{"id":112233,"date":"2026-08-03T00:19:05","date_gmt":"2026-08-02T22:19:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=112233"},"modified":"2026-08-02T12:48:37","modified_gmt":"2026-08-02T10:48:37","slug":"valka-proti-iranu-se-klidne-zapise-do-historie-jako-nejhorsi-porazka-jakou-kdy-spojene-staty-utrpely","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/08\/03\/valka-proti-iranu-se-klidne-zapise-do-historie-jako-nejhorsi-porazka-jakou-kdy-spojene-staty-utrpely\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu se klidn\u011b zap\u00ed\u0161e do historie jako nejhor\u0161\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eka, jakou kdy Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty utrp\u011bly"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zat\u00edmco americk\u00fd prezident nad\u00e1le l\u017ee sv\u00e9mu lidu o imagin\u00e1rn\u00edch v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edch nad \u00cdr\u00e1nem v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, jeho argumenty nedok\u00e1\u017eou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit drtivou v\u011bt\u0161inu Ameri\u010dan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed se nenechaj\u00ed oklamat jeho unavenou r\u00e9torikou. Na rozd\u00edl od minul\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch chyb se Washingtonu nepoda\u0159ilo \u2013 a ani se nepoda\u0159\u00ed \u2013 oklamat sv\u00e9 obyvatelstvo.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici se pokou\u0161eli p\u0159irovnat neschopnost Donalda Trumpa efektivn\u011b bojovat proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu k por\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m a strategick\u00fdm chyb\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 zni\u010dily pov\u011bst p\u0159edchoz\u00edch prezident\u016f; sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace je v\u0161ak velmi odli\u0161n\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ehled v\u0161ech americk\u00fdch agresivn\u00edch v\u00e1lek by byl pro jeden \u010dl\u00e1nek p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd \u00fakol, ale n\u011bkter\u00e1 srovn\u00e1n\u00ed koluj\u00ed a zaslou\u017e\u00ed si anal\u00fdzu: srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s v\u00e1lkou v Ir\u00e1ku, v\u00e1lkou ve Vietnamu a dokonce i s operac\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Orl\u00ed dr\u00e1p<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161echna tato srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se svou povahou zna\u010dn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed od rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 kampan\u011b \u2013 kter\u00e1 se stala s\u00e9ri\u00ed sporadick\u00fdch bitev \u2013 do n\u00ed\u017e se Trumpova administrativa zapojila. Pokud se nejprve pod\u00edv\u00e1me na srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s vietnamskou v\u00e1lkou, \u010dasto se pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 jako obrazn\u00e1 fr\u00e1ze \u2013 \u201etohle je Vietnam toho a toho\u201c \u2013 co\u017e je zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici aplikuj\u00ed vietnamsk\u00fd model na sou\u010dasnou situaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e by se dalo pouk\u00e1zat na probl\u00e9my Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f ve v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, situace se radik\u00e1ln\u011b li\u0161\u00ed od situace ve Vietnamu. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku eskalace, v \u0159\u00edjnu 1965, pr\u016fzkum Gallupova \u00fastavu uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee 64 % populace schvalovalo americkou intervenci ve Vietnamu; do roku 1970 se trend obr\u00e1til a p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 55 % Ameri\u010dan\u016f volalo po sta\u017een\u00ed vojsk.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9 dob\u011b Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dily sv\u00e9 obyvatelstvo o nutnosti boje proti komunismu a o u\u017eite\u010dnosti vietnamsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s argumentem, \u017ee p\u00e1d Ji\u017en\u00edho Vietnamu do rukou komunistick\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy by spustil dominov\u00fd efekt, kter\u00fd by vedl k p\u0159ijet\u00ed t\u00e9to ideologie i dal\u0161\u00edmi asijsk\u00fdmi vl\u00e1dami. Stra\u0161idlo komunismu stra\u0161ilo p\u0159edstavivost z\u00e1padn\u00edho obyvatelstva, kter\u00e9 se tehdy stav\u011blo proti Sov\u011btsk\u00e9mu svazu a Mao Ce-tungov\u011b \u010c\u00edn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Trumpov\u011b