{"id":111856,"date":"2026-07-29T00:22:14","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T22:22:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111856"},"modified":"2026-07-28T10:55:54","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T08:55:54","slug":"jiri-paroubek-donald-trump-vitez-i-porazeny-valky-s-iranem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/29\/jiri-paroubek-donald-trump-vitez-i-porazeny-valky-s-iranem\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Donald Trump – v\u00edt\u011bz i pora\u017een\u00fd v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pro\u010d je vlastn\u011b prezident Trump v\u00edt\u011bzem ve v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem? Je to jednoduch\u00e9, p\u0159ed \u010dasem se objevily informace, \u017ee jeho broker na newyorsk\u00e9 burze vstupuje ka\u017ed\u00fd den do burzovn\u00edch obchod\u016f zhruba 60kr\u00e1t. Um\u00edm si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed \u00fatoku Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a Izraele na \u00cdr\u00e1n 28. \u00fanora se Trump\u016fv broker soust\u0159edil zejm\u00e9na na obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s ropou a zemn\u00edm plynem. Bylo by to vlastn\u011b jednoduch\u00e9, vyd\u011blat za v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce miliardy dolar\u016f z p\u00e1kov\u00fdch obchod\u016f na burze, kdyby broker pot\u00e9, co by obdr\u017eel d\u016fv\u011brn\u00e9, inside informace o kroc\u00edch americk\u00e9 politiky v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dnech, podle toho za\u0159izoval obchody pro sv\u00e9ho klienta.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u0159e\u010d\u00ed o d\u016frazn\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch a o tom, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n bude\u00a0 americkou arm\u00e1dou posl\u00e1n bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm do doby kamenn\u00e9, se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee ceny ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu porostou. A vsadit na to na burze obrovsk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1stky. A zase naopak v okam\u017eiku, kdy se p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eilo m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed a prezident Trump jako kn\u00ed\u017ee m\u00edru o tom informoval dychtivou americkou a sv\u011btovou ve\u0159ejnost, bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 hr\u00e1t na burze na pokles cen ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu. I na tom se daly vyd\u011blat ohromn\u00e9 pen\u00edze. Tedy Donald Trump, pokud takov\u00e9 obchody jeho broker uskute\u010d\u0148oval, je jasn\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzem v\u00e1lky, jen\u017e vyhr\u00e1l Jackpot. Jin\u00e1 v\u011bc je, pokud v kongresov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v USA na podzim (anebo za dal\u0161\u00ed dva roky ve volb\u00e1ch prezidentsk\u00fdch a kongresov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch) nebudou \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00ed kandid\u00e1ti jeho Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strany a tato strana ztrat\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu v Kongresu, bude to m\u00edt dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky.\u00a0 Dojde k vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed jeho burzovn\u00edch obchod\u016f, proto\u017ee\u00a0 komise pro cenn\u00e9 pap\u00edry\u00a0 b\u00fdv\u00e1 v USA velmi striktn\u00ed. A posv\u00edt\u00ed si detailn\u011b\u00a0 na obchody Trumpova brokera na burze. Pokud ov\u0161em Trump a jeho Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana prohraj\u00ed\u00a0 listopadov\u00e9 volby letos, dojde k front\u00e1ln\u00edmu \u00fatoku demokrat\u016f na prezidentovu pozici od po\u010d\u00e1tku p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku. Jeho \u010dinnost v druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b prezidentsk\u00e9ho mand\u00e1tu bude prakticky ochromena. A nic politicky podstatn\u00e9ho ji\u017e neprosad\u00ed. U\u017e dnes podle pr\u016fzkumu ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed si osm z deseti Ameri\u010dan\u016f mysl\u00ed, i p\u0159es silnou slovn\u00ed Trumpovou pyrotechniku, \u017ee se v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem dob\u0159e nevyv\u00edj\u00ed. A za dal\u0161\u00ed t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce u voleb se toto pozn\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 m\u016f\u017ee zhmotnit v\u00a0 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jistotu a v odklon swinguj\u00edc\u00edch voli\u010d\u016f od Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strany. Tak\u017ee v\u00edt\u011bz i pora\u017een\u00fd z\u00e1rove\u0148, to je D. Trump v \u00edransk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Nemluv\u011b o nespln\u011bn\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9ho z na po\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky deklarovan\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f (zm\u011bna re\u017eimu, likvidace balistickych raket \u00cdr\u00e1nu atd.).<\/p>\n

