{"id":113074,"date":"2026-08-13T00:39:34","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T22:39:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=113074"},"modified":"2026-08-12T19:44:30","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:44:30","slug":"brics-indie-2026-politicka-spoluprace-ekonomika-spolecnost-skolstvi-udalosti-ve-svete-z-iranu-na-kubu-iran-vycerpava-americke-zdroje-a-kuba-se-muze-stat-preferovanym-cilem-washingtonu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/13\/brics-indie-2026-politicka-spoluprace-ekonomika-spolecnost-skolstvi-udalosti-ve-svete-z-iranu-na-kubu-iran-vycerpava-americke-zdroje-a-kuba-se-muze-stat-preferovanym-cilem-washingtonu\/","title":{"rendered":"BRICS Indie 2026 Politick\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ce Ekonomika Spole\u010dnost \u0160kolstv\u00ed Ud\u00e1losti ve sv\u011bt\u011b Z \u00cdr\u00e1nu na Kubu? \u00cdr\u00e1n vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 americk\u00e9 zdroje a Kuba se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t preferovan\u00fdm c\u00edlem Washingtonu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee nap\u011bt\u00ed ohledn\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu odhaluje rozpory v Trumpov\u011b administrativ\u011b, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Washington zesiluje tlak na Kubu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sankc\u00ed, zpravodajsk\u00fdch operac\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed. Zachr\u00e1nila by vojensk\u00e1 operace v t\u00e9to latinskoamerick\u00e9 zemi \u201etv\u00e1\u0159\u201c sou\u010dasn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 administrativ\u011b?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1vy o ostr\u00e9m st\u0159etu mezi prezidentem Donaldem Trumpem a ministrem v\u00e1lky Petem Hegsethem v Camp Davidu kv\u016fli vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch raket v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed kampani proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu vyvolaly vlnu pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed a protipop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010cl\u00e1nek<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v den\u00edku Washington Post\u00a0podrobn\u011b popsal konfrontaci a zm\u00ednil Hegsethovy obavy z nedostatku munice v pr\u016fb\u011bhu operac\u00ed. Trump tuto informaci ve\u0159ejn\u011b odm\u00edtl a prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee je\u00a0s Hegsethov\u00fdm v\u00fdkonem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>extr\u00e9mn\u011b spokojen\u00fd \u201c. Tiskov\u00e1 mluv\u010d\u00ed Karoline Leavittov\u00e1 \u0161la je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1l a\u00a0<\/span><\/a>propukla<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v neobvyklou tir\u00e1du plnou ostr\u00fdch v\u00fdraz\u016f proti zpravodajstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 je to jakkoli, probl\u00e9m s tlakem munice je\u00a0<\/span>dostate\u010dn\u011b re\u00e1ln\u00fd<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v okam\u017eiku, kdy administrativa obrac\u00ed svou pozornost na jih k Havan\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vysoc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Pentagonu ve skute\u010dnosti zva\u017eovali vojensk\u00e9 mo\u017enosti proti Kub\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b leteck\u00e9ho \u00fatoku 101. v\u00fdsadkov\u00e9 divize veden\u00e9ho arm\u00e1dou, do kter\u00e9ho by se \u00fadajn\u011b zapojily tis\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f. Stanice CBS News\u00a0<\/span>uvedla<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee tyto \u00favodn\u00ed pl\u00e1novac\u00ed briefingy jsou st\u00e1le p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 a neznamenaj\u00ed, \u017ee je rozhodnut\u00ed o akci bl\u00edzko, zejm\u00e9na pokud jsou zdroje na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b omezen\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed op\u011bt ozna\u010dilo Havanu za \u201e\u00a0<\/span>hrozbu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c a CIA z\u0159\u00eddila\u00a0<\/span>tajnou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(\u00a0<\/span>nebo ne tak tajnou) pracovn\u00ed skupinu,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je vytv\u00e1\u0159et rozpory mezi kub\u00e1nskou politickou elitou t\u00edm, \u017ee na ostrov sm\u011b\u0159uje v\u00edce finan\u010dn\u00edch, lidsk\u00fdch a technick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00e1 krize v zemi je ji\u017e tak v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1. Specialist\u00e9 OSN dokonce\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159irovnali<\/span><\/a>\u00a0humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed situaci na ostrov\u011b k podm\u00ednk\u00e1m v Gaze.