{"id":112316,"date":"2026-08-04T00:19:01","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T22:19:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=112316"},"modified":"2026-08-03T12:19:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T10:19:07","slug":"miroslav-safar-ropa-obili-a-zasoby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/04\/miroslav-safar-ropa-obili-a-zasoby\/","title":{"rendered":"Miroslav \u0160af\u00e1\u0159: Ropa, obil\u00ed a z\u00e1soby"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1m na klesaj\u00edc\u00ed cenu ropy, tak je n\u011bco evidentn\u011b jinak, ne\u017e by m\u011blo b\u00fdt.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Infrastruktura producent\u016f ropy a plynu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m V\u00fdchod\u011b byla siln\u011b naru\u0161ena. A to jak v Persk\u00e9m Z\u00e1livu, tak i v oblasti Rud\u00e9ho Mo\u0159e.<\/p>\n

I kdyby z\u00edtra vypluly lod\u0117 s pln\u00fdm n\u00e1kladem a v p\u016fvodn\u00edm mno\u017estv\u00ed, tak pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed USA dos\u00e1hnout polovin\u011b z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Jen\u017ee exportn\u00ed kapacity jsou siln\u011b naru\u0161eny v\u00e1lkou a jejich obnova potrv\u00e1 od n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f a\u017e po v\u00edcero let.<\/p>\n

Lod\u011b ov\u0161em nepluj\u00ed a ty, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed v\u00fdjimku a je\u017e jsou napln\u011bny a tak\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nem propu\u0161t\u011bny skrz Hormuz, ot\u00e1\u010dej\u00ed svoje kormidlo a sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed do Indie a hlavn\u011b do \u010c\u00edny. \u010c\u00edna toti\u017e plat\u00ed cenu o des\u00edtky dolar\u016f vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e je manipulovan\u00e1 burzovn\u00ed cena na Z\u00e1pad\u011b.<\/p>\n

Podobnou situac\u00ed jsme vid\u011bli u\u017e minul\u00fd rok se st\u0159\u00edbrem. Cena st\u0159\u00edbra, zlata, ropy, plynu a dal\u0161\u00edch komodit st\u00e1le nedos\u00e1hla sv\u00e9 katarze. Tedy dna. Zlom a za\u010d\u00e1tek jejich r\u016fstu m\u016f\u017eeme \u010dekat ke konci z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed cenu t\u011bchto komodit toti\u017e ur\u010duje AI, ta nezohled\u0148uje stav z\u00e1sob, ale \u0159\u00edd\u00ed sv\u00e9 vysokorychlostn\u00ed obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed dle stavu \u0161ort\u016f, long\u016f a futures na burze. Nem\u00e1 to tedy s realitou nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

Ke slovu tedy p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00fd stav z\u00e1sob v USA:<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1soby v americk\u00e9 Strategick\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 rezerv\u011b (SPR) k 24. \u010dervenci 2026 klesly na 307,65 milionu barel\u016f, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 od roku 1983. Podle \u00fadaj\u016f U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) se z\u00e1soby za posledn\u00ed t\u00fdden sn\u00ed\u017eily o 3,8 milionu barel\u016f. Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed stav: 307,65 mil. barel\u016f (k 24. 7. 2026).<\/p>\n

Hladina 240 mili\u00f3n\u016f barel\u016f se pova\u017euje mezn\u00ed. P\u016fvodn\u00ed stav byl 750 a\u017e 800 mili\u00f3n\u016f barel\u016f.<\/p>\n

Nejde v\u0161ak jen o Hormuz a M\u00e1b al Mand\u00e1b, ale i o rusk\u00e9 zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavu Od\u011bsa a Nikolajeva, vypad\u00e1v\u00e1 zde export v\u00edce ne\u017e 20 mili\u00f3n\u016f tun obil\u00ed letos a mili\u00f3ny tun slune\u010dnicov\u00e9ho oleje, kov\u016f, hnojiv, vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin a jin\u00fdch nerost\u016f. Tento export dr\u017eel Ukrajinu finan\u010dn\u011b nad vodou.<\/p>\n

Vzpom\u00edn\u00e1te, jak libtardi j\u00e1sali, \u017ee Ukrajinci podp\u00e1lili n\u011bkolik mal\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch tanker\u016f s benz\u00ednem a ropou, kter\u00e9 pendlovaly mezi Krymem a P\u0159edkavkaz\u00edm? Jak napadli Novorosijsk, aby se uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee z\u00e1sobn\u00edky ropy a p\u0159ekladi\u0161t\u011b se u\u017e\u00edvaly k transportu Kaza\u0161sk\u00e9 ropy do Evropy, kter\u00e1 nebyla pod \u201esankcemi\u201c?<\/p>\n

To v\u0161e rozv\u00e1zalo Rusku ruce a to pot\u00e9 zcela zablokovalo Ukrajinsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm se r\u00fdsuje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatek v\u0161eho. Od hnojiv, ropy, plynu, vzacn\u00fdch zemin a\u017e po leteck\u00fd benz\u00edn, hlin\u00edk, m\u011b\u010f atd. atd.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed virtu\u00e1ln\u00ed ur\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed ceny komodit, ale realita, jakkoliv pomal\u00e1, nakonec zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Evropu \u010dek\u00e1 razantn\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen a inflace, ale v n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech sv\u011bta m\u016f\u017ee nastoupit v d\u016fsledku r\u016fstu ceny paliv a nedostatku a drahoty hnojiv i hlad.<\/p>\n

MVDr. Miroslav \u0160af\u00e1\u0159<\/a>, m\u00edstop\u0159edseda ND<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1m na klesaj\u00edc\u00ed cenu ropy, tak je n\u011bco evidentn\u011b jinak, ne\u017e by m\u011blo…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105563,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1872,1503,2023,310],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112316"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=112316"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112316\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105563"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=112316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=112316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=112316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}