{"id":113453,"date":"2026-08-18T00:20:36","date_gmt":"2026-08-17T22:20:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=113453"},"modified":"2026-08-17T09:25:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-17T07:25:07","slug":"netanjahu-znovu-opakuje-lez-o-irackych-zbranich-hromadneho-niceni-ozivenou-k-podpore-valky-proti-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/18\/netanjahu-znovu-opakuje-lez-o-irackych-zbranich-hromadneho-niceni-ozivenou-k-podpore-valky-proti-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"Netanjahu znovu opakuje \u201ele\u017e o ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch zbran\u00edch hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed\u201c \u2013 o\u017eivenou k podpo\u0159e v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Trump\u016fv posun k ekonomick\u00e9mu tlaku jako kl\u00ed\u010di k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 kapitulaci nen\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnou strategi\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Prezident Trump vzal provojenskou r\u00e9toriku ministra v\u00e1lky Hegsetha (\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eamerick\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla je impozantn\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0) doslova, jen aby opo\u017ed\u011bn\u011b zjistil, \u017ee Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm doch\u00e1zej\u00ed st\u00edhac\u00ed letouny ve v\u00e1lce, kter\u00e1 se siln\u011b spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na protivzdu\u0161nou obranu.\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eV\u00fdpo\u010dty dopln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sob jsou stejn\u011b\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MarioNawfal\/status\/2087315676100804978\/video\/1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">pochmurn\u00e9<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Dopln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sob bude trvat \u010dty\u0159i roky (ne \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce), proto\u017ee komponenty zahrnuj\u00ed prvky vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin kontrolovan\u00e9 \u010c\u00ednou<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. \u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Hegseth je nyn\u00ed v nemilosti, zat\u00edmco hv\u011bzda ministra financ\u00ed Bessenta rychle stoup\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v Bessent opakovan\u011b Trumpa\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_R2xHS1PDkU\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">uji\u0161\u0165oval<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee nedostatek ropy zp\u016fsoben\u00fd uzav\u0159en\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eje do\u010dasn\u00fd a zvl\u00e1dnuteln\u00fd\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0(co\u017e nen\u00ed pravda), a tak\u00e9 argumentoval, \u017ee inflace souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s energi\u00ed ustoup\u00ed, jakmile se zm\u00edrn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed. Vsadil na to celou svou budoucnost. A zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Trump v\u011b\u0159\u00ed v manipulaci s ropn\u00fdmi trhy a futures kontrakty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edsla koluj\u00edc\u00ed ve Washingtonu ohledn\u011b lod\u00ed, kter\u00e9 \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b propluly om\u00e1nsk\u00fdm koridorem, jsou v\u0161ak smy\u0161len\u00e1. Brett Erickson z\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Obsidian Risk<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Advisors\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BrettErickson28\/status\/2087254213109973206\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">p\u00ed\u0161e<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePo rozhovoru s n\u011bkolika m\u00fdmi d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fdmi kolegy z povol\u00e1n\u00ed neexistuj\u00ed absolutn\u011b \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy, kter\u00e9 by podporovaly tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee om\u00e1nskou trasou proch\u00e1z\u00ed 8 milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b, ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv opou\u0161t\u00ed 9 milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b. V\u016fbec \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9. Ani \u201amo\u017en\u00e1\u2018, ani \u201apotenci\u00e1ln\u011b\u2018. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy. A co je je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed, existuj\u00ed d\u016fkazy, kter\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edmo nazna\u010duj\u00ed opak.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Na ot\u00e1zku: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Je jejich pl\u00e1nem jednodu\u0161e z\u016fstat v \u00fastran\u00ed, dokud se v\u0161echno nezhrout\u00ed? A co pak?