen sama.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u011bd\u011bli jste, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 EU u\u017e tuto zimu pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed poskytovat energie na p\u0159\u00edd\u011bl?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Je to pravda.\u00a0Evropa souhlasila s t\u00edm, \u017ee se stane dal\u0161\u00edm pudl\u00edkem USA, aby mohla v\u011brn\u011b prov\u00e1d\u011bt ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed strategii Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zde je popis toho, co n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eEvropa m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt p\u0159inucena zah\u00e1jit tuto zimu p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m na energie, po\u010d\u00ednaje pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdm vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00edm zemn\u00edho plynu, zejm\u00e9na bude-li zima chladn\u00e1 a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 ekonomika se zotav\u00ed, \u0159ekl v rozhovoru pro Financial Times v\u00fdkonn\u00fd \u0159editel Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 agentury (IEA) Fatih Birol.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eM\u00e1me-li tuhou zimu a dlouhou zimu\u2026 Nevylu\u010doval bych zemn\u00ed plyn v Evrop\u011b na p\u0159\u00edd\u011bl, po\u010d\u00ednaje velk\u00fdmi pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdmi odb\u011brateli,\u201c \u0159ekl Birol pro FT.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Sv\u011bt \u010del\u00ed \u201emnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed\u201c energetick\u00e9 krizi, ne\u017e byla krize v 70. letech minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed, \u0159ekl Birol minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc pro n\u011bmeck\u00fd den\u00edk Der Spiegel.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eTehdy to bylo jen o rop\u011b.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed m\u00e1me ropnou krizi, plynovou krizi a elektrickou krizi sou\u010dasn\u011b,\u201c dodal \u0161\u00e9f mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed agentury vytvo\u0159en\u00e9 po \u0161oc\u00edch z arabsk\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho embarga v 70. letech.\u00a0(Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Crude-Oil\/IEA-Europe-Could-See-Energy-Rationing-This-Winter.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>IEA: Evropa by mohla tuto zimu vid\u011bt p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m na energie<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0)\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>M\u00fdl\u00ed se, \u017ee?\u00a0Nem\u00e1me \u201ekrizi ropy, plyny a elekt\u0159iny\u201c.\u00a0To, co m\u00e1me, je politick\u00e1 krize.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u0161echny tyto nedostatky lze snadno vysledovat zp\u011bt k hloup\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm, kter\u00e1 u\u010dinili nekompetentn\u00ed politici na z\u00e1klad\u011b p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f neokonzervativn\u00edch fantasist\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee mohou vr\u00e1tit \u010das do rozkv\u011btu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho prvenstv\u00ed Ameriky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ale ty dny jsou pry\u010d a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd v\u00ed, \u017ee je konec, tedy krom\u011b izolovan\u00e9 skupiny sebeklamn\u00fdch fanatik\u016f ve washingtonsk\u00fdch think-tanc\u00edch a jejich politick\u00e9 loutky na 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue (B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>Se\u010dteno a podtr\u017eeno:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u0161ichni bychom byli na tom l\u00e9pe, pokud bychom si vzali k srdci \u0159ady Kissingera, kter\u00fd radil sv\u00fdm kamar\u00e1d\u016fm na Sv\u011btov\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru (WEF), aby rychle ukon\u010dili ukrajinskou v\u00e1lku d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e Rusko u\u010din\u00ed takov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se nebudou d\u00e1t vr\u00e1tit zp\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Bohu\u017eel Kissingerova v\u00fdzva nepadla na \u00farodnou p\u016fdu a Putin u\u017e za\u010dal p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1vat sv\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 toky na v\u00fdchod.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pod\u00edvejte se tento do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed \u00faryvek z \u010dl\u00e1nku na OilPrice.com:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eProb\u00edh\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed p\u0159estavba tok\u016f obchodu s ropou od arabsk\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho embarga v 70. letech \u2013 a v\u011bci se u\u017e nikdy nemus\u00ed vr\u00e1tit do norm\u00e1lu.\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 invaze na Ukrajinu a sankce na export rusk\u00e9 ropy m\u011bn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed trasy s ropou.