{"id":111412,"date":"2026-07-24T00:16:07","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T22:16:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111412"},"modified":"2026-07-23T09:50:35","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T07:50:35","slug":"iran-pakistan-co-se-skutecne-deje-na-diplomaticke-fronte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/24\/iran-pakistan-co-se-skutecne-deje-na-diplomaticke-fronte\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 P\u00e1kist\u00e1n: Co se skute\u010dn\u011b d\u011bje na diplomatick\u00e9 front\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Bab al-Mandab nen\u00ed zav\u0159en\u00fd. Je pln\u00fd.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne dorazil do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr vnitra Eskandar Momeni s vysokou delegac\u00ed. V \u00fater\u00fd se ji\u017e setkal s premi\u00e9rem \u0160ehb\u00e1zem \u0160ar\u00edfem, poln\u00edm mar\u0161\u00e1lem \u00c1simem Munirem a sv\u00fdm p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem Mohsinem Naqvim.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jednalo se o mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e jen o rutinn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu hranic nebo bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed mezi dv\u011bma sousedn\u00edmi st\u00e1ty. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 bylo, \u017ee byl p\u0159\u00edtomen i \u0161\u00e9f N\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti (NIOC). To znamenalo, \u017ee \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edmi t\u00e9maty diskuse byly energetika \u2013 zejm\u00e9na potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdstavba plynovodu \u00cdr\u00e1n-P\u00e1kist\u00e1n (IP), sankce a p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nyn\u00ed k kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9mu bodu: Momeni p\u0159inesl zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed poselstv\u00ed od \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed ohledn\u011b v\u00e1lky. P\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana ve\u0159ejn\u011b zd\u016fraznila, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 delegace dorazila s \u201edobrou zpr\u00e1vou\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zkou je, jak byla tato \u201edobr\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va\u201c sd\u011blena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ne\u017e Momeni p\u0159ist\u00e1l v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du, bylo p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 civiln\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed informov\u00e1no, \u017ee osobn\u011b doru\u010d\u00ed dopis od v\u016fdce Mojt\u00e1by Chamene\u00edho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po sv\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edjezdu v\u0161ak Momeni P\u00e1kist\u00e1nc\u016fm vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee s sebou nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd skute\u010dn\u00fd dopis. M\u00edsto toho p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu veden\u00ed doru\u010duje vzkaz od Mojtaby, kter\u00fd pln\u011b podpo\u0159il prezident Pezeshkian a ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Araghchi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Velvyslanectv\u00ed se zab\u00fdvalo \u0159adou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch ot\u00e1zek t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edch se vztah\u016f mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem, jako\u017e i p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdm zprost\u0159edkovatelsk\u00fdm \u00fasil\u00edm mezi Teher\u00e1nem a Trumpovou administrativou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle velvyslanectv\u00ed by \u00cdr\u00e1n byl ochoten akceptovat desetidenn\u00ed pauzu v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 eskalaci. To je v\u0161ak podm\u00edn\u011bno t\u00edm, \u017ee Trump okam\u017eit\u011b zah\u00e1j\u00ed implementaci v\u0161ech (d\u016fraz v origin\u00e1le) bod\u016f 14bodov\u00e9ho memoranda o porozum\u011bn\u00ed (MoU) v okam\u017eiku, kdy \u00cdr\u00e1n s touto desetidenn\u00ed pauzou souhlas\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V p\u0159ekladu to znamen\u00e1: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 nov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. To odpov\u00edd\u00e1 i \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu postoji. Jedin\u00fdm rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm faktorem je n\u00e1vrat k p\u016fvodn\u00edmu memorandu o porozum\u011bn\u00ed a pln\u00e9 pln\u011bn\u00ed jeho z\u00e1vazk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, Trump zpr\u00e1vu odm\u00edtl. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n pot\u00e9 informoval \u00cdr\u00e1n o Trumpov\u011b odm\u00edtnut\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edt jedinou zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed mo\u017enost. Podle medi\u00e1tor\u016f se tak stalo pot\u00e9, co ho narcistick\u00fd megaloman Asim Munir denn\u011b obt\u011b\u017eoval telefonicky a prakticky ho prosil, aby mu umo\u017enil pr\u00e1v\u011b tuto \u00fanikovou cestu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Byl tam n\u011bjak\u00fd vzkaz? A jak byl sd\u011blen?<\/span><\/h3>\n