<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c Erickson odpov\u00edd\u00e1:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eZ toho, co ch\u00e1pu, si skute\u010dn\u011b mysl\u00ed, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 z t\u011bchto informac\u00ed jsou spr\u00e1vn\u00e9. Jsou hloup\u00ed, ne nutn\u011b ne\u010destn\u00ed&#8230; co\u017e je je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Trump\u016fv posun k ekonomick\u00e9mu tlaku jako kl\u00ed\u010di k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 kapitulaci nen\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnou strategi\u00ed. I kdyby p\u0159\u00edsn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed blok\u00e1da d\u00e1le zhor\u0161ila t\u00ed\u017eivou situaci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho lidu, je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by jejich utrpen\u00ed vedlo k p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9mu v\u00fdsledku \u2013 jako je zm\u011bna re\u017eimu \u00e0 la Delcy Rodriguezov\u00e1?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n vede existen\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a Izraeli a pokud by \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed v\u016fdci byli n\u011bkdy nuceni volit mezi kapitulac\u00ed a eskalac\u00ed konfliktu, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b by zvolili eskalaci. Rozhodnut\u00ed o zintenzivn\u011bn\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch akc\u00ed \u2013\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">za \u00fa\u010delem vyv\u00edjen\u00ed tlaku na Trumpa<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt ji\u017e u\u010din\u011bno, jak dokazuj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/english.almayadeen.net\/news\/politics\/rezaei--iran-won-t-reopen-strait-of-hormuz-until-us-changes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Mosena Rez\u00e1\u00edho, nov\u011b jmenovan\u00e9ho tajemn\u00edka Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdboru pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost. \u00cdr\u00e1n bude pokra\u010dovat ve sv\u00fdch proaktivn\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch akc\u00edch, i kdy\u017e se Trump rozhodne vojensk\u00e9 intervenci upustit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n v\u0161ak tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 obnoven\u00e9 blok\u00e1d\u011b USA nevykazuje\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DropSiteNews\/status\/2087317459007086593\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0zn\u00e1mky ekonomick\u00e9ho kolapsu. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u011bl \u00fadajn\u011b na za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu u sv\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed uskladn\u011bno 120 a\u017e 140 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy a b\u011bhem omezen\u00e9 doby platnosti memoranda o porozum\u011bn\u00ed vyvezl dal\u0161\u00edch 80 milion\u016f barel\u016f. Rial b\u011bhem platnosti memoranda ve skute\u010dnosti pos\u00edlil; ot\u00e1zkou tedy je: co se stane, kdy\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n nejen odm\u00edtne kapitulovat, ale m\u00edsto toho ztvrd\u00ed sv\u016fj postoj v\u016f\u010di Trumpovi \u2013 jak se zd\u00e1, d\u011bl\u00e1?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Danny Citrinowicz, prominentn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd analytik,\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/citrinowicz\/status\/2087262715760799873\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">poukazuje na to<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, \u017ee udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 patov\u00e9 situace nen\u00ed pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty bez n\u00e1klad\u016f. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv nad\u00e1le podl\u00e9h\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fdm omezen\u00edm; Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e je pro sa\u00fadsk\u00fd export uzav\u0159eno; a americk\u00e9 s\u00edly jsou nuceny udr\u017eovat n\u00e1kladnou vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost a blok\u00e1du. Nav\u00edc jsou americk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby munice pod tlakem a Teher\u00e1n m\u00e1 st\u00e1le dostatek prost\u0159edk\u016f k obt\u011b\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch sil a ohro\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed lodn\u00ed dopravy. Ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky naru\u0161en\u00fdch tok\u016f energie mezit\u00edm rozhodn\u011b netrp\u00ed pouze \u00cdr\u00e1n. Jak tento t\u00fdden\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/middle-east\/gulf-states-accept-a-new-normal-in-hormuz-iran-is-in-control-6db8908d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">zd\u016fraznil<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Wall\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Street Journal<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eProducenti energie v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu doch\u00e1zej\u00ed k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 kontrola nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem se stane trvalou, co\u017e na neur\u010dito naru\u0161\u00ed jejich v\u00fdvoz ropy a plynu i glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky energie&#8230; [ve skute\u010dnosti nemaj\u00ed] \u017e\u00e1dnou dobrou mo\u017enost, jak \u010delit [asertivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu \u00cdr\u00e1nu].