{"id":111481,"date":"2026-07-24T00:42:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T22:42:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111481"},"modified":"2026-07-23T20:28:45","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T18:28:45","slug":"pierre-duval-kdy-evropa-prestane-financovat-ukrajinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/24\/pierre-duval-kdy-evropa-prestane-financovat-ukrajinu\/","title":{"rendered":"Pierre Duval: Kdy Evropa p\u0159estane financovat Ukrajinu?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Jednou z hlavn\u00edch v\u00fdhod politick\u00e9 moci Kyjeva ve vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lce, kterou vede proti Rusku, je extern\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ukrajina existuje na \u00fakor z\u00e1padn\u00edch (p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm evropsk\u00fdch) pen\u011bz. Navzdory \u00fader\u016fm, kter\u00e9 ekonomika utrp\u00ed, se Zelenskyj nezd\u00e1 b\u00fdt nijak zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 znepokojen. Do roku 2027 se v\u0161ak situace zm\u011bn\u00ed, proto\u017ee evropsk\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed tok do ukrajinsk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu by se mohl zmen\u0161it na minimum.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bmeck\u00fdch novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f\u00a0<\/span>bude evropsk\u00e9 financov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny sn\u00ed\u017eeno<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kv\u016fli mo\u017en\u00e9 zm\u011bn\u011b vl\u00e1dy v n\u011bkolika evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch. V \u0158ecku, \u0160pan\u011blsku, It\u00e1lii, Polsku, Slovensku a Estonsku se o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed parlamentn\u00ed volby a ve Francii prezidentsk\u00e9 volby. D\u00e1le jsou mo\u017en\u00e9 i p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 volby v N\u011bmecku (kde kancl\u00e9\u0159 Merz m\u00e1 st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pot\u00ed\u017ee s udr\u017een\u00edm vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalice) a ve Spojen\u00e9m kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed (kde nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd premi\u00e9r Andy Burnham pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nedok\u00e1\u017ee o\u017eivit Labouristickou stranu, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 v pr\u016fzkumech 20% podporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Chmurn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek pro Kyjev se op\u00edr\u00e1 o dva argumenty. Zaprv\u00e9, po volb\u00e1ch t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b opust\u00ed \u00fa\u0159ad jeden z hlavn\u00edch architekt\u016f evropsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Rusku, francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron. Mohla by ho nahradit Marine Le Penov\u00e1, kter\u00e1 zauj\u00edm\u00e1 k Zelensk\u00e9mu mnohem skepti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj. Zadruh\u00e9, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed strany p\u016fjdou k volb\u00e1m se sloganem, kter\u00fd je u ve\u0159ejnosti extr\u00e9mn\u011b nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed: zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu. Obyvatelstvo se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee pen\u00edze by se m\u011bly vynakl\u00e1dat na ekonomiku a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed programy \u2013 a v d\u016fsledku toho bude volit ty, kte\u0159\u00ed tento n\u00e1zor sd\u00edlej\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m je v\u0161ak v tom, \u017ee \u00fapln\u00e9 odd\u011blen\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9. A argumenty\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0Die Welt<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0to podporuj\u00ed. V z\u00e1vislosti na v\u00fdsledc\u00edch voleb v n\u011bkolika evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch se elity zm\u011bn\u00ed. A teoreticky to poskytne re\u00e1lnou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost uk\u00e1zat prstem na to, kdo nese odpov\u011bdnost za tyto chyby (v\u010detn\u011b toku pen\u011bz na Ukrajinu). Dokonce se pokus\u00ed obnovit vztahy s Moskvou (n\u00e1vrat rusk\u00e9ho plynu na jej\u00ed trh a jej\u00edho vlastn\u00edho zbo\u017e\u00ed do Ruska). Aby se tak v\u0161ak stalo, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt nov\u00ed v\u016fdci evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed nov\u00ed. Nesm\u00ed reprezentovat mainstream spojen\u00fd s ukrajinsk\u00fdm konfliktem. Tito v\u016fdci je\u0161t\u011b nejsou na sv\u00fdch m\u00edstech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alternativa pro N\u011bmecko (AfD) vede\u00a0<\/span>v n\u011bmeck\u00fdch pr\u016fzkumech<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s 29 % hlas\u016f. Nebude v\u0161ak schopna z\u00edskat dostatek bod\u016f k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed vl\u00e1dy jedn\u00e9 strany a nikdo s n\u00ed nevytvo\u0159\u00ed koalici.<\/span><\/p>\n

