{"id":111900,"date":"2026-07-30T00:14:30","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T22:14:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111900"},"modified":"2026-07-29T12:51:39","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T10:51:39","slug":"alastair-crooke-pater-valky-byla-zlomena","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/30\/alastair-crooke-pater-valky-byla-zlomena\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: P\u00e1te\u0159 v\u00e1lky byla zlomena"},"content":{"rendered":"
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USA budou nakonec muset kapitulovat \u2013 co\u017e bude m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n stane region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V p\u00e1tek ve\u010der Trump na\u0159\u00eddil americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b, aby se zdr\u017eela jak\u00fdchkoli nov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 a to i p\u0159es to, \u017ee ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve schv\u00e1lil masivn\u00ed \u00fatok s kryc\u00edm n\u00e1zvem \u201eBr\u00e1ny pekla\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA nyn\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1daly o nov\u00e9 do\u010dasn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem a usiluj\u00ed o n\u00e1vrat k zhroucen\u00e9mu a pozastaven\u00e9mu memorandu o porozum\u011bn\u00ed (MoU). Rozhovory maj\u00ed zahrnovat i Jemen, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e Trump se sna\u017e\u00ed u\u010dinit z Ansar Allah jednu z vyjedn\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch stran.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump je evidentn\u011b zu\u0159iv\u00fd a ob\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee v\u00e1lka pohlcuje jeho prezidentstv\u00ed (a jeho odkaz). \u00cdr\u00e1n v uplynul\u00e9m t\u00fddnu kategoricky odm\u00edtl ve\u0161ker\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a potvrdil, \u017ee se za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed do rozhovor\u016f nezapoj\u00ed. Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, pro\u010d by \u00cdr\u00e1n d\u00e1val USA \u010das na p\u0159eskupen\u00ed a p\u0159ezbrojen\u00ed, ne\u017e zah\u00e1j\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed vlnu \u00fatok\u016f proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kdy\u017e m\u00e1 USA v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b na \u00fat\u011bku?<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1vrat k memorandu o porozum\u011bn\u00ed, jeho\u017e d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost Trump s\u00e1m opakovan\u011b zni\u010dil? Nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Will Schryver poukazuje na to, \u017ee koluj\u00ed zv\u011bsti, \u017ee Pentagon nal\u00e9h\u00e1 na Trumpa k ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, proto\u017ee USA t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vy\u010derpaly sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby protiletadlov\u00fdch raket a p\u0159esn\u00fdch zbran\u00ed dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. Nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed poradci prezidenta jsou \u00fadajn\u011b tak\u00e9 znepokojeni vyhl\u00eddkou eskalace v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, odcizen\u00edm kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch spojenc\u016f v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, kte\u0159\u00ed by byli zraniteln\u00ed v\u016f\u010di dal\u0161\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm, a hroz\u00edc\u00ed energetickou kriz\u00ed. New\u00a0<\/span>York Times<\/span><\/em>\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00ed: \u201eJen m\u00e1lokdo, pokud v\u016fbec n\u011bkdo, v Trumpov\u011b nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edm kruhu pova\u017eoval pl\u00e1n eskalace za moudr\u00fd,\u201c uvedli dva lid\u00e9 obezn\u00e1men\u00ed s touto z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se tak\u00e9, \u017ee k Trumpov\u011b obratu mohla p\u0159isp\u011bt nejistota ohledn\u011b skute\u010dn\u00e9 situace s dod\u00e1vkami paliva v USA. Larry Johnson informuje:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMemorandum, kter\u00e9 vypracoval Karl Miller, zkoum\u00e1, jak tajn\u00e9 operace americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v oblasti n\u00e1kupu a v\u00fdvozu vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00ed americk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby nafty a petroleje \u2013 zejm\u00e9na v dob\u011b, kdy jsou dom\u00e1c\u00ed z\u00e1soby ji\u017e kriticky n\u00edzk\u00e9.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Miller vysv\u011btluje:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVelk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st t\u011bchto (tajn\u00fdch) v\u00fdvoz\u016f paliv prob\u00edh\u00e1 nepr\u016fhledn\u00fdmi kan\u00e1ly, jako je nap\u0159\u00edklad rotterdamsk\u00fd p\u0159ekladi\u0161t\u011b, kde kone\u010dn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 nebo zahrani\u010dn\u00ed rozd\u011blen\u00ed nen\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b ov\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9. To vystavuje americkou ekonomiku riziku nedostatku dod\u00e1vek, zat\u00edmco vojensk\u00e9 a zahrani\u010dn\u00ed operace \u2013 zejm\u00e9na ty izraelsk\u00e9 \u2013 maj\u00ed p\u0159ednostn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Millerova zpr\u00e1va z\u0159ejm\u011b souvis\u00ed s otev\u0159enou manipulac\u00ed americk\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f s cenami ropy, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 trh\u016fm sd\u011blit, \u017ee navzdory prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edmu uvol\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed 172 milion\u016f barel\u016f ze strategick\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 rezervy (SPR), kter\u00e1 byla zah\u00e1jena za \u00fa\u010delem zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed nedostatku dod\u00e1vek zp\u016fsoben\u00e9ho konfliktem s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 riziko nedostatku paliva.