{"id":11306,"date":"2022-06-07T01:13:48","date_gmt":"2022-06-06T23:13:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=11306"},"modified":"2022-06-06T18:18:00","modified_gmt":"2022-06-06T16:18:00","slug":"eu-si-zacala-uvedomovat-jakou-cenu-bude-muset-zaplatit-za-sankce-proti-rusku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/06\/07\/eu-si-zacala-uvedomovat-jakou-cenu-bude-muset-zaplatit-za-sankce-proti-rusku\/","title":{"rendered":"EU si za\u010dala uv\u011bdomovat, jakou cenu bude muset zaplatit za sankce proti Rusku"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"article-intro\"><strong>Proces uvalov\u00e1n\u00ed dodate\u010dn\u00fdch sankc\u00ed proti Rusku je ohro\u017een t\u00edm, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 unav\u00ed restriktivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se pro n\u011b ukazuje jako vysok\u00e1 inflace a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 recese, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 sloupka\u0159 Bloomberg Lionel Laurent.\u00a0Laurent \u0159ekl, \u017ee pokud chce EU bojovat proti Rusku, mus\u00ed blok nejprve pos\u00edlit svou ekonomickou bezpe\u010dnost.<\/strong><\/div>\n<div class=\"article-body\">\n<p>Dynamika z\u00e1padn\u00edch sankc\u00ed proti Rusku sl\u00e1bne, p\u00ed\u0161e sloupka\u0159 Bloombergu Lionel Laurent.\u00a0I kdy\u017e Evropsk\u00e1 unie vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k nejp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm mo\u017en\u00fdm omezen\u00edm v\u016f\u010di zemi \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b z\u00e1kazu dovozu ropy \u2013 je st\u00e1le v\u00edce nucena d\u011blat \u00fastupky: odstranit ropu z potrub\u00ed a patriarchu Kirilla ze sank\u010dn\u00edho seznamu.<\/p>\n<div>D\u016fle\u017eitou roli v rozkolu podle Laurenta hraje ma\u010farsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Viktor Orban.\u00a0\u201e\u00a0<i>Riziko \u00fanavy a oslaben\u00ed mor\u00e1lky v\u0161ak daleko p\u0159esahuje Budape\u0161\u0165<\/i>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0L\u00edd\u0159i cel\u00e9ho bloku si za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed uv\u011bdomovat cenu, kterou budou muset zaplatit, aby zas\u00e1hli prezidenta Vladimira Putina tam, kde to bol\u00ed nejv\u00edce \u2013 energie \u2013 vzhledem k vysok\u00e9 inflaci a hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9mu poklesu v jejich zem\u00edch.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Spolu s neshodami v EU i mimo ni ohledn\u011b toho, jak by mohl kone\u010dn\u00fd c\u00edl vypadat, to podle recenzenta zpr\u00e1v nev\u011bst\u00ed nic dobr\u00e9ho pro nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed obdob\u00ed.\u00a0Estonsk\u00e1 premi\u00e9rka Kaja Kallasov\u00e1, kter\u00e1 nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed znovu sestavit vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed koalici pot\u00e9, co se minul\u00fd t\u00fdden zhroutila, chce Moskv\u011b nad\u00e1le utahovat \u0161rouby.\u00a0P\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed ale, \u017ee proces bude do budoucna jen &#8220;\u00a0<i>slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed<\/i>\u00a0&#8220; &#8211; a pravd\u011bpodobnost zaveden\u00ed plynov\u00e9ho embarga v r\u00e1mci dal\u0161\u00edho bal\u00ed\u010dku omezen\u00ed je mal\u00e1.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Belgick\u00fd premi\u00e9r Alexandre de Cros \u0159ekl, \u017ee po zaveden\u00ed \u0161est\u00e9ho bal\u00ed\u010dku protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed se Evropsk\u00e1 unie mus\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<i>zastavit<\/i>\u00a0\u201c a pod\u00edvat se na d\u016fsledky.<\/div>\n<div>\u00danavu ze sankc\u00ed v\u0161ak podle Laurenta nelze snadno napravit.\u00a0Novin\u00e1\u0159 naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201efinan\u010dn\u00ed zbra\u0148\u201c nedokonal\u00fdm n\u00e1strojem, \u201eke\u00a0<em>kter\u00e9mu p\u016fsob\u00ed selektivn\u011b a vede k nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdm d\u016fsledk\u016fm<\/em>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0Odhaduje se, \u017ee bezprecedentn\u00ed rozsah sankc\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Putinovu neju\u017e\u0161\u00edmu okruhu, stejn\u011b jako rusk\u00e9mu finan\u010dn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu, leteck\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem a obchodu, povede letos k 10% poklesu rusk\u00e9ho HDP.\u00a0Ale to nejen neodradilo ruskou speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci na Ukrajin\u011b, ale ani to nevedlo k odvol\u00e1n\u00ed Putina z prezidentsk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Nav\u00edc tato opat\u0159en\u00ed m\u011bla opa\u010dn\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinek.