{"id":115560,"date":"2026-09-11T00:19:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-10T22:19:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=115560"},"modified":"2026-09-10T08:36:49","modified_gmt":"2026-09-10T06:36:49","slug":"thomas-roper-proc-evropa-celi-nove-raketove-krizi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/09\/11\/thomas-roper-proc-evropa-celi-nove-raketove-krizi\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Pro\u010d Evropa \u010del\u00ed nov\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krizi"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Militarizace Evropy s sebou nese riziko opakov\u00e1n\u00ed raketov\u00e9 krize z 80. let, kdy se nebezpe\u010d\u00ed jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky \u201en\u00e1hodou\u201c stalo realitou. Hroz\u00edc\u00ed krize v\u0161ak bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mnohem nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V agentu\u0159e TASS se objevil \u010dl\u00e1nek, kter\u00fd se zab\u00fdv\u00e1 t\u00e9matem, kter\u00e9 jsem m\u011bl tak\u00e9 na seznamu, ale o kter\u00e9m jsem dosud nepsal kv\u016fli \u010dasov\u00e9 t\u00edsni: d\u016fsledky militarizace Evropy. Pokud se politick\u00fd kurz EU nezm\u011bn\u00ed, povede to k situaci mnohem nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Pershingova krize v 80. letech. Proto\u017ee s t\u00edm, co p\u00ed\u0161e autor agentury TASS, pln\u011b souhlas\u00edm, p\u0159elo\u017eil jsem\u00a0\u010dl\u00e1nek\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tass.ru\/opinions\/28088273\"><span dir=\"auto\">.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Za\u010d\u00e1tek p\u0159ekladu:<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kub\u00e1nsk\u00e1 raketov\u00e1 krize, 80. l\u00e9ta\u2026 Lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat v Evrop\u011b novou raketovou krizi?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Alexej Gromyko o tom, pro\u010d Evropa p\u0159ijala roli jest\u0159\u00e1ba.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Moskvy Steva Witkoffa a Jareda Kushnera, nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch poradc\u016f americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa, jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, nep\u0159inesla pr\u016flom v \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 krize. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rizika, kter\u00fdm dnes Rusko \u010del\u00ed, ve skute\u010dnosti nepramen\u00ed z Washingtonu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e z evropsk\u00fdch metropol\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Kyjevu ne\u00fanavn\u011b dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed zbran\u011b, \u010d\u00edm\u017e p\u0159i\u017eivuj\u00ed konfrontaci s Ruskem. Nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm \u201ejest\u0159\u00e1bem\u201c v r\u00e1mci EU je bezpochyby N\u011bmecko. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee kancl\u00e9\u0159 Friedrich Merz, vnuk nacistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edka, prosazuje znovuvyzbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed N\u011bmecka, zat\u00edmco Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1 (jej\u00ed\u017e d\u011bde\u010dek byl tak\u00e9 vysoce postaven\u00fdm \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edkem T\u0159et\u00ed \u0159\u00ed\u0161e) stoj\u00ed v \u010dele Evropsk\u00e9 komise, dod\u00e1v\u00e1 situaci temnou historickou symboliku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Osmdes\u00e1t jedna let po 2. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 1945, datu, kter\u00e9 znamenalo ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed konec druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a vstup lidstva do atomov\u00e9ho v\u011bku, vstupuje evropsk\u00e9 v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161t\u011b do nov\u00e9, explozivn\u00ed f\u00e1ze glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontace. A to za zcela nov\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">F\u00e1zov\u00e1 zm\u011bna<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Mezi nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed d\u016fsledky v\u00e1lky pat\u0159ilo nejen zalo\u017een\u00ed Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f, ale tak\u00e9 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed posun v samotn\u00e9 povaze v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed. Ve dnech 6. a 9. srpna 1945 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty svrhly atomov\u00e9 bomby na Hiro\u0161imu a Nagasaki, co\u017e byl jedin\u00fd zn\u00e1m\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad bojov\u00e9ho pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. V