{"id":11336,"date":"2022-06-08T01:07:07","date_gmt":"2022-06-07T23:07:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=11336"},"modified":"2022-06-07T18:21:23","modified_gmt":"2022-06-07T16:21:23","slug":"takzvana-opotrebovaci-valka-vyzniva-ve-prospech-ruska-a-kissinger-to-vi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/06\/08\/takzvana-opotrebovaci-valka-vyzniva-ve-prospech-ruska-a-kissinger-to-vi\/","title":{"rendered":"Takzvan\u00e1 \u201eopot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lka\u201c vyzn\u00edv\u00e1 ve prosp\u011bch Ruska. A Kissinger to v\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Zapome\u0148te na protitankov\u00e9 zbran\u011b a n\u00e1boje. Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se nedostatek p\u0161enice m\u016f\u017ee zem\u011b Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a Afriky p\u0159im\u011bt ke vzpou\u0159e a nasm\u011brovat novou \u00farove\u0148 hn\u011bvu a odporu v\u016f\u010di Bruselu ze strany jeho vlastn\u00edch \u010dlen\u016f.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se v USA bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed kritick\u00e9 volby v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mohly Bidenovy zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9 snahy utlumit, bude se i EU brzy zab\u00fdvat vlastn\u00ed strategi\u00ed – zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o Ukrajinu – v krat\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m horizontu, a to kv\u016fli \u0159ad\u011b faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 se objevuj\u00ed na obzoru a kter\u00fdmi se zmaten\u00ed a \u0161patn\u011b informovan\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159i nezab\u00fdvaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed z faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 budou pro EU skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem, nazna\u010dil ned\u00e1vno na Sv\u011btov\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru b\u00fdval\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Henry Kissinger. Tento postar\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edk popudil ukrajinskou delegaci t\u00edm, \u017ee nazna\u010dil, \u017ee by mohla zv\u00e1\u017eit postoupen\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti zem\u011b Rusku, aby si zajistila m\u00edrovou dohodu d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e tamn\u00ed v\u00e1lka za\u010dne m\u00edt mnohem z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed d\u016fsledky pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt. Pou\u017eil slovo \u201eupheaval<\/em>\u201c (v p\u0159ekladu\u00a0zvraty, dramatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny, ot\u0159esy, p\u0159evrat<\/em>), co\u017e je zp\u016fsob, jak diplomaticky nazna\u010dit politick\u00e9 pot\u00ed\u017ee v oblasti Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a severn\u00ed Afriky prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm vzpoury obyvatelstva v zem\u00edch Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a severn\u00ed Afriky zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 hladem. Mnoho zem\u00ed Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a Afriky dov\u00e1\u017eelo p\u0161enici na v\u00fdrobu chleba – \u010dasto za dotovanou cenu – s c\u00edlem pomoci chud\u00fdm komunit\u00e1m. Nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak se mnoh\u00e9 z t\u011bchto zem\u00ed vypo\u0159\u00e1daj\u00ed s t\u00edm, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 a rusk\u00e1 p\u0161enice se ji\u017e nedov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed, proto\u017ee ji\u017e nyn\u00ed se v m\u00edstech, jako je Maroko, kde autor \u017eije, cena obil\u00ed ztrojn\u00e1sobila, co\u017e zt\u011b\u017euje n\u00e1kup p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm zem\u011bd\u011blc\u016fm. Pokud vl\u00e1da nehodl\u00e1 ztrojn\u00e1sobit cenu sklizen\u00e9 p\u0161enice (co\u017e je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9), pak nem\u00e1 smysl, aby ji zem\u011bd\u011blci kupovali.<\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Maroka bude muset deficit pokr\u00fdt vl\u00e1da, pokud bude cht\u00edt udr\u017eet um\u011ble n\u00edzkou cenu chleba. Tyto n\u00e1klady v\u0161ak bude muset na n\u011bkoho p\u0159en\u00e9st. S nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed to bude EU, kter\u00e1 bude po\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1na o pomoc. Ale jedna v\u011bc je, \u017ee Brusel pom\u00e1h\u00e1 Rabatu s hospoda\u0159en\u00edm. Evropsk\u00e1 unie v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee \u010delit mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed krizi, a\u017e k jej\u00edm b\u0159eh\u016fm doraz\u00ed nov\u00e9 proudy p\u0159ist\u011bhovalc\u016f, proto\u017ee nov\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 chudoby podpo\u0159\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed po\u010det t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed zoufale hledaj\u00ed lep\u0161\u00ed \u017eivot v EU.<\/p>\n