\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">A ropa nen\u00ed jedin\u00fdm prvkem naru\u0161en\u00fdm konfliktem. Naru\u0161ena je i \u0159ada \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud se uk\u00e1\u017ee, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zah\u00e1jily v\u00e1lku, ani\u017e by \u0159\u00e1dn\u011b zkontrolovaly stav sv\u00e9ho arzen\u00e1lu (myln\u011b se domn\u00edvaly, \u017ee v\u00e1lka skon\u010d\u00ed za v\u00edkend, jak prohl\u00e1sil David Barnea, \u0161\u00e9f Mossadu, b\u011bhem briefingu v Situation Room 11. \u010dervence 2026 p\u0159ed Trumpem), a pokud se uk\u00e1\u017ee, \u017ee ministr financ\u00ed lhal o skute\u010dn\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 situaci, pak n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed lid\u00e9 kone\u010dn\u011b budou muset zodpov\u011bd\u011bt n\u011bkolik v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch ot\u00e1zek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Izraelsk\u00fd strategick\u00fd koment\u00e1tor \u0160emuel Meir\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/strategicreflections.substack.com\/p\/the-israel-iran-war-black-box\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">vzn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0nejnal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pochybnosti, kter\u00e9 je t\u0159eba \u0159e\u0161it:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Byla v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu skute\u010dn\u011b \u201epreventivn\u00ed\u201c v\u00e1lkou zah\u00e1jenou pod fale\u0161nou z\u00e1minkou bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed hrozby?<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Lhal Netanjahu o\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed povaze<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 hrozby?<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Nebo jin\u00fdmi slovy, napodobil Netanjahu\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2004\/oct\/07\/usa.iraq1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">podvod s \u201eIr\u00e1kem a jeho zbran\u011bmi hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed\u201c,<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0aby dotla\u010dil Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty do v\u00e1lky?<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V \u010dl\u00e1nku publikovan\u00e9m za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u010dervence leto\u0161n\u00edho roku prominentn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd koment\u00e1tor Ben Caspit\u00a0Netanjahua\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/conflictsforum.substack.com\/p\/netanyahu-lied-about-iran-having\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">pok\u00e1ral :<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eV\u00e1\u017en\u011b, Bibi? M\u011bli \u00cdr\u00e1nci atomov\u00e9 bomby? To mysl\u00ed\u0161 v\u00e1\u017en\u011b? V\u00ed\u0161, jsi premi\u00e9r. Ka\u017ed\u00e9 tv\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, ka\u017ed\u00e1 v\u011bta, ka\u017ed\u00e9 slovo, kter\u00e9 pronese\u0161, se dostane na tituln\u00ed str\u00e1nky novin. Kdy\u017e n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho \u0159ekne\u0161, m\u00e1 to n\u00e1sledky. Jsi si toho v\u011bdom\/a? No, je mi l\u00edto, \u017ee t\u011b mus\u00edm zklamat\u2026 ale \u00cdr\u00e1n atomov\u00e9 bomby nem\u011bl. V\u016fbec ne. Ani jako vtip\u2026 Nem\u016f\u017ee\u0161 \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n atomov\u00e9 bomby vlastnil. Proto\u017ee to nen\u00ed pravda\u2026 Proto\u017ee je to \u010dist\u011b fikce.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">(\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Organizace Conflicts Forum<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0skute\u010dn\u011b za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u010dervence poznamenala (\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/conflictsforum.substack.com\/p\/netanyahu-lied-about-iran-having\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">viz zde<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0), \u017ee stejn\u011b jako Caspit i velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st b\u00fdval\u00fdch p\u0159edn\u00edch izraelsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f a koment\u00e1tor\u016f v oblasti bezpe\u010dnosti a zpravodajstv\u00ed tvrdila, \u017ee Netanjahu\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">lhal<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0o \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 hrozb\u011b v dob\u011b p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 a \u017ee\u00a0o \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 hrozb\u011b\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/conflictsforum.substack.com\/p\/contrived-israeli-leaks-to-wsj-on\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">nad\u00e1le l\u017ee).<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160emuel Meir poukazuje na to, \u017ee v izraelsk\u00e9 doktr\u00edn\u011b m\u00e1 preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lka za c\u00edl eliminovat existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu v bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed budoucnosti, pokud\u00a0o bezprost\u0159ednosti t\u00e9to hrozby neexistuj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pochybnosti .