n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch letech v\u0161ak b\u00fdval\u00ed spojenci, kte\u0159\u00ed spojili s\u00edly, aby porazili nacistick\u00e9 N\u011bmecko a jeho satelitn\u00ed st\u00e1ty, stejn\u011b jako militaristick\u00e9 Japonsko, vstoupili do studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Evropsk\u00e9 v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161t\u011b se op\u011bt stalo \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem, tentokr\u00e1t v kontextu konfrontace mezi dv\u011bma vojensk\u00fdmi supervelmocemi, Sov\u011btsk\u00fdm svazem a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 se nach\u00e1zely na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b Atlantiku a aktivn\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edvaly sv\u00e9ho geopolitick\u00e9ho vlivu v Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zejm\u00e9na v Evrop\u011b se b\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky nashrom\u00e1\u017edily obrovsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Z\u00e1pad v t\u00e9 dob\u011b v\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee NATO pot\u0159ebuje masivn\u00ed arzen\u00e1l nestrategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed k odstra\u0161en\u00ed st\u00e1t\u016f Var\u0161avsk\u00e9 smlouvy, kter\u00e9 m\u011bly v konven\u010dn\u00edch zbran\u00edch p\u0159evahu. Po rozpadu Var\u0161avsk\u00e9 smlouvy a rozpadu SSSR se v\u0161ak role fakticky obr\u00e1tily: Rusko dlouhodob\u011b pova\u017eovalo sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed taktick\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b \u2013 a to zcela pr\u00e1vem \u2013 za nezbytn\u00fd prvek k odstra\u0161en\u00ed sv\u00e9ho protivn\u00edka.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ke konci studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a bezprost\u0159edn\u011b po n\u00ed byla u\u010din\u011bna historick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e1 drasticky sn\u00ed\u017eila rozsah vojensk\u00e9 konfrontace v Evrop\u011b. Nap\u0159\u00edklad SSSR a USA uzav\u0159ely v roce 1987 Smlouvu o likvidaci raket st\u0159edn\u00edho a st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu (INF). V letech 1991 a 1992 byly p\u0159ijaty tzv. Prezidentsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 iniciativy, kter\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edtaly s komplexn\u00edm sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v Evrop\u011b a z\u00e1rove\u0148 s redukc\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00edch arzen\u00e1l\u016f v souladu se Smlouvou o konven\u010dn\u00edch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch v Evrop\u011b (CFE).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Situace pod\u00e9l kontaktn\u00ed linie mezi Ruskem a NATO se v\u0161ak od t\u00e9 doby radik\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u011bnila v d\u016fsledku roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed aliance, v\u010detn\u011b vstupu Finska (2023) a \u0160v\u00e9dska (2024). N\u00e1razn\u00edkov\u00e1 z\u00f3na prakticky zmizela. Pot\u00e9, co USA v roce 2019 jednostrann\u011b odstoupily od Smlouvy INF, Washington ignoroval opakovan\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy Moskvy na moratorium na rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed raket st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu v Evrop\u011b a dal\u0161\u00edch regionech sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V t\u00e9to situaci si Rusko udr\u017euje rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 z\u00e1soby nestrategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, co\u017e je postoj ospravedl\u0148ovan\u00fd konven\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159evahou NATO a rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00edm americk\u00fdch termonukle\u00e1rn\u00edch bomb v N\u011bmecku, It\u00e1lii, Belgii, Nizozemsku a Turecku. Washington pokra\u010duje ve spole\u010dn\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch mis\u00edch se sv\u00fdmi spojenci, jejich\u017e rozsah se v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161il. Moskva ze sv\u00e9 strany \u2013 poprv\u00e9 \u2013 rozm\u00edstila nestrategick\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b mimo sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed (v B\u011blorusku), \u010d\u00edm\u017e odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed americkou politiku roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a jadern\u00e9 praktiky NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Tato poloha na evropsk\u00e9m rozhran\u00ed vede k rychl\u00e9 erozi mechanism\u016f vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Faktor vztah\u016f