{"id":113099,"date":"2026-08-13T03:24:37","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T01:24:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=113099"},"modified":"2026-08-13T03:24:37","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T01:24:37","slug":"jiri-vyvadil-ruske-uzavreni-odeskych-pristavu-by-mohlo-byt-zlomovym-bodem-ve-valce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/13\/jiri-vyvadil-ruske-uzavreni-odeskych-pristavu-by-mohlo-byt-zlomovym-bodem-ve-valce\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil: &#8222;Rusk\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00ed od\u011bsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f by mohlo b\u00fdt  zlomov\u00fdm bodem ve v\u00e1lce&#8220;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>P\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee dlouhodob\u011b p\u0159i posuzov\u00e1n\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00edch d\u011bj\u016f sleduji tu \u010d\u00e1st americk\u00fdch analytik\u016f, obda\u0159en\u00fdch \u010dasto profesorsk\u00fdmi tituly, vojenskou minulost\u00ed \u010di v minulosti p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00edmi ve vrcholn\u00fdch funkc\u00edch americk\u00e9 administrativy, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou des\u00edtky let jsou stoupenci star\u00e9 dobr\u00e9 my\u0161lenky o pot\u0159eb\u011b nezbytn\u00e9 koexistence USA a Ruska, p\u0159i respektov\u00e1n\u00ed i \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho okruhu z\u00e1jm\u016f a jednozna\u010dn\u011b pokl\u00e1daj\u00ed p\u016fsoben\u00ed u n\u00e1s tolik obl\u00edben\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho uskupen\u00ed NATO za zdroj nap\u011bt\u00ed a konflikt\u016f a volaj\u00ed po vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9m uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1pad-Rusko. Jm\u00e9na prof. John Mersheimer, prof. Joffrey Sachs, jsou i u n\u00e1s zn\u00e1m\u00e1 a pro m\u011b osobn\u011b jsou velmi cenn\u00e9 pohledy George Beebe , kter\u00fd je \u0159editelem odd\u011blen\u00ed velk\u00e9 strategie v Quincyho institutu a kter\u00fd v\u00edce ne\u017e dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed str\u00e1vil ve vl\u00e1d\u011b jako analytik zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, diplomat a politick\u00fd poradce, mimo jin\u00e9 jako \u0159editel odd\u011blen\u00ed CIA pro anal\u00fdzu Ruska a jako poradce viceprezidenta Cheneyho pro rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti. Je autorem knihy \u201ePast na Rusko: Jak by se na\u0161e st\u00ednov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka s Ruskem mohla zvrhnout v jadernou katastrofu\u201c (2019).<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">V\u00a0na\u0161ich m\u00e9di\u00edch a nejhor\u0161\u00ed jsou televize a\u0165 ji\u017e \u010cesk\u00e1 televize \u010di nov\u011b i Televize Nova, kter\u00e9 nech\u00e1pou geopolitick\u00e9 z\u00e1konitosti. P\u0159i posledn\u00edm rozhovoru v\u00a0TV NOVA redaktorka \u00a0naposledy a\u017e zp\u016fsobem man\u011b p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00edm plk. Folt\u00fdna \u010di gener\u00e1la Koudelku\u00a0 m\u00e1lem cht\u011bla povol\u00e1vat na b\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta i premi\u00e9ra V\u00e1clava Klause trestn\u00ed org\u00e1ny, proto\u017ee si byl v\u011bdom toho, co ka\u017ed\u00fd kdo v\u011bci dlouhodob\u011b sleduje, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 krize na Ukrajin\u011b m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny minim\u00e1ln\u011b od euromajdanu, v\u00a0tom, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9\u00a0 a v dan\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b d\u00edky vicepresidentovi Bidenovi a tehdej\u0161\u00ed \u00a0n\u00e1m\u011bstkyn\u00ed ministra zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed Nullandovou\u00a0 a odstartoval proces st\u0159etu s\u00a0Ruskem, jeho\u017e d\u016fsledky nyn\u00ed za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me. A je jen ot\u00e1zkou, zda u\u017e re\u00e1ln\u00fd st\u0159et Z\u00e1pad \u2013 Rusko skon\u010d\u00ed v\u00a0dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b a nebo n\u00e1s bude pron\u00e1sledovat tak dlouho, jak prob\u00edhaly americk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky ve Vietnamu \u010di