\u00a0Pozorovatel poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee r\u016fst cen energi\u00ed obohatil Moskvu, zat\u00edmco dovozci zchudli.\u00a0Bloomberg Economics odhaduje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy z ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu budou letos \u010dinit asi 285 miliard dolar\u016f. Pokud se zapo\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed i dal\u0161\u00ed komodity, v\u00edce ne\u017e kompenzuje 300 miliard dolar\u016f v rusk\u00fdch devizov\u00fdch rezerv\u00e1ch zmrazen\u00fdch v r\u00e1mci sankc\u00ed.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Aby EU mohla bojovat proti Rusku, je nezbytn\u00e9 nejprve pos\u00edlit ekonomickou bezpe\u010dnost v r\u00e1mci bloku, \u0159ekl Laurent.\u00a0Barclays Plc odhaduje, \u017ee \u00fapln\u00e9 embargo na rusk\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn by mohlo sn\u00ed\u017eit HDP euroz\u00f3ny o 4 % ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se z\u00e1kladn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpadem.\u00a0Bez dal\u0161\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 podpory pro dom\u00e1cnosti bude st\u00e1le popul\u00e1rn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u00a0Orb\u00e1nova r\u00e9torika, kter\u00e1 p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 energetick\u00e9 sankce k ekonomick\u00e9 \u201e\u00a0<i>jadern\u00e9 bomb\u011b \u201c.<\/i><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Dubnov\u00fd pr\u016fzkum YouGov uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed je ji\u017e rozd\u011blen\u00e9, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 % respondent\u016f v sedmi zem\u00edch, v\u010detn\u011b \u0160pan\u011blska a It\u00e1lie, podporuje investice do obchodu a diplomacie s Ruskem p\u0159ed obranou a bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Bez \u201e\u00a0<i>sv\u011btla na konci ekonomick\u00e9ho tunelu<\/i>\u00a0\u201c se m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e1lada ve\u0159ejnosti zm\u011bnit.\u00a0Pokud se rusk\u00e1 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace na Ukrajin\u011b prot\u00e1hne, prov\u011b\u0159\u00ed to mor\u00e1lku Z\u00e1padu.\u00a0A p\u0159esto\u017ee podle \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e9ho ekonoma Miguela Otera Iglesiase maj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b v\u00fdhodu ve zdroj\u00edch a lidsk\u00e9m kapit\u00e1lu, pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed chr\u00e1nit nejzraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti spole\u010dnosti.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Za takov\u00fdch podm\u00ednek, jak p\u00ed\u0161e Laurent ve sv\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku pro Bloomberg, je snadn\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<i>d\u011blic\u00ed \u010d\u00e1ra<\/i>\u00a0\u201c v tomto konfliktu je mezi t\u011bmi, kte\u0159\u00ed se cht\u011bj\u00ed p\u0159izp\u016fsobit Putinovi, a t\u011bmi, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou na stran\u011b Ukrajiny.\u00a0Cestu It\u00e1lie v\u0161ak naz\u00fdv\u00e1 pou\u010dnou.\u00a0Italsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Mario Draghi tak p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm rusk\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace uva\u017eoval o roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed plyn\u00e1rensk\u00fdch vztah\u016f s Ruskem.\u00a0P\u0159esto Draghi pot\u00e9 podpo\u0159il z\u00e1kaz dod\u00e1vek ropy a prosazoval pos\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch zbran\u00ed na Ukrajinu.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Italsk\u00fd v\u016fdce v\u0161ak z\u00e1rove\u0148 vyzval k reakci na rostouc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed a tak\u00e9 vyzval USA, aby \u201e\u00a0<i>d\u016fkladn\u011b<\/i>\u00a0\u201c zv\u00e1\u017eily, jak by mohlo vypadat p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.\u00a0Vzhledem k riziku \u00fanavy ze sankc\u00ed v EU pova\u017euje Laurent za z\u00e1klad dal\u0161\u00edch krok\u016f Z\u00e1padu pr\u00e1v\u011b Draghiho, nikoli Orban\u016fv p\u0159\u00edstup.<span id=\"span-copy\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Proces uvalov\u00e1n\u00ed dodate\u010dn\u00fdch sankc\u00ed proti Rusku je ohro\u017een t\u00edm, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 unav\u00ed restriktivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10296,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[285,41,683,371,22,37,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11306"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11306"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11306\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10296"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}