{"id":115648,"date":"2026-09-12T00:24:50","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T22:24:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=115648"},"modified":"2026-09-11T08:53:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T06:53:16","slug":"martin-armstrong-tchaj-wan-se-pripravuje-na-valku-dronu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/09\/12\/martin-armstrong-tchaj-wan-se-pripravuje-na-valku-dronu\/","title":{"rendered":"Martin Armstrong: Tchaj-wan se p\u0159ipravuje na v\u00e1lku dron\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Tchaj-wan navrhl dodate\u010dn\u00fdch <\/span>4,6 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/span><\/a><\/strong>\u00a0na v\u00fddaje na obranu a obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, na co je ur\u010dena v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto pen\u011bz. Tchaj-pej chce v\u00edce ne\u017e 600 dron\u016f pro pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed dohled a pr\u016fzkum, p\u0159es 40 000 pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f a po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed flotilu v\u00edce ne\u017e 100 bezpilotn\u00edch sebevra\u017eedn\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f. To se d\u011bje jen n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed pot\u00e9, co tchajwansk\u00fd parlament schv\u00e1lil \u0161estilet\u00fd program dron\u016f s maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnotou 240 miliard NT$, co\u017e je zhruba 7,6 miliardy dolar\u016f. Tchaj-wan nekupuje drony jako n\u011bjak\u00fd technologick\u00fd experiment. P\u0159ipravuje se na to, co by podle n\u011bj budouc\u00ed v\u00e1lka s \u010c\u00ednou skute\u010dn\u011b obn\u00e1\u0161ela.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina zm\u011bnila zp\u016fsob v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed t\u00edm, \u017ee demonstrovala, \u017ee relativn\u011b levn\u00fd dron dok\u00e1\u017ee zni\u010dit vybaven\u00ed v hodnot\u011b milion\u016f dolar\u016f. Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod si stejnou lekci upevnil. Tchaj-wan evidentn\u011b situaci pozorn\u011b sleduje. Vl\u00e1da prezidenta Lai Ching-tea p\u016fvodn\u011b po\u017eadovala zhruba 210 miliard NT$ na n\u00e1kup asi 210 000 vojensk\u00fdch dron\u016f b\u011bhem \u0161esti let s argumentem, \u017ee modern\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed u\u010dinilo bezpilotn\u00ed syst\u00e9my nezbytn\u00fdmi pro asymetrickou obranu Tchaj-wanu. Parlament nakonec schv\u00e1lil vlastn\u00ed, v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed r\u00e1mec ve v\u00fd\u0161i 240 miliard NT$ a Tchaj-wan nyn\u00ed energicky rozv\u00edj\u00ed sv\u016fj dom\u00e1c\u00ed pr\u016fmysl, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby z\u016fstal z\u00e1visl\u00fd na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch dodavatel\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esn\u011b takov\u00fd typ zbran\u00ed by Tchaj-wan pot\u0159eboval, pokud by n\u011bkdy do\u0161lo ke konfliktu s pevninskou \u010c\u00ednou. Tchaj-wan se s \u010c\u00ednou nem\u016f\u017ee rovnat lod\u00ed za lo\u010f, letadlem za letadlem ani voj\u00e1kem za voj\u00e1ka. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 p\u0159evaha v konven\u010dn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edle je prost\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e1. Strategi\u00ed Tchaj-wanu proto mus\u00ed b\u00fdt zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1klad\u016f na p\u0159ekro\u010den\u00ed Tchajwansk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a pokus o oboj\u017eiveln\u00fd \u00fatok tak vysoko, aby Peking do\u0161el k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee operace se nevyplat\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A pr\u00e1v\u011b zde se drony st\u00e1vaj\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdmi. Po cel\u00e9m ostrov\u011b lze rozm\u00edstit tis\u00edce levn\u00fdch bezpilotn\u00edch zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 lze mnohem snadn\u011bji skr\u00fdt ne\u017e konven\u010dn\u00ed letadla a pou\u017e\u00edt proti lod\u00edm bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edm se k pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. Pr\u016fzkumn\u00e9 drony dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed identifikovat c\u00edle, zat\u00edmco \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 drony mohou c\u00edlit na vylo\u010fovac\u00ed plavidla, vozidla, z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasy a voj\u00e1ky. Bezpilotn\u00ed \u010dluny dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed rozm\u011br t\u00edm, \u017ee ohro\u017euj\u00ed plavidla na mo\u0159i, ani\u017e by p\u0159\u00edmo ohro\u017eovaly tchajwansk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edky. Jedn\u00e1 