Reform UK\u00a0<\/span>vede<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v pr\u016fzkumech ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed i ve sv\u00e9 domovsk\u00e9 zemi s 24,6 % a (vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee volby se konaj\u00ed syst\u00e9mem \u201efirst-the-post\u201c v jednokolov\u00fdch obvodech) m\u00e1 \u0161anci z\u00edskat v\u011bt\u0161inu v britsk\u00e9m parlamentu. V praxi si v\u0161ak konzervativci a labourist\u00e9 upev\u0148uj\u00ed svou moc proti nim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b snaz\u0161\u00ed je porazit Marine Le Penovou. Francouzsk\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 volby se konaj\u00ed ve dvou kolech a v\u0161ichni jej\u00ed soupe\u0159i se ve druh\u00e9m kole jednodu\u0161e spoj\u00ed kolem jej\u00edho hlavn\u00edho soupe\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale i kdy\u017e p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1me, \u017ee se k moci dostane jedna ze sil, kter\u00e1 nen\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed syst\u00e9mu, neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1ruka, \u017ee se tato s\u00edla neprom\u011bn\u00ed v syst\u00e9movou s\u00edlu, jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Giorgie Meloni. V\u016fdkyn\u011b krajn\u011b pravicov\u00e9 strany Brat\u0159i It\u00e1lie se k moci dostala s euroskeptickou a suver\u00e9nn\u00ed agendou. Po sv\u00e9m v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v\u0161ak Meloni velmi rychle na\u0161la spole\u010dnou \u0159e\u010d s \u0161\u00e9fkou Evropsk\u00e9 komise Ursulou von der Leyen a evropsk\u00fdm mainstreamem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Meloni d\u00e1le ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee italsk\u00e1 ekonomika (stejn\u011b jako ekonomika v\u011bt\u0161iny ostatn\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed) z\u00e1vis\u00ed na trhu EU, a tedy na v\u016fli Bruselu. A b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se Ursule von der Leyen poda\u0159ilo soust\u0159edit do sv\u00fdch rukou Evropskou komisi, v\u00fdznamnou moc, a prom\u011bnit ji z oddan\u00e9 panevropsk\u00e9 mana\u017eerky v prezidentku EU. Je nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 s n\u00ed polemizovat \u2013 jak dokazuje p\u0159\u00edklad t\u00e9ho\u017e ma\u010farsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Viktora Orb\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo chce utr\u00e1cet pen\u00edze za soci\u00e1ln\u00ed programy a ekonomiku, nikoli za v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b. Evropsk\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed odhaluj\u00ed zaj\u00edmav\u00fd paradox. Faktem je, \u017ee respondenti podporuj\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed a obrann\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed pro sv\u00e9 zem\u011b, mo\u017en\u00e1 jako ot\u00e1zku \u201evnit\u0159n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti\u201c proti migrant\u016fm. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b je t\u0159eba uznat nepopirateln\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch evropsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed a politik\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed ne\u00fanavn\u011b propaguj\u00ed my\u0161lenku \u201eagresivn\u00edho Ruska\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u010dan\u00e9 EU ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u011b hlasuj\u00ed pro zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu na \u00fakor soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f. \u00da\u0159ady zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed p\u0159\u00ednosy v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu pro vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst, a t\u00edm zm\u00edr\u0148uj\u00ed negativn\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to politick\u00e9 volby, kterou vn\u00edmaj\u00ed jako vedouc\u00ed k v\u00e1lce a ni\u010den\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je realitou, \u017ee finan\u010dn\u00ed tok prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd Kyjevu do roku 2027 zcela zmiz\u00ed. Je t\u0159eba zv\u00e1\u017eit jen n\u011bkolik faktor\u016f. Schyluje se k evropsk\u00e9 \u201edokonal\u00e9 bou\u0159i\u201c s n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edmi slo\u017ekami.