A nyn\u00ed k komplikuj\u00edc\u00edm faktor\u016fm. Vysoce postaven\u00e9 zdroje v Teher\u00e1nu trvaj\u00ed na t\u0159ech bodech:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • V\u016fdce Mod\u017et\u00e1ba Chamene\u00ed neposlal do P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vzkaz a nen\u00ed v kontaktu s nik\u00fdm v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu, v\u010detn\u011b Asima Munira.<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Pokud by skute\u010dn\u011b doru\u010dil n\u011bjak\u00e9 poselstv\u00ed, nebylo by to prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ministra. To se obvykle d\u011bje prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm prezidenta (Pezeshkian), p\u0159edsedy parlamentu (Ghalibaf) nebo tajemn\u00edka Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti (Zolghadr), jak tomu bylo d\u0159\u00edve v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u010c\u00edny a Ruska.<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Informace o desetidenn\u00ed pauze n\u00e1sledovan\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00edch 60 a\u017e 90 dny jsou nepravdiv\u00e9 a nere\u00e1ln\u00e9. \u00cdr\u00e1n o tom nejedn\u00e1 a ani v budoucnu nebude jednat.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee v Teher\u00e1nu existuje n\u011bkolik soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edch mocensk\u00fdch center. Rozd\u00edly v p\u0159\u00edstupu nebo v tom, co by m\u011blo b\u00fdt zve\u0159ejn\u011bno, se proto mohou objevit kdykoli. Je v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 faktem, \u017ee P\u00e1kist\u00e1n by nem\u011bl absolutn\u011b \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z\u00e1jem na vym\u00fd\u0161len\u00ed takov\u00fdch informac\u00ed \u2013 s v\u011bdom\u00edm, \u017ee by je \u00cdr\u00e1n okam\u017eit\u011b vyvr\u00e1til.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Zva\u017eme tedy fakta. Prezident Pezeshkian opakovan\u011b ve\u0159ejn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Mojtaba je v \u00cdr\u00e1nu nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed autoritou, \u017ee pod jeho veden\u00edm se \u010din\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed a \u017ee veden\u00ed m\u00e1 v \u00famyslu ukon\u010dit sou\u010dasn\u00fd nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd stav \u201eani v\u00e1lky, ani m\u00edru\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Zd\u00e1 se proto pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee zpr\u00e1va skute\u010dn\u011b poch\u00e1zela z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u00farovn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu a byla schv\u00e1lena Mojt\u00e1bou \u2013 ale m\u011bla z\u016fstat v pozad\u00ed. Trumpovo odm\u00edtnut\u00ed t\u00e9to zpr\u00e1vy \u010din\u00ed tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je\u0161t\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u00cdr\u00e1n si op\u011bt z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010das a jeho veden\u00ed si z\u00e1rove\u0148 uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee Trump\u016fv \u010das se kr\u00e1t\u00ed. V Teher\u00e1nu panuje shoda, \u017ee zem\u011b dok\u00e1\u017ee i nad\u00e1le odol\u00e1vat obrovsk\u00e9mu ekonomick\u00e9mu a vojensk\u00e9mu tlaku, i kdy\u017e jej\u00ed kontrola nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem d\u00e1le zvy\u0161uje n\u00e1klady na v\u00e1lku. Nyn\u00ed se do hry dostal dal\u0161\u00ed faktor: n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1da Jemenu v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i ze strany Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Teher\u00e1nsk\u00fd v\u00fdpo\u010det je jasn\u00fd. S prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed eskalac\u00ed se politick\u00fd a ekonomick\u00fd tlak ji\u017e \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed jako po\u017e\u00e1r nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asi\u00ed, mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edmi trasami a glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi energetick\u00fdmi trhy.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd vzkaz Trumpovi, nep\u0159\u00edmo sd\u011blen\u00fd p\u0159es P\u00e1kist\u00e1n, proto z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nezm\u011bn\u011bn: Pln\u011b a bez op\u011btovn\u00e9ho projedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed implementujte p\u016fvodn\u00ed 14bodov\u00e9 memorandum o porozum\u011bn\u00ed \u2013 nebo se p\u0159ipravte na vleklou v\u00e1lku a pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed naru\u0161en\u00ed energetick\u00e9 a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravy s ni\u010div\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Jak p\u0159esn\u011b bylo toto sd\u011blen\u00ed Trumpovi p\u0159es Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d sd\u011bleno, nakonec nen\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9. Skute\u010dn\u00e1 vynal\u00e9zavost spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti, \u017ee rozhovory o obchodu, ropovodech a hranic\u00edch slou\u017eily jako diplomatick\u00e9 kryt\u00ed pro spln\u011bn\u00ed podm\u00ednek Teher\u00e1nu pro ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd bod z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stejn\u00fd: Pro Teher\u00e1n \u2013 stejn\u011b jako pro Peking \u2013 je memorandum o porozum\u011bn\u00ed definitivn\u00ed dohodou. Finalizovanou dohodou. Washington ji mus\u00ed implementovat. Nebude k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu dal\u0161\u00edmu kolu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