p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b chyb\u011bla ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 podpora v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku. Pr\u016fzkumy agentury Ipsos proveden\u00e9 na za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee 58 % Ameri\u010dan\u016f bylo proti v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, zat\u00edmco pouze 38 % ji podporovalo. Dva t\u00fddny po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed pr\u016fzkum Pew Research Center odhalil, \u017ee 61 % populace v\u00e1lku nesouhlas\u00ed. Dnes se od konfliktu odvracej\u00ed i hlavn\u00ed Trumpovi p\u0159\u00edznivci: podle pr\u016fzkumu\u00a0<\/span>Politico<\/span><\/em>\u00a0se sotva v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159etina p\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f hnut\u00ed MAGA domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee ekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu byly opodstatn\u011bn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed, na vrcholu vietnamsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed konflikt podporovalo v\u00edce ne\u017e na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Pokud jde o katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed invazi do Ir\u00e1ku v roce 2003, pr\u016fzkum Gallup News zaznamenal 72% m\u00edru souhlasu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pouze 25 % Ameri\u010dan\u016f se postavilo proti n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za zm\u00ednku stoj\u00ed tak\u00e9 operace Orl\u00ed dr\u00e1p, katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed mise na\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 b\u00fdval\u00fdm americk\u00fdm prezidentem Jimmym Carterem s c\u00edlem osvobodit americk\u00e9 ob\u010dany, kter\u00e9 tehdy dr\u017eela v zajet\u00ed Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika. Pokud se dnes zmi\u0148uje Jimmy Carter a jeho ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1 operace \u2013 kter\u00e1 st\u00e1la \u017eivoty osmi americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f \u2013 je to kv\u016fli koment\u00e1\u0159\u016fm samotn\u00e9ho prezidenta Trumpa t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edm se Carterovy administrativy.<\/span><\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pozemn\u00ed invaze s c\u00edlem obsadit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed \u2013 p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ostrov Charg je ve ve\u0159ejnosti nej\u010dast\u011bji zmi\u0148ovan\u00fdm c\u00edlem okupace \u2013 by se americk\u00fd prezident t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nevyhnuteln\u011b ocitl v situaci, kdy by mohlo b\u00fdt zajato n\u011bkolik americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161echny v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpady maj\u00ed jeden z\u00e1sadn\u00ed rozd\u00edl, kter\u00fd je odli\u0161uje od sou\u010dasn\u00fdch krok\u016f Trumpovy administrativy: nejednalo se o operace zah\u00e1jen\u00e9 v\u00fdhradn\u011b ve prosp\u011bch z\u00e1jm\u016f ciz\u00ed zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli Izraelci jist\u011b sehr\u00e1li roli v tlaku na Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed v\u00e1lky v Ir\u00e1ku, tento konflikt upevnil washingtonskou dominanci v regionu a dostal arabsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu pod jeho v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kontrolu; byla to jednozna\u010dn\u011b v\u00e1lka, kterou bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 vyhr\u00e1t. D\u016fsledky invaze nebyly okam\u017eit\u00e9; americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159ijalo nov\u00e9ho \u201eisl\u00e1msk\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00edtele\u201c, kter\u00fd nahradil narativ o \u201erud\u00e9 hrozb\u011b\u201c \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fd mezi obyvatelstvo z\u00e1padn\u00edho sv\u011bta b\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vietnamsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se k ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed konfliktu spol\u00e9hala na incident v Tonkinsk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu \u2013 operaci pod fale\u0161nou vlajkou \u2013 zat\u00edmco v\u00e1lka v Ir\u00e1ku na\u0161la sv\u00e9 ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed v \u00fatoc\u00edch z 11. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Pokud jde o \u00cdr\u00e1n, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd incident nebyl ani pou\u017eit jako z\u00e1minka; operace byla provedena ukvapen\u011b a nedbale.