{"id":11236,"date":"2022-06-05T04:51:51","date_gmt":"2022-06-05T02:51:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=11236"},"modified":"2022-06-05T04:51:51","modified_gmt":"2022-06-05T02:51:51","slug":"dva-zajimave-kvetnove-pruzkumy-preference-stran-a-duvera-v-ustavni-instituce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/06\/05\/dva-zajimave-kvetnove-pruzkumy-preference-stran-a-duvera-v-ustavni-instituce\/","title":{"rendered":"Dva zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 kv\u011btnov\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy (preference stran a d\u016fv\u011bra v \u00fastavn\u00ed instituce)"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Agentura SANEP m\u00e1 velmi zaj\u00edmavou, vlastn\u011b unik\u00e1tn\u00ed metodu sb\u011bru \u00fadaj\u016f od respondent\u016f. Vlastn\u011b sb\u011br \u00fadaj\u016f prov\u00e1d\u00ed telefonicky. P\u0159i zji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed kv\u011btnov\u00fdch volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed politick\u00fdch stran, byly z\u00edsk\u00e1ny \u00fadaje od cca 13,5 tis\u00edce dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch. Reprezentativn\u00ed vzorek byl vybr\u00e1n tak, aby odpov\u00eddal sociodemografick\u00e9mu rozlo\u017een\u00ed obyvatel zem\u011b.<\/strong><\/div>\n
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Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politickou stranou v kv\u011btnu se podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed stalo hnut\u00ed ANO, kter\u00e9 ov\u0161em celkem siln\u011b odsko\u010dilo od nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edho sv\u00e9ho pron\u00e1sledovatele, kter\u00fdm je hlavn\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strana ODS.<\/div>\n
\n

Hnut\u00ed ANO by podle SANEP ve volb\u00e1ch z\u00edskalo 30,1% hlas\u016f. ODS 19,6%.<\/p>\n

U hnut\u00ed ANO se projevuje n\u00e1r\u016fst o 2 procentn\u00ed body. Ob\u010dan\u0161t\u00ed demokrat\u00e9 mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed zhruba na stejn\u00fdch \u010d\u00edslech, zaznamenali pokles o pouh\u00fdch 0,2 procentn\u00edho bodu.<\/p>\n

To na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b nevypad\u00e1 nijak \u0161patn\u011b, ale pro ODS a celou koalici je varuj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee padaj\u00ed preference \u010dty\u0159 dal\u0161\u00edch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran. Jinak \u0159e\u010deno ODS \u201ekanibalizuje\u201c sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 partnery, jim preference klesaj\u00ed, ale ODS nerostou. Prost\u011b vl\u00e1da za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 z\u0159ejm\u011b po\u010d\u00e1tek v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho poklesu sv\u00e9 podpory, respektive podpory v\u011bt\u0161iny poltick\u00fdch stran, kter\u00e9 tuto vl\u00e1du tvo\u0159\u00ed. Vl\u00e1d\u011b se nejen neda\u0159\u00ed uklidnit prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed se obavy ob\u010dan\u016f, spojen\u00e9 se zvy\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed se inflac\u00ed, prudk\u00fdm zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm energi\u00ed, pohonn\u00fdch hmot i potravin. Nen\u00ed u\u017e nijak slo\u017eit\u00e9, aby si ka\u017ed\u00e1 dom\u00e1cnost spo\u010d\u00edtala, o kolik bude platit vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1klady na sv\u016fj provoz u\u017e od p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed, bude to 8, 10, 12 anebo v\u00edce tis\u00edc korun? To je n\u011bco, co \u010desk\u00e9 dom\u00e1cnosti, s\u00a0v\u00fdjimkou pom\u011brn\u011b kr\u00e1tk\u00e9ho transforma\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed po roce 1990 nikdy v\u00a0historii nezaznamenaly. A vl\u00e1da ned\u011bl\u00e1 nic, aby zm\u00edrnila inflaci n\u011bkter\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi, kter\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed jako b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 instrumenty jin\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b zem\u00ed EU. Prost\u011b vl\u00e1da ned\u011bl\u00e1, a\u017e na d\u00e1vku 5\u00a0000 K\u010d pro d\u011bti z\u00a0dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed do 1 milionu K\u010d, nic. Valorizace d\u016fchod\u016f prob\u00edh\u00e1 podle z\u00e1kona schv\u00e1len\u00e9 p\u0159edchoz\u00ed vl\u00e1dou a, bohu\u017eel opo\u017ed\u011bn\u011b.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek na bydlen\u00ed a\u017e po n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch, s\u00a0ohledem na mal\u00fd po\u010det podan\u00fdch \u017e\u00e1dost\u00ed o tento p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek, vl\u00e1da rozhodla o zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed administrativy. Tento p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek, kter\u00fd vlastn\u011b m\u011bl kompenzovat alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1st zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdch n\u00e1klad\u016f na bydlen\u00ed by r\u00e1do vyu\u017eilo n\u011bkolik set tis\u00edc \u010desk\u00fdch dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed. Ale s\u00a0po\u017eadavky \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edho \u0161imla si poradilo asi jen 30 tis\u00edc dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da jedin\u00e9 co prov\u00e1d\u00ed promptn\u011b, to jsou dod\u00e1vky zbrojn\u00edho \u0161rotu na Ukrajinu, ale probl\u00e9my vlastn\u00edho obyvatelstva ji nezaj\u00edmaj\u00ed. Konec konc\u016f i prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b je jedn\u00edm z\u00a0faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 zvy\u0161uj\u00ed inflaci a dopadaj\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u011b do \u017eivot\u016f \u010desk\u00fdch obyvatel. M\u016fj odhad je takov\u00fd, \u017ee i ODS za\u017eije jako hlavn\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strana v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u00fddnech a m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch destruktivn\u00ed p\u00e1d sv\u00fdch preferenc\u00ed. Bude to krut\u00e9 vyst\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dku by zaujala ve volb\u00e1ch podle preferenc\u00ed SANEP SPD veden\u00e1 Tomiem Okamurou s\u00a014,3%. SPD roste, oproti minul\u00e9mu m\u011bs\u00edci o 1,4 procentn\u00edho bodu. Podle SANEP se zv\u00fd\u0161il jej\u00ed potenci\u00e1l a\u017e na 20%. T. Okamura a jeho SPD jsou nejrazantn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi kritiky politiky vl\u00e1dn\u00ed kritiky. Objektivn\u011b mus\u00edm \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed \u010dinitel\u00e9 SPD v TV diskus\u00edch vypadaj\u00ed velmi konstruktivn\u011b, kvalifikovan\u011b, zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o oblast zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky. V\u00a0politice SPD frustrovan\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 nal\u00e9zaj\u00ed odpov\u011bdi na ot\u00e1zky, kter\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed sly\u0161et, a\u0165 u\u017e se jedn\u00e1 o zhor\u0161en\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b zdravotnictv\u00ed, vzd\u011bl\u00e1vac\u00edho syst\u00e9mu \u010di v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho oslaben\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edch jistot. P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m, \u017ee SPD, pokud neud\u011bl\u00e1 razantn\u00ed obrat ve sv\u00e9 politice, bude d\u00e1l r\u016fst a je jen ot\u00e1zka, kolik ze sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu cca 20% dok\u00e1\u017ee vyu\u017e\u00edt.<\/p>\n

