{"id":111657,"date":"2026-07-27T00:16:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-26T22:16:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111657"},"modified":"2026-07-26T11:18:07","modified_gmt":"2026-07-26T09:18:07","slug":"larry-c-johnson-zmenil-trump-opet-kurz-ohledne-iranu-dohodou-taco-proc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/27\/larry-c-johnson-zmenil-trump-opet-kurz-ohledne-iranu-dohodou-taco-proc\/","title":{"rendered":"Larry C. Johnson: Zm\u011bnil Trump op\u011bt kurz ohledn\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu dohodou \u201eTACO\u201c? Pro\u010d?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V p\u00e1tek jsem mluvil se Scottem Hortonem (video zve\u0159ejn\u00edm, jakmile bude k dispozici) a \u0159ekl jsem mu, \u017ee pln\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee Trump sv\u016fj slib spln\u00ed a \u201eotev\u0159e \u00cdr\u00e1nu br\u00e1ny pekla\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u0161echna varovn\u00e1 znamen\u00ed byla \u010derven\u00e1: evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zav\u0159ely sv\u00e1 velvyslanectv\u00ed v Teher\u00e1nu a evakuovaly sv\u00e9 zam\u011bstnance, USA p\u0159em\u00edstily velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch letadel do Izraele, n\u011bkter\u00e9 civiln\u00ed lety do a z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu byly zru\u0161eny, n\u011bkolik pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdch letoun\u016f P-8 Poseidon krou\u017eilo nad Persk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem a Izrael otev\u0159el sv\u00e9 protileteck\u00e9 kryty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co jsem ale nezohlednil, bylo, \u017ee Trump se v p\u00e1tek ve\u010der podruh\u00e9 pokusil o ve\u010de\u0159i Asociace korespondent\u016f B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu (WHCA). Z d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00e9ho zdroje jsem se dozv\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee Trump \u00fatok pl\u00e1novan\u00fd na p\u00e1tek zru\u0161il, aby nezast\u00ednil sv\u016fj projev na akci WHCA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dob\u0159e tedy \u2013 sobota bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ten velk\u00fd den.<\/span><\/p>\n

V sobotu brzy r\u00e1no jsem v\u0161ak obdr\u017eel zpr\u00e1vu od zdroje, kter\u00e1 nazna\u010dovala, \u017ee dv\u011b kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 velitelsk\u00e9 struktury \u2013 CENTCOM a AFCENT \u2013 neprov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed obvykl\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpravy ani opera\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 obvykle p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00ed velk\u00e9mu \u00fatoku. Ve skute\u010dnosti nekoordinuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed a CENTCOM dokonce ru\u0161\u00ed sch\u016fzky ze sv\u00e9ho v\u00edkendov\u00e9ho programu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dovolte mi vysv\u011btlit zkratky:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

CENTCOM\u00a0je velitelstv\u00ed odpov\u011bdn\u00e9 za\u00a0operaci Epic Fury<\/strong>\u00a0. Je zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 za vojensk\u00e9 operace USA, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci a opera\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed v oblasti odpov\u011bdnosti zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed 20 zem\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie a \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ji\u017en\u00ed Asie\u00a0<\/span>.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