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington, jak jsem ji\u017e poznamenal\u00a0<\/span>jinde<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, str\u00e1vil m\u011bs\u00edce utahov\u00e1n\u00edm ekonomick\u00e9 smy\u010dky \u2013 v kontextu Rubiova\u00a0<\/span>neo-monroeismu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9ho na Latinskou Ameriku. Trumpovo\u00a0<\/span>vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed stavu n\u00e1rodn\u00ed nouze<\/span><\/a>\u00a0nyn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>uvaluje cla<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na ka\u017edou zemi, kter\u00e1 dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Kub\u011b ropu, co\u017e vede Mexiko k do\u010dasn\u00e9mu\u00a0<\/span>pozastaven\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0dod\u00e1vek, zat\u00edmco \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed kampa\u0148 omezuje remitence, cestov\u00e1n\u00ed a finance a izoluje vojensk\u00fd konglomer\u00e1t\u00a0<\/span>GAESA<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se sna\u017e\u00ed kub\u00e1nskou ekonomiku dostat na pokraj krize a vyvolat nepokoje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento vzorec odpov\u00edd\u00e1 \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed doktr\u00edn\u011b, kter\u00e1 kombinuje jazyk boje proti terorismu s projekc\u00ed moci v Latinsk\u00e9 Americe a Karibiku. Poznamenal jsem,\u00a0<\/span>\u017ee<\/span><\/a>\u00a0tato strategie riskuje, \u017ee se doma obr\u00e1t\u00ed proti hisp\u00e1nsk\u00fdm voli\u010d\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed pomohli k Trumpovu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v roce 2024, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 vyvol\u00e1 nov\u00e9 migra\u010dn\u00ed toky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se ekonomick\u00e1 a migra\u010dn\u00ed krize na ostrov\u011b stup\u0148ovala\u00a0<\/span>u\u017e l\u00e9ta<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, d\u00e1vno p\u0159ed sou\u010dasnou eskalac\u00ed. Emigrace ji\u017e v d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1r\u016fstech p\u0159ekonala \u00farovn\u011b z roku 1980, co\u017e vytvo\u0159ilo prost\u0159ed\u00ed pro protesty, kter\u00fdch se vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i dlouhodob\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed zneu\u017e\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna mezit\u00edm roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ila svou ekonomickou a technologickou stopu v Karibiku, co\u017e Washington vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako naru\u0161en\u00ed sv\u00e9 tradi\u010dn\u00ed dominance. Svr\u017een\u00ed vl\u00e1dy v Havan\u011b by tak slou\u017eilo jasn\u00fdm geopolitick\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm a pracovn\u00ed skupina CIA se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt navr\u017eena pr\u00e1v\u011b tak, aby povzbuzovala elitn\u00ed p\u0159eb\u011bhl\u00edky, podporovala opozi\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b a z\u00e1rove\u0148 vyv\u00edjela kybernetick\u00fd a finan\u010dn\u00ed tlak \u2013 sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby nutn\u011b zah\u00e1jila otev\u0159enou invazi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se zase uk\u00e1zal jako podstatn\u011b odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e ameri\u010dt\u00ed politici o\u010dek\u00e1vali, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e kampa\u0148 odhalila vnit\u0159n\u00ed t\u0159en\u00ed v USA ohledn\u011b n\u00e1klad\u016f, p\u0159ipravenosti a limit\u016f takov\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kuba se naopak nach\u00e1z\u00ed prakticky na prahu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a je vojensky mnohem slab\u0161\u00ed, ekonomicky k\u0159ehk\u00e1 a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b i diplomaticky izolovan\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z politick\u00e9ho hlediska by se \u00fasp\u011bch proti m\u00e9n\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9mu c\u00edli dal prezentovat jako \u201erozhodn\u00e9 veden\u00ed\u201c (jak to Trump r\u00e1d formuluje) a doufejme, \u017ee by se t\u00edm odklonila n\u00e1rodn\u00ed debata od katastrofy vlekl\u00e9ho boje na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