Z\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch \u010dty\u0159 vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran by se do sn\u011bmovny bez probl\u00e9m\u016f samostatn\u011b dostalo jen hnut\u00ed STAN, a to se ziskem 7,8%. Proti posledn\u00edmu dubnov\u00e9mu pr\u016fzkumu si tak STAN pohor\u0161il o 0,9%. Strana je zahlcena mno\u017estv\u00edm nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fdch kauz, kter\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edmo podminov\u00e1v\u00e1j\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bru voli\u010d\u016f v\u00a0tento subjekt. Sta\u010d\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkolik chyb a STAN bud n\u00e1sledovat, pokud jde o v\u00fdvoj preferenc\u00ed t\u0159\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany, kter\u00e9 by se v\u00a0kv\u011btnov\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed nedostaly v\u016fbec do poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny.<\/p>\n

Mimoparlamentn\u00ed stranou by se ji\u017e se ziskem 4,6%, pokud by ne\u0161li do p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed koalice, stali Pir\u00e1ti. Zaznamenali pokles proti dubnu o 0,2 procentn\u00edho bodu. Sta\u010d\u00ed jen prohr\u00e1t v\u00a0komun\u00e1ln\u00edch volb\u00e1ch pozice ve velk\u00fdch m\u011bstech (Praha, Brno ad.) a strana u\u017e se nevzpamatuje. Ztrat\u00ed definitivn\u011b d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost a atraktivitu pro voli\u010de.<\/p>\n

Na \u0161est\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b preferenc\u00ed je KDU-\u010cSL se 4%, hned za nimi Svobodn\u00ed s\u00a03,6%. Mus\u00edm \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee jsem ocenil televizn\u00ed vystoupen\u00ed p\u0159edsedy Svobodn\u00fdch, kter\u00fd dok\u00e1\u017ee racion\u00e1ln\u011b argumentovat (nemus\u00edm s\u00a0n\u00edm souhlasit) a je viditelnou zm\u011bnou proti stagnuj\u00edc\u00edm l\u00eddr\u016fm sou\u010dasn\u00e9 pravost\u0159edov\u00e9 koalice.<\/p>\n

A\u017e na osm\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b v\u00a0preferenc\u00edch se um\u00edstila TOP 09 s\u00a03,3%. St\u00e1lo by za to, zpracovat sociologickou studii, ze kter\u00e9 by vyplynul vliv p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Pekarov\u00e9 Adamov\u00e9 a jej\u00edho \u010dasto militantn\u00edho vystupov\u00e1n\u00ed na sni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed se preference.<\/p>\n