Afghanist\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ukrajina, dobrovoln\u011b a r\u00e1da\u00a0\u00a0na sebe p\u016fvodn\u011b p\u0159evzala \u00falohu hlavn\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho p\u0159edvoje Z\u00e1padu. Bl\u00e1boly o tom, \u017ee na Ukrajin\u011b se bojuje i za \u010cesko jsme sl\u00fdch\u00e1vali i z\u00a0\u00fast b\u00fdval\u00e9 Fialovy koalice a dodnes s\u00a0t\u00edm operuj\u00ed i opozi\u010dn\u00edci, v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 st\u00e1le pochmurn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed chv\u00edle a tytam jsou\u00a0\u00a0i velik\u00e1\u0161sk\u00e9 chv\u00edle\u00a0\u00a0finsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Stubba, \u017ee u\u017e Ukrajina zv\u00edt\u011bzila a na \u00a0podobn\u00fd m\u00f3d byl nalad\u011bn i Donald Trump je\u0161t\u011b v\u00a0Anka\u0159e. A to nemluv\u00edm\u00a0\u00a0o triumfuj\u00edc\u00edch komentech na\u0161eho v\u00e1le\u010dnick\u00e9ho prezidenta, kter\u00fd volal, \u017ee je t\u0159eba Rusko p\u0159itla\u010dit.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2026Kde je t\u011bm n\u00e1lad\u00e1m konec ?<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">George Beebe napsal obs\u00e1hl\u00fd analytick\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek, jeho\u017e n\u00e1zev jsem p\u0159evzal do nadpisu . Senzace neo\u010dk\u00e1vejte. Sp\u00ed\u0161e racion\u00e1ln\u00ed a o to pro Ukrajinu pochmurn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vizi\u2026.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Rusk\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00ed od\u011bsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f by mohlo b\u00fdt\u00a0\u00a0zlomov\u00fdm bodem ve v\u00e1lce.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ponau\u010den\u00ed pro v\u0161echny \u0161i\u0159itele my\u0161lenky, \u017ee Ukrajina by se mohla st\u00e1t \u201eocelov\u00fdm dikobrazem\u201c a vyhnout se vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 dohod\u011b o ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Je to past.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">B\u011bhem n\u011bkolika kr\u00e1tk\u00fdch t\u00fddn\u016f se na Ukrajin\u011b utv\u00e1\u0159ela nov\u00e1 ponur\u00e1 realita.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Rusko\u00a0uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee k tomu, aby se z Ukrajiny stala vnitrozemsk\u00e1 zem\u011b, nemus\u00ed dob\u00fdt a okupovat cel\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e. Sta\u010d\u00ed, aby odep\u0159elo p\u0159\u00edstup k ukrajinsk\u00e9mu kriticky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00edmu komplexu v Od\u011bse, co\u017e se mu da\u0159\u00ed pom\u011brn\u011b efektivn\u011b prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm leteck\u00fdch a raketov\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f na p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se lod\u011b<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Tato realita pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nevede k jednozna\u010dn\u00e9 r\u00e1n\u011b v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lce. Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v\u0161ak bude m\u00edt hlubok\u00fd dopad na ji\u017e tak pochmurn\u00e9 pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky Ukrajiny \u2013 a v \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm smyslu i na podobu nov\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed krajiny po sou\u010dasn\u00e9m konfliktu<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edci Rusko vedlo proti Od\u011bse jen m\u00e1lo vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky hrozily \u00fatoky Ruska a Ukrajiny na obchodn\u00ed lod\u011b v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i zastaven\u00edm zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9ho exportu, kter\u00fd je pro sv\u011btov\u00e9 trhy \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd. Pod tlakem Indie a dal\u0161\u00edch kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch partner\u016f na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihu Moskva souhlasila s takzvanou \u201eobilnou dohodou\u201c s Ukrajinou, zprost\u0159edkovanou Tureckem a Organizac\u00ed spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f, kter\u00e1 m\u011bla umo\u017enit neru\u0161en\u00fd komer\u010dn\u00ed export z regionu.