se o asymetrickou v\u00e1lku a Tchaj-wan evidentn\u011b v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee na po\u010dtu z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tchaj-wan tak\u00e9 posiluje ostrovy Penghu v Tchajwansk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, kter\u00e9 by byly strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 v jak\u00e9mkoli sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i invaze. Arm\u00e1da tam v \u010dervenci nasadila svou prvn\u00ed jednotku dron\u016f a bezpilotn\u00ed letouny pou\u017eila b\u011bhem ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00edch cvi\u010den\u00ed Han Kuang. Penghu le\u017e\u00ed asi 50 kilometr\u016f od hlavn\u00edho tchajwansk\u00e9ho ostrova a mohl by Tchaj-wanu poskytnout pozice, z nich\u017e by rakety a drony mohly ohrozit \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 s\u00edly pokou\u0161ej\u00edc\u00ed se p\u0159ekro\u010dit pr\u016fliv. Peking ch\u00e1pe d\u016fle\u017eitost t\u011bchto ostrov\u016f stejn\u011b jako Tchaj-peje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da se sv\u00fdmi z\u00e1m\u011bry netaj\u00ed. Tchajwan\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u011b hovo\u0159ili o vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed toho, co ameri\u010dt\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 nazvali \u201epekelnou krajinou\u201c v pr\u016flivu, kde by obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed dron\u016f, raket, min a bezpilotn\u00edch plavidel mohlo p\u0159emoci invazn\u00ed s\u00edly. Zda by takov\u00e1 strategie \u010c\u00ednu skute\u010dn\u011b zastavila, je zcela jin\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, ale t\u00edmto sm\u011brem se jednozna\u010dn\u011b vyv\u00edjelo vojensk\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co m\u011b znepokojuje, je na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee Tchaj-wan se nechov\u00e1, jako by v\u00e1lka byla n\u011bjakou nemo\u017enou ud\u00e1lost\u00ed za des\u00edtky let v dalek\u00e9 budoucnosti. V\u00fddaje na obranu v roce 2027 by m\u011bly poprv\u00e9 p\u0159ekro\u010dit 1 bilion NT$, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e celkov\u00fd rozpo\u010det na obranu se odhaduje na zhruba 35 miliard dolar\u016f. Prezident Lai prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Tchaj-wan hodl\u00e1 do roku 2030 zv\u00fd\u0161it v\u00fddaje na obranu na 5 % HDP. Vl\u00e1dy neinvestuj\u00ed do takov\u00e9ho rozsahu, pokud se nedomn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee se geopolitick\u00e1 situace z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnila.<\/span><\/p>\n

To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna z\u00edtra napadne Tchaj-wan, ani by ka\u017ed\u00e9 ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o vojensk\u00fdch n\u00e1kupech nem\u011blo b\u00fdt prezentov\u00e1no jako d\u016fkaz, \u017ee v\u00e1lka je nevyhnuteln\u00e1. Cel\u00fd region se nicm\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na konfrontaci, o kter\u00e9 politici ve\u0159ejnosti neust\u00e1le \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee se j\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit. \u010c\u00edna buduje sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 kapacity, Tchaj-wan rapidn\u011b zvy\u0161uje sv\u00e9 v\u00fddaje na obranu, Japonsko se p\u0159ezbrojuje a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty pokra\u010duj\u00ed v restrukturalizaci sv\u00fdch sil v Pacifiku. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 ze stran tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tyto p\u0159\u00edpravy slou\u017e\u00ed k zachov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edru a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna sama o sob\u011b dominuje glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu pr\u016fmyslu komer\u010dn\u00edch dron\u016f a velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti dodavatelsk\u00e9ho \u0159et\u011bzce pot\u0159ebn\u00e9ho pro jejich v\u00fdrobu. Tchaj-wan se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ipravit na konflikt s \u010c\u00ednou pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00edm kritick\u00fdch komponent\u016f, kter\u00e9 by zmizely v okam\u017eiku zah\u00e1jen\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed. Tchaj-pej se proto sna\u017e\u00ed vybudovat tzv. \u201enerud\u00fd\u201c dodavatelsk\u00fd \u0159et\u011bzec, kter\u00fd vylu\u010duje \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 komponenty a z\u00e1rove\u0148 rozv\u00edj\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacitu. To je stejn\u011b tak pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 jako vojensk\u00e1 politika.<\/span><\/p>\n

A pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u00edmto sm\u011brem se sv\u011bt ub\u00edr\u00e1, jak se globalizace d\u00e1le rozpad\u00e1. Obrana u\u017e nen\u00ed jen o vlastnictv\u00ed zbran\u00ed. Vl\u00e1dy si uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee mus\u00ed kontrolovat tov\u00e1rny, polovodi\u010de, komunika\u010dn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, suroviny, energii a dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 k nahrazen\u00ed t\u011bchto zbran\u00ed b\u011bhem dlouhodob\u00e9ho konfliktu. Tchaj-wan m\u00e1 shodou okolnost\u00ed jeden z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch polovodi\u010dov\u00fdch pr\u016fmysl\u016f na sv\u011bt\u011b, ale i ten se st\u00e1v\u00e1 zranitelnost\u00ed, pokud je ostrov z\u00e1visl\u00fd na dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 energii a materi\u00e1lech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Modern\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed se rychle odkl\u00e1n\u00ed od p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed v\u00fdhradn\u011b tomu, kdo vlastn\u00ed nejdra\u017e\u0161\u00ed zbra\u0148ovou platformu. Letadlo v hodnot\u011b 100 milion\u016f dolar\u016f nebo obrn\u011bn\u00e9 vozidlo v hodnot\u011b n\u011bkolika milion\u016f dolar\u016f m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt nyn\u00ed ohro\u017eeno technologi\u00ed, kter\u00e1 stoj\u00ed jen zlomek t\u00e9to ceny. Boji\u0161t\u011b se st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le v\u00edce automatizovan\u00fdm, decentralizovan\u00fdm a z\u00e1visl\u00fdm na obrovsk\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed relativn\u011b levn\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tchaj-wan si tuto lekci evidentn\u011b osvojil. Jen navrhovan\u00fd dodate\u010dn\u00fd rozpo\u010det zahrnuje v\u00edce ne\u017e 40 000 pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f a \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed \u0161estilet\u00fd program by nakonec mohl v\u00e9st k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed stovek tis\u00edc dron\u016f. Tchaj-wan se chyst\u00e1 zahltit boji\u0161t\u011b samotn\u00fdm po\u010dtem voj\u00e1k\u016f, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby si jednodu\u0161e nakoupil hrstku mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b drah\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a doufal, \u017ee p\u0159e\u017eij\u00ed prvn\u00ed dny konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Politick\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00e9 nahromad\u011bn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed zbrojen\u00ed na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b. Tchaj-wan tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee pot\u0159ebuje drony, proto\u017ee \u010c\u00edna hroz\u00ed invaz\u00ed. Peking poukazuje na rostouc\u00ed vojenskou spolupr\u00e1ci Tchaj-wanu s Washingtonem jako na d\u016fkaz, \u017ee se separatistick\u00e9 s\u00edly p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na konfrontaci. Washington zase uv\u00e1d\u00ed vojenskou expanzi \u010c\u00edny, aby ospravedlnil dodate\u010dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b pro Tchaj-wan. Tak se rozv\u00edj\u00ed z\u00e1vod ve zbrojen\u00ed, i kdy\u017e ka\u017ed\u00e1 vl\u00e1da trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee jedn\u00e1 v\u00fdhradn\u011b obrann\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tchaj-wan se proto st\u00e1v\u00e1 jedn\u00edm z m\u00edst, kter\u00e1 bychom m\u011bli s bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edm se koncem t\u00e9to dek\u00e1dy obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pozorn\u011b sledovat. Investice do dron\u016f nejsou jen dal\u0161\u00ed obrannou zak\u00e1zkou. Odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed posun v tom, jak si Tchaj-pej p\u0159edstavuje v\u00e1lku s \u010c\u00ednou, a ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee se Tchaj-wan v\u00e1\u017en\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na mo\u017enost, \u017ee odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed jednoho dne sel\u017ee.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Tchaj-wan navrhl dodate\u010dn\u00fdch 4,6 miliardy dolar\u016f\u00a0na v\u00fddaje na obranu a obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, na co…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":115649,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2856,3769,333,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115648"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115648"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115648\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/115649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=115648"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=115648"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=115648"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}