{"id":11197,"date":"2022-06-04T01:01:22","date_gmt":"2022-06-03T23:01:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=11197"},"modified":"2022-06-03T19:18:44","modified_gmt":"2022-06-03T17:18:44","slug":"balancovani-na-hrane-zaniku-civilizace-z-moskvy-zaznelo-dosud-nejvaznejsi-varovani-zapadu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/06\/04\/balancovani-na-hrane-zaniku-civilizace-z-moskvy-zaznelo-dosud-nejvaznejsi-varovani-zapadu\/","title":{"rendered":"Balancov\u00e1n\u00ed na hran\u011b z\u00e1niku civilizace: Z Moskvy zazn\u011blo dosud nejv\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed varov\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1padu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud rakety USA zas\u00e1hnou rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, p\u0159ijde drtiv\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f na „\u0159\u00edd\u00edc\u00ed centra“. Neum\u00ed, nebo z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b nechce Washington rozum\u011bt?<\/h2>\n

RAFAEL RAFAJ<\/a> varuje p\u0159ed p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017een\u00edm zat\u00edm nejv\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed reakce Moskvy vystaven\u00e9 hrozb\u011b p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho napaden\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed americk\u00fdmi raketami rukama kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Rusko vid\u00ed v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch nov\u00fdch americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed riziko vzniku konfliktu s USA. Takto zn\u00ed reakce Moskvy na rozhodnut\u00ed B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu dodat Ukrajin\u011b \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e9 a mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b ni\u010div\u00e9 zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my v podob\u011b raketov\u00fdch salvov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Nejde p\u0159itom o prvn\u00ed upozorn\u011bn\u00ed sm\u011brem k z\u00e1padn\u00edm st\u00e1t\u016fm, dod\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edm zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my na Ukrajinu.<\/p>\n

Pokud si \u0159eknete, \u017ee nic nov\u00e9ho ani na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b, m\u00e1te pravdu jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b. Varov\u00e1n\u00ed Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm je toti\u017e jen na prvn\u00ed pohled podobn\u00e9 t\u011bm, je\u017e Rusko vys\u00edlalo ji\u017e n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f a\u017e let – je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed vznikem konfliktu sm\u011brem k USA a Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n

Chyba \u010di z\u00e1m\u011br?<\/h2>\n

Ani Kyjev, ani Washington v\u0161ak tato bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed upozorn\u011bn\u00ed Moskvy nebrala v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. A zjevn\u011b to byla chyba. Stejnou chybu nyn\u00ed \u2013 mo\u017en\u00e1 dokonce z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b \u2013 jen v mnohem v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm, fakticky glob\u00e1ln\u00edm rozm\u011bru, d\u011blaj\u00ed op\u011bt Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty.<\/p>\n

Pokud bychom bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategii a zejm\u00e9na logiku Ruska pova\u017eovali za standardn\u00ed v ka\u017ed\u00e9 situaci, p\u0159ilo\u017eili ji ke ka\u017ed\u00e9 situaci stejn\u00fdm metrem a vzali bychom v \u00favahu p\u0159\u00edklad Ukrajiny, pak hroz\u00ed otev\u0159en\u00fd konflikt mezi Ruskem a USA, do kter\u00e9ho Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 zat\u00e1hnou i sv\u00e9 spojence.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad zjevn\u011b p\u0159estal nejen spr\u00e1vn\u011b dek\u00f3dovat vys\u00edlan\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly, ale co je je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed, jako by p\u0159estal br\u00e1t v\u00e1\u017en\u011b Ruskou federaci jako takovou. Nep\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m, \u017ee ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech nemaj\u00ed dostatek analytik\u016f a specialist\u016f na rusk\u00fd sv\u011bt, mentalitu a ruskou geopolitiku. Ve h\u0159e je tedy jen jedno hroziv\u011b vypadaj\u00edc\u00ed vysv\u011btlen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Donbas je spojeneck\u00fd, Krym rusk\u00fd<\/h2>\n