AFCENT<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0(ofici\u00e1ln\u011b Dev\u00e1t\u00e9 letectvo \/ St\u0159edoevropsk\u00e9 vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 s\u00edly) je leteck\u00e1 slo\u017eka CENTCOM. Pl\u00e1nuje, koordinuje a prov\u00e1d\u00ed ve\u0161ker\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 operace \u2013 samostatn\u011b nebo spole\u010dn\u011b s koali\u010dn\u00edmi partnery \u2013 na podporu c\u00edl\u016f CENTCOM.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli se ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed velitelstv\u00ed AFCENT nach\u00e1z\u00ed na leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b Shaw v Ji\u017en\u00ed Karol\u00edn\u011b, leteck\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna\u00a0<\/span>Al Udeid<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0slou\u017e\u00ed ji\u017e mnoho let jako p\u0159edsunut\u00e1 opera\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1kladna v opera\u010dn\u00ed oblasti CENTCOM.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nach\u00e1zelo se zde\u00a0<\/span>Kombinovan\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 opera\u010dn\u00ed st\u0159edisko (CAOC)<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00e9 p\u0159evzalo velen\u00ed a \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v\u0161ech vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch sil v oblasti CENTCOM . Nach\u00e1zela se zde i dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed CENTCOM, v\u010detn\u011b samotn\u00e9ho p\u0159edsunut\u00e9ho velitelstv\u00ed CENTCOM.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle\u00a0<\/span>\u010dasopisu Air & Space Forces Magazine<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0byl CAOC p\u0159em\u00edst\u011bn na leteckou z\u00e1kladnu Shaw p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm\u00a0<\/span>operace Epic Fury,<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0proto\u017ee CENTCOM spr\u00e1vn\u011b p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n na za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v Al Udeid za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed. Ve\u0161ker\u00fd americk\u00fd person\u00e1l byl z Al Udeid sta\u017een ji\u017e p\u0159ed 28. \u00fanorem. Budova CAOC byla n\u00e1sledn\u011b z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zni\u010dena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samotn\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed leteck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proto prob\u00edhalo na leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b Shaw.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee CAOC v Shawu v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b intenzivn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>nepracuje<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0na opera\u010dn\u00edm pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed masivn\u00edho leteck\u00e9ho \u00faderu, je pro m\u011b nejjasn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm znamen\u00edm, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u00fatok nen\u00ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 alespo\u0148 ne tento v\u00edkend.<\/span><\/p>\n

The\u00a0<\/span>New York Times<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0publikoval \u010dl\u00e1nek Erica Schmitta a Jonathana Swana, kter\u00fd nab\u00edz\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed Trumpova ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho zvratu v \u201eTACO\u201c. P\u00ed\u0161\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n

Prezident Trump odlo\u017eil sv\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny na v\u00fdraznou eskalaci americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm d\u016fvodem jsou obavy, \u017ee roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed v\u00e1lky by mohlo nebezpe\u010dn\u011b vy\u010derpat ji\u017e tak drasticky sn\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 z\u00e1soby protiletadlov\u00fdch raket Patriot a dal\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 munice protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

