{"id":113243,"date":"2026-08-15T00:28:03","date_gmt":"2026-08-14T22:28:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=113243"},"modified":"2026-08-14T14:32:41","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T12:32:41","slug":"cinsko-americke-vztahy-v-roce-2026-klid-pred-bouri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/15\/cinsko-americke-vztahy-v-roce-2026-klid-pred-bouri\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010c\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9 vztahy v roce 2026: klid p\u0159ed bou\u0159\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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B\u011bhem druh\u00e9 poloviny roku 2025 vstoupily \u010d\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9 vztahy do obdob\u00ed omezen\u00e9 stabilizace. Na \u010d\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9m summitu, kter\u00fd se konal 30. \u0159\u00edjna 2025 v Pusanu v Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreji, se Donald Trump a Si \u0164in-pching dohodli na ukon\u010den\u00ed obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky a na z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u0159ady bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch pracovn\u00edch skupin, kter\u00e9 se budou zab\u00fdvat nejcitliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi ot\u00e1zkami v bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch vztaz\u00edch.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pokra\u010dovala tak\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>jedn\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0o hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Donalda Trumpa v Pekingu ve dnech 14. a 15. kv\u011btna oba l\u00edd\u0159i finalizovali dohody o pozastaven\u00ed obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, \u010d\u00edm\u017e ukon\u010dili jak zav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed nov\u00fdch cel, tak i kontroly v\u00fdvozu nam\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 proti sob\u011b navz\u00e1jem. Z \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho pohledu byl nastolen nov\u00fd model vztah\u016f, kter\u00fd Si \u0164in-pching definoval jako konstruktivn\u00ed vztahy strategick\u00e9 stability. Americk\u00e1 strana, a\u010dkoli tuto formulaci form\u00e1ln\u011b neschv\u00e1lila, ji nezpochybnila.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd ze z\u00e1sadn\u00edch rozpor\u016f mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u010c\u00ednou nebyl vy\u0159e\u0161en. \u010c\u00ednsko-americk\u00fd bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod, stejn\u011b jako \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd v\u00fdvoz do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a dovoz ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, v letech 2025 a 2026\u00a0<\/span>nad\u00e1le klesal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, a\u010dkoli tempo tohoto poklesu se v roce 2026 zpomalilo. V roce 2025 bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod klesl o 29 %, v\u010detn\u011b 26% poklesu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho dovozu ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a 29,9% poklesu v\u00fdvozu do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. V prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b roku 2026 bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod klesl o 21 %, v\u010detn\u011b 29,9% poklesu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a 1,1% poklesu dovozu ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Proces ekonomick\u00e9ho \u201eodd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c pokra\u010duje, i kdy\u017e kontrolovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edm zp\u016fsobem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany nad\u00e1le zvy\u0161ovaly sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti nam\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 proti sob\u011b navz\u00e1jem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161echny zn\u00e1m\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 programy na pos\u00edlen\u00ed strategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch sil, a zejm\u00e9na rozvoj flotily jadern\u00fdch ponorek, pokra\u010dovaly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ze sv\u00e9 strany pokra\u010dovaly v rozvoji Iniciativy pro odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed v Pacifiku. Jej\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>se zv\u00fd\u0161ilo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0z 8,6 miliardy dolar\u016f v roce 2024 na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 10 miliard dolar\u016f v roce 2026.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b \u010d\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9 konfrontace v podstat\u011b kop\u00edruje vzorec sov\u011btsko-americk\u00e9ho uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed v 70. letech 20. stolet\u00ed. \u010c\u00ednsko-americk\u00e1 verze uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed je omezen\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude krat\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e sov\u011btsko-americk\u00e9 uvoln\u011bn\u00ed. Na americk\u00e9 stran\u011b bude na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed ur\u010deno p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm americk\u00fdm volebn\u00edm cyklem; nanejv\u00fd\u0161 to bude prezidentsk\u00e9 funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed Donalda Trumpa, kter\u00e9 kon\u010d\u00ed v lednu 2029, ale nejm\u00e9n\u011b volby v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed v listopadu 2026.