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Po dobu asi \u010dty\u0159 let pot\u00e9 z\u016fstal od\u011bsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed syst\u00e9m otev\u0159en\u00fd pro ukrajinsk\u00fd dovoz a v\u00fdvoz a odbavoval zhruba 90 % ukrajinsk\u00e9ho zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9ho obchodu. Ru\u0161t\u00ed zast\u00e1nci tvrd\u00e9 linie se roz\u010dilovali nad odm\u00edtnut\u00edm rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladimira Putina za\u00fato\u010dit na tento \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd, ale zraniteln\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav a reptali, \u017ee Putin se z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00edce zaj\u00edm\u00e1 o vyhnut\u00ed se roztr\u017ek\u00e1m se st\u00e1ty glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu ne\u017e o por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Tento obraz zm\u011bnilo n\u011bkolik faktor\u016f. Jedn\u00edm z nich byl zjevn\u00fd ne\u00fasp\u011bch z\u00e1padn\u00ed kampan\u011b, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem bylo prom\u011bnit Rusko ve vyvrhelsk\u00fd\u00a0\u00a0st\u00e1t<\/strong>, co\u017e byl n\u00e1pad Bidenovy administrativy, kter\u00e1 zd\u016fraz\u0148ovala v\u00fdznam glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu pro Moskvu jako prost\u0159edku k vyhnut\u00ed se mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed izolaci.\u00a0<strong>Druh\u00fdm faktorem bylo vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch protivzdu\u0161n\u00fdch st\u00edhac\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 Od\u011bsu z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zanechalo bezbrannou proti rusk\u00fdm balistick\u00fdm raket\u00e1m a umo\u017enilo letadl\u016fm nesouc\u00edm bomby operovat v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00edho komplexu, co\u017e zv\u00fd\u0161ilo p\u0159esnost a ni\u010divost rusk\u00fdch leteck\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Je ironi\u00ed, \u017ee asi nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm faktorem byla ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u201e40denn\u00ed vlivov\u00e1 kampa\u0148\u201c<\/strong>\u00a0(jej\u00ed\u017e anal\u00fdzu nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho port\u00e1lu Strana ua.jsem v\u00e1m ji\u017e zprost\u0159edkoval v\u00a0minulosti) ji\u017e ukrajinsk\u00fdch nez\u00e1visl\u00fdchozn\u00e1men\u00e1 koncem \u010dervna, kter\u00e1 zahrnovala \u00fatoky dron\u016f dlouh\u00e9ho a st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu na energetickou infrastrukturu v Rusku a obchodn\u00ed lo\u010fstvo v Azovsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i.\u00a0<strong>Ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj uvedl, \u017ee c\u00edlem kampan\u011b je \u201eovlivnit agresorsk\u00fd st\u00e1t s c\u00edlem donutit ho ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku\u201c. Prezident Trump ji popsal jasn\u011bji jako \u201eeskalaci, o kter\u00e9 douf\u00e1me, \u017ee povede k m\u00edru\u201c.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">V praxi v\u0161ak eskalace umo\u017enila Rusku odvr\u00e1tit kritiku Glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu za poru\u0161en\u00ed podm\u00ednek Dohody o obil\u00ed argumentem, \u017ee to byla Ukrajina, kdo zah\u00e1jil ned\u00e1vn\u00fd cyklus \u00fatok\u016f na lodn\u00ed dopravu a p\u0159\u00edstavy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 dopady jsou znepokojiv\u011b z\u0159ejm\u00e9. Od 22. \u010dervence rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da fakticky uzav\u0159ela ukrajinsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed komplex v Od\u011bse a jej\u00edm okol\u00ed pro ve\u0161kerou lodn\u00ed dopravu. Ztr\u00e1ta zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch hlubokomo\u0159sk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f m\u00e1 ji\u017e nyn\u00ed zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed dopad na ukrajinsk\u00fd zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd export \u2013 p\u00e1te\u0159 ukrajinsk\u00e9 ekonomiky \u2013, kter\u00fd podle \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f m\u016f\u017ee v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch klesnout o 50 %, proto\u017ee alternativn\u00ed