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee z\u00e1konem stanoven\u00e1 minim\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 je 250 milion\u016f barel\u016f (sou\u010dasn\u00e9 z\u00e1soby se pohybuj\u00ed kolem 300 milion\u016f), p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1 narativ, \u017ee t\u011b\u017eba by mohla pokra\u010dovat je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1le (a\u017e na 70 milion\u016f barel\u016f). Je to ale v\u016fbec mo\u017en\u00e9? Jak n\u00edzko mohou strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy ve skute\u010dnosti klesnout? Situace je slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se zd\u00e1. SPR se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z \u010detn\u00fdch podzemn\u00edch jeskyn\u00ed obsahuj\u00edc\u00edch r\u016fzn\u00e9 druhy ropy, kter\u00e9 se t\u011b\u017e\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00fdm tempem. N\u011bkter\u00e9 jeskyn\u011b by se mohly z\u0159\u00edtit, pokud by se p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vypr\u00e1zdnily. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno: nikdo p\u0159esn\u011b nev\u00ed, kde le\u017e\u00ed kritick\u00e1 hranice. Mnoho je zalo\u017eeno na p\u0159edpokladech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e Trump\u016fv vojensk\u00fd \u00fatok fakticky selhal, by jedinou cestou zp\u011bt k jednac\u00edmu stolu bylo nab\u00eddnout skute\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fastupky hned od za\u010d\u00e1tku. Ale i kdyby to Trump ud\u011blal \u2013 v\u011b\u0159ili by mu? A dovolil by mu jeho du\u0161evn\u00ed stav v\u016fbec sn\u00e1\u0161et takov\u00e9 pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed?<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou na cest\u011b zp\u011bt k jedn\u00e1n\u00edm s \u00cdr\u00e1nem je, \u017ee Trump a jeho nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed okol\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu z\u00e1sadn\u011b \u0161patn\u011b rozum\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee maj\u00ed co do \u010din\u011bn\u00ed s nekompromisn\u00edm a nekompromisn\u00edm veden\u00edm, zat\u00edmco \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 populace jako celek hled\u00e1 cestu ven.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prav\u00fd opak je pravdou. Veden\u00ed jedn\u00e1 pragmaticky, zat\u00edmco obyvatelstvo v ulic\u00edch zauj\u00edma mnohem tvrd\u0161\u00ed postoj, po\u017eaduje odplatu a klade si ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d by jedn\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bla v\u016fbec pokra\u010dovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00fdm Trump a jeho podporovatel\u00e9 na Fox News nav\u00edc opustili d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed americk\u00fd obraz sebe sama jako \u201evykupitelsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda\u201c a m\u00edsto toho \u2013 jak p\u00ed\u0161e profesor Michael Vlahos \u2013 p\u0159e\u0161li k radik\u00e1ln\u011b manichejsk\u00e9mu sebepojet\u00ed, v n\u011bm\u017e:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eAmerick\u00e9 \u201adobr\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy\u2018 byly nahrazeny v\u0161udyp\u0159\u00edtomn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edzrakem zla a hrozbou n\u00e1sil\u00ed. Posv\u00e1tn\u00e1 slova svoboda a demokracie jsou st\u00e1le vzbuzov\u00e1na, ale stala se pr\u00e1zdnou mantrou. Americk\u00e9 \u201aevangelium\u2018 u\u017e nek\u00e1\u017ee sp\u00e1su a sm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed, ale nyn\u00ed se zab\u00fdv\u00e1 vynucov\u00e1n\u00edm a trestem. K tomuto obratu do\u0161lo n\u00e1hle \u2013 po 11. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a po Guant\u00e1namu.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m tedy spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v postoji: Jak lze vyjedn\u00e1vat, nebo dokonce mluvit s zt\u011blesn\u011bn\u00edm zla \u2013 jak Trump popisuje \u00cdr\u00e1n? To je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nemo\u017en\u00e9. Pr\u00e1v\u011b to byl \u00fa\u010del takov\u00e9ho ponur\u00e9ho zobrazen\u00ed protivn\u00edka. Vylu\u010duje to skute\u010dnou mediaci. Vylu\u010duje to jak\u00e9koli \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mohlo b\u00fdt vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako zisk moci pro \u201ejednoho z nejzlej\u0161\u00edch lid\u00ed v historii\u201c nebo pro \u201ebandu krve\u017e\u00edzniv\u00fdch n\u00e1siln\u00edk\u016f\u201c. Politika se tak redukuje na snahu o nadvl\u00e1du nad \u201et\u00edm druh\u00fdm\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad zast\u00e1v\u00e1 specifick\u00fd zp\u016fsob my\u0161len\u00ed, kter\u00fd pova\u017euje za nezbytn\u00fd pro lidskou bytost. Tento zp\u016fsob