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Z hlediska zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky je d\u00e9lka trv\u00e1n\u00ed uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed diktov\u00e1na dobou trv\u00e1n\u00ed konflikt\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b a zejm\u00e9na v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, jako\u017e i tempem obnovy kritick\u00fdch americk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob zbran\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b z\u00e1jem na podstatn\u011b del\u0161\u00edm obdob\u00ed uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed. Pot\u0159ebuje dokon\u010dit novou f\u00e1zi rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9ho \u010dist\u011bn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9ho a st\u00e1tn\u00edho apar\u00e1tu a stabilizovat fungov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto struktur. D\u00e1le pot\u0159ebuje relativn\u011b stabiln\u00ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed k proveden\u00ed struktur\u00e1ln\u00edch ekonomick\u00fdch reforem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech \u010c\u00edna s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed pl\u00e1nuje restrukturalizaci sv\u00e9 ekonomiky a kompenzaci dom\u00e1c\u00edch pot\u00ed\u017e\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed podporou exportu, a to i p\u0159es negativn\u00ed d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 by takov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup mohl m\u00edt na jej\u00ed vztahy s partnery. S nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed by \u010c\u00edna r\u00e1da tuto situaci zachovala nanejv\u00fd\u0161 do konce sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho p\u011btilet\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu v roce 2030, a pokud mo\u017eno, do dal\u0161\u00edho p\u011btilet\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu v roce 2035. To vysv\u011btluje extr\u00e9mn\u011b pasivn\u00ed a opatrn\u00fd postoj \u010c\u00edny v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice, jej\u00ed ochotu nejen d\u011blat \u00fastupky, ale tak\u00e9 ob\u010das tolerovat zna\u010dn\u00e9 po\u0161kozen\u00ed jej\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed presti\u017ee ze strany Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale a\u0165 u\u017e Peking vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1 jak\u00e9koli \u00fasil\u00ed, aby se konfliktu vyhnul, prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed obdob\u00ed uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed nen\u00ed v z\u00e1jmu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, bez ohledu na to, kdo je prezidentem. \u010c\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9 z\u00e1vody ve zbrojen\u00ed se nad\u00e1le zintenziv\u0148uj\u00ed a vyv\u00edjej\u00ed se sm\u011brem nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdm pro Washington. D\u016fkazem toho je zna\u010dn\u00fd r\u016fst \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 flotily jadern\u00fdch ponorek, rychl\u00e1 modernizace arzen\u00e1lu mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00edch balistick\u00fdch raket a posilov\u00e1n\u00ed letectva.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se \u010c\u00edn\u011b poda\u0159\u00ed vy\u0159e\u0161it struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed nerovnov\u00e1hy ve sv\u00e9 ekonomice a spole\u010dnosti, nahromad\u011bn\u00e9 za desetilet\u00ed reformn\u00ed a otev\u00edrac\u00ed politiky, a vyd\u00e1 se cestou udr\u017eiteln\u00e9ho rozvoje zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na dom\u00e1c\u00edm r\u016fstu, bude t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ji zastavit. Nav\u00edc spojenci USA v Asii (Japonsko, Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea, Tchaj-wan a Filip\u00edny) maj\u00ed sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed agendy a sv\u00fdmi \u010diny by mohli zat\u00e1hnout Washington do konfrontace s Pekingem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kone\u010dn\u011b, toto nov\u00e9 obdob\u00ed pasivity v zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 zna\u010dn\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed i v samotn\u00e9m Pekingu, kde se ji\u017e mnoho let buduje spole\u010densk\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka po pevn\u00e9 a asertivn\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 linii. Toto nov\u00e9 uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ukon\u010deno p\u0159ed koncem sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho prezidentsk\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed Donalda Trumpa, a to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z iniciativy Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b akutn\u00ed by se mohla uk\u00e1zat opo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 a vojensk\u00e1 krize v Asii.<\/span>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Vassili Kachine<\/a> , politolog, orientalista<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u011bhem druh\u00e9 poloviny roku 2025 vstoupily \u010d\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9 vztahy do obdob\u00ed omezen\u00e9 stabilizace. Na \u010d\u00ednsko-americk\u00e9m summitu,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":113244,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[748,30,37,814],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113243"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113243"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113243\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113244"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}