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Za posledn\u00edch t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u011bt desetilet\u00ed proudila ropa v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b voln\u011b od jak\u00e9hokoli dodavatele k jak\u00e9mukoli z\u00e1kazn\u00edkovi na sv\u011bt\u011b\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Tento svobodn\u00fd obchod s energi\u00ed nyn\u00ed skon\u010dil po z\u00e1padn\u00edch sankc\u00edch, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1sledovaly, plus nezvratn\u00e9m rozhodnut\u00ed Evropy odst\u0159ihnout se od rusk\u00e9 energie za ka\u017edou cenu\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Evropa o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee do konce leto\u0161n\u00edho roku zak\u00e1\u017ee 90% ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho sv\u00e9ho dovozu rusk\u00e9 ropy v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s objemem p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou\u2026 Ropa sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed do Evropy z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu bude nyn\u00ed cestovat del\u0161\u00ed vzd\u00e1lenosti ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s krat\u0161\u00edmi trasami do Indie a \u010c\u00edny\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Pro Evropu je nyn\u00ed v\u00fdb\u011br dod\u00e1vek ropy politick\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka a za po\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nerusk\u00e9 ropy bude ochotna zaplatit p\u0159ir\u00e1\u017eku.\u00a0To z\u00fa\u017e\u00ed mo\u017enosti dod\u00e1vek a n\u00e1r\u016fst cen bude pokra\u010dovat iv n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>V koment\u00e1\u0159i k embargu EU na dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy po mo\u0159i ratingov\u00e1 agentura Fitch minul\u00fd t\u00fdden uvedla:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Tento z\u00e1kaz bude m\u00edt v\u00fdznamn\u00fd vliv na toky sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu s ropou, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e asi 3% dovozu do EU bude pot\u0159ebovat n\u00e1hradu z jin\u00fdch region\u016f v\u010detn\u011b Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu (Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty maj\u00ed volnou v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacitu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 2, respektive 1 milion barel\u016f za den) , v Africe a USA.\u00a0(Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Energy-General\/The-Biggest-Reshuffle-Of-Oil-Flows-Since-The-1970s.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zm\u011bna tok\u016f ropy od 70. let 20. stolet\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0)\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span>Co to znamen\u00e1?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee inflace bude nad\u00e1le r\u016fst, proto\u017ee obrovsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy v Rusku budou p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1ny na v\u00fdchod.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee Washington opustil sv\u016fj 30 let trvaj\u00edc\u00ed \u201eprojekt dom\u00e1c\u00edho mazl\u00ed\u010dka\u201c jm\u00e9nem Globalizace a rozd\u011blil sv\u011bt na soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00ed bloky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee dolar, trh s dluhopisy, z\u00e1padn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m a takzvan\u00fd \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.badatel.net\/byvaly-rusky-prezident-varuje-zapad-co-sposobia-ich-samoznicujuce-sankcie\/\"><span>po\u0159\u00e1dek zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u201c \u2013 tedy v\u0161e, co je neodd\u011bliteln\u011b spojeno s ekonomick\u00fdm r\u016fstem z\u00e1visej\u00edc\u00edm t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zcela na dostupnosti levn\u00e9 energie \u2013 se za\u010dne rozpadat pod v\u00e1hou politick\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e1 p\u0159inesla zaru\u010denou zk\u00e1zu z\u00e1padn\u00edm st\u00e1tem a jejich lidu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Za sebevra\u017eedn\u00e9 uchopen\u00ed moci ve Washingtonu zaplat\u00edme vysokou cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-63614\" src=\"https:\/\/www.badatel.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/putin-a-medved.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.badatel.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/putin-a-medved.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.badatel.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/putin-a-medved-300x222.jpg 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"533\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Autor: Mike Whitney, Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.unz.com\/mwhitney\/meet-the-new-boss-putin-reroutes-critical-hydrocarbons-eastward-leaving-europe-high-and-dry\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>unz.com<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201eOdm\u00edtnut\u00ed rusk\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Evropa se stane regionem s nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi n\u00e1klady na energie&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11629,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[285,371,102,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11628"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11628"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11628\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11630,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11628\/revisions\/11630"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11629"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11628"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11628"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11628"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}