my\u0161len\u00ed \u2013 \u010dasto popisovan\u00fd jako apollonsk\u00fd \u2013 je spojov\u00e1n s patriarchatem, pr\u00e1vem, vertik\u00e1ln\u00ed hierarchi\u00ed a sekul\u00e1rn\u00edm, racion\u00e1ln\u00edm a mechanistick\u00fdm sv\u011bton\u00e1zorem. T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zde nen\u00ed prostor pro nejednozna\u010dnost nebo meziprostory. N\u011bco je bu\u010f \u201eA\u201c, nebo \u201ene-A\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Naproti tomu existuje jin\u00e1 sf\u00e9ra \u2013 \u010dasto ozna\u010dovan\u00e1 jako dion\u00fdsk\u00e1 \u2013 kter\u00e1 vyjad\u0159uje energetickou dualitu p\u0159\u00edrody a lidstva: mu\u017esk\u00e9 a \u017eensk\u00e9; \u0159\u00e1d a bujn\u00e9 p\u0159estoupen\u00ed; spravedlnost a \u00fapadek. Tyto protiklady tvo\u0159\u00ed p\u00f3ly v\u011bdom\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v n\u00e1s existuj\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u011b a jsou na sob\u011b vz\u00e1jemn\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9. Dion\u00fdsk\u00fd logos lze ch\u00e1pat jako st\u00edn nebo dokonce jako vzpouru proti Apoll\u00f3novi.<\/span><\/p>\n

A pak je tu Persefon\u00e9 \u2013 skryt\u00e1 str\u00e1nka dion\u00fdsk\u00e9ho st\u00ednu \u2013 kter\u00e1 zt\u011bles\u0148uje chtonickou, \u017eenskou existenci. Zde neexistuje mu\u017esk\u00fd prot\u011bj\u0161ek, ale pouze bohyn\u011b, kter\u00e1 vyza\u0159uje zemitost a \u017eensk\u00fd princip reprodukce, r\u016fstu, p\u00e9\u010de a podzemn\u00edho pozn\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 intuice \u2013 a symbolizuje cyklickou povahu \u017eivota, rozkladu, smrti a obnovy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lidsk\u00e9 v\u011bdom\u00ed v\u0161ak obvykle vyjad\u0159uje sv\u00e9 kvality pouze ze specifick\u00e9 perspektivy. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b v\u0161echny civilizace \u010derpaj\u00ed z pln\u00e9 rozmanitosti t\u011bchto aspekt\u016f v\u011bdom\u00ed a ka\u017ed\u00e1 z nich utv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed svou vlastn\u00ed kulturu sv\u00fdm jedine\u010dn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Myslet v r\u00e1mci ur\u010dit\u00e9 kultury znamen\u00e1 myslet ur\u010dit\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem. Ti, kdo pat\u0159\u00ed k jin\u00e9 kultu\u0159e, etnick\u00e9 skupin\u011b nebo n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed, v\u0161ak mysl\u00ed jinak. P\u0159esto v\u0161ichni z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1me lidmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpova imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed arogance se tak st\u00e1le v\u00edce pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s faktem, \u017ee nalezen\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed pro Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod bude extr\u00e9mn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 \u2013 mo\u017en\u00e1 i nemo\u017en\u00e9. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo se na sv\u011bt d\u00edv\u00e1 pouze z apol\u00f3novsk\u00e9 perspektivy, mysl\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u011b mu\u017esk\u00fdm a vylu\u010duj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem, nech\u00e1pe jinakost a m\u00edsto toho si n\u00e1rokuje pr\u00e1vo na v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e1 privilegia. Rozmanitost r\u016fzn\u00fdch zp\u016fsob\u016f my\u0161len\u00ed nelze v r\u00e1mci tohoto sv\u011bton\u00e1zoru ani rozpoznat, ani uznat.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA v\u00e1lku prohr\u00e1ly. Volbou tak nekompromisn\u00edho, manichejsk\u00e9ho jazyka se Trump fakticky od\u0159\u00edzl od jak\u00e9hokoli mo\u017en\u00e9ho diplomatick\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm v\u00e1lky do Libanonu, Jemenu, S\u00fdrie a Ir\u00e1ku d\u00e1le zkomplikoval jak\u00fdkoli diplomatick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup. V\u0161echny tyto konflikty jsou vz\u00e1jemn\u011b propojen\u00e9, ale ka\u017ed\u00fd sleduje sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed c\u00edle. \u0158e\u0161en\u00ed proto vy\u017eaduje slo\u017eitou s\u00ed\u0165 r\u016fzn\u00fdch ot\u00e1zek, nikoli pouze bin\u00e1rn\u00ed konflikt mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA budou nakonec muset kapitulovat \u2013 s d\u016fsledkem toho, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n se stane region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed (pos\u00edl\u00ed Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu), zat\u00edmco region se bude postupn\u011b p\u0159izp\u016fsobovat t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 realit\u011b v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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USA budou nakonec muset kapitulovat \u2013 co\u017e bude m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n stane…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":111901,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[45,1503,349,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111900"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111900"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111900\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111901"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111900"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111900"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111900"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}