{"id":115383,"date":"2026-09-09T00:19:33","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T22:19:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=115383"},"modified":"2026-09-08T13:16:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T11:16:10","slug":"bojiste-evropa-kdyz-se-spojenci-stanou-vyjednavacimi-trumfy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/09\/09\/bojiste-evropa-kdyz-se-spojenci-stanou-vyjednavacimi-trumfy\/","title":{"rendered":"Boji\u0161t\u011b Evropa &#8211; Kdy\u017e se spojenci stanou vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00edmi trumfy"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Otev\u0159en\u00e1 v\u00e1lka NATO proti Rusku se ji\u017e nepova\u017euje za nemyslitelnou. Jedinou zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou je, kde by se m\u011bla odehr\u00e1t \u2013 a kdo ji p\u0159e\u017eije. Pr\u00e1v\u011b zde le\u017e\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e1, nevysloven\u00e1 strategie: boji\u0161t\u011bm m\u00e1 b\u00fdt Evropa. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty z n\u00ed maj\u00ed vyj\u00edt co nejv\u00edce bez \u00fahony.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na rusk\u00e9 vnitrozem\u00ed, \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 z Wiesbadenu, zvy\u0161uj\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost rusk\u00e9ho proti\u00fatoku na \u00fazem\u00ed NATO. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se USA z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti st\u00e1hly. Nejde o \u00fanik. Je to promy\u0161len\u00fd krok. Omezen\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na evropsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b ji\u017e ve Washingtonu nen\u00ed vylou\u010dena. Evropa ponese n\u00e1klady, zat\u00edmco Amerika si ponech\u00e1 strategickou pozici.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To nen\u00ed konspira\u010dn\u00ed teorie. Je to logick\u00e9 pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed politiky, p\u0159ed kterou nejchyt\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed ameri\u010dt\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 varuj\u00ed u\u017e po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ignorovan\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ji\u017e v roce 2008 William Burns, tehdej\u0161\u00ed velvyslanec v Moskv\u011b a pozd\u011bji \u0159editel CIA, napsal v telegramu s p\u0159edm\u011btem \u201eNyet znamen\u00e1 Nyet\u201c: \u010clenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v NATO bylo \u201enejjasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ze v\u0161ech \u010derven\u00fdch lini\u00ed pro ruskou elitu \u2013 nejen pro Putina\u201c. George Kennan, architekt politiky zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed, ozna\u010dil expanzi NATO na v\u00fdchod za \u201enejosudn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed chybu americk\u00e9 politiky od studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky\u201c. John Mearsheimer a Stephen Cohen p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bli tot\u00e9\u017e: Kdokoli dotla\u010d\u00ed Ukrajinu do NATO, donut\u00ed Rusko k vojensk\u00e9 reakci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Varov\u00e1n\u00ed byla jasn\u00e1, opakovan\u00e1 a ignorovan\u00e1. Tato politika pokra\u010dovala. Dnes vid\u00edme d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Teze, kterou stru\u010dn\u011b shrnul \u0161v\u00e9dsk\u00fd analytik Mattias Forsgren, zn\u00ed takto: Evropa je ukrajinizov\u00e1na. Proto\u017ee ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed mu\u017ei ji\u017e nejsou k dispozici, maj\u00ed Evropan\u00e9 zaplnit mezeru. Aby toho bylo dosa\u017eeno, mus\u00ed se zv\u00fd\u0161it vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159ipravenost a rusk\u00fd \u00fatok mus\u00ed b\u00fdt bu\u010f vyprovokov\u00e1n, nebo zmanipulov\u00e1n. Rusko m\u00e1 b\u00fdt nuceno vybrat si: strategick\u00fd \u00fastup nebo zni\u010den\u00ed Evropy \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b lok\u00e1ln\u00ed jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, v n\u00ed\u017e Amerika z\u016fstane nezran\u011bna.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sergej Karaganov, jeden z nejvlivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch hlas\u016f rusk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed elity, ji\u017e l\u00e9ta vol\u00e1 po omezen\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch \u00faderech na evropsk\u00e9 c\u00edle. Jeho c\u00edlem nen\u00ed zni\u010dit Evropu, ale v\u0161t\u00edpit evropsk\u00fdm elit\u00e1m a obyvatelstvu strach z jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a donutit je tak odvolat jejich podporu. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 hodlaj\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b tohoto dilematu vyu\u017e\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Kanibalismus vazal\u016f<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed tvo\u0159ily Evropa a Amerika imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed celek. Historick\u00e9 j\u00e1dro z\u016fst\u00e1valo kulturn\u011b evropsk\u00e9, zat\u00edmco vojensk\u00e1 a finan\u010dn\u00ed velitelsk\u00e1 struktura se p\u0159esunula do Washingtonu. Amerika hr\u00e1la roli siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho partnera, br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00edho evropskou civilizaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto status quo se zhroutilo. Evropa ji\u017e nen\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako rovnocenn\u00fd partner, ale jako zdroj: ekonomicky vy\u010derpan\u00e1, politicky pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 a vojensky p\u0159ipraven\u00e1 jako jevi\u0161t\u011b, na kter\u00e9m budou zaplaceny n\u00e1klady \u00fapadku imperialismu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zni\u010den\u00ed plynovodu Nord Stream, nucen\u00e9 odd\u011blen\u00ed od rusk\u00e9 energie, deindustrializace N\u011bmecka \u2013 zejm\u00e9na viditeln\u00e1 v chemick\u00e9m a automobilov\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu \u2013, exploduj\u00edc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e9 mzdy vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed stejn\u00e9 materi\u00e1ln\u00ed podm\u00ednky, kter\u00e9 Ukrajina ji\u017e zn\u00e1: chudobu, beznad\u011bj a existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu. Sou\u010dasn\u011b prob\u00edh\u00e1 informa\u010dn\u00ed \u010distka. Rusk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia jsou zak\u00e1z\u00e1na. Hlasy volaj\u00edc\u00ed po jedn\u00e1n\u00edch jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rizika. Dehumanizace nep\u0159\u00edtele se \u0159\u00edd\u00ed stejn\u00fdm vzorem jako na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jakmile dostate\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det Evropan\u016f za\u017eije stejnou kombinaci ekonomick\u00e9 zoufalstv\u00ed, informa\u010dn\u00ed izolace a um\u011bl\u00e9 vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hrozby, politick\u00fd pr\u00e1h pro pos\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch mu\u017e\u016f do ml\u00fdnku na maso se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pro\u010d evropsk\u00e9 elity jednaj\u00ed proti sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ichni pozorovatel\u00e9 mimo mainstream jsou udiveni stejn\u00fdm jevem: evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici se chovaj\u00ed, jako by jejich zem\u011b nem\u011bly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jem. Rusko nen\u00ed jen konven\u010dn\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 mocnost, ale prvot\u0159\u00eddn\u00ed jadern\u00e1 mocnost. Dlouhodob\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnost a ekonomick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed Evropy z\u00e1vis\u00ed na p\u0159\u00edstupu k rusk\u00e9 energii a surovin\u00e1m. N\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed pr\u016fmysln\u00edci a pragmati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politici to v\u017edy ch\u00e1pali.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Existuj\u00ed d\u016fvody, pro\u010d dne\u0161n\u00ed veden\u00ed ignoruje tuto z\u00e1kladn\u00ed realitu. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed elity pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed konflikt pro sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed. P\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed selh\u00e1n\u00ed by znamenalo ztr\u00e1tu moci. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je americk\u00fd vliv na evropsk\u00e9 rozhodovac\u00ed procesy hlub\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e jsou ochotny uznat zdvo\u0159il\u00e9 diskuse.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Plukovn\u00edk Lawrence Wilkerson, b\u00fdval\u00fd n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk \u0161t\u00e1bu Colina Powella, popisuje, jak Washington po studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce systematicky cvi\u010dil a povy\u0161oval poslu\u0161n\u00e9 v\u016fdce. Disidenti byli eliminov\u00e1ni pomoc\u00ed barevn\u00fdch revoluc\u00ed, s\u00edt\u00ed \u201ez\u016fst\u00e1vat pozadu\u201c a person\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky. Dlouh\u00e1 historie odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 neutrality hovo\u0159\u00ed sama za sebe.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160v\u00fdcarsko jako prub\u00ed\u0159sk\u00fd k\u00e1men<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro \u0160v\u00fdcarsko je tato ot\u00e1zka obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b nal\u00e9hav\u00e1. Neutralita nikdy nebyla naivn\u00ed. Byla to v\u011bdomost toho, \u017ee mal\u00fd st\u00e1t mezi velmocemi m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt pouze tehdy, pokud se nestane boji\u0161t\u011bm. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo dnes v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee se lze postavit na spr\u00e1vnou stranu d\u011bjin prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm slovn\u00ed solidarity a sankc\u00ed, ani\u017e by za to zaplatil cenu, opakuje stejnou chybu, kterou evropsk\u00e9 elity d\u011blaj\u00ed od roku 2008.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">O omezen\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lce na evropsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b by se nerozhodlo ve Washingtonu. Rozhodlo by se o n\u00ed ve Wiesbadenu, Ramsteinu a v hlavn\u00edch m\u011bstech st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 se ji\u017e vzdaly sv\u00e9 suverenity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Evropa \u010del\u00ed volb\u011b, kter\u00e1 nenab\u00edz\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou dobrou mo\u017enost. Bu\u010f p\u0159ijme roli p\u0159edn\u00edho boji\u0161t\u011b \u2013 nebo za\u010dne p\u0159edefinov\u00e1vat sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. To vy\u017eaduje v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b schopnost objektivn\u011b popsat svou vlastn\u00ed situaci. Bez moralizov\u00e1n\u00ed. Bez tabu. Bez iluze, \u017ee je st\u00e1le rovnocenn\u00fdm partnerem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bomby nikdy nepadaj\u00ed na Washington. To byl v\u017edycky probl\u00e9m Evropy. Nemus\u00ed to z\u016fstat osudem Evropy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/swissvox.substack.com\/p\/schlachtfeld-europa?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=5517606&amp;post_id=214410496&amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;isFreemail=false&amp;r=pf6gr&amp;triedRedirect=true&amp;utm_medium=email\">ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Otev\u0159en\u00e1 v\u00e1lka NATO proti Rusku se ji\u017e nepova\u017euje za nemyslitelnou. Jedinou zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou je, kde&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":115384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,39,22,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115383"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115383"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115383\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/115384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=115383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=115383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=115383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}