<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Meir v\u0161ak up\u0159es\u0148uje, \u017ee:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eMy [izraelsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed] v podstat\u011b nev\u00edme, co se stalo nebo jak bylo rozhodnuto o zah\u00e1jen\u00ed preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky 13. \u010dervna 2025 (\u201eOperace Lev v pln\u00e9m kv\u011btu\u201c) a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9m pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v druh\u00e9 f\u00e1zi t\u00e9to preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky 28. \u00fanora 2026 (\u201e\u0158ev lva\u201c). Zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm bylo rozhodnuto o zah\u00e1jen\u00ed t\u00e9to v\u00e1lky, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, jak\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.com\/opinion\/2026-07-17\/ty-article-opinion\/.premium\/the-netanyahu-regimes-black-boxes-must-be-revealed\/0000019f-6c66-da5c-ab9f-fff76bc20000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u0159\u00edk\u00e1<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Aluf Benn , \u201e\u010dernou sk\u0159\u00ed\u0148kou\u201c Netanjahuova rozhodovac\u00edho procesu.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pokra\u010doval:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eZkusme se tedy co nejv\u00edce zab\u00fdvat fakty. Abychom zjistili, jak p\u00e1dn\u00e9 bylo ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 zm\u011bnila tv\u00e1\u0159 Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, a&#8230; a\u010dkoli se jednalo o konven\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku, zda se jednalo o prvn\u00ed preventivn\u00ed jadernou v\u00e1lku v historii. A v\u00e1lku vedenou se souhlasem americk\u00e9ho prezidenta.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eVyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka: jak je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee jsme nebyli sv\u011bdky kritick\u00e9ho zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed ani podrobn\u00e9 investigativn\u00ed report\u00e1\u017ee o rozhodovac\u00edm procesu, kter\u00fd vedl k preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lce v \u010dervnu 2025? To je o to pozoruhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ve sv\u011btle dvou investigativn\u00edch zpr\u00e1v, kter\u00e9 byly v Izraeli pon\u011bkud p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b zve\u0159ejn\u011bny v posledn\u00edch dvou t\u00fddnech\u2026\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTato dv\u011b dopl\u0148kov\u00e1 vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed\u2026 jsou zalo\u017eena na spolehliv\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch zdroj\u00edch a dobr\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstupu k nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm \u00farovn\u00edm gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Izraelsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil (IDF). V t\u011bchto dvou zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch jsme se dozv\u011bd\u011bli n\u011bco, co jsme nikde jinde nesly\u0161eli: fakta a podrobnosti t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00fdhrad vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00fdch n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edkem \u0161t\u00e1bu ohledn\u011b druh\u00e9 preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky [z 28. \u00fanora], jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem bylo vy\u0159e\u0161it jadern\u00fd probl\u00e9m \u2013 svr\u017een\u00edm re\u017eimu.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Meir dod\u00e1v\u00e1:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePodle t\u011bchto vy\u0161et\u0159ovac\u00edch zpr\u00e1v \u0161\u00e9f vojensk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby AMAN (n\u00e1rodn\u00ed hodnotitel zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb v r\u00e1mci izraelsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu) a \u0161\u00e9f odd\u011blen\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumu vyhodnotili a ve zpravodajsk\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00fdch premi\u00e9rovi a \u010dlen\u016fm vl\u00e1dy napsali,\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u017ee pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00fasp\u011bchu v druh\u00e9 v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu je n\u00edzk\u00e1.<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho, kdo je obezn\u00e1men s histori\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby, to bylo odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eP\u0159i zah\u00e1jen\u00ed dvou vln t\u00e9\u017ee preventivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky Netanjahu prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee d\u016fvodem v\u00e1lky byly \u201anov\u00e9 informace\u2018 varuj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed existen\u010dn\u00ed jadernou hrozbou zam\u011b\u0159enou na zni\u010den\u00ed Izraele. Podle n\u011bj Izrael nemohl ne\u010dinn\u011b jednat; bylo nezbytn\u00e9 bezodkladn\u011b j\u00edt do v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0<em><span dir=\"auto\">Aby ilustroval bezprost\u0159ednost hrozby, Netanjahu zaplnil ve\u0159ejnou diskusi \u2013 jak v obdob\u00ed p\u0159ed prvn\u00ed v\u00e1lkou, tak i v roce mezi ob\u011bma \u201av\u00e1lkami\u2018 \u2013 existenci\u00e1ln\u00edmi metaforami, jako je \u201ame\u010d na krku\u2018, a p\u0159irovnal \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed k vyhlazovac\u00edm t\u00e1bor\u016fm evropsk\u00fdch \u017did\u016f b\u011bhem holocaustu.