Ale Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jako velmoc prvn\u00ed kategorie nejsou tedy zrovna v\u00edt\u011bzem ani po vojensk\u00e9 str\u00e1nce. Celkem bez koment\u00e1\u0159e sv\u00e9ho velko\u00fast\u00e9ho prezidenta ukon\u010dila americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da z p\u00e1tku na sobotu minul\u00fd t\u00fdden leteck\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Pr\u00fd proto, jak p\u00ed\u0161i dob\u0159e informovan\u00e9 den\u00edky z v\u00fdchodn\u00edho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, \u017ee americk\u00e1 generalita Trumpovi sd\u011blila, \u017ee leteck\u00e9 \u00fatoky nemaj\u00ed velk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd efekt. A d\u00e1le, \u017ee se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed doba kritick\u00e9ho nedostatku\u00a0 zejm\u00e9na munice pro protiraketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my na ochranu americk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen v oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Je to tedy z nouze ctnost mluvit nyn\u00ed o m\u00edru. P\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 to zmaten\u00e9 t\u00e1p\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 administrativy v letech 1968 a 1969, kdy USA vyjedn\u00e1valy se Severn\u00edm Vietnamem v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei o m\u00edru a st\u0159\u00eddaly tvrd\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed severu Vietnamu a Ho \u010di-minovy stezky s obdob\u00edmi klidu. Ani jedno, ani druh\u00e9 ov\u0161em severovietnamsk\u00fdmi l\u00eddry nepohnulo, proto\u017ee za n\u011b pracovalo americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed. A n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho m\u016f\u017eeme o\u010dek\u00e1vat i nyn\u00ed, ale ve zrychlen\u00e9 podob\u011b. Tehdy to p\u0159eci jenom trvalo del\u0161\u00ed dobu, ne\u017e americk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost\u00a0 dostala do z\u0159ejm\u011b nejhlub\u0161\u00ed krize ve sv\u00fdch d\u011bjin\u00e1ch od ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi Severem a Jihem.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty si budou muset vyp\u00edt sv\u016fj kalich ho\u0159kosti a\u017e do dna. Vojensk\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky neexistuje. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nedok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed p\u0159iv\u00e9zt do oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu statis\u00edce sv\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed by se mohli pustit do k\u0159\u00ed\u017eku s \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami a \u00edr\u00e1nskou arm\u00e1dou a b\u00fdt v takov\u00e9 konven\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lce \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00ed. Narazily by na odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 93 milion\u016f obyvatel. A s\u00e1zet na konfesn\u00ed \u010di n\u00e1rodnostn\u00ed rozpory v t\u00e9to ob\u0159\u00ed zemi je politick\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 ruleta. Spojen\u00e9\u00a0 st\u00e1ty mus\u00ed naj\u00edt rozumn\u00fd exit z nastal\u00e9 situace a pokusit se o d\u016fstojn\u00fd odchod z oblasti. Tedy takov\u00fd, kter\u00fd by nep\u0159ipom\u00ednal \u00fat\u011bk, jen\u017e nastal p\u0159ed p\u00e1r lety\u00a0 v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. Tehdy Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a jejich spojenci p\u0159ekotn\u011b opustili tuto zemi a p\u0159enechali ji op\u011bt po letech Talib\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho\u00a0 pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu USA s \u00cdr\u00e1nem bude znamenat dal\u0161\u00ed vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sob