{"id":114013,"date":"2026-08-24T04:39:57","date_gmt":"2026-08-24T02:39:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=114013"},"modified":"2026-08-24T04:41:23","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T02:41:23","slug":"po-nove-studene-valce-vzestup-soupericich-mocenskych-koridoru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/24\/po-nove-studene-valce-vzestup-soupericich-mocenskych-koridoru\/","title":{"rendered":"Po nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce: vzestup soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edch mocensk\u00fdch koridor\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d se nevyv\u00edj\u00ed sm\u011brem k nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce dvou rigidn\u00edch blok\u016f, ale k prom\u011bnliv\u00e9 konkurenci mezi soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edmi strategick\u00fdmi s\u00edt\u011bmi, kde st\u0159edn\u00ed mocnosti st\u00e1le v\u00edce utv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu sil t\u00edm, \u017ee se odm\u00edtaj\u00ed trvale spojit s jednou \u010di druhou stranou.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 geografie glob\u00e1ln\u00ed moci<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Mnoz\u00ed se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee nov\u00e1 studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by mohla za\u010d\u00edt vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Naopak, mohla by vzniknout potichu, eskalac\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, jadernou patovou situac\u00ed na Korejsk\u00e9m poloostrov\u011b, prohlouben\u00edm spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, Severn\u00ed Koreou a \u010c\u00ednou, eskalac\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi Ruskem a Japonskem, posilov\u00e1n\u00edm americko-izraelsk\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed, vznikem nov\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch alianc\u00ed a prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed se kriz\u00ed v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu. I kdy\u017e se tyto ud\u00e1losti mohou zd\u00e1t geograficky vzd\u00e1len\u00e9, maj\u00ed hlubok\u00fd strategick\u00fd v\u00fdznam.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed syst\u00e9m rychle vstupuje do obdob\u00ed volatility a nejistoty. Sv\u011bt je nyn\u00ed sv\u011bdkem zintenzivn\u011bn\u00ed konkurence mezi hlavn\u00edmi glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi mocnostmi, jako jsou Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. Peking vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 Washington vojensky, ekonomicky a technologicky. Moskva se tak\u00e9 postav\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edmu bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmu \u0159\u00e1du. Severn\u00ed Korea tak\u00e9 rychle rozv\u00edj\u00ed sv\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 aktiva. \u00cdr\u00e1n se zase nad\u00e1le sna\u017e\u00ed o nez\u00e1vislou region\u00e1ln\u00ed architekturu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 prohlubuje sv\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 vazby s nov\u00fdmi glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi supervelmocemi, Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za dv\u011bma pevn\u00fdmi bloky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Pova\u017eovat to v\u0161ak za novou studenou v\u00e1lku by bylo zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed. Vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d nen\u00ed jako dva protich\u016fdn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 bloky; je to jako dv\u011b soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00ed sf\u00e9ry vlivu. Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed blok veden\u00fd USA zahrnuje Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreu, Japonsko, Izrael a Tchaj-wan, podporovan\u00e9 \u0159adou evropsk\u00fdch a indicko-pacifick\u00fdch partner\u016f. Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed, strategick\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 se st\u0159edem v \u010c\u00edn\u011b zahrnuje spolupracuj\u00edc\u00ed zem\u011b, jako je Severn\u00ed Korea, Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n, a tak\u00e9 mnoho st\u0159edn\u011b velk\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na rozd\u00edl od NATO v\u0161ak tyto zem\u011b nejsou \u010dleny \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 aliance. V\u0161echny tyto st\u00e1ty maj\u00ed odli\u0161n\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 priority a z\u00e1jmy. Toto rozli\u0161en\u00ed je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, proto\u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 geopolitick\u00e1 konkurence je formov\u00e1na m\u00e9n\u011b ideologickou soudr\u017enost\u00ed ne\u017e sbli\u017euj\u00edc\u00edmi se strategick\u00fdmi z\u00e1jmy. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b je geopolitick\u00e1 konkurence st\u00e1le v\u00edce formov\u00e1na soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy, strategick\u00fdm vlivem, odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm, technologickou v\u00fdhodou, ekonomick\u00fdmi vazbami, vojensk\u00fdmi schopnostmi a kontrolou nad kritick\u00fdmi zem\u011bpisn\u00fdmi oblastmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tchaj-wan, Japonsko a roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed se bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed fronta<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tchajwansk\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka se jev\u00ed jako nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pr\u016fse\u010d\u00edk t\u011bchto protich\u016fdn\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f, jeliko\u017e Peking ostrov pova\u017euje za ned\u00edlnou sou\u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed a po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed zvy\u0161uje vojensk\u00fd tlak na n\u011bj. Tchaj-wan mezit\u00edm neust\u00e1le posiluje svou schopnost odradit potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00fd \u00fatok nebo n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du. V\u00fdznam potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu mezi \u010c\u00ednou a ostrovem p\u0159esahuje Tchajwansk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, proto\u017ee by mohl do konfliktu vt\u00e1hnout Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Japonsko, naru\u0161it glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce a obchod s polovodi\u010di a v\u00fdznamn\u011b zm\u011bnit rovnov\u00e1hu sil v Indo-Pacifiku. Skute\u010dnou ot\u00e1zkou ohledn\u011b tohoto konfliktu proto je, zda by odstra\u0161en\u00ed mohlo \u010c\u00ednu p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit, \u017ee potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1klady konfliktu p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nad jej\u00edmi strategick\u00fdmi zisky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem mezi ob\u011bma bloky je nelegitimn\u00ed n\u00e1rok Japonska na Ji\u017en\u00ed Kurilsk\u00e9 ostrovy. Po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce z\u00edskalo nad t\u011bmito ostrovy svrchovanost Rusko. Japonsk\u00fd iredentistick\u00fd n\u00e1rok na n\u011b se stal hlavn\u00edm zdrojem nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi ob\u011bma stranami. Moskva zauj\u00edm\u00e1 v t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti nekompromisn\u00ed postoj. Strategick\u00e9 mo\u017enosti Japonska se z\u00fa\u017eily s prohlouben\u00edm spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, \u010c\u00ednou a Severn\u00ed Koreou. A\u010dkoli se tyto dva probl\u00e9my li\u0161\u00ed, jejich spole\u010dn\u00fd dopad vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed hrozbu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 s\u00edly mohou rozhodnout o v\u00fdsledku<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed d\u011bn\u00ed m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 vliv na sou\u010dasn\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 a geostrategick\u00e9 reality, v\u010detn\u011b strategick\u00fdch z\u00e1vazk\u016f Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a jejich d\u016fv\u011bryhodnosti jako\u017eto bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho agenta. V\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu odhalila skute\u010dnou povahu americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v r\u016fzn\u00fdch st\u00e1tech Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, kter\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti m\u011bla chr\u00e1nit americk\u00e9 a izraelsk\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. Tato v\u00e1lka tak\u00e9 demonstruje nadm\u011brn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Washington mus\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u011b \u0159e\u0161it v\u00fdzvy t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se r\u016fzn\u00fdch region\u00e1ln\u00edch rival\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b Izraele a \u00cdr\u00e1nu, podporovat sv\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 partnery v kontextu v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, dodr\u017eovat sv\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1vazky v\u016f\u010di Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreji, Tchaj-wanu a Japonsku a odrazovat \u010c\u00ednu v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jsou sou\u010dasn\u011b zapojeny do \u0159ady strategick\u00fdch konflikt\u016f, co\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010c\u00edn\u011b p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost porazit Washington bez jak\u00e9koli vojensk\u00e9 konfrontace. Rostouc\u00ed investice Pekingu do infrastruktury, diplomatick\u00fdch partnerstv\u00ed, hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch vztah\u016f a vojensk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce s n\u011bkolika zem\u011bmi by mohly postupn\u011b zm\u011bnit mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu sil. Role st\u0159edn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu, Turecka, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, Indon\u00e9sie, Indie, ASEAN a st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, bude kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 pro ur\u010den\u00ed budouc\u00edho sm\u011bru t\u00e9to sout\u011b\u017ee. V\u0161echny tyto st\u00e1ty usiluj\u00ed o strategickou autonomii. V d\u016fsledku toho se trvale nespojuj\u00ed s \u017e\u00e1dnou jedinou mocnost\u00ed. Usiluj\u00ed o \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 investice, ruskou energii, z\u00e1padn\u00ed trhy, region\u00e1ln\u00ed aliance a americk\u00e9 technologie \u2013 ani\u017e by se stali st\u00e1l\u00fdmi \u010dleny jak\u00e9hokoli geopolitick\u00e9ho bloku, co\u017e \u010din\u00ed term\u00edn \u201edva bloky\u201c nedostate\u010dn\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 je strategick\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Proto by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tvrdil, \u017ee sv\u011bt by mohl b\u00fdt sv\u011bdkem dvou soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edch mocensk\u00fdch koridor\u016f sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e dvou form\u00e1ln\u00edch blok\u016f, kde by se st\u0159edn\u00ed mocnosti sna\u017eily udr\u017eovat vztahy s ob\u011bma stranami. D\u00edky tomu je sou\u010dasn\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed nestabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka 1.0. B\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky bylo rozd\u011blen\u00ed mezi t\u011bmito dv\u011bma bloky relativn\u011b jasn\u00e9. Dnes v\u0161ak st\u00e1ty spolupracuj\u00ed a sout\u011b\u017e\u00ed v r\u016fzn\u00fdch oblastech, tak\u017ee toto rozd\u011blen\u00ed pon\u011bkud st\u00edr\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00e1 konkurence v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 geopolitice se tedy neprojevuje pouze mezi \u010c\u00ednou, Ruskem a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty; jde o neust\u00e1l\u00fd boj o dominanci v alianc\u00edch, dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u00edch, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektu\u0159e a technologi\u00edch 21. stolet\u00ed. A\u010dkoli Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod, Indo-Pacifik a Ukrajina jsou odli\u0161n\u00fdmi d\u011bji\u0161t\u011bmi, v\u00fdvoj v nich je st\u00e1le v\u00edce propojen a m\u00e1 hlubok\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost; nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nejednozna\u010dnost\u00ed nen\u00ed, kdo jsou nov\u00e9 velmoci, ale kterou stranu si zvol\u00ed st\u0159edn\u00ed mocnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

od\u00a0<\/span>Abb\u00e1se Ha\u0161imitsk\u00e9ho<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d se nevyv\u00edj\u00ed sm\u011brem k nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce dvou rigidn\u00edch blok\u016f, ale k…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":114014,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,2181,2738,22,276,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114013"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=114013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114013\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/114014"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=114013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=114013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=114013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}