{"id":112894,"date":"2026-08-11T00:21:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-10T22:21:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=112894"},"modified":"2026-08-10T12:48:19","modified_gmt":"2026-08-10T10:48:19","slug":"peter-haisenko-blizi-se-nyni-konec-agresivni-valky-proti-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/11\/peter-haisenko-blizi-se-nyni-konec-agresivni-valky-proti-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"Peter Haisenko: Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed se nyn\u00ed konec agresivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Minul\u00fd v\u00edkend Donald Trump ozn\u00e1mil nejn\u00e1siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n. K t\u011bmto \u00fatok\u016fm \u00fadajn\u011b nedo\u0161lo na \u017e\u00e1dost Teher\u00e1nu a sousedn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Je to ale skute\u010dn\u011b pravda?<\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika t\u00fddnech USA pracuj\u00ed na \u00fapln\u00e9 integraci mezi americkou a izraelskou arm\u00e1dou. Toto t\u00e9ma je kontroverzn\u00ed i v USA, ale d\u016fsledky pro Izrael by mohly b\u00fdt katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed. V\u00edme, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n ne\u00fato\u010d\u00ed jako prvn\u00ed, ale pouze prov\u00e1d\u00ed odvetn\u00e9 \u00fadery. Ty jsou nam\u00ed\u0159eny na americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v dosahu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket, v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji na ty v Jord\u00e1nsku. Velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed syst\u00e9m\u016f v\u010dasn\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed a obrany tam bylo po\u0161kozeno nebo zni\u010deno. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee rakety nyn\u00ed mohou sn\u00e1ze proniknout do Izraele, a to i p\u0159i pr\u016fletu p\u0159es Jord\u00e1nsko. B\u011bhem posledn\u00ed f\u00e1ze \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky si Izrael d\u00e1v\u00e1 velk\u00fd pozor, aby se vyhnul jak\u00fdmkoli \u00fatok\u016fm proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, aby Teher\u00e1nu nedal \u017e\u00e1dnou z\u00e1minku k odvet\u011b.\u00a0<\/span>
\nhttps:\/\/www.n-tv.de\/politik\/Es-formiert-sich-Widerstand-gegen-tiefere-Integration-Israels-ins-US-Militaer-id31094314.html<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

USA maj\u00ed v Izraeli rozm\u00edst\u011bno velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch letadel. Ta tam doposud z\u016fstala v bezpe\u010d\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee z Izraele nebyly proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu zah\u00e1jeny \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fatoky. Pl\u00e1ny integrace obou arm\u00e1d v\u0161ak situaci z\u00e1sadn\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed. Jak daleko tyto pl\u00e1ny skute\u010dn\u011b pokro\u010dily, je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 posoudit. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 v\u0161ak z\u0159ejm\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed informace a p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee integrace je ji\u017e v pln\u00e9m proudu. Vid\u011bl jsem informace z Teher\u00e1nu, kter\u00e9 to pova\u017euj\u00ed za fakt a d\u016fsledn\u011b tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatok americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy na \u00cdr\u00e1n u\u010din\u00ed z Izraele legitimn\u00ed c\u00edl. To je pochopiteln\u00e9, proto\u017ee pokud budou americk\u00e1 a izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da vn\u00edm\u00e1ny jako jeden celek, m\u016f\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n ospravedlnit proveden\u00ed odvetn\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f proti Izraeli. Izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da by se pak pod\u00edlela na ka\u017ed\u00e9m \u00fatoku proveden\u00e9m USA. Takto interpretuji reakci Teher\u00e1nu a pova\u017euji ji za opr\u00e1vn\u011bnou.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA a Izraeli do\u0161la munice<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