Hlavn\u00ed argument americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Joe Bidena, \u017ee dostal p\u0159\u00edslib, \u017ee Ukrajina nepou\u017eije nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 a zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00e9mu \u00fazem\u00ed je m\u00edrn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno relativn\u00ed (a to u\u017e v\u016fbec nemluv\u00edme o tom, jak lze v\u011b\u0159it „\u010destn\u00e9mu slovu“ od Zelensk\u00e9ho). Z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed toti\u017e na interpretaci, co kter\u00e1 strana konfliktu pova\u017euje za \u201erusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed\u201c. Pojmy \u201erusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed\u201c a \u201e\u00fazem\u00ed Rusk\u00e9 federace\u201c se toti\u017e nemusej\u00ed shodovat.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jablkem sv\u00e1ru a vzniku konfliktu. nedoz\u00edrn\u00fdch rozm\u011br\u016f Sta\u010d\u00ed, aby ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly vyst\u0159elily z americk\u00fdch salvov\u00fdch raketomet\u016f HIMARS na \u00fazem\u00ed Luhansk\u00e9 nebo Don\u011bck\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky, jejich\u017e nez\u00e1vislost na Kyjevu Moskva uznala a bere je jako \u00fazem\u00ed ob\u00fdvan\u00e9 etnick\u00fdmi Rusy – a je po\u017e\u00e1r na st\u0159e\u0161e.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 by nastal, kdyby ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da pou\u017eila americk\u00e9 zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my na ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed Krymu, kter\u00fd \u2013 podobn\u011b jako \u00fazem\u00ed Donbasu \u2013 pova\u017euje Kyjev za ukrajinsk\u00e9, nikoli rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Po reakci z rusk\u00e9 strany u\u017e nebude \u010das na vysv\u011btlov\u00e1n\u00ed pojm\u016f, ani pozic. (Moskva jasn\u011b sd\u011blila, \u017ee pou\u017eit\u00ed t\u011bchto zbran\u00ed bude znamenat drtivou odvetu na „\u0159\u00edd\u00edc\u00ed centra“. Ta v\u0161ak u\u017e dnes zdaleka nejsou jen na Ukrajin\u011b) Pokud se tedy na posledn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed bude Z\u00e1pad v \u010dele s USA d\u00edvat (nejsp\u00ed\u0161 z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b) nad\u00e1le jen sv\u00fdma a ukrajinsk\u00fdma o\u010dima, zad\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1me si na probl\u00e9m nesrovnateln\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e zat\u00edm byla (mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b opatrn\u00e1) vojensk\u00e1 operace Ruska na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n

Nekompatibiln\u00ed pojmy jako sign\u00e1l po\u010d\u00e1tku konce civilizace?<\/h2>\n

Sta\u010d\u00ed si porovnat interpretaci aktu\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu: Zat\u00edmco Z\u00e1pad umanut\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201einvazi, napaden\u00ed a v\u00e1lce\u201c (a\u010dkoli v\u00e1lku ofici\u00e1ln\u011b nikdo nevyhl\u00e1sil), rusk\u00e1 strana trv\u00e1 na term\u00ednu \u201especi\u00e1ln\u00ed operace\u201c kv\u016fli demilitarizaci a denacifikaci pop\u0159evratov\u00e9ho kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu (napojen\u00e9ho na Washington), kter\u00fd pro ni p\u0159edstavuje re\u00e1ln\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed riziko.<\/p>\n

Zjevn\u011b p\u0159i r\u016fzn\u00fdch interpretac\u00edch nejde jen o propagandu a veden\u00ed informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, ale toto „nekompatibiln\u00ed“ pojmoslov\u00ed m\u00e1 hlub\u0161\u00ed ko\u0159eny a v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznamy (informuje minim\u00e1ln\u011b o tom, \u017ee ob\u011b strany stoj\u00ed na z\u00e1sadn\u011b odli\u0161n\u00fdch v\u00fdchodisc\u00edch).<\/p>\n

U\u017e otev\u0159en\u00e9 anga\u017em\u00e1 USA v cel\u00e9m konfliktu nem\u00e1 v modern\u00edch d\u011bjin\u00e1ch obdoby, a potvrzuje tak fat\u00e1ln\u011b riskantn\u00ed veden\u00ed z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky Washingtonu proti Moskv\u011b na ciz\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed s ciz\u00ed arm\u00e1dou americk\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi: faktick\u00fdmi i ekonomick\u00fdmi.<\/p>\n

Ignorovat posledn\u00ed opravdu mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b siln\u00e9 a ji\u017e zcela jednozna\u010dn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly Ruska a nedek\u00f3dovat je (nedopat\u0159en\u00edm \u010di z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b) spr\u00e1vn\u011b, je v\u00edc ne\u017e jen podcen\u011bn\u00edm situace. Doslova hazardem na \u00farovni vypuknut\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 – tentokr\u00e1t jadern\u00e9 – v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to kritick\u00e9 situaci balancuj\u00edc\u00ed na hran\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed existence cel\u00e9 civilizace je dobr\u00e9 vzpomenout si na radu \u0159eck\u00e9ho filozofa Aristofan\u00e9se:<\/p>\n

\u201eI nep\u0159\u00edtel n\u00e1m d\u00e1 \u010dasto dobrou radu\u201c.<\/p>\n

Zdroj<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

PROTIPROUD<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud rakety USA zas\u00e1hnou rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, p\u0159ijde drtiv\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f na „\u0159\u00edd\u00edc\u00ed centra“. Neum\u00ed, nebo z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5546,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[220,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11197"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11197"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11197\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5546"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11197"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11197"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11197"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}