americk\u00e9 munice, kter\u00e1 by na\u0161la jist\u011b sv\u00e9ho kupce v Evropanech. Ti\u00a0 by ji obratem p\u0159edisponovali na Ukrajinu. Tedy i ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je, co se t\u00fd\u010de dod\u00e1vek munice, d\u00edky postupu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, v defenziv\u011b. A to i p\u0159esto, \u017ee se j\u00ed da\u0159\u00ed spektakul\u00e1rn\u00edmi \u00fatoky do rusk\u00e9ho z\u00e1zem\u00ed vytv\u00e1\u0159et dojem, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s Ruskem se vyv\u00edj\u00ed v jej\u00ed prosp\u011bch. Na front\u011b to ov\u0161em tak nevypad\u00e1. V oblasti Donbasu u\u017e zb\u00fdv\u00e1 jen posledn\u00ed linie opevn\u011bn\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch lini\u00ed, na kter\u00e9 Rusko \u00fato\u010d\u00ed s velkou vytrvalosti a silou. A pokud tato posledn\u00ed linie bude prora\u017eena, bude to pro ukrajinskou arm\u00e1du velmi \u0161patn\u00e9. Up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, zm\u011bny ve veden\u00ed arm\u00e1dy a ministerstva obrany Ukrajiny sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed o tom, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zrovna nepro\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 \u0161\u0165astn\u00e9 dny.\u00a0 A to i p\u0159es velmi drsnou v\u00e1le\u010dnou r\u00e9toriku prezidenta Zelensk\u00e9ho a rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd proukrajinsk\u00fd marketing v r\u00e1mci zem\u00ed EU. Prost\u011b ka\u017ed\u00e1 v\u00e1lka kon\u010d\u00ed pokud dojdou pen\u00edze. Ty zat\u00edm nedoch\u00e1zej\u00ed d\u00edky ob\u0159\u00edm p\u016fj\u010dk\u00e1m EU a NATO\u00a0 (na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed bez p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti \u010ceska). Anebo skon\u010d\u00ed tehdy, pokud dojdou patrony. Ty patrony doch\u00e1zej\u00ed i USA. A evrop\u0161t\u00ed spojenci Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na tom nejsou o nic l\u00e9pe. Tedy, opot\u0159ebov\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lka, kterou zvolil Z\u00e1pad, aby oslabili \u010di dokonce porazil Rusko vojensky rukama Ukrajinc\u016f, se n\u011bjak vymkla zpoza kontroly. Podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v u\u017e i jedna z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zem\u00ed NATO, It\u00e1lie, \u00fasty sv\u00e9 premi\u00e9rky se p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0 pod\u00edlet na financov\u00e1n\u00ed cel\u00e9ho dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed NATO a veden\u00ed EU na Ukrajin\u011b. To by ov\u0161em byla siln\u00e1 r\u00e1na pro tyto organizace.<\/p>\n

Ostatn\u011b uvid\u00edme, jak se bude chovat tak\u00e9 nov\u00fd britsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Burnham, kter\u00fd p\u0159es deklarovanou podporu Ukrajin\u011b chce p\u0159ednostn\u011b \u0159e\u0161it vnitropolitick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed. Aby je mohl \u0159e\u0161it, nem\u016f\u017ee vyhazovat do vzduchu miliardy liber britsk\u00fdch da\u0148ov\u00fdch poplatn\u00edk\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed jinak jeho stranu nejpozd\u011bji za t\u0159i roky v parlamentn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch drsn\u011b ztrestaj\u00ed. Jedin\u00e1 \u0161ance labourist\u016f a jejich nov\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e9fa je, \u017ee zm\u011bn\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed postup a zejm\u00e9na finan\u010dn\u00ed nasazen\u00ed Brit\u00e1nie na Ukrajin\u011b….<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pro\u010d je vlastn\u011b prezident Trump v\u00edt\u011bzem ve v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem? Je to jednoduch\u00e9, p\u0159ed \u010dasem…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":111857,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1352,38,1503,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111856"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111856"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111856\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":111858,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111856\/revisions\/111858"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111857"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111856"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111856"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111856"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}