R\u00e9torika se evidentn\u011b vyost\u0159ila a institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy se z\u0159ejm\u011b stup\u0148uj\u00ed, alespo\u0148 soud\u011b podle hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00fdch briefing\u016f Pentagonu a vytvo\u0159en\u00ed pracovn\u00ed skupiny CIA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Preference, kterou vyj\u00e1d\u0159il kub\u00e1nsko-americk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed USA Marco Rubio, je dosud diplomatickou transformac\u00ed vedenou technokraty. Zm\u011bna re\u017eimu v\u0161ak ji\u017e \u0161est desetilet\u00ed selh\u00e1v\u00e1. Mohlo by proto vzr\u016fstat poku\u0161en\u00ed zv\u00e1\u017eit v\u011bci jako \u201edekapitulaci\u201c, omezen\u00e9 \u00fadery nebo dokonce nasazen\u00ed vojsk.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato karibsk\u00e1 zem\u011b je v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm c\u00edlem, ne\u017e si mnoz\u00ed mysl\u00ed. Obydlen\u00fd nebo leteck\u00fd \u00fatok by v tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i vy\u017eadoval okupaci obydlen\u00e9ho ostrova. M\u011bstsk\u00e9 boje v Havan\u011b by se mohly uk\u00e1zat jako politicky katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed a americk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty (nemluv\u011b o ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch kub\u00e1nsk\u00fdch civilist\u016f) by byly velmi viditeln\u00e9. M\u016f\u017eeme si vzpomenout na fiasko v Z\u00e1toce svin\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invaze se st\u00e1le jev\u00ed jako nejm\u00e9n\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1, proto\u017ee politick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady (reakce Latinsk\u00e9 Ameriky, mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed odsouzen\u00ed, p\u0159\u00edliv uprchl\u00edk\u016f na Floridu a pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 spr\u00e1va v\u011bc\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch \u2013 abychom jmenovali alespo\u0148 n\u011bkter\u00e9) by byly obrovsk\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

V americk\u00e9m re\u017eimu se st\u00e1le mocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed exekutivou mohou osobnostn\u00ed a psychologick\u00e9 faktory n\u011bkdy hr\u00e1t v rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed velkou roli. Trump, kter\u00fd si zjevn\u011b st\u00e1le u\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 \u00fasp\u011bchu speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace, je\u017e unesla venezuelsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Madura, proslul sv\u00fdm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm, \u017ee v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee \u201ebude\u00a0<\/span>m\u00edt tu \u010dest dob\u00fdt Kubu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZachr\u00e1nila by vojensk\u00e1 operace v t\u00e9to latinskoamerick\u00e9 zemi tv\u00e1\u0159 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 administrativ\u011b? Navzdory rizik\u016fm dom\u00e1c\u00ed polarizace by se pro n\u011bkter\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed publikum mohla jevit jako s\u00edla \u2013 tzv. miamsk\u00e1 lobby je st\u00e1le pom\u011brn\u011b silnou silou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abychom to shrnuli, Washington, kter\u00fd se sna\u017e\u00ed rozpt\u00fdlit a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zv\u00edt\u011bzit, by se klidn\u011b mohl ocitnout v dal\u0161\u00ed krizi a sk\u00e1kat z jednoho nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00e9ho ba\u017einy do druh\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee nap\u011bt\u00ed ohledn\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu odhaluje rozpory v Trumpov\u011b administrativ\u011b, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":113075,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[135,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113074"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113074"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113074\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113075"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113074"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113074"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113074"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}