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eV noci 13. \u010dervna 2025 Netanjahu ohledn\u011b bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozby, kterou p\u0159edstavuje \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 zbra\u0148, prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u201ajsme ve dvan\u00e1ct\u00e9 hodin\u011b\u2018. \u00cdr\u00e1n dos\u00e1hl bodu, odkud nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu. V posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u00cdr\u00e1n u\u010dinil velk\u00e9 pokroky v \u201ajasn\u00fdch kroc\u00edch, kter\u00e9 nikdy p\u0159edt\u00edm nepodnikl, sm\u011brem k militarizaci, tedy k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, a nikoli pouze k hromad\u011bn\u00ed \u0161t\u011bpn\u00e9ho materi\u00e1lu\u2018.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/conflictsforum.substack.com\/p\/contrived-israeli-leaks-to-wsj-on\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Opravdu existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozba<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0existovala\u00a013. \u010dervna 2025, pt\u00e1 se Shemuel Meir?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eArgumenty \u00fadajn\u011b zalo\u017een\u00e9 na zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00edch t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se \u201anov\u00fdch informac\u00ed\u2018, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edlo\u017eili Netanjahu a n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edci \u0161t\u00e1b\u016f Izraelsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil (IDF) ohledn\u011b urychlen\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu v bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed budoucnosti (zbran\u011b byly kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm pojmem v jejich argumentech), byly v rozporu s vysoce spolehliv\u00fdmi a aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmi zpravodajsk\u00fdmi hodnocen\u00edmi. Pat\u0159ily mezi n\u011b zejm\u00e9na zpr\u00e1vy americk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, kter\u00e9 odporovaly tvrzen\u00edm o bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 hrozb\u011b a o kter\u00fdch si izraelsk\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba zjevn\u011b byla v\u011bdoma.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">Podle vy\u0161et\u0159ovac\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy Ronena Bergmana (Jediot Ahronoth, 26. \u010dervna 2026), zalo\u017een\u00e9 na vysoce postaven\u00fdch zdroj\u00edch z izraelsk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky, agentu\u0159e chyb\u011bly spolehliv\u00e9 informace nazna\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee zbrojn\u00ed program skute\u010dn\u011b prob\u00edh\u00e1<\/span><\/em><\/strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Existovaly pouze \u201eznepokojiv\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se \u00favah a diskus\u00ed\u201c, ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee by byly zbrojn\u00ed laborato\u0159e uv\u00e1d\u011bny do provozu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka:\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eSouhlasili v\u0161ichni vysoc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu a vojensk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb Izraelsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil (IDF) s argumentem premi\u00e9ra, \u017ee se jednalo o nezbytn\u00fd preventivn\u00ed \u00fader k potla\u010den\u00ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 hrozby, a pln\u011b jej podpo\u0159ili? Byla to v\u00e1lka za odstran\u011bn\u00ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozby, nebo v\u00e1lka za \u201evyu\u017eit\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti\u201c?\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">(Dal\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z p\u0159\u00edtomn\u00fdch vysok\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f nezm\u00ednil mo\u017enost, \u017ee by se \u00cdr\u00e1n nemusel zhroutit, ani \u017ee by z konfliktu mohl vyj\u00edt siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Meir si klade ot\u00e1zku, zda vysoc\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edci izraelsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil, kte\u0159\u00ed se na rozhodnut\u00ed pod\u00edleli, dodr\u017eovali zaveden\u00e9 postupy,\u00a0<\/span><strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201enebo zda byli natolik uneseni Netanjahuovou eufori\u00ed, \u017ee si neuv\u011bdomili metafyzickou misi, kterou si s\u00e1m stanovil jako \u201aochr\u00e1nce Izraele\u2018 \u2013 za\u00fato\u010dit na \u00cdr\u00e1n a zni\u010dit jakoukoli mo\u017enost diplomatick\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 dohody?\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">(Meir v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/strategicreflections.substack.com\/p\/requiem-for-the-iran-nuclear-deal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Requiem za jadernou dohodu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0analyzovala , \u017ee t\u0159etina Netanjahuovy autobiografie \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">M\u016fj p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c je v\u011bnov\u00e1na t\u00e9mu\u017e metafyzick\u00e9mu posl\u00e1n\u00ed, podle kter\u00e9ho byla v\u00e1lka proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm jadern\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm Netanjahuov\u00fdm celo\u017eivotn\u00edm snem).