Kissinger nazna\u010duje, \u017ee takzvan\u00e1 \u201eopot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lka\u201c nefunguje dob\u0159e ani pro Ukrajinu, ani pro Z\u00e1pad. Nevyhnuteln\u00fd odchod Ruska ze z\u00e1padn\u00ed sf\u00e9ry nev\u011bst\u00ed pro Z\u00e1pad nic dobr\u00e9ho jak z hlediska bezpe\u010dnosti, tak z hlediska obchodu a bude obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jej zvr\u00e1tit. Vr\u00e1tit d\u017eina zp\u011bt do l\u00e1hve bude ve skute\u010dnosti t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9, pokud bude v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b nad\u00e1le vys\u00e1vat z\u00e1padn\u00ed pokladny a p\u0159edstavovat pro EU nov\u00e9 proudy imigrant\u016f z oblasti Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a Afriky. Mnoz\u00ed \u201eexperti\u201c z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed r\u00e1di klamou \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e t\u00edm, \u017ee p\u0159edkl\u00e1daj\u00ed fakta v paradigmatu, kter\u00e9 je sice pro spot\u0159ebitele p\u0159\u00edv\u011btiv\u00e9, ale ve skute\u010dnosti neodpov\u00edd\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00e9 situaci, kterou sami (novin\u00e1\u0159i) pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b jen t\u011b\u017eko ch\u00e1pou. Ve skute\u010dnosti se bez kontextu mluv\u00ed o \u201eopot\u0159ebov\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lce\u201c (obvykle se takov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky vedou tam, kde ob\u011b strany stagnuj\u00ed, co\u017e v\u016fbec nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad Ukrajiny); za druh\u00e9 jsme v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech byli sv\u011bdky mnoha odkaz\u016f na \u201e20 procent\u201c Ukrajiny okupovan\u00fdch Ruskem. Tento \u00fadaj, kter\u00fd nepochybn\u011b nab\u00eddl Zelenskij, byl znovu a znovu pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n obrann\u00fdmi zpravodaji a redaktory v Lond\u00fdn\u011b jako referen\u010dn\u00ed bod. Vojen\u0161t\u00ed experti, dokonce i ti brit\u0161t\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed Ukrajinu podporuj\u00ed, jej v\u0161ak odm\u00edtaj\u00ed jako irelevantn\u00ed. Pro\u010d tedy ta kou\u0159ov\u00e1 clona?<\/p>\n

Je to d\u00e1no \u0159adou faktor\u016f, ale hlavn\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee dne\u0161n\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed se v\u011bnuj\u00ed tak z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fdm historick\u00fdm ud\u00e1lostem, jako je konflikt, nejsou stejn\u00e9ho kalibru jako ti p\u0159ed dvaceti lety. Jin\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 inteligence, vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed a prokazateln\u011b jin\u00e9 novin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 standardy. V mnoha p\u0159\u00edpadech se z na\u0161ich tzv. obrann\u00fdch zpravodaj\u016f stali redakto\u0159i. Sp\u00ed\u0161e vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed sv\u00e9 n\u00e1zory, ne\u017e aby pod\u00e1vali zpr\u00e1vy.<\/p>\n