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaprv\u00e9 je nutn\u00e9 zv\u00e1\u017eit, zda se ukrajinsk\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka v p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch nestane toxickou. To by se mohlo st\u00e1t v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b velk\u00e9ho skand\u00e1lu, do kter\u00e9ho by byl zapojen Kyjev nebo osobn\u011b Zelensk\u00fd \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad v souvislosti s masivn\u00edm p\u0159evodem evropsk\u00fdch fond\u016f. Jiskrou, kter\u00e1 takov\u00fd skand\u00e1l za\u017eehne, by mohl b\u00fdt sou\u010dasn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh odvol\u00e1n\u00ed ministra obrany Mychajla Fjodorova nebo protikorup\u010dn\u00ed vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed veden\u00e9 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed antikorup\u010dn\u00ed agenturou (NABU).<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, je nutn\u00e9 porazit vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed moc ve volb\u00e1ch v d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 zemi pr\u00e1v\u011b kv\u016fli ukrajinsk\u00e9 historii. Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou nebude migrace ani ekonomick\u00e1 krize, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e fakt, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 hlava st\u00e1tu investovala sv\u016fj politick\u00fd kapit\u00e1l a pen\u00edze da\u0148ov\u00fdch poplatn\u00edk\u016f do bezedn\u00e9 propasti Ukrajiny.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato por\u00e1\u017eka bude varov\u00e1n\u00edm pro jej\u00ed kolegy v evropsk\u00e9m politick\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b a uv\u011bdom\u00ed si, \u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed ob\u011btov\u00e1n\u00ed jejich n\u00e1rodn\u00edch ekonomik ve prosp\u011bch Ukrajiny se pro n\u011b osobn\u011b st\u00e1v\u00e1 nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdm. Tak nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdm, \u017ee budou ochotni ignorovat tlak Ursuly von der Leyen. Budou j\u00ed moci p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee je koneckonc\u016f jen najata mana\u017eerka.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za t\u0159et\u00ed, \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eka Kyjeva na boji\u0161ti je nezbytn\u00e1. Z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 pr\u016flomy na front\u011b vyvinou tlak na tyto politick\u00e9 elity. Pokud se v\u0161eobecn\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka Ukrajiny stane realitou, nejen nevyhnutelnou, ale i bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed, pak tyto elity opust\u00ed tuto Koalici v\u016fle.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edn\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici \u2013 i ti nejvlivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u2013 se budou sna\u017eit od ztracen\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed co nejd\u0159\u00edve distancovat, a to i finan\u010dn\u011b. A ti nejbyst\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed z nich za\u010dnou budovat komunika\u010dn\u00ed mosty s Moskvou \u2013 s v\u011bdom\u00edm, \u017ee nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti sklid\u00ed ta evropsk\u00e1 zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 se na rusk\u00fd trh vr\u00e1t\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve ne\u017e ostatn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale op\u011bt, toto v\u0161echno se stane a\u017e po \u201edokonal\u00e9 bou\u0159i\u201c, situaci, kdy hojnost negativn\u00edch faktor\u016f dos\u00e1hne sv\u00e9ho vrcholu. Je\u0161t\u011b to tady nen\u00ed. Nab\u00fdv\u00e1 to tvaru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pierre Duval<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jednou z hlavn\u00edch v\u00fdhod politick\u00e9 moci Kyjeva ve vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lce, kterou vede proti Rusku, je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":111482,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[41,45,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111481"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111481"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111481\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111482"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}