pozemn\u00ed, \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed a \u0159\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed trasy maj\u00ed mnohem men\u0161\u00ed kapacitu a jsou mnohem n\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u0160kody na ukrajinsk\u00e9 ekonomice budou pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti zvl\u00e1dnuteln\u00e9, pokud\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/responsiblestatecraft.org\/regions\/europe\/\">Evropa<\/a>\u00a0zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsun pomoci. Dopad uzav\u0159en\u00ed Od\u011bsy na pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky Ukrajiny se v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee uk\u00e1zat jako mnohem hlub\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ve Washingtonu i v Evrop\u011b se ji\u017e dlouho p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed alternativou ke kompromisn\u00edmu urovn\u00e1n\u00ed rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky je p\u0159em\u011bna Ukrajiny v\u00a0 \u201eocelov\u00e9ho dikobraza\u201c\u00a0Koncept p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 t\u011b\u017ece vyzbrojenou a opevn\u011bnou Ukrajinu, kter\u00e1 m\u016f\u017ee slou\u017eit jako bari\u00e9ra pro dal\u0161\u00ed ruskou agresi a umo\u017enit, aby se hork\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ust\u00e1lila ve stabiln\u00ed, zmrazen\u00fd konflikt.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zast\u00e1nci t\u00e9to vize odm\u00edtaj\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed dohody s Moskvou typu \u201ezem\u011b za m\u00edr\u201c a stav\u00ed se proti jak\u00fdmkoli kvantitativn\u00edm nebo kvalitativn\u00edm omezen\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy \u2013 bod\u016fm, kter\u00e9 ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ozna\u010duj\u00ed za z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro jakoukoli m\u00edrovou dohodu \u2013 s argumentem, \u017ee takov\u00e9 \u00fastupky by \u201eodm\u011bnily ruskou agresi\u201c .<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Pokud v\u0161ak Rusko dok\u00e1\u017ee pomoc\u00ed leteck\u00fdch a raketov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f Ukrajin\u011b znemo\u017enit vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed jej\u00edch p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee t\u00edm tak\u00e9 zabr\u00e1nit pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 obnov\u011b a ekonomick\u00e9 revitalizaci Ukrajiny<\/strong>. Stejn\u011b jako obchodn\u00ed lod\u011b neriskuj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky, aby mohly vplout do Od\u011bsy, stavebn\u00ed firmy pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b neriskuj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery p\u0159i pokusu o stavbu nebo opravu most\u016f, silnic, tov\u00e1ren, p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f a\u00a0\u200b\u200bdal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0\u017eivotn\u011b\u00a0d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9\u00a0infrastruktury. Investo\u0159i tak\u00e9\u00a0neriskuj\u00ed\u00a0stovky miliard dolar\u016f, pokud rusk\u00e9\u00a0rakety a bomby dok\u00e1\u017eou zni\u010dit jak\u00fdkoli ukrajinsk\u00fd projekt obnovy b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Bez rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 obnovy a n\u00e1sledn\u00fdch pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst a stability se z milion\u016f Ukrajinc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed uprchli p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou (v\u011bt\u0161ina do Evropy, ale mnoho do Ruska), vr\u00e1t\u00ed jen m\u00e1lokdo. Bez masov\u00e9 repatriace se Ukrajina pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b dostane do demografick\u00e9 spir\u00e1ly smrti. Podle vlastn\u00edch p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f m\u00e1 populace, kter\u00e1 se v dob\u011b rozpadu Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu bl\u00ed\u017eila 52 milion\u016fm lid\u00ed, nyn\u00ed 22 a\u017e 25 milion\u016f lid\u00ed a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 polovina z nich jsou d\u016fchodci.