O \u010dem se v\u0161ak neinformuje a co se nenab\u00edz\u00ed jako potrava pro redaktory, je my\u0161lenka, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad si prost\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit, aby v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b trvala d\u00e9le. Pokud EU nedok\u00e1\u017ee z\u00edskat podporu ani pro svou vlastn\u00ed sm\u011brnici o z\u00e1kazu prodeje rusk\u00e9 ropy – co\u017e je jedin\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00e1 sankce, kter\u00e1 bude m\u00edt pro Moskvu finan\u010dn\u00ed dopad -, jak si potom n\u011bkdo na Z\u00e1pad\u011b m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee by EU hr\u00e1la v konfliktu jakoukoli roli a byla br\u00e1na v\u00e1\u017en\u011b?<\/p>\n

Brusel st\u00e1le pob\u00edz\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho s jeho \u201ebojem do posledn\u00edho mu\u017ee\u201c a p\u0159itom zjevn\u011b nen\u00ed schopen podpo\u0159it sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v katastrof\u011b, kter\u00e1 se na n\u011b \u0159\u00edt\u00ed, pokud m\u00e1 Kissinger pravdu. Zem\u011b EU prost\u011b nemohou politicky ani finan\u010dn\u011b zvl\u00e1dnout z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e zp\u016fsobenou dal\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edlivem uprchl\u00edk\u016f z arabsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, jako tomu bylo d\u0159\u00edve v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b S\u00fdrie. Po skon\u010den\u00ed COVIDu u\u017e neexistuje faktor dobr\u00e9 n\u00e1lady jej\u00edch ob\u010dan\u016f, kter\u00fd nahradil hn\u011bv a zoufalstv\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na politick\u00e9 elity, to prost\u011b nep\u0159ipad\u00e1 v \u00favahu. Pokud by k takov\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edlivu do\u0161lo, dominov\u00e9 efekty by byly okam\u017eit\u00e9 a kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed. Sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bra, kterou mnoh\u00e9 \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty st\u00e1le chovaj\u00ed – by\u0165 jako projev podpory EU -, by se rychle zvrhla v ukazov\u00e1n\u00ed prstem a EU jako mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu hr\u00e1\u010di by musela b\u00fdt p\u0159ist\u0159i\u017eena k\u0159\u00eddla.<\/p>\n

Vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 zem\u00ed Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a Afriky nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed b\u00fdt tak\u00e9 nerv\u00f3zn\u00ed ze z\u00e1kazu p\u011bstov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0161enice a p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let, zda se k nim bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed druh\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 jaro. Pokud se v jedn\u00e9 zemi – jako nap\u0159\u00edklad v Egypt\u011b, kter\u00fd dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed 60 % ve\u0161ker\u00e9 sv\u00e9 spot\u0159eby p\u0161enice z Ukrajiny – za\u010dne objevovat \u00fapadek a sestup, m\u016f\u017ee to m\u00edt dominov\u00fd efekt na ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b, p\u0159esn\u011b stejn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, jak\u00fdm v roce 2010 vyvolala vzpoura v Tunisku to, \u010demu se b\u011b\u017en\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u201earabsk\u00e9 jaro\u201c. Propagandistick\u00e9 odd\u011blen\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 komise, kter\u00e9 disponuje mnoha miliardami eur, u\u017e m\u00e1 nepochybn\u011b p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 tiskov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy a velkolep\u00e9 projevy, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed odvr\u00e1tit vinu a uk\u00e1zat prstem na jin\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Martin Jay<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

The So-Called \u2018War of Attrition\u2019 Is Stacked Up in Russia\u2019s Favour. And Kissinger Knows It<\/a> vy\u0161el 5.6.2022 na Strategic Culture Foundation. P\u0159eklad Zv\u011bdavec.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zapome\u0148te na protitankov\u00e9 zbran\u011b a n\u00e1boje. Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se nedostatek p\u0161enice m\u016f\u017ee zem\u011b Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10920,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[72,2451,122,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11336"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11336"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11336\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10920"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}