B\u011bhem prvn\u00ed f\u00e1ze \u00fatok\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n letos na ja\u0159e utrp\u011bl Izrael jako spoluagresor v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 \u0161kody v d\u016fsledku \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch odvetn\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f. Izrael m\u00e1 pouze dv\u011b rafinerie schopn\u00e9 vyr\u00e1b\u011bt petrolej, naftu a benz\u00edn z ropy. Jedna z nich, v Haif\u011b, je ji\u017e po\u0161kozena. P\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kde lze vykl\u00e1dat palivo pro Izrael, jsou tak\u00e9 t\u011b\u017ece po\u0161kozena. Proto je t\u0159eba p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee Izrael se ocitne v prek\u00e9rn\u00ed situaci, pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n tyto dv\u011b rafinerie p\u0159i dal\u0161\u00ed vln\u011b odvety zcela zni\u010d\u00ed. Izraeli pak nezbude \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 palivo pro tanky ani letadla. A ani USA. Obrann\u00e9 schopnosti Izraele byly v\u00fdrazn\u011b oslabeny, co\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1nu umo\u017e\u0148uje zni\u010dit v Izraeli t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 cokoli, co si p\u0159eje. Izrael i USA si toho jsou v\u011bdomy. \u201e\u017delezn\u00e1 kupole\u201c se stala pouh\u00fdm de\u0161tn\u00edkem, kter\u00e9mu chyb\u00ed munice. Podobn\u011b americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b nezb\u00fdvaj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 ani obrann\u00e9 rakety.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je jeden z d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu p\u0159ehodnocuj\u00ed sv\u016fj postoj v\u016f\u010di USA. Teher\u00e1n ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee pokud st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na elektr\u00e1rny a dal\u0161\u00ed infrastrukturu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, p\u0159eru\u0161\u00ed dod\u00e1vky elekt\u0159iny. Maj\u00ed na to pravomoc. Jde o to, \u017ee tyto emir\u00e1ty v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, v\u010detn\u011b Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, se bez elekt\u0159iny stanou neobyvateln\u00fdmi. V\u0161echny ty kr\u00e1sn\u00e9 mrakodrapy nebudou nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e betonov\u00e9 monumenty minul\u00e9 \u00e9ry. V\u010detn\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed budovy sv\u011bta. I ony to v\u011bd\u00ed. Je tedy logick\u00e9, \u017ee tyto st\u00e1ty po\u017eaduj\u00ed, aby USA ukon\u010dily sv\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Ale naslouchal by Trump ve sv\u00e9 manick\u00e9 nen\u00e1visti k \u00cdr\u00e1nu t\u011bmto emir\u00e1t\u016fm? Pochybuji. USA byly v\u017edy lhostejn\u00e9 k mno\u017estv\u00ed \u201evedlej\u0161\u00edch \u0161kod\u201c, kter\u00e9 jejich vojensk\u00e1 \u010dinnost zp\u016fsobuje. Hlavn\u00ed je, aby nezem\u0159eli \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdo vl\u00e1dne USA?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Situace s Izraelem je jin\u00e1. \u010clov\u011bk nemus\u00ed poslouchat ty, kte\u0159\u00ed tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee USA jsou stejn\u011b ovl\u00e1d\u00e1ny Izraelem. Jak ji\u017e bylo uvedeno, St\u00e1t Izrael by dal\u0161\u00ed vlnu odvety ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nu nep\u0159e\u017eil. Netanjahu to tak\u00e9 v\u00ed. Je v\u0161ak t\u0159eba vz\u00edt v \u00favahu, \u017ee psychopati v izraelsk\u00e9m veden\u00ed jsou ochotni to akceptovat, pokud bude \u00cdr\u00e1n zni\u010den, a\u0165 to stoj\u00ed cokoli. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b v Izraeli se ozve mnoho hlas\u016f, kter\u00e9 tomu budou cht\u00edt zabr\u00e1nit. Z t\u00e9to situace usuzuji, \u017ee to byl p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Izrael, kdo v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci Trumpovi zak\u00e1zal dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Tato slo\u017eit\u00e1 situace m\u00e1 dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e9 d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud budou USA pokra\u010dovat v \u00fatoc\u00edch na \u00cdr\u00e1n, ohroz\u00ed to existenci Izraele. To v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu skon\u010dila. Alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm. Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b do doby, ne\u017e ob\u011b strany dopln\u00ed sv\u00e9 arzen\u00e1ly a najdou zp\u016fsob, jak zachytit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety. Teher\u00e1n jasn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee nepo\u017e\u00e1dal o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Trump op\u011bt lhal, nebo bere v\u00e1\u017en\u011b ty, kte\u0159\u00ed tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee mluv\u00ed za \u00cdr\u00e1n. Teher\u00e1n nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, ale pouze o trval\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 urovn\u00e1n\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky jsou na stole ji\u017e dlouhou dobu a prvn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed zahrnovalo i postoje Teher\u00e1nu. Trump se nedodr\u017eel \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9ho z \u201eMemoranda o porozum\u011bn\u00ed\u201c. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 sankce nebyly zru\u0161eny a ukraden\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd majetek z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nevyd\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dohody s USA nebo Izraelem jsou zbyte\u010dn\u00e9<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 jednozna\u010dn\u011b vojenskou v\u00fdhodu. USA nemaj\u00ed munici a nemohou ani chr\u00e1nit sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v regionu. Pro\u010d by m\u011bl Teher\u00e1n \u017e\u00e1dat o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f? O p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed s USA, kter\u00e9 by se ho dr\u017eely pouze do t\u00e9 doby, ne\u017e by uv\u011b\u0159ily, \u017ee jsou dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9 na dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatok. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd po\u017eadavek na \u00fapln\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u016f z regionu je jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak ochr\u00e1nit Teher\u00e1n p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00edmi v\u00fdbuchy hn\u011bvu ze strany Trumpa a jeho n\u00e1stupc\u016f. Zva\u017ete tak\u00e9, kolik pen\u011bz by USA mohly u\u0161et\u0159it, kdyby se st\u00e1hly a zmen\u0161ily svou nadm\u011brn\u011b velkou arm\u00e1du. USA, kter\u00e9 jsou stejn\u011b v bankrotu jako \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jin\u00e1 zem\u011b na sv\u011bt\u011b. USA, Trump, jsou v obrovsk\u00e9m chaosu. Jak se z toho mohou dostat a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si zachr\u00e1nit tv\u00e1\u0159? Zbytek sv\u011bta, krom\u011b \u201eNATOstanu\u201c, se sm\u011bje na cel\u00e9 kolo. Kone\u010dn\u011b, neust\u00e1le v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e dost\u00e1v\u00e1 po\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdprask a poni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 pat\u0159it do \u201et\u0159et\u00edho sv\u011bta\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

A Izrael? Pokra\u010duje ve sv\u00e9 bezstarostn\u00e9 a nevyb\u00edrav\u00e9 bombardovac\u00ed kampani, vra\u017ed\u00ed civilisty v Gaze a Libanonu, jen u\u017e p\u0159\u00edmo nec\u00edl\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Ano, s USA a Izraelem lze jednat pouze z pozice s\u00edly. Viz Korea, Vietnam a Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n. A nyn\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n. Probl\u00e9m je v\u0161ak v tom, \u017ee ho\u0159k\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee se nelze spol\u00e9hat ani na dohody nebo smlouvy s USA a Izraelem. Vezm\u011bte si nap\u0159\u00edklad celou ot\u00e1zku roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO na v\u00fdchod. Na druhou stranu lze \u00fato\u010dnou v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu vn\u00edmat tak\u00e9 jako sou\u010d\u00e1st moudrosti star\u00fdch \u0158\u00edman\u016f: upadaj\u00edc\u00ed \u0159\u00ed\u0161e d\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e pro to, aby sv\u016fj \u00fapadek urychlila. Vzhledem k sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vnitropolitick\u00e9 situaci v USA by \u00fato\u010dn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu mohla v\u00e9st dokonce k rozpadu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. To by byla nej\u00fa\u010dinn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, nebo mo\u017en\u00e1 jedin\u00e1, cesta ke sv\u011btov\u00e9mu m\u00edru.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Peter Haisenko<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Minul\u00fd v\u00edkend Donald Trump ozn\u00e1mil nejn\u00e1siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n. K t\u011bmto \u00fatok\u016fm \u00fadajn\u011b nedo\u0161lo na…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":112895,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1503,452,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112894"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=112894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112894\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/112895"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=112894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=112894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=112894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}