mezi USA a Evropou<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1r\u016fst vojensk\u00fdch rizik v Evrop\u011b v posledn\u00edch letech v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017eil zhor\u0161en\u00ed rusko-americk\u00fdch vztah\u016f. Nav\u00edc roste nebezpe\u010d\u00ed opakov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krize z po\u010d\u00e1tku 80. let, f\u00e1ze studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky pova\u017eovan\u00e9 za nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed po kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krizi v roce 1962. Pokud by v Evrop\u011b znovu vypukly rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 z\u00e1vody ve zbrojen\u00ed s raketami st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu, nov\u00e1 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed by \u2013 podle m\u00e9ho odhadu \u2013 mohla p\u0159ekonat i ud\u00e1losti p\u0159ed 40 lety.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Na rozd\u00edl od \u00e9ry bipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b s\u00edl\u00ed odst\u0159ediv\u00e9 s\u00edly v r\u00e1mci euroatlantick\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu. Na pozad\u00ed \u201estrategick\u00e9ho odcizen\u00ed\u201c Washingtonu od spojenc\u016f rostou v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evrop\u011b pochybnosti o spolehlivosti americk\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk. Tento proces je v\u0161ak nerovnom\u011brn\u00fd. Zat\u00edmco USA pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed redukovat sv\u00e9 konven\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly v Evrop\u011b, v oblasti \u201eroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c by mohly zvolit opa\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u016fj arzen\u00e1l taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V r\u00e1mci p\u0159erozd\u011blen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee Evropan\u00e9 ji\u017e aktivn\u011b rozv\u00edjej\u00ed vlastn\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00ed kapacity, v\u010detn\u011b raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f. Nav\u00edc \u201edeevropeizace\u201c zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f USA \u2013 navzdory sm\u00ed\u0159liv\u00e9 r\u00e9torice americk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 Trumpovy v\u00fdbuchy zm\u00edrnit \u2013 \u017eiv\u00ed z\u00e1jem o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed autonomn\u00edho \u201eevropsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edho prost\u0159edku\u201c zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na arzen\u00e1lech Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Francie. Z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska to hroz\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm okruhu jadern\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Toto odd\u011blen\u00ed v\u0161ak neznamen\u00e1 p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch vztah\u016f. Washington se sp\u00ed\u0161e sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159esunout finan\u010dn\u00ed a pr\u016fmyslovou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e na sv\u00e9 spojence a po\u017eaduje od nich v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed autonomii v r\u00e1mci tzv. \u201eNATO 3.0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i by Rusko mohlo \u010delit vzniku pozemn\u00edch raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f dlouh\u00e9ho doletu v Evrop\u011b, a\u0165 u\u017e \u010dist\u011b evropsk\u00fdch, americk\u00fdch nebo spole\u010dn\u011b vyr\u00e1b\u011bn\u00fdch. I kdy\u017e jsou tyto syst\u00e9my v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b navr\u017eeny pro konven\u010dn\u00ed hlavice, nelze vylou\u010dit budouc\u00ed zahrnut\u00ed jadern\u00e9 slo\u017eky. Z\u00e1m\u011bry Washingtonu a Berl\u00edna \u2013 nast\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 ve spole\u010dn\u00e9 deklaraci z prezidentsk\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed Joea Bidena v roce 2024 ohledn\u011b rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed raket kr\u00e1tk\u00e9ho a st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu \u2013 byly po Trumpov\u011b n\u00e1vratu prozat\u00edm odlo\u017eeny, ale samotn\u00e1 mo\u017enost z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 USA opakovan\u011b nasazuj\u00ed do Evropy (\u00fadajn\u011b pro man\u00e9vry) raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my odpalovan\u00e9 z mo\u0159e s mobiln\u00edmi odpalovac\u00edmi za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edmi Mk-70. Pot\u00e9, co byly d\u0159\u00edve um\u00edst\u011bny na d\u00e1nsk\u00e9m ostrov\u011b Bornholm, jsou