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Izraelce je to jednozna\u010dn\u011b existen\u010dn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee v\u00e1lka\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/conflictsforum.substack.com\/p\/the-limits-to-military-action-military\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">zcela selhala<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0v dosa\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch deklarovan\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ale stejn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je to i pro Ameri\u010dany. B\u011bhem briefingu\u00a0<\/span><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/04\/07\/us\/politics\/trump-iran-war.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">11.<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00fanora 2026 v situa\u010dn\u00ed m\u00edstnosti B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu Netanjahu vyvinul siln\u00fd tlak na prezidenta Trumpa, nazna\u010dil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je zral\u00fd pro zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu, a vyj\u00e1d\u0159il p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee spole\u010dn\u00e1 americko-izraelsk\u00e1 mise by mohla kone\u010dn\u011b ukon\u010dit existenci Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V\u011bd\u011bli p\u0159\u00edtomn\u00ed ameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili pochybnosti o izraelsk\u00fdch tvrzen\u00edch, \u017ee \u0161\u00e9f izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">AMAN<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0(n\u00e1rodn\u00ed hodnotitel zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed v r\u00e1mci izraelsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu) a \u0161\u00e9f izraelsk\u00e9ho zpravodajsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9ho odd\u011blen\u00ed ve zpravodajsk\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00fdch Netanjahuovi a \u010dlen\u016fm vl\u00e1dy vyhodnotili n\u00edzkou\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00fasp\u011bchu<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0p\u0159i rozpadu \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky? \u0160\u00e9f Mossadu naopak trval na tom, \u017ee v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu bude rychl\u00e1 a snadn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Hodnocen\u00ed AMAN\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">se<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0v\u0161ak dokonale shodovalo se spolehliv\u00fdmi \u00faniky informac\u00ed od americk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f a analytik\u016f, kter\u00e9 byly zve\u0159ejn\u011bny b\u011bhem 12denn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v \u010dervnu 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">New\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">York Times<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Wall Street Journal<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">CBS<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0uvedly, \u017ee tyto americk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 zdroje si nebyly v\u011bdomy \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch nov\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed nazna\u010duj\u00edc\u00edch zb\u011bsil\u00fd z\u00e1vod \u00cdr\u00e1nu o z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00e9 bomby; \u017ee nedo\u0161lo ke zm\u011bn\u011b v hodnocen\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb; \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nen\u00ed na cest\u011b k z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed; a \u017ee nebyly vyd\u00e1ny \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 rozkazy k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed militarizace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Trump nicm\u00e9n\u011b pokra\u010doval ve v\u00e1lce \u2013 v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kter\u00e1 trv\u00e1 dodnes? Pro\u010d?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/reseauinternational.net\/author\/alastaircrooke\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Alastair Crooke<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump\u016fv posun k ekonomick\u00e9mu tlaku jako kl\u00ed\u010di k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 kapitulaci nen\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnou strategi\u00ed. Prezident Trump&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":113454,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[4537,38,851,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113453"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113453"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113453\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113454"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113453"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113453"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113453"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}