D\u00e1le se v n\u011bm uv\u00e1d\u00ed:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Hrozba pro z\u00e1soby st\u00edhac\u00edch raket je podle vl\u00e1dn\u00edch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f jen jedn\u00edm z mnoha faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 \u010din\u00ed n\u00e1vrat k velk\u00fdm nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm akc\u00edm extr\u00e9mn\u011b riskantn\u00edm podnikem. Trump a jeho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed poradci se tak\u00e9 ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed eskalace v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, odcizen\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, kter\u00e9 by byly zraniteln\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 krize a eskalace energetick\u00e9 a uprchlick\u00e9 krize.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Mohl by v\u0161ak existovat i jin\u00fd d\u016fvod \u2013 d\u016fvod, kter\u00fd vysv\u011btlen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>New York Times<\/span><\/em>\u00a0v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nevylu\u010duje:\u00a0<\/span>americk\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky paliva.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va\u00a0<\/span>Karla Millera<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0zkoum\u00e1, jak tajn\u00e9 programy americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v oblasti n\u00e1kupu a v\u00fdvozu vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00ed americk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby nafty a petroleje v dob\u011b, kdy jsou dom\u00e1c\u00ed z\u00e1soby ji\u017e kriticky n\u00edzk\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle zpr\u00e1vy bylo mezi kv\u011btnem a \u010dervencem vyvezeno t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159\u00a0<\/span>161 milion\u016f barel\u016f<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0destil\u00e1t\u016f a leteck\u00fdch paliv. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1soby na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed USA zmen\u0161ily na m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e polovinu sv\u00e9 p\u0159edpandemick\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st tohoto paliva je sm\u011brov\u00e1na p\u0159es nepr\u016fhledn\u00e1 p\u0159ekladi\u0161t\u011b, jako je\u00a0<\/span>Rotterdam<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Tam ji\u017e nen\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9 sledovat, jak\u00fd pod\u00edl nakonec putuje k vojensk\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm nebo zahrani\u010dn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edjemc\u016fm. To zvy\u0161uje riziko nedostatku dod\u00e1vek v USA, zat\u00edmco vojen\u0161t\u00ed a zahrani\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1kazn\u00edci se t\u011b\u0161\u00ed preferen\u010dn\u00edmu zach\u00e1zen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm zpr\u00e1vy je, \u017ee americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da provozuje paraleln\u00ed, do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry neov\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fd syst\u00e9m distribuce vojensk\u00e9ho paliva, kter\u00fd odv\u00e1d\u00ed palivo z civiln\u00edho trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed statistiky uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed civiln\u00ed a vojensk\u00e1 paliva spole\u010dn\u011b. N\u011bkter\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1silky jsou nav\u00edc vy\u0148aty ze standardn\u00edho hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o v\u00fdvozu. V d\u016fsledku toho je skute\u010dn\u00e9 kone\u010dn\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00fdch paliv prakticky nemo\u017en\u00e9 sledovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00ed poplatn\u00edci dotuj\u00ed palivov\u00e9 pot\u0159eby zahrani\u010dn\u00edch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, zejm\u00e9na izraelsk\u00fdch, a to jak p\u0159\u00edmo, tak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b i nep\u0159\u00edmo, ani\u017e by vl\u00e1da zve\u0159ejnila rozsah t\u011bchto dod\u00e1vek nebo zp\u016fsob jejich financov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 kritick\u00e1 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed, jako je doprava, zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed a civiln\u00ed letectv\u00ed, maj\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rezervy, a jsou proto zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u016f\u010di naru\u0161en\u00ed provozu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Miller doch\u00e1z\u00ed k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee krize\u00a0<\/span>nen\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0zp\u016fsobena kolapsem rafin\u00e9rsk\u00e9 v\u00fdroby ani manipulac\u00ed se z\u00e1sobami. Sp\u00ed\u0161e vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 ze souhry trvale n\u00edzk\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00ed z\u00e1sob, pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho vysok\u00e9ho exportu a rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9ho ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho informov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zakr\u00fdv\u00e1 vojensk\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00edch palivov\u00fdch rezerv.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle jeho hodnocen\u00ed dostupn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee Rotterdam funguje jako jak\u00fdsi\u00a0<\/span>st\u00ednov\u00fd koncov\u00fd bod<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0pro americk\u00e9 palivo, odkud jsou dod\u00e1vky p\u0159ed\u00e1v\u00e1ny na z\u00e1kladny USA a NATO, do Izraele a do dal\u0161\u00edch oblast\u00ed operace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kv\u016fli nedostatku transparentn\u00edho a srozumiteln\u00e9ho \u00fa\u010detnictv\u00ed v\u0161ak ve\u0159ejnost nevid\u00ed, kam paliva skute\u010dn\u011b kon\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va proto po\u017eaduje jednotn\u00fd a podrobn\u00fd ov\u011b\u0159ovac\u00ed syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd by odhaloval, kolik paliva je odv\u00e1d\u011bno od z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva pro vojensk\u00e9 a zahrani\u010dn\u00ed operace.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m, \u017ee ministr energetiky Chris Wright a ministr vnit\u0159n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti Doug Burgum si jsou toho v\u011bdomi a prezidenta Trumpa o tom informovali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud bude civiln\u00ed americk\u00fd trh p\u0159ipraven o p\u0159ebytky nafty a petroleje v dob\u011b, kdy jsou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky ji\u017e tak siln\u011b omezeny uzav\u0159en\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a blok\u00e1dou sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy ze strany H\u00fat\u00ed\u016f, zvy\u0161uje se riziko zna\u010dn\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch \u0161kod ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dil tento faktor i prezidenta Trumpa, \u017ee masivn\u00ed \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n by v t\u00e9to dob\u011b nebyl moudr\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm?<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuto mo\u017enost je t\u0159eba p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zv\u00e1\u017eit.<\/span><\/p>\n

J\u00e1 se osobn\u011b vzd\u00e1v\u00e1m snahy p\u0159edpov\u00eddat, kdy nebo zda Trump skute\u010dn\u011b otev\u0159e \u201ebr\u00e1ny do pekel\u201c proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jsem p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee jak nedostatek p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, tak riziko zna\u010dn\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch \u0161kod plynouc\u00edch z pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed leteck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e1 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by nem\u011bla b\u00fdt ignorov\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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V p\u00e1tek jsem mluvil se Scottem Hortonem (video zve\u0159ejn\u00edm, jakmile bude k dispozici) a \u0159ekl…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":111658,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1854,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111657"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111657"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111657\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111658"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}