Ostudn\u00e1 \u010cSSD<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Podle SNAEP by v\u00a0kv\u011btnov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch \u010cSSD z\u00edskala pouh\u00fdch 2,3%. A to v\u00a0situaci, kdy se razantn\u011b zhor\u0161uj\u00ed podm\u00ednky \u017eivota oby\u010dejn\u00fdch lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u00a0minulosti v\u011bt\u0161inou volili pr\u00e1v\u011b tuto stranu. \u0160mardovo veden\u00ed s\u00a0Netolick\u00fdm a Pet\u0159\u00ed\u010dkem je ale natolik politicky toxick\u00e9, \u017ee stranu zavedlo do propasti. Ale ne na dno, to dno se teprve je\u0161t\u011b objev\u00ed. Strana se vy\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00a0ezoterick\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00edch a se sv\u00fdmi n\u00e1zory prakticky nejde do ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho prostoru. Za norm\u00e1ln\u00edch okolnost\u00ed by bylo pot\u0159eba celou tu koterii vedenou Pochem a Pokorn\u00fdm vyh\u00e1zet z\u00a0Lidov\u00e9ho domu do Hybernsk\u00e9 ulice.<\/p>\n

Ti lid\u00e9 toti\u017e nejsou v\u016fbec soudn\u00ed, aby ode\u0161li sami. Jsou zalezl\u00ed ve sv\u00fdch funkc\u00edch a obklopuj\u00ed se podobn\u00fdmi politick\u00fdmi n\u00fdmandy a l\u016fzry jako jsou oni sami.<\/p>\n

Vrcholem v\u0161eho byla nominace b\u00fdval\u00e9 ombudsmaky \u0160abatov\u00e9 do \u010dela pra\u017esk\u00e9 kandid\u00e1tky pro volby do ZHMP. Nominovat \u010dlov\u011bka bez erudice v\u00a0oblasti komun\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky, by\u0165 mo\u017en\u00e1 slu\u0161n\u00e9ho a s\u00a0jistou osobn\u00ed integritou, je kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed politickou chybou. \u010cSSD v\u00a0pra\u017esk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch sho\u0159\u00ed a sho\u0159\u00ed i jednotliv\u00e9 jej\u00ed kandid\u00e1tky, pokud budou sestaveny podobn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem jako ta celopra\u017esk\u00e1. Zkr\u00e1tka, dovedli jste to, mil\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 z\u00a0Lidov\u00e9ho domu, cel\u00e9 to \u0160mardovo veden\u00ed vybran\u00e9 Sobotkou a Pokorn\u00fdm, do oblasti lidsk\u00e9ho t\u011bla, o kter\u00e9 se ve slu\u0161n\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti nahlas nemluv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

D\u016fv\u011bra \u00fastavn\u00edm instituc\u00edm na ja\u0159e 2022<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

CVVM zpracov\u00e1v\u00e1 dlouhodob\u011b pr\u016fzkumy, kter\u00e9 \u0161et\u0159\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bru ob\u010dan\u016f v\u00a0\u00fastavn\u00ed instituce. Pot\u011b\u0161iteln\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pro prezidenta republiky, \u017ee d\u016fv\u011bra v\u00a0n\u011bj po poklesu, kter\u00fd zaznamenal zejm\u00e9na p\u0159i m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed v\u00a0\u010dervnu 2021, se pozitivn\u011b zm\u011bnila. Prezident sice ji\u017e nedosahuje 50% d\u016fv\u011bry, jako tomu bylo v\u00a0b\u0159eznu p\u0159ed dv\u011bma lety, ale je za minimem, kter\u00e9ho dosahoval v\u00a0\u010dervnu 2021 (29%). Nyn\u00ed m\u00e1 prezident d\u016fv\u011bru zhruba dvou p\u011btin ob\u010dan\u016f(38%) a tendence jeho d\u016fv\u011bryhodnosti se zvy\u0161uje.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da se pl\u00e1c\u00e1, pokud jde o d\u016fv\u011bru, kolem t\u0159etiny ob\u010dan\u016f (posledn\u00ed m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed 35%). Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tato \u010d\u00edsla budou sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch je\u0161t\u011b padat.<\/p>\n

K\u00a0poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovn\u011b poci\u0165uje d\u016fv\u011bru 30% obyvatel, k\u00a0Sen\u00e1tu 33%.<\/p>\n

Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fv\u011b\u0159e ne\u017eli celost\u00e1tn\u00ed instituce se t\u011b\u0161\u00ed setrvale krajsk\u00e1 zastupitelstva (nyn\u00ed 47%). D\u00e1le obecn\u00ed zastupitelstva, ta dokonce se 65%, co\u017e je nejv\u00edce za dobu m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed od b\u0159ezna 2020. Starostov\u00e9 maj\u00ed dlouhodob\u011b d\u016fv\u011bru zhruba dvou t\u0159etin ob\u010dan\u016f (nyn\u00ed 63%).\u00a0Hejtmani jsou d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00ed pro 44% obyvatele, co\u017e je zhruba v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru posledn\u00edch dvou let.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Agentura SANEP m\u00e1 velmi zaj\u00edmavou, vlastn\u011b unik\u00e1tn\u00ed metodu sb\u011bru \u00fadaj\u016f od respondent\u016f. Vlastn\u011b sb\u011br \u00fadaj\u016f…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":715,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1219,29,2526],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11236"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11236"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11236\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/715"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11236"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11236"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11236"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}