{"id":115581,"date":"2026-09-11T00:25:43","date_gmt":"2026-09-10T22:25:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=115581"},"modified":"2026-09-10T13:02:59","modified_gmt":"2026-09-10T11:02:59","slug":"jiri-weigl-eskalace-valky-je-hrozba-pro-vsechny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/09\/11\/jiri-weigl-eskalace-valky-je-hrozba-pro-vsechny\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Weigl: Eskalace v\u00e1lky je hrozba pro v\u0161echny"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden se znovu rozjely americk\u00e9 snahy o zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu. Trumpovi vyjednava\u010di Witkoff a Kushner o v\u00edkendu nav\u0161t\u00edvili jak Moskvu, tak poprv\u00e9 i Kyjev a p\u0159i jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi p\u0159edstaviteli obou v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00edch zem\u00ed se pokou\u0161ej\u00ed o\u017eivit m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. V\u00a0Kyjev\u011b jsou pr\u00fd p\u0159\u00edtomni i poradci pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost evropsk\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed Brit\u00e1nie, Francie a N\u011bmecka, co\u017e je pro \u0161ance na \u00fasp\u011bch americk\u00fdch snah velmi varovn\u00fd sign\u00e1l.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1me toti\u017e p\u0159ed o\u010dima osud prvn\u00edho Trumpova m\u00edrov\u00e9ho pokusu z\u00a0listopadu lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku, kdy to byly pr\u00e1v\u011b evropsk\u00e9 velmoci, kter\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dily Ukrajinu o nep\u0159ijatelnosti 28 bodov\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu. Jeho obsah lze shrnout asi zhruba n\u00e1sledovn\u011b – Ukrajina ustoup\u00ed v ot\u00e1zce \u00fazem\u00ed, NATO a velikosti arm\u00e1dy, Rusko zastav\u00ed v\u00e1lku a Ukrajina dostane bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky a za\u010dne obnova. Byl to realistick\u00fd z\u00e1klad pro jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee \u010das nehraje ve prosp\u011bch Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e9 mocnosti v\u0161ak p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dily Zelensk\u00e9ho, \u017ee odm\u00edtnut\u00edm Trumpova pl\u00e1nu, eskalac\u00ed v\u00e1lky a maxim\u00e1ln\u00edm roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm dronov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na kl\u00ed\u010dovou infrastrukturu v\u00a0hloubce rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed lze donutit Putina k\u00a0m\u00edru z\u00a0pozice s\u00edly. To bylo v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edkr\u00e9m rozporu s\u00a0politikou Trumpovy americk\u00e9 administrativy a m\u011blo tak\u00e9 za n\u00e1sledek pouze omezenou americkou podporou pro Ukrajinu.<\/p>\n

Za\u017eili jsme tedy v\u00a0d\u016fsledku toho dal\u0161\u00edch deset m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 svou d\u00e9lkou p\u0159es\u00e1hla boj n\u00e1rod\u016f b\u00fdval\u00e9ho SSSR proti n\u011bmeck\u00e9 agresi za druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Ukrajina byla nucena p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt nejhor\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnou zimu, v\u00a0jej\u00edm\u017e pr\u016fb\u011bhu byla Rusy zni\u010dena nebo z\u00e1sadn\u011b po\u0161kozena tam\u011bj\u0161\u00ed energetika. Jej\u00ed stav p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00ed zimou vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 letos katastrofick\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 drony opravdu \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b zasahovaly strategick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, rafin\u00e9rie, leti\u0161t\u011b a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 objekty ve velk\u00e9 hloubce rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, ale tyto \u00fadery vyvolaly ruskou odvetu a konflikt opravdu v\u00fdrazn\u011b vyeskalovaly pr\u00e1v\u011b ve chv\u00edli, kdy se Ukrajina st\u00e1v\u00e1 pro b\u00fdval\u00e9ho rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edho spojence USA p\u0159\u00edt\u011b\u017e\u00ed. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se v\u00a0\u00fanoru 2026 zapletli do dosud trvaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lky s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem a do t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem vyvolan\u00e9 krize na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Ta je nyn\u00ed hlavn\u00ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed vojenskou a zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitickou prioritou americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy a podstatn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem oslabila americkou pozornost, z\u00e1jem a mo\u017enosti v\u00a0podpo\u0159e Ukrajiny. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 tragick\u00e1 situace ukrajinsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, kter\u00e1 bez nedostatkov\u00fdch americk\u00fdch raket nen\u00ed schopna chr\u00e1nit zemi p\u0159ed rusk\u00fdmi balistick\u00fdmi \u00fatoky, je toho jasn\u00fdm d\u016fkazem.<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 eskalace vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 v\u00e1lky rusk\u00e9 odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010dit neoslabila, naopak vyvolala ni\u010divou ruskou odpov\u011b\u010f. V\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu n\u011bkolika posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f Rusko zni\u010dilo ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy, zemi prakticky od\u0159\u00edzlo od mo\u0159e a zablokovalo jak v\u00fdvoz ukrajinsk\u00e9ho obil\u00ed, tak dod\u00e1vky vojensk\u00e9ho materi\u00e1lu po mo\u0159i. Rusk\u00e1 odveta znamen\u00e1 tak\u00e9 konec \u201epodivn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky\u201c, kdy v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed byly uchr\u00e1n\u011bny \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed uzly a p\u0159ekladi\u0161t\u011b vojensk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ze Z\u00e1padu, mosty p\u0159es Dn\u011bpr, kdy n\u00e1sledkem ka\u017edodenn\u00edch no\u010dn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f stovek dron\u016f a raket na ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta byly jednotky mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch, nikoliv stovky a tis\u00edce, jak b\u00fdv\u00e1 p\u0159i v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch operac\u00edch podobn\u00fdch rozm\u011br\u016f obvykl\u00e9. Dosud to nebyla Gaza s\u00a0tis\u00edci mrtv\u00fdch civilist\u016f denn\u011b. Dnes se ale v\u00a0d\u016fsledku eskalace c\u00edlem masov\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f st\u00e1v\u00e1 ve\u0161ker\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 logistika, a tak stoupaj\u00ed po\u010dty ob\u011bt\u00ed a objem \u0161kod.<\/p>\n

