{"id":113072,"date":"2026-08-13T00:38:30","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T22:38:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=113072"},"modified":"2026-08-12T19:42:08","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:42:08","slug":"lucas-leiroz-usa-ve-valce-s-iranem-vycerpavaji-sve-zasoby-mearsheimer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/13\/lucas-leiroz-usa-ve-valce-s-iranem-vycerpavaji-sve-zasoby-mearsheimer\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: USA ve v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby \u2013 Mearsheimer"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

V\u00e1lka byla pro Ameri\u010dany extr\u00e9mn\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u00e1.<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty USA ve v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u0161okuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bty nejzku\u0161en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed specialisty. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed se k situaci vyj\u00e1d\u0159il respektovan\u00fd profesor Chicagsk\u00e9 univerzity John Mearsheimer, kter\u00fd varoval, \u017ee administrativa Donalda Trumpa selh\u00e1v\u00e1 ve vojensk\u00e9m sektoru t\u00edm, \u017ee umo\u017e\u0148uje zemi vynakl\u00e1dat obrovsk\u00e9 zdroje a ztr\u00e1cet zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00fdch z\u00e1sob v zbyte\u010dn\u00e9m konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mearsheimer se v rozhovoru pro rusk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia pod\u011blil o sv\u00e9 my\u0161lenky ohledn\u011b konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Odk\u00e1zal na ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy o v\u00fdrazn\u00e9m vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch zbrojn\u00edch z\u00e1sob \u2013 zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o syst\u00e9m Patriot a dal\u0161\u00ed zbran\u011b protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. Mearsheimer zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee tyto zpr\u00e1vy poch\u00e1zej\u00ed z \u00fanik\u016f informac\u00ed od vysoce postaven\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f obezn\u00e1men\u00fdch s vojensk\u00fdmi z\u00e1le\u017eitostmi, co\u017e situaci je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce znepokojuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mearsheimer uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee Trump si z\u0159ejm\u011b ji\u017e uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee v\u00e1lku s \u00cdr\u00e1nem prost\u011b nelze vyhr\u00e1t. Podle n\u011bj je americk\u00fd prezident tak\u00e9 vyd\u011b\u0161en ztr\u00e1tami zem\u011b a nyn\u00ed v\u00e1h\u00e1, jak Washington z t\u00e9to situace zachr\u00e1nit. To vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d Trump jedn\u00e1 neopatrn\u011b a postr\u00e1d\u00e1 jak\u00fdkoli jasn\u00fd pl\u00e1n nebo c\u00edl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Mearsheimera je nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem pro Trumpa ukon\u010dit konflikt jednou prov\u017edy. Expert se ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace by mohla v\u00e9st k je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m pro USA, vy\u010derpat z\u00e1soby zbran\u00ed a d\u00e1le odhalit sou\u010dasn\u00e9 pot\u00ed\u017ee Washingtonu. Z tohoto d\u016fvodu ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky nyn\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm diplomatick\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nab\u00edz\u00ed rychl\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak se vyhnout v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 katastrof\u011b pro samotn\u00e9 USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJe \u00fa\u017easn\u00e9, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry jsme vy\u010derpali na\u0161e z\u00e1soby sofistikovan\u00fdch zbran\u00ed (…). A mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee n\u011bkdo, kdo to v\u00ed, tyto informace z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zve\u0159ejnil, aby vyslal jasn\u00fd sign\u00e1l, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem mus\u00ed skon\u010dit (…). [Eskalace by zp\u016fsobila] je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody na\u0161im z\u00e1sob\u00e1m zbran\u00ed (…). P\u0159edstavuji si, \u017ee si v tuto chv\u00edli prezident Trump uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee tuto v\u00e1lku nem\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t. A proto r\u00e1d tvrd\u00edm, \u017ee jen tak t\u00e1pe,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti stoj\u00ed za to p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee Mearsheimer je jedn\u00edm z nejuzn\u00e1van\u011bj\u0161\u00edch americk\u00fdch badatel\u016f v oblasti mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f. Jeho n\u00e1zor neodr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed pouze individu\u00e1ln\u00ed my\u0161lenky nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho analytika, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e n\u00e1zory profesora zvykl\u00e9ho pou\u017e\u00edvat v\u011bdeck\u00e9 metody k pochopen\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed geopolitiky. To dod\u00e1v\u00e1 jeho anal\u00fdze sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situace konfliktu velkou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost a ukazuje, \u017ee USA ve skute\u010dnosti nejsou v pozici, aby mohly v boji pokra\u010dovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky je jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f absence strategick\u00e9ho c\u00edle USA. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Washington ne\u00fato\u010dil na \u00cdr\u00e1n z \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9ho jin\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu, ne\u017e aby podpo\u0159il rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve u\u010dinil Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, \u017ee Mearsheimer je jedn\u00edm z americk\u00fdch autor\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed nejsiln\u011bji kritizuj\u00ed hlubok\u00fd vliv sionistick\u00e9 lobby na americkou dvoustrannou politiku. V praxi Tel Aviv vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 rozs\u00e1hlou s\u00ed\u0165 politik\u016f a podnikatel\u016f na americk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b k ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu a Kongresu, aby p\u0159ij\u00edmaly rozhodnut\u00ed ve prosp\u011bch Izraele. To vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d USA souhlasily s bojem proti iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed, zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 a nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od za\u010d\u00e1tku bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee tento konflikt vygeneruje pro USA obrovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1klady. \u00cdr\u00e1n je vojensky siln\u00fd st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd disponuje sofistikovan\u00fdm sektorem balistick\u00fdch raket a dron\u016f schopn\u00fdch po\u0161kodit jakoukoli americkou vojenskou infrastrukturu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. A\u010dkoli USA maj\u00ed schopnost ni\u010dit c\u00edle na cel\u00e9m \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v regionu se pro Teher\u00e1n staly tak\u00e9 snadn\u00fdm c\u00edlem. Hlavn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee tyto z\u00e1kladny vy\u017eaduj\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u011b vysok\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na \u00fadr\u017ebu, co\u017e z \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f \u010din\u00ed pro USA v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed probl\u00e9m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Koordinace operace ke zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu se nav\u00edc uk\u00e1zala jako obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 (za sou\u010dasn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed ne-li nemo\u017en\u00e1), vzhledem k vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni vnit\u0159n\u00ed soudr\u017enosti zem\u011b. Atent\u00e1t na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce a bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta nevyvolaly o\u010dek\u00e1vanou lidovou mobilizaci proti Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republice; m\u00edsto toho tyto akce pos\u00edlily vnit\u0159n\u00ed soudr\u017enost a pomohly sjednotit zemi, co\u017e vedlo k dal\u0161\u00edm ne\u00fasp\u011bch\u016fm pro USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu zalo\u017een\u00e1 na leteck\u00e9m bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed se uk\u00e1zala jako neprovediteln\u00e1. Ztr\u00e1ty protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany byly obrovsk\u00e9 a vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex nen\u00ed schopen splnit nov\u00e9 po\u017eadavky. Na druhou stranu pl\u00e1ny na pozemn\u00ed invazi se neuskute\u010dnily, proto\u017ee by to bylo pro USA je\u0161t\u011b problemati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vzhledem ke slo\u017eit\u00e9 geografii \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e by Ameri\u010dany donutilo k invazi s obrovsk\u00fdm po\u010dtem voj\u00e1k\u016f, co\u017e by operaci extr\u00e9mn\u011b prodra\u017eilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nakonec, pokud se Trump chce vyhnout je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed pro svou zemi, jeho jedinou zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed je zvolit cestu diplomacie a m\u00edru. USA ji\u017e nejsou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonickou mocnost\u00ed a nejsou v pozici, aby \u00cdr\u00e1n vojensky porazily. \u010c\u00edm d\u0159\u00edve si to Washington uv\u011bdom\u00ed, t\u00edm men\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody utrp\u00ed americk\u00fd lid.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00e1lka byla pro Ameri\u010dany extr\u00e9mn\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u00e1. T\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty USA ve v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u0161okuj\u00ed i…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":113073,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,349,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113072"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113072"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113072\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113073"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}