    D\u016fsledky naprost\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 p\u00e1ky \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/h3>\n

    Krize mezi Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a Jemenem z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nevy\u0159e\u0161ena. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed medi\u00e1to\u0159i zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d nal\u00e9hal na Rij\u00e1d ke zdr\u017eenlivosti, jeliko\u017e P\u00e1kist\u00e1n v t\u00e9to dob\u011b nechce b\u00fdt nucen jednat sp\u00ed\u0161e jako v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00ed strana ne\u017e jako medi\u00e1tor.<\/span><\/p>\n

    San’\u00e1 ne\u010dek\u00e1 na \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u201epokyny\u201c k dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci situace v B\u00e1b al-Mandab. To jsou typick\u00e1 tvrzen\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch tiskov\u00fdch agentur. Ansarall\u00e1h sp\u00ed\u0161e reaguje na sa\u00fadskoarabskou blok\u00e1du Jemenu, kter\u00e1 trv\u00e1 ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e jeden\u00e1ct let. Princip zn\u00ed: \u201eObl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed proti obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed.\u201c Tato blok\u00e1da je nam\u00ed\u0159ena v\u00fdhradn\u011b proti Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii. B\u00e1b al-Mandab bude pro v\u0161echny lod\u011b zcela uzav\u0159en pouze v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee USA za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00edr\u00e1nskou energetickou s\u00ed\u0165 a energetickou infrastrukturu.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Bab al-Mandab tedy nen\u00ed uzav\u0159en\u00fd. Je pln\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u0160ir\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00e1 realita je nepopirateln\u00e1: \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed \u00faplnou kontrolu nad dv\u011bma nejkriti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi energetick\u00fdmi \u00fazk\u00fdmi m\u00edsty na sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u00cdr\u00e1n systematicky nut\u00ed \u201e\u0159\u00ed\u0161i pir\u00e1t\u016f\u201c k hluchot\u011b, n\u011bmot\u011b a slepot\u011b v cel\u00e9m Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu ni\u010den\u00edm bateri\u00ed syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot, radarov\u00fdch instalac\u00ed, \u010derpac\u00edch stanic a dal\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 infrastruktury v Kuvajtu, Bahrajnu, Jord\u00e1nsku, Kataru a Om\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Kuvajt nyn\u00ed aktivn\u011b usiluje o uzav\u0159en\u00ed obrann\u00e9 dohody s P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem po vzoru st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00e9 dohody. Ta by mohla zahrnovat p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky, letadla, drony a syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany v\u00fdm\u011bnou za energii a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zna\u010dn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed zdroje. Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie Kuvajt v tomto \u00fasil\u00ed v\u00fdslovn\u011b podporuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Krom\u011b toho prob\u00edhaj\u00ed seri\u00f3zn\u00ed rozhovory mezi Tureckem, P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem a Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed o \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed alianci vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 obrany. P\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Teher\u00e1n, \u017ee se nejedn\u00e1 o dal\u0161\u00ed alianci nam\u00ed\u0159enou proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, se v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b uk\u00e1\u017ee jako sisyfovsk\u00fd \u00fakol.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Nicm\u00e9n\u011b je t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee zna\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det st\u00e1t\u016f v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu se za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 osvobozovat od sv\u00e9 v\u00fdhradn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti na \u201e\u0159\u00ed\u0161i pir\u00e1t\u016f\u201c a hled\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky mimo Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

    P\u00e1kist\u00e1n je nyn\u00ed v pozici, kdy se m\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout, jak daleko chce zaj\u00edt \u2013 ani\u017e by ohrozil pracn\u011b budovan\u00e9 dobr\u00e9 vztahy se sv\u00fdm sousedem \u00cdr\u00e1nem, kter\u00e9 byly do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry prosazov\u00e1ny \u010c\u00ednou.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Pepe Escobar<\/a><\/p>\n

    <\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Bab al-Mandab nen\u00ed zav\u0159en\u00fd. Je pln\u00fd. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne dorazil do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr vnitra…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":111413,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,295,38,129],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111412"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111412"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111412\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111413"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}