Na front\u011b je pohyb vojsk sice pomal\u00fd, ale p\u0159esto Ukrajina od odm\u00edtnut\u00ed Trumpova pl\u00e1nu ztratila strategick\u00e9 pevnosti a v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 m\u011bsta Pokrovsk, Myrnohrad a Konstantynivku na Donbase a m\u011bsto Huljajpole v\u00a0Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je st\u00e1le v\u00a0defenz\u00edv\u011b a nen\u00ed schopna p\u0159evz\u00edt strategickou iniciativu.<\/p>\n

Lze tedy opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u011b \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee po deseti m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch od p\u016fvodn\u00edho Trumpova m\u00edrov\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu je ukrajinsk\u00e1 situace v\u0161estrann\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e byla p\u0159ed eskalac\u00ed. M\u00e1 kritick\u00fd nedostatek kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 protileteck\u00e9 munice, st\u00e1le chyb\u011bj\u00ed voj\u00e1ci, nep\u0159\u00edtel je na hranici posledn\u00edch kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch m\u011bst na Donbase – Slovjansku a Kramatorsku. Vy\u010derpan\u00e1 spole\u010dnost s\u00a0obavami vyhl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zimu, roste politick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed, neutuch\u00e1vaj\u00ed korup\u010dn\u00ed af\u00e9ry a objevuj\u00ed se protivl\u00e1dn\u00ed demonstrace. Lid\u00e9 st\u00e1le odch\u00e1zej\u00ed ze zem\u011b a voj\u00e1ci dezertuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto v\u00fdvoje je hazardem s\u00a0existenc\u00ed nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 Ukrajiny. USA hledaj\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed a evrop\u0161t\u00ed spojenci, kte\u0159\u00ed Ukrajinu do v\u00e1lky st\u00e1le tla\u010d\u00ed, nejsou schopni Ameri\u010dany nahradit. Jak Francie, tak Brit\u00e1nie i N\u011bmecko maj\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vnitropolitick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my, jsou siln\u011b zadlu\u017een\u00e9, deindustrializovan\u00e9 a tr\u00e1p\u00ed je finan\u010dn\u00ed probl\u00e9my a nezvl\u00e1dnut\u00e1 migrace. Dosud vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed establishment nen\u00ed schopen \u010delit n\u00e1stupu nov\u00fdch stran reprezentuj\u00edc\u00edch nespokojenou v\u011bt\u0161inu jejich obyvatel. P\u0159\u00edkladem m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt drtiv\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka n\u011bmeck\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran v\u00a0zemsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v\u00a0Sasku-Anhaltsku. Francii n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho \u010dek\u00e1 v\u00a0prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok a l\u00e9pe na tom nen\u00ed ani Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0t\u00e9to situaci je dal\u0161\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b hrozbou nejen pro tuto zemi samotnou, ale i pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt. N\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty sv\u00fdch mocensk\u00fdch pozic, se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed ut\u00edkat k\u00a0\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 psych\u00f3zy, zbrojen\u00ed a vyhrocov\u00e1n\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed. V Evrop\u011b hroz\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd st\u0159et mezi n\u011bkter\u00fdmi \u010dlensk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi NATO a Ruskem. Sta\u010d\u00ed m\u00e1lo a n\u00e1\u0161 kontinent m\u016f\u017ee k\u00a0p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed sv\u00fdch obyvatel ne\u010dekan\u011b spadnout do v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho po\u017e\u00e1ru tak, jako v\u00a0roce 1914.<\/p>\n

Dnes zjevn\u00e9, \u017ee Ukrajina Rusko sama t\u011b\u017eko poraz\u00ed. Jedinou \u0161anc\u00ed pro jej\u00ed p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed je kompromisn\u00ed m\u00edr. Evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b by j\u00ed proto nem\u011bly tla\u010dit do pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky a slibovat pomoc a podporu, kterou j\u00ed nejsou schopny ani necht\u011bj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011b poskytnout. Americk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed si zaslou\u017e\u00ed evropskou podporu, nikoliv, tak jako p\u0159ed rokem, torp\u00e9dov\u00e1n\u00ed. Dal\u0161\u00ed devastov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny, jej\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka nebo zhroucen\u00ed jsou opravdu v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm rizikem, kter\u00e9 nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v na\u0161em z\u00e1jmu.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Weigl<\/a>, 7.9.2026<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden se znovu rozjely americk\u00e9 snahy o zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu. Trumpovi vyjednava\u010di…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95331,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115581"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115581"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115581\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95331"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=115581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=115581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=115581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}