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Podle\u00a0jednoho odhadu\u00a0by ukrajinsk\u00e1 populace v produktivn\u00edm v\u011bku \u2013 p\u00e1te\u0159 jak civiln\u00ed ekonomiky, tak arm\u00e1dy \u2013 mohla do roku 2040 ztratit dal\u0161\u00ed t\u0159etinu. Po\u010det d\u011bt\u00ed, zt\u011blesn\u011bn\u00ed budoucnosti Ukrajiny, by mohl klesnout na polovinu sv\u00e9 p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>To vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u0159ejmou, ale m\u00e1lo diskutovanou ot\u00e1zku: Jak m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1rnouc\u00ed a um\u00edraj\u00edc\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 populace, kter\u00e1 postr\u00e1d\u00e1 silnou ekonomickou z\u00e1kladnu, slou\u017eit jako \u201e\u00a0nov\u00e1 Sparta\u201c\u00a0\u201c proti sedmkr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu Rusku, vyzbrojen\u00e9mu jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi<\/strong>?<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Uzav\u0159en\u00ed Od\u011bsy by m\u011blo pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdce zd\u016fraznit dva d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 body. Zaprv\u00e9, ani Ukrajina, ani Z\u00e1pad nemohou eliminovat hrozbu rusk\u00fdch leteck\u00fdch a raketov\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f pouze vojensk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky. Zadruh\u00e9, Rusko bude m\u00edt siln\u00fd d\u016fvod v nich pokra\u010dovat, a to i pot\u00e9, co nakonec zastav\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed operace, pokud se Kreml bude ob\u00e1vat, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad jinak prom\u011bn\u00ed Ukrajinu v bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b pro ohro\u017een\u00ed rusk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>V d\u016fsledku toho alternativou k nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9mu kompromisn\u00edmu urovn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky nebude ocelov\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd dikobraz. Bude to slab\u00fd a nefunk\u010dn\u00ed zbytek st\u00e1tu, kter\u00fd Ukrajinc\u016fm neposlou\u017e\u00ed a bude podkop\u00e1vat \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Evropy.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">J.V :\u00a0\u00a0Je to z\u0159ejm\u011b jen d\u00edl\u010d\u00ed moment. Ale cit\u00a0\u00a0\u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee do p\u016fl roku se v\u011bci mohou zm\u011bnit. A pozor. Jde o geopolitiku. Po\u010dkejme si na v\u00fdsledek podzimn\u00edch voleb ve dvou zemsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v\u00a0N\u011bmecku, kde m\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t volby AFD, co\u017e\u00a0\u00a0by z\u0159ejm\u011b zp\u016fsobilo ot\u0159es kancl\u00e9\u0159e Merze,\u00a0\u00a0toho Merze kter\u00fd se nomin\u00e1ln\u011b pod odpadnut\u00ed britsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Starmera z\u00a0Koalice ochotn\u00fdch\u00a0\u00a0se c\u00edt\u00ed b\u00fdt hn\u00e1t revan\u0161\u00ed Rusku za por\u00e1\u017eku N\u011bmecka ve 2.sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Bude-li rovn\u011b\u017e velmi oslaben, co\u017e i s\u00a0ohledem na tragick\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky, siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed podporovatel\u00e9 Ukrajiny d\u00e1l oslab\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Asi tak.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vasevec.info\/clanky\/ruske-uzavreni-odeskych-pristavu\">Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-16474\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/jiri-vyvadil-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/jiri-vyvadil-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/jiri-vyvadil-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/jiri-vyvadil.jpg 800w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee dlouhodob\u011b p\u0159i posuzov\u00e1n\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00edch d\u011bj\u016f sleduji tu \u010d\u00e1st americk\u00fdch analytik\u016f, obda\u0159en\u00fdch \u010dasto profesorsk\u00fdmi&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95286,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[270,5825,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113099"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113099"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113099\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}