{"id":111885,"date":"2026-07-29T05:44:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T03:44:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111885"},"modified":"2026-07-29T05:44:24","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T03:44:24","slug":"iran-usa-zlomovy-bod-vycerpani-zasob","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/29\/iran-usa-zlomovy-bod-vycerpani-zasob\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n\u2013USA: Zlomov\u00fd bod vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sob"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>U\u017e dva dny z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed americk\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry na zemi. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fadery na Teher\u00e1n. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 rakety na z\u00e1kladny IRGC. Nejde o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Je to p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Americk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly doch\u00e1z\u00ed munice.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>B\u011bhem n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f konfliktu vyst\u0159elily Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u00edce ne\u017e 1 100 raket JASSM. Ro\u010dn\u00ed produkce \u010din\u00ed 500 a\u017e 600 kus\u016f. Dva roky v\u00fdroby byly spot\u0159ebov\u00e1ny za m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e m\u011bs\u00edc. Stejn\u00e1 situace panuje i u raket Tomahawk: vyst\u0159eleno bylo v\u00edce ne\u017e 1 000 kus\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ro\u010dn\u00ed produkce \u010din\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 200 kus\u016f. Stejn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj zaznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed i protiletadlov\u00e9 st\u0159ely Patriot, THAAD, SM-6 a SM-3. Z\u00e1soby se ten\u010d\u00ed. Tov\u00e1rny nesta\u010d\u00ed vyr\u00e1b\u011bt.<\/p>\n<p>Pentagon zm\u011bnil zp\u016fsob prezentace lidsk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t na sv\u00fdch webov\u00fdch str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch. Nov\u00e1 str\u00e1nka je diskr\u00e9tn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Osmn\u00e1ct mrtv\u00fdch, 624 zran\u011bn\u00fdch. \u010c\u00edsla, kter\u00e1 maj\u00ed v\u00e1hu v americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed. \u010c\u00edsla, kter\u00e1 se sna\u017e\u00ed skr\u00fdt.<\/p>\n<p>Americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 doktr\u00edna spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 na p\u0159esn\u00fdch \u00faderech. Kdy\u017e doch\u00e1z\u00ed munice, doktr\u00edna se ot\u0159\u00e1s\u00e1.<\/p>\n<h2>V\u00e1lka t\u0159\u00ed mo\u0159\u00ed<\/h2>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1n to pochopil. Jeho strategi\u00ed nen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Je to vydr\u017eet. Prom\u011bnit konflikt ve v\u00e1lku na vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed, kde \u010das hraje ve prosp\u011bch Teher\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n<p>Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je udu\u0161en. Proplouv\u00e1 j\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e deset lod\u00ed denn\u011b, oproti 15 a\u017e 21 milion\u016fm barel\u016f denn\u011b p\u0159ed kriz\u00ed. Alternativn\u00ed trasy existuj\u00ed \u2013 Fud\u017eajra, Petroline \u2013, ale jejich kapacita dosahuje maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 9\u201311 milion\u016f barel\u016f. Kuvajt, Katar, Bahrajn a ji\u017en\u00ed Ir\u00e1k z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed zcela z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na tomto pr\u016flivu. Katarsk\u00fd LNG, kter\u00fd p\u0159edstavuje p\u011btinu sv\u011btov\u00e9ho trhu, je ohro\u017een.<\/p>\n<p>\u00da\u017eina Bab-el-Mandeb je pod palbou H\u00fath\u016f. Pouze jeden\u00e1ct lod\u00ed denn\u011b. Ohro\u017eeno je \u010dty\u0159i miliony barel\u016f denn\u011b. Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 rafin\u00e9rie v D\u017eiz\u00e1nu ho\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e 48 hodin pot\u00e9, co byla zasa\u017eena \u00faderem. Sloup \u010dern\u00e9ho kou\u0159e je viditeln\u00fd na kilometry daleko. Obraz konfliktu, kter\u00fd se roz\u0161i\u0159uje.<\/p>\n<p>A pak je tu Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 lo\u010f zasa\u017eena ukrajinsk\u00fdm dronem. Jeden n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk zabit. Drony schopn\u00e9 urazit 2 000 a\u017e 3 400 kilometr\u016f. Moskva ml\u010d\u00ed. Rusko, spojenec \u00cdr\u00e1nu, nic ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1. Rozpaky, nebo taktika? Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e sbli\u017euje dv\u011b v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 v\u0161ichni cht\u011bli udr\u017eet odd\u011blen\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Cena ropy Brent klesla na 91,20 dolar\u016f, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje pokles o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 6 % od ozn\u00e1men\u00ed pozastaven\u00ed \u00fatok\u016f. Trhy o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed uklidn\u011bn\u00ed situace. Volatilita v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 extr\u00e9mn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h2>Dilema Netanjahu\u2013Trump<\/h2>\n<p>28. \u010dervence 2026 se Benjamin Netanjahu setk\u00e1v\u00e1 s Donaldem Trumpem ve Washingtonu. Izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e9 informace o obnov\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch kapacit. Chce konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed kroky.<\/p>\n<p>Trump prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sv\u00e9ho viceprezidenta J. D. Vancea nab\u00edz\u00ed pob\u00eddku: \u201ePokud \u00cdr\u00e1n upust\u00ed od sv\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mu pomohou dos\u00e1hnout prosperity. \u201c \u00cdr\u00e1n vyhro\u017euje odvetou na jak\u00fdkoli \u00fatok.<\/p>\n<p>Ale bi\u010d je zlomen\u00fd. Z\u00e1soby munice jsou vy\u010derp\u00e1ny. Pokud Netanjahu dostane zelenou k \u00fatoku, \u010d\u00edm ho provede? Izrael ji\u017e v minulosti \u00fato\u010dil na vlastn\u00ed p\u011bst \u2013 na ir\u00e1ck\u00fd reaktor v roce 1981, na syrsk\u00fd objekt v roce 2007. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed jsou v\u0161ak mnohem l\u00e9pe chr\u00e1n\u011bna, le\u017e\u00ed hloub\u011bji a jsou rozpt\u00fdlena na v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed. Izraelsk\u00fd \u00fader bez masivn\u00ed americk\u00e9 podpory je riskantn\u00ed s\u00e1zka.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u016fv n\u00e1vrh je mo\u017en\u00e1 p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00edm. Vojensk\u00e1 varianta ji\u017e nen\u00ed v\u011brohodn\u00e1. Cukr nahrazuje bi\u010d, nikoli z vlastn\u00ed v\u016fle, ale z nutnosti.<\/p>\n<p>Jak dlouho vydr\u017e\u00ed americk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby? Dva t\u00fddny? T\u0159i? Odpov\u011b\u010f ur\u010d\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed pr\u016fb\u011bh konfliktu. Nikdo ji nezn\u00e1.<\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/geostrat-watch.org\/iran-etats-unis-le-tournant-de-lepuisement\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Iran-\u00c9tats-Unis : le tournant de l\u2019\u00e9puisement<\/a> vy\u0161el 26.7.2026 na geostrat-watch.org<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U\u017e dva dny z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed americk\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry na zemi. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fadery na Teher\u00e1n. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 rakety na&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":111886,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,37,40,5677],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111885"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111885"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111885\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111886"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}