{"id":111406,"date":"2026-07-24T00:12:14","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T22:12:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111406"},"modified":"2026-07-23T09:40:38","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T07:40:38","slug":"ted-snider-klamni-vudci-jsou-nebezpecni-vudci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/24\/ted-snider-klamni-vudci-jsou-nebezpecni-vudci\/","title":{"rendered":"Ted Snider: Klamn\u00ed v\u016fdci jsou nebezpe\u010dn\u00ed v\u016fdci"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Pokud jde o v\u00e1lku, Trump i Zelenskyj by se m\u011bli vr\u00e1tit do reality.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem skon\u010dilo. V \u00fater\u00fd americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zah\u00e1jila \u00fatoky na v\u00edce ne\u017e 80 c\u00edl\u016f v \u00cdr\u00e1nu v reakci na to, co Pentagon za\u010d\u00e1tkem t\u00fddne ozna\u010dil za \u201eneopr\u00e1vn\u011bnou agresi\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Prezident Trump ozna\u010dil jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nci na summitu NATO v Anka\u0159e za \u201eztr\u00e1tu \u010dasu\u201c a prohl\u00e1sil prozat\u00edmn\u00ed dohodu podepsanou minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc za ukon\u010denou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed posledn\u00edmi \u00fatoky prezident zaujal v\u00fdrazn\u011b agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed t\u00f3n. Ve sv\u00e9m projevu ke Dni nez\u00e1vislosti hovo\u0159il o \u201enejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c Ameriky v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a tvrdil, \u017ee Amerika \u201ezni\u010dila jejich arm\u00e1du\u201c. Kdy\u017e byl za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne dot\u00e1z\u00e1n na vyhl\u00eddky na kone\u010dnou dohodu s Teher\u00e1nem, sv\u016fj postoj zopakoval a novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm \u0159ekl: \u201eBu\u010f uzav\u0159eme dohodu, nebo to dokon\u010d\u00edme. A to nebude t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 baseballov\u00fd t\u00fdm, kter\u00fd po proh\u0159e 0:1 prohl\u00e1s\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, proto\u017ee m\u011bl v\u00edce z\u00e1sah\u016f \u2013 a po\u017eaduje odvetu. Pou\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si zbytek sv\u011bta osvojil, mu z\u0159ejm\u011b uniklo. Zat\u00edmco \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da a infrastruktura utrp\u011bly v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 \u0161kody, \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00e1lku neprohr\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n je i nad\u00e1le schopen provozovat v\u011bt\u0161inu raketov\u00fdch stanovi\u0161\u0165, kter\u00e1 pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k blokov\u00e1n\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a ohro\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch a spojeneck\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f. Obnovil p\u0159\u00edstup k 90 procent\u016fm sv\u00fdch podzemn\u00edch raketov\u00fdch sklad\u016f a odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. St\u00e1le vlastn\u00ed 75 procent sv\u00fdch mobiln\u00edch raketov\u00fdch odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, 70 procent balistick\u00fdch a \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el a 50 procent sv\u00fdch dron\u016f. Re\u017eim z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pevn\u011b zako\u0159en\u011bn v Teher\u00e1nu a existuje jen mal\u00e1 vyhl\u00eddka na lidov\u00e9 povst\u00e1n\u00ed nebo vnit\u0159n\u00ed p\u0159evrat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty utrp\u011bly mnohem men\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody \u2013 ale p\u0159esto nedos\u00e1hly sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f. A ob\u011bt\u00ed bylo dost. Bylo zabito t\u0159in\u00e1ct americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Bylo vynalo\u017eeno velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 a drah\u00e9 munice (kterou Pentagon ozna\u010dil za \u201evynikaj\u00edc\u00ed\u201c), v\u010detn\u011b st\u00edhac\u00edch raket Patriot a THAAD, \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el Tomahawk a JASSM a p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdch st\u0159el. Americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v regionu, v\u010detn\u011b velitelstv\u00ed P\u00e1t\u00e9 flotily v Bahrajnu, utrp\u011bly neb\u00fdval\u00e9 \u0161kody. V tuzemsku ameri\u010dt\u00ed spot\u0159ebitel\u00e9 m\u011bs\u00edce trp\u011bli vysok\u00fdmi cenami benzinu a pl\u00ed\u017eivou inflac\u00ed. Nemluv\u011b o politick\u00fdch n\u00e1kladech, kter\u00e9 Trumpova administrativa musela zaplatit za veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky, proti kter\u00e9 t\u0159i z p\u011bti Ameri\u010dan\u016f stoj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee byl \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zasa\u017een, je dnes v mnoha ohledech siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou. \u00cdr\u00e1n prok\u00e1zal svou schopnost odolat pou\u017eit\u00ed dvou hlavn\u00edch americk\u00fdch n\u00e1stroj\u016f n\u00e1tlaku \u2013 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159evaze a ekonomick\u00e9mu n\u00e1tlaku. A dok\u00e1zal, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mu nemohou zabr\u00e1nit v uplat\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edho n\u00e1tlaku. Dnes m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kontrolu ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm. Nyn\u00ed m\u00e1, alespo\u0148 do\u010dasn\u011b, p\u0159\u00edstup k p\u0159\u00edjm\u016fm z ropy a zmrazen\u00fdm aktiv\u016fm (a\u010dkoli se to m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit; za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne USA zru\u0161ily v\u00fdjimku umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed prodej ropy \u00cdr\u00e1nu). A nevzdal se sv\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va na civiln\u00ed program obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00e1lku jasn\u011b vyhr\u00e1l a m\u00e1 oproti USA z\u0159etelnou v\u00fdhodu, co se t\u00fd\u010de dostupn\u00e9ho vlivu,\u201c \u0159ekl den\u00edku The American Conservative John Mearsheimer, politolog z Chicagsk\u00e9 univerzity. \u201eProto prezident Trump podepsal s \u00cdr\u00e1nem memorandum o porozum\u011bn\u00ed, i kdy\u017e se v podstat\u011b jedn\u00e1 o kapitulaci.