nyn\u00ed nasazeny v Norsku. Jejich technick\u00e9 specifikace jsou podobn\u00e9 raketov\u00fdm syst\u00e9m\u016fm Typhon americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 Pentagon ji\u017e testoval v asijsko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu \u2013 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b na Filip\u00edn\u00e1ch, v Japonsku a Austr\u00e1lii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Fragmentace euroatlantick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury nav\u00edc znamen\u00e1, \u017ee r\u016fzn\u00e9 syst\u00e9my dlouh\u00e9ho doletu by se mohly dostat pod velen\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00fdch rozhodovac\u00edch center s r\u016fznou m\u00edrou autonomie \u2013 od jednotliv\u00fdch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f a\u017e po struktury NATO a EU.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160ed\u00e9 oblasti a \u010derven\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1ry<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zat\u00edmco zru\u0161en\u00ed cel\u00e9 kategorie zbran\u00ed v roce 1987 vy\u017eadovalo pouze dohodu mezi dv\u011bma stranami \u2013 SSSR a USA \u2013 budouc\u00ed architektura kontroly zbrojen\u00ed bude muset b\u00fdt formov\u00e1na slo\u017eitou \u0159adou dvoustrann\u00fdch nebo mnohostrann\u00fdch smluv. Situaci d\u00e1le komplikuje z\u00e1sadn\u00ed posun ve vojensk\u00e9 geografii: nov\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, v\u010detn\u011b hypersonick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, by se mohly objevit v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti strategick\u00fdch center Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Historick\u00e1 zku\u0161enost s trval\u00fdm odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm se op\u00edrala o pe\u010dliv\u011b koordinovan\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed Moskvy a Washingtonu, k nim\u017e se p\u0159ipojily Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e, Lond\u00fdn a dal\u0161\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i. Procesy zah\u00e1jen\u00e9 ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b 90. let v\u0161ak do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry naru\u0161ily z\u00e1klady tohoto jevu. V podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch akutn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 krize byly p\u0159eru\u0161eny t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny kan\u00e1ly politick\u00e9, vojensk\u00e9 a technick\u00e9 komunikace mezi znep\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fdmi stranami. Vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed je st\u00e1le v\u00edce definov\u00e1no \u201e\u0161ed\u00fdmi z\u00f3nami\u201c a \u201e\u010derven\u00fdmi liniemi\u201c. Z\u00e1pad obvi\u0148uje Rusko z pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed pou\u017eit\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly proti nejadern\u00fdm \u010dlen\u016fm NATO, zat\u00edmco na na\u0161\u00ed stran\u011b panuj\u00ed hlubok\u00e9 obavy z agresivn\u00edch z\u00e1m\u011br\u016f aliance v\u016f\u010di Kaliningradsk\u00e9 oblasti. Trump z\u00e1rove\u0148 opakovan\u011b zpochyb\u0148uje m\u00fdtus o \u201erusk\u00e9 hrozb\u011b\u201c, p\u0159esto jej evropsk\u00e1 \u201estrana v\u00e1lky\u201c nad\u00e1le \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed geograficky podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch zranitelnost\u00ed je umocn\u011bno dynamikou klasick\u00e9ho \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho dilematu\u201c. Jedna strana vn\u00edm\u00e1 p\u0159evahu sv\u00e9ho rivala v syst\u00e9mech dlouh\u00e9ho doletu na evropsk\u00e9m v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161ti jako kritickou asymetrii, zat\u00edmco druh\u00e1 strana ospravedl\u0148uje sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed akce p\u0159evahou protivn\u00edka v konven\u010dn\u00edch sil\u00e1ch. Na tomto pozad\u00ed rychl\u00fd rozvoj vojensk\u00fdch technologi\u00ed d\u00e1le podporuje nejistotu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee \u201ezlat\u00fd v\u011bk\u201c stabiln\u00edho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed je minulost\u00ed, jeliko\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina hlavn\u00edch smluv o kontrole zbrojen\u00ed a odzbrojen\u00ed byla ukon\u010dena?