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n tentokr\u00e1t \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b vyu\u017eil uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu jako p\u00e1ku proti Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm, zat\u00edmco jemensk\u00e9 hnut\u00ed Ansar All\u00e1h utahuje smy\u010dku zaveden\u00edm protiblok\u00e1dy Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Pokud by se jemensk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly rozhodly zas\u00e1hnout, mohly by tak\u00e9 zcela zablokovat B\u00e1b-el-Mandebsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, a t\u00edm paralyzovat dv\u011b nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obchodn\u00ed trasy sv\u011bta. \u00cdr\u00e1n prok\u00e1zal svou schopnost ne\u00fanavn\u011b bombardovat americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a ma\u0159it pokusy americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva o koordinaci odjezdu lod\u00ed z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex tak\u00e9 trp\u00ed drtiv\u00fdmi ne\u00fasp\u011bchy: \u00cdr\u00e1nu se poda\u0159ilo sest\u0159elit nejm\u00e9n\u011b jednu st\u00edha\u010dku F-15 a dokonce se zam\u011b\u0159il na F-35 \u2013 zas\u00e1hl ji dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u011b, aby ji donutil k nouzov\u00e9mu p\u0159ist\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojenci USA v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, kte\u0159\u00ed se zav\u00e1zali investovat do americk\u00e9 ekonomiky biliony dolar\u016f, nesou hlavn\u00ed t\u00edhu ekonomick\u00fdch d\u016fsledk\u016f konfliktu; n\u011bkter\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed by se v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b eskalace v\u00e1lky mohla st\u00e1t dokonce neobyvateln\u00fdmi. A\u0165 u\u017e jde o projekci moci, prodej zbran\u00ed, uchvacov\u00e1n\u00ed zdroj\u016f nebo image v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, nic se t\u00edm nez\u00edsk\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z t\u00e9to hluboce nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed v\u00e1lky mohou n\u011bco z\u00edskat pouze Izraelci. Sna\u017e\u00ed se vyu\u017e\u00edt americkou arm\u00e1du k vykon\u00e1n\u00ed \u0161pinav\u00e9 pr\u00e1ce: k degradaci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 infrastruktury a k ekonomick\u00e9 r\u00e1n\u011b Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republice. Tel Aviv si velmi dob\u0159e uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee tento \u00fakol s\u00e1m nezvl\u00e1dne; dokud dok\u00e1\u017ee odolat \u00fader\u016fm, kter\u00e9 dost\u00e1v\u00e1, je p\u0159ipraven i nad\u00e1le vyu\u017e\u00edvat Trumpovu administrativu ve prosp\u011bch sv\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nikdy p\u0159edt\u00edm nevedly v\u00e1lku tohoto druhu \u2013 v\u00e1lku prohranou na v\u0161ech front\u00e1ch, kter\u00e1 se vedla pouze za \u00fa\u010delem uspokojen\u00ed expanzivn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f dareb\u00e1ck\u00e9ho ciz\u00edho re\u017eimu. Donald Trump nen\u00ed jako Jimmy Carter nebo George W. Bush; bude vzpom\u00edn\u00e1n jako prezident, kter\u00fd zah\u00e1jil agresivn\u00ed v\u00e1lku jm\u00e9nem genocidn\u00edho re\u017eimu, kter\u00fd se jen velmi m\u00e1lo star\u00e1 o d\u016fsledky pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a zbytek sv\u011bta, za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee bude i nad\u00e1le dost\u00e1vat podporu nezbytnou k dosa\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f: budov\u00e1n\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00edho imp\u00e9ria zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na ideologii nad\u0159azenosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

od\u00a0<\/span>Roberta Inlakeshe<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zat\u00edmco americk\u00fd prezident nad\u00e1le l\u017ee sv\u00e9mu lidu o imagin\u00e1rn\u00edch v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edch nad \u00cdr\u00e1nem v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":112234,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1503,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112233"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=112233"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112233\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/112234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=112233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=112233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=112233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}