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee si to B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm zjevn\u011b neuv\u011bdomuje. A to by n\u00e1s mohlo zav\u00e9st zp\u011bt do ba\u017einy beznad\u011bjn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podobn\u00e1 iluze prodlu\u017euje krveprolit\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b. Ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj a jeho evrop\u0161t\u00ed podporovatel\u00e9 jsou zjevn\u011b p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni, \u017ee se v\u00fdvoj v\u00e1lky obr\u00e1til a \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed je nejen mo\u017en\u00e9, ale dokonce i bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato iluze samoz\u0159ejm\u011b charakterizovala v\u00e1lku od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku. Stejn\u011b jako Zelensk\u00e9ho na ja\u0159e roku 2022 \u00fadajn\u011b p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dili evrop\u0161t\u00ed zast\u00e1nci tvrd\u00e9 linie, aby odm\u00edtl m\u00edrovou dohodu, nyn\u00ed naslouch\u00e1 sv\u00fdm evropsk\u00fdm \u2013 a v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b i americk\u00fdm \u2013 p\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed mu rad\u00ed, aby v boji pokra\u010doval a donutil Rusko vyjedn\u00e1vat za jeho podm\u00ednek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je pravda, \u017ee \u00fatoky ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed posun v dynamice konfliktu. Schopnost zas\u00e1hnout rusk\u00e9 srdce \u2013 od symbolick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f v Petrohradu a Moskv\u011b a\u017e po ropn\u00e9 rafinerie, kter\u00e9 udr\u017euj\u00ed ruskou ekonomiku v chodu \u2013 m\u00e1 jasn\u00fd dopad. Putin to dokonce uznal v rozhovoru minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc (a z\u00e1rove\u0148 prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00fatoky nebudou m\u00edt \u201e\u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vliv na situaci na front\u011b\u201c).<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm se nezd\u00e1, \u017ee by nov\u011b z\u00edskan\u00fd dosah Ukrajiny p\u0159edstavoval existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu pro ruskou v\u00e1le\u010dnou ma\u0161in\u00e9rii. Rusk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky a \u00fatoky dron\u016f nad\u00e1le zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdm m\u011bst\u016fm a infrastruktu\u0159e v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody ne\u017e naopak.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vezm\u011bme si nap\u0159\u00edklad ned\u00e1vn\u00fd rusk\u00fd \u00fatok na ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne: Podle BBC Ukrajina \u201enezachytila \u200b\u200bani jednu balistickou st\u0159elu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

To vedlo v Kyjev\u011b k rostouc\u00edmu zoufalstv\u00ed. Podle Putina Zelenskyj dokonce navrhl, aby ob\u011b strany zastavily v\u00fdm\u011bnu dron\u016f a raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu.<\/span><\/p>\n

A a\u010dkoli se tyto \u00fatoky dostaly na tituln\u00ed str\u00e1nky novin po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, celkov\u00e1 situace pro Ukrajinu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 extr\u00e9mn\u011b bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00e1. Jak poznamenal expert z Harvard Kennedy School na konci minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce, nov\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 schopnosti dron\u016f \u201enep\u0159inesly \u017e\u00e1dnou rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed a trvalou zm\u011bnu v celkov\u00e9m sm\u011bru nebo rozloze sil ve v\u00e1lce\u201c. Nebo, jak napsal o n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f d\u0159\u00edve jin\u00fd analytik: \u201eV\u00e1lka dron\u016f je jen rozpt\u00fdlen\u00edm pozornosti.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fvod je jednoduch\u00fd: v\u00fdsledek konfliktu bude z\u00e1viset na tom, co se stane na donbask\u00e9 front\u011b. A tam Rusko pokra\u010duje ve sv\u00e9m pomal\u00e9m, ale jist\u00e9m postupu a Ukrajina st\u00e1le v\u00edce riskuje ztr\u00e1tu regionu, kter\u00fd si mohla ponechat podle minsk\u00fdch dohod.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad v \u010d\u00e1stech d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pevnosti Konstantinovka jsou oslaben\u00e9 a vy\u010derpan\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky na pokraji zhroucen\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 ne\u00faprosn\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu \u00fatoku. Nedostatek person\u00e1lu na Ukrajin\u011b je jasn\u011b patrn\u00fd a p\u00e1d m\u011bsta se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu. Situace se neobr\u00e1tila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak na Ukrajin\u011b, tak v \u00cdr\u00e1nu hroz\u00ed iluze v\u016fdc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed usiluj\u00ed o nemo\u017en\u00e9, zp\u016fsoben\u00edm je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho utrpen\u00ed a ztr\u00e1t v\u0161em z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdm. Zelenskyj i Trump by se m\u011bli vr\u00e1tit do reality. Jinak zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 vedou, \u010del\u00ed hrozb\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed nesmysln\u00e9 a nekone\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ted Snider<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud jde o v\u00e1lku, Trump i Zelenskyj by se m\u011bli vr\u00e1tit do reality. Zd\u00e1 se,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102427,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,452,26,37,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111406"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111406"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111406\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102427"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}