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">N\u011bkolik d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch dohod z doby studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v platnosti, zejm\u00e9na Smlouva o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a Smlouva o v\u0161eobecn\u00e9m z\u00e1kazu jadern\u00fdch zkou\u0161ek. V t\u00e9to souvislosti stoj\u00ed za to se pod\u00edvat na pam\u011bti sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho diplomata Rolanda Timerbajeva. Vypr\u00e1v\u011bl, jak na za\u010d\u00e1tku 80. let, \u201ekdy\u017e nap\u011bt\u00ed v sov\u011btsko-americk\u00fdch vztaz\u00edch dos\u00e1hlo vrcholu\u201c, sov\u011btsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Andrej Gromyko poznamenal, \u017ee re\u017eim ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed byl tehdy \u201ejedin\u00fdm vl\u00e1knem\u201c, kter\u00e9 dr\u017eelo ob\u011b mocnosti pohromad\u011b. I kdy\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e1 takov\u00e1 vl\u00e1kna existuj\u00ed dodnes, nen\u00ed nouze o s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 tou\u017e\u00ed p\u0159etrhnout i tato zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed pouta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem na\u0161\u00ed doby je, \u017ee zat\u00edmco Washington byl po t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 osm desetilet\u00ed hlavn\u00edm tahounem nap\u011bt\u00ed se SSSR a pozd\u011bji Ruskem a tak\u00e9 inici\u00e1torem nov\u00fdch z\u00e1vod\u016f ve zbrojen\u00ed, evropsk\u00e9 metropole se t\u00e9to role nyn\u00ed s nad\u0161en\u00edm ujaly. Tam se zako\u0159enila nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 iluze, \u017ee zrychlen\u00e1 militarizace by mohla na\u0161i zemi donutit opustit sv\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee nasazen\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch schopn\u00fdch \u201ep\u0159esn\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f do hloubky\u201c, v bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed bl\u00edzkosti hranic st\u00e1tu ofici\u00e1ln\u011b klasifikovan\u00e9ho jako vojensk\u00fd protivn\u00edk, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt nevyhnuteln\u011b vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako eskalace a p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 hrozba.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1blesk nad\u011bje?<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Witkoffa a Kushnera v Moskv\u011b a Kyjev\u011b ve dnech 5. a 6. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed by nicm\u00e9n\u011b mohly p\u0159ipravit cestu k obnoven\u00ed komplexn\u00edho dialogu. Evropan\u00e9 dlouhodob\u011b trvali na \u00fa\u010dasti v jednac\u00edch form\u00e1tech a po dvou p\u0159edchoz\u00edch kolech rozhovor\u016f \u2013 mezi USA a Ruskem a USA a Ukrajinou \u2013 byli do procesu kone\u010dn\u011b zahrnuti i poradci pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost N\u011bmecka, Francie a Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Evropsk\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo jest\u0159\u00e1b\u016f \u2013 veden\u00e9 N\u011bmeckem a Velkou Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed \u2013 v\u0161ak nad\u00e1le s t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 fanatickou vytrvalost\u00ed hraje kartu \u201erusk\u00e9 hrozby\u201c a cynicky ji vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edch vnitropolitick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f (tj. k udr\u017een\u00ed si moci).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se Evropa jev\u00ed jako nejproblemati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st vzhledem k sou\u010dasn\u00fdm okolnostem. Nyn\u00ed je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 objasnit, zda jsou USA p\u0159ipraveny se do procesu vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011b a komplexn\u011b zapojit, m\u00edsto aby na n\u011bj jen polovi\u010dat\u011b a opo\u017ed\u011bn\u011b obracely svou pozornost uprost\u0159ed provokativn\u00edch diplomatick\u00fdch man\u00e9vr\u016f sv\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch spojenc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Konec p\u0159ekladu<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/anti-spiegel.ru\/2026\/warum-europa-vor-einer-neuen-raketenkrise-steht\/\">Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Militarizace Evropy s sebou nese riziko opakov\u00e1n\u00ed raketov\u00e9 krize z 80. let, kdy se nebezpe\u010d\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":115561,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,283,371,349],